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Exclusive: Democrat on How Trump's Tariffs Could Reshape Key Iowa Race
Exclusive: Democrat on How Trump's Tariffs Could Reshape Key Iowa Race

Miami Herald

time28-06-2025

  • Business
  • Miami Herald

Exclusive: Democrat on How Trump's Tariffs Could Reshape Key Iowa Race

Christina Bohannan, an Iowa Democrat making her third go at the battleground congressional seat held by GOP Representative Mariannette Miller-Meeks, told Newsweek in an interview that tariffs have emerged as a major issue for voters in the district. Bohannan came close to flipping Iowa's 1st Congressional District last year—losing by only 799 votes despite President Donald Trump carrying the district by more than eight percentage points against then Vice President Kamala Harris. The Iowa Democrat also ran in 2022. Now, Bohannan is making her third go at the district in the 2026 midterms, when Democrats are hoping a 2018-style blue wave will carry them to victory in key races across the country. Democrats will need to win seats like this to retake control of the House of Representatives next November. Trump's tariffs are likely to loom over key races next year, but the issue could be particularly important in the Hawkeye State. Trump says tariffs are necessary to bring back jobs to the U.S. and close the trade deficit. But exports of agricultural goods are a lifeline for farmers in states like Iowa. On Thursday, the president said he signed a trade deal with China, but the full impact of how that deal may affect farmers remained unclear. Bohannan emphasized tariffs as a key challenge facing Iowa in an interview with Newsweek, in which she discussed her campaign. Bohannan said she views tariffs as a "significant issue" facing Iowa. "I've already talked to some farmers who are very worried about the effect of tariffs and the trade war with China," she said. "What we see is that China in the past has bought a lot of farm products from Iowa, and now China is seeking out other trading partners besides Iowa and besides the U.S., like Brazil for example." The U.S. has landed in a trade war with China, which faced the highest tariffs under Trump's plan. This has affected farmers in the state, as China is the largest importer of soybeans from the U.S., importing more than $12 billion worth of the agricultural product in 2024. China has sought new trading partners, a move that could create economic uncertainty and losses for soybean farmers in states like Iowa. Once the trade relationships with Iowa farmers have been "severed," they will be hard to restore, Bohannan warned. Many residents in the district are also "already struggling to get by" due to the high cost-of-living, she said. Legislation supported by Republicans, such as Trump's "One Big Beautiful Bill" will only make those challenges worse, Bohannan said. Miller-Meeks told KHQA, a news station based in Quincy, Illinois, that Trump's "Big Beautiful Bill" will address concerns, adding that tariffs are used as a "negotiating tactic," and that manufacturers and small business owners have for years raised concerns about China's "egregious trade practices." A poll that was published this week and released by the House Majority PAC showed Bohannan with an early lead over Miller-Meeks in the midterms, with 43 percent of voters supporting the Democrat and 39 percent backing the Republican. The poll surveyed 555 voters in the district from June 18-19, Politico reported. Bohannan outperformed Harris by eight points in Iowa's 1st District—which includes areas like Davenport and Des Moines suburbs, as well as large swaths of rural areas in southeast Iowa. The issue of winning back rural voters has been an existential question for the Democratic Party as they try to stop bleeding in Midwest and Great Lake states where their margins have diminished over the past decade. Iowa, which backed former President Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012 but has also backed Trump, is emblematic of that challenge. Bohannan overperformed last year by cutting into GOP margins in some of the rural counties in the district. She told Newsweek that Democrats can win back rural voters by getting out and talk to them "where they are." "That sounds simple, but the fact is that a lot of times, candidates don't take the time to go out to rural areas and small communities to connect with voters," she said. "They go to the bigger cities and do big events, but they don't take the time to really go to these communities and talk to people and listen to people." She attributed those efforts to her performance in 2024. "I actually spent time in these areas. I met with people to talk about what was happening in their public schools. What was happening with childcare and with water quality, and elder care in their communities," she said. "People got to know me and got to trust me. They understand that I come from a very small rural community just like theirs. My family had to make very hard decisions about filling prescriptions after my dad got sick and lost his insurance or putting food on the table." National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) spokeswoman Emily Tuttle, in a statement after Bohannan announced her campaign: "When will Christina learn? Iowans have rejected her twice already, and now she has to run to the left to beat radical Bob Kraus and Bernie-bro Travis Terrell in the primary. There's no doubt whoever comes out of this liberal rat race will be sent packing when Iowans re-elect America First fighter Mariannette Miller-Meeks next fall." Christina Bohannan told Newsweek: "One thing that's so interesting about Iowans is that we are fair minded, and we are willing to give people a chance regardless of political party if we believe that you're authentic, and you're willing to put Iowa first. So, in 2024, 33,000 people who voted for Donald Trump in this district also voted for me. I won two counties here that Trump won handily. What we see here is that Iowans really want somebody who is going to put Iowa first." The race is expected to be one of the most competitive of the 2026 midterms. Both the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, two of the leading election forecasters, classify the race as a pure toss-up. Bohannan and Miller-Meeks are also set to face off against other candidates in primaries scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026. The general election is set for November 3, 2026. Related Articles Republicans' Chances of Flipping New Hampshire's Democratic Senate SeatClarence Thomas Wants Supreme Court to Reassess Landmark Voting LawFull List of Democrats Voting to Condemn Los Angeles Anti-Trump RiotsNew 2028 Democratic Front-Runner Surges Ahead of Kamala Harris-Poll 2025 NEWSWEEK DIGITAL LLC.

Exclusive: Democrat on How Trump's Tariffs Could Reshape Key Iowa Race
Exclusive: Democrat on How Trump's Tariffs Could Reshape Key Iowa Race

Newsweek

time28-06-2025

  • Business
  • Newsweek

Exclusive: Democrat on How Trump's Tariffs Could Reshape Key Iowa Race

Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Christina Bohannan, an Iowa Democrat making her third go at the battleground congressional seat held by GOP Representative Mariannette Miller-Meeks, told Newsweek in an interview that tariffs have emerged as a major issue for voters in the district. Why It Matters Bohannan came close to flipping Iowa's 1st Congressional District last year—losing by only 799 votes despite President Donald Trump carrying the district by more than eight percentage points against then Vice President Kamala Harris. The Iowa Democrat also ran in 2022. Now, Bohannan is making her third go at the district in the 2026 midterms, when Democrats are hoping a 2018-style blue wave will carry them to victory in key races across the country. Democrats will need to win seats like this to retake control of the House of Representatives next November. Trump's tariffs are likely to loom over key races next year, but the issue could be particularly important in the Hawkeye State. Trump says tariffs are necessary to bring back jobs to the U.S. and close the trade deficit. But exports of agricultural goods are a lifeline for farmers in states like Iowa. On Thursday, the president said he signed a trade deal with China, but the full impact of how that deal may affect farmers remained unclear. Bohannan emphasized tariffs as a key challenge facing Iowa in an interview with Newsweek, in which she discussed her campaign. What to Know Bohannan said she views tariffs as a "significant issue" facing Iowa. "I've already talked to some farmers who are very worried about the effect of tariffs and the trade war with China," she said. "What we see is that China in the past has bought a lot of farm products from Iowa, and now China is seeking out other trading partners besides Iowa and besides the U.S., like Brazil for example." The U.S. has landed in a trade war with China, which faced the highest tariffs under Trump's plan. This has affected farmers in the state, as China is the largest importer of soybeans from the U.S., importing more than $12 billion worth of the agricultural product in 2024. China has sought new trading partners, a move that could create economic uncertainty and losses for soybean farmers in states like Iowa. Once the trade relationships with Iowa farmers have been "severed," they will be hard to restore, Bohannan warned. Many residents in the district are also "already struggling to get by" due to the high cost-of-living, she said. Legislation supported by Republicans, such as Trump's "One Big Beautiful Bill" will only make those challenges worse, Bohannan said. Miller-Meeks told KHQA, a news station based in Quincy, Illinois, that Trump's "Big Beautiful Bill" will address concerns, adding that tariffs are used as a "negotiating tactic," and that manufacturers and small business owners have for years raised concerns about China's "egregious trade practices." A poll that was published this week and released by the House Majority PAC showed Bohannan with an early lead over Miller-Meeks in the midterms, with 43 percent of voters supporting the Democrat and 39 percent backing the Republican. The poll surveyed 555 voters in the district from June 18-19, Politico reported. Christina Bohannan, a Democrat running for an Iowa House seat, speaks during a press conference in Iowa City, Iowa on July 29, 2024. Christina Bohannan, a Democrat running for an Iowa House seat, speaks during a press conference in Iowa City, Iowa on July 29, 2024. Nick Rohlman/The Gazette via AP, File Bohannan on How Democrats Can Win Back Rural Voters Bohannan outperformed Harris by eight points in Iowa's 1st District—which includes areas like Davenport and Des Moines suburbs, as well as large swaths of rural areas in southeast Iowa. The issue of winning back rural voters has been an existential question for the Democratic Party as they try to stop bleeding in Midwest and Great Lake states where their margins have diminished over the past decade. Iowa, which backed former President Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012 but has also backed Trump, is emblematic of that challenge. Bohannan overperformed last year by cutting into GOP margins in some of the rural counties in the district. She told Newsweek that Democrats can win back rural voters by getting out and talk to them "where they are." "That sounds simple, but the fact is that a lot of times, candidates don't take the time to go out to rural areas and small communities to connect with voters," she said. "They go to the bigger cities and do big events, but they don't take the time to really go to these communities and talk to people and listen to people." She attributed those efforts to her performance in 2024. "I actually spent time in these areas. I met with people to talk about what was happening in their public schools. What was happening with childcare and with water quality, and elder care in their communities," she said. "People got to know me and got to trust me. They understand that I come from a very small rural community just like theirs. My family had to make very hard decisions about filling prescriptions after my dad got sick and lost his insurance or putting food on the table." What People Are Saying National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) spokeswoman Emily Tuttle, in a statement after Bohannan announced her campaign: "When will Christina learn? Iowans have rejected her twice already, and now she has to run to the left to beat radical Bob Kraus and Bernie-bro Travis Terrell in the primary. There's no doubt whoever comes out of this liberal rat race will be sent packing when Iowans re-elect America First fighter Mariannette Miller-Meeks next fall." Christina Bohannan told Newsweek: "One thing that's so interesting about Iowans is that we are fair minded, and we are willing to give people a chance regardless of political party if we believe that you're authentic, and you're willing to put Iowa first. So, in 2024, 33,000 people who voted for Donald Trump in this district also voted for me. I won two counties here that Trump won handily. What we see here is that Iowans really want somebody who is going to put Iowa first." What Happens Next The race is expected to be one of the most competitive of the 2026 midterms. Both the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, two of the leading election forecasters, classify the race as a pure toss-up. Bohannan and Miller-Meeks are also set to face off against other candidates in primaries scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026. The general election is set for November 3, 2026.

When losing a race doesn't mean you'll lose again
When losing a race doesn't mean you'll lose again

Gulf Today

time27-06-2025

  • Politics
  • Gulf Today

When losing a race doesn't mean you'll lose again

Nathan L. Gonzales, Tribune News Service After nearly 25 years of writing about campaigns, I should know better than to take press releases too seriously. In a profession that rewards speed over quality analysis, I know press secretaries and communications directors have jobs to do and often rely on pithy one-liners to try to win the day. We're supposed to look away and attribute it to business as usual. In other words, hate the game and not the player. But a recent news release from the Iowa Republican Party was so audacious, hypocritical and devoid of any historical context that I just couldn't forgive and forget. 'Two-time loser Christina Bohannan is back, trying for strike three in a crowded primary where even her own party knows she can't win,' the chairman of the Iowa GOP said in a June 17 release. 'Iowans have already rejected her twice, and they'll do it again.' Bohannan had just announced her third challenge to GOP Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks in the 1st District, which stretches from outside Des Moines to take in the state's southeastern quarter. A former Democratic state legislator, Bohannan lost to Miller-Meeks by 7 points in 2022 and by less than a quarter of a percentage point (or 799 votes) in 2024. While it's certainly fair to go after Bohannan for her policy positions and party affiliation, Iowa Republicans, more than anyone, should know that attacking someone for losing a race is silly. And highlighting previous losses as a clear sign that a candidate isn't going to win in the future is ridiculous. Miller-Meeks herself lost three races for Congress — in 2008, 2010 and 2014 — before finally getting elected — by six votes — in 2020. Just across the border to the north, in Minnesota's 1st District, Republican Jim Hagedorn lost congressional races in 2010, 2014 and 2016 before getting elected in 2018. Heck, even President Donald Trump was rejected by voters in 2020 before getting elected again four years later. For years, I've failed to dispel the notion that 'losers' can't win. I've written stories with headlines such as ''Retread' strategy: Why Congress next year could be full of losers' and 'Partisan attacks on losers of past campaigns make little sense' and 'How retread candidates derided as 'crusty lasagna' really stack up.' And, unfortunately, it appears I may well die on this hill I choose to defend. Attacking losers is a bipartisan temptation. Back in June 2020, after Miller-Meeks won the Republican nomination for what was then the 2nd District, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee highlighted her 'three failed campaigns' and said, 'Washington Republicans are stuck betting on a candidate who has let them down three times before.' Five months later, she won. Some past losers win because candidates are only part of the election equation. Fundraising, name identification, top-of-the-ticket dynamics, open seat vs. incumbency, and, perhaps most importantly, the political environment affect the outcomes of races as well. In the case of Iowa's 1st District, it's not hard to imagine a midterm election environment in which voters are frustrated or disillusioned enough with the party in power (i.e., the Republicans) to help Bohannan overcome her previous 799-vote deficit. But the Iowa GOP went a step further in trying to disqualify Bohannan based on the potential circumstances of the race. 'Whoever survives this messy Democrat primary will not stand a chance against Iowa champion Marianette Miller-Meeks, who is laser-focused on delivering real results Iowans can count on,' the chairman said in the news release. 'For Bohannan, the third time will not be the charm, it will be the final rejection.' I'm willing to forgive Iowa Republicans for misspelling the congresswoman's name in their own release since I have misspelled it probably 30 times over the years. But primaries are poor predictors of general election success. Don't believe me? Let's go all the way back to the race for the 1st District in 2024. Bohannan was unopposed for the Democratic nomination, while Miller-Meeks posted an underwhelming 56% to 44% victory in the GOP primary against Army veteran David Pautsch, whom she outspent $1 million to $38,000. Even though she had a tough and close primary, Miller-Meeks went on to win the general election. This cycle, despite the GOP's rhetoric, Miller-Meeks may end up having a close primary once again. Pautsch is back for a second run, and the congresswoman clearly has had problems with her right flank. Bohannan currently faces two primary opponents: Bob Krause, who served in the Iowa House in the 1970s and in the Carter administration, and health care worker Travis Terrell. But there's no indication either of them can raise the money to compete. Too often, primaries are stigmatized because of certain high-profile outcomes that had a significant impact on the general election. Think Todd Akin in Missouri or Richard Mourdock in Indiana, both flawed candidates who lost winnable races for Republicans in 2012. But, in the vast majority of races, primaries are a natural part of the electoral process and are not debilitating. Inside Elections currently rates the race for Iowa's 1st District as a Toss-up, so it's certainly possible that Bohannan loses again. But that would most likely have more to do with the political environment than Iowans remembering how they voted two and four years ago.

Democrat Edges Republican Incumbent in New Iowa Poll
Democrat Edges Republican Incumbent in New Iowa Poll

Newsweek

time23-06-2025

  • Politics
  • Newsweek

Democrat Edges Republican Incumbent in New Iowa Poll

Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Democrat Christina Bohannan held a lead over Republican Representative Mariannette Miller-Meeks in a new Democratic-sponsored poll of Iowa's First Congressional District, according to Politico. Why It Matters Bohannan nearly unseated Miller-Meeks in 2024, losing by only 799 votes despite President Donald Trump carrying the district by more than 8 percentage points. It was among the closest races and went to a recount. Bohannan announced last week she is taking on Miller-Meeks for a third time in hopes of flipping the seat in the 2026 midterms. The election will likely become one of the most competitive races as Democrats aim to regain control of the House, particularly if Trump's falling approval rating fuels a 2018-style "blue wave." Democratic congressional candidate Christina Bohannan speaks to supporters during an election night watch party in Iowa City, Iowa, on November 5, 2024. Democratic congressional candidate Christina Bohannan speaks to supporters during an election night watch party in Iowa City, Iowa, on November 5, 2024. Nick Rohlman/The Gazette via AP What To Know Politico reported a new poll of the district showing Bohannan with an early lead over the incumbent Republican. The internal poll was conducted by Public Policy Polling and commissioned by the House Majority PAC. Bohannan received 43 percent support to 39 percent for Miller-Meeks, while 18 percent were undecided. Bohannan told Newsweek that the poll is a "reflection of what we are seeing in the district." "Hundreds of people reached out to me asking me to run again. That's why we launched our campaign last week," Bohannan said. "People are very fed up with what they are seeing with Representative Miller-Meeks and what's happening in Washington, D.C. She has voted three times to protect the tariffs that are hurting Iowa's farmers and hurting everyday people with increasing the cost of everything from groceries to lumber." Internal polls are sometimes viewed as less reliable than independent polls, as they are typically selectively released by those who sponsor them. No independent polls have been conducted for the race, but analysts view the district as a toss-up. The poll surveyed 555 voters in the district from June 18-19, Politico reported. Newsweek also reached out to Miller-Meeks' campaign via email for comment. Bohannan's campaign wrote in a press statement last week that her campaign raised more than $500,000 in the first day after launching her run, underscoring how competitive the race may be. The district includes much of the southeast areas of Iowa, ranging from Des Moines suburbs to Davenport and Iowa City, as well as much of the rural areas across the region. It's illustrative of the sort of rural district Democrats once did well in but have struggled in recent elections. Democrats view Bohannan as a strong recruit, pointing to her strong showing in the district compared to former Vice President Kamala Harris in 2024. They are hoping that performance, along with a more favorable national environment, could propel her to victory next November. What People Are Saying Katarina Flicker, House Majority PAC press secretary, on X, formerly Twitter: "NEW POLLING commissioned by @HouseMajPAC finds Dem candidate Christina Bohannan leading GOP Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (IA-01) in what is expected to be one of the most competitive congressional races of the 2026 cycle NRCC Spokeswoman Emily Tuttle, in a statement after Bohannan announced her campaign: "When will Christina learn? Iowans have rejected her twice already, and now she has to run to the left to beat radical Bob Kraus and Bernie-bro Travis Terrell in the primary. There's no doubt whoever comes out of this liberal rat race will be sent packing when Iowans re-elect America First fighter Mariannette Miller-Meeks next fall." What Happens Next Bohannan will compete in the primary on June 2, 2026. The general election is set for November 3, 2026. The Cook Political Report currently classifies the race as a pure toss-up.

Democrat Christina Bohannan launches 3rd bid for Iowa's 1st Congressional District
Democrat Christina Bohannan launches 3rd bid for Iowa's 1st Congressional District

Yahoo

time17-06-2025

  • Politics
  • Yahoo

Democrat Christina Bohannan launches 3rd bid for Iowa's 1st Congressional District

Democrat Christina Bohannan will try once more to seek election in Iowa's 1st Congressional District in 2026, potentially setting the stage for a highly competitive third rematch between her and Republican U.S. Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks. After a narrow 2024 loss against the incumbent, the 53-year-old University of Iowa law professor and former state representative announced Tuesday, June 17, that she is running for the third time since 2022 to unseat Miller-Meeks, 69. It is expected to be one of the most closely contested congressional races in the U.S. 'Mariannette Miller-Meeks has had three terms in Congress — three chances to do right by the people of Iowa," Bohannan said in a statement. "Instead, she has taken over $4 million from corporate special interests and done nothing but vote their way. And she has put partisan politics over Iowans again and again. From cutting Medicaid, to siding with DOGE's devastating cuts to Social Security, to enabling unelected, unaccountable billionaires like Elon Musk — Miller-Meeks has forgotten about us. It's time someone put Iowa first.' Bohannan focused her 2024 campaign on attacking Miller-Meeks' record on reproductive rights, an issue that was especially salient for some voters since Iowa's new six-week abortion ban took effect in 2024. It also was the first presidential election since the U.S. Supreme Court's Dobbs v. Jackson ruling overturned Roe v. Wade in 2022, leaving abortion rights to states to decide. She also has called for improving public schools, investing in rural infrastructure and reducing costs by taking on corporate price gouging and ensuring wealthy Americans "pay their fair share" in taxes. More: Where Miller-Meeks, Bohannan stand on key issues, from abortion to the border to inflation The 1st District encompasses southeastern Iowa, including Iowa City and Davenport, and stretches into Marion, Warren and Jasper counties in south-central Iowa. It is one of 35 races the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, the campaign arm of House Democrats, is targeting to sway control of Congress. Iowa's 2nd and 3rd District races, where Republican Reps. Ashley Hinson and Zach Nunn hold office, also are among the targets. This is a more expansive list than at the start of the 2024 cycle, which DCCC officials said reflects eroding public support for House Republicans as they advance Medicaid cuts, "make everything more expensive" after campaigning to lower costs and show a "refusal to stand up to (President) Donald Trump." Political analysts with the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections categorize the 1st District race as a "tossup," meaning either party has a good shot at nabbing the seat. According to data from the Secretary of State, 30% of active voters in Iowa's 1st District are registered as Democrats, 36% are registered as Republicans and 34% are registered as 'no party" or other. Miller-Meeks wrote Tuesday in a post on X, "I see some comments from liberals hoping I am not running for re-election. They should hope for something else. My campaign is going strong and I look forward to winning next November to keep Iowa winning in Congress." A former ophthalmologist and Army veteran who has an official address in Davenport but maintains a residence in Ottumwa, Miller-Meeks was first elected in 2020 on her third try, prevailing over Democrat Rita Hart by just six votes in what was then the state's 2nd Congressional District. Miller-Meeks survived a recount to win a third two-year term to the seat in 2024 by 798 votes, a far slimmer margin than when she bested Bohannan by more than 20,000 votes in 2022. The Republican leads the pack of U.S. House incumbents in fundraising, bringing in more than $1 million during the first quarter, according to the most recent reports available. Miller-Meeks' third-term priorities have included working to reauthorize Trump's signature tax cuts enacted in 2017, lower prescription drug prices, shield farmland from Chinese ownership and "protect women's sports," referring to efforts to keep transgender women and girls from competing in female sports. Both Bohannan and Miller-Meeks have to prevail in their parties' June 2026 primaries before potentially facing another rematch. Travis Terrell, a University of Iowa Health Care employee from Tiffin, was the first Democrat to launch a 2026 bid for the 1st District. Former state lawmaker Bob Krause, of Burlington, also is vying for the Democratic nomination. And Republican David Pautsch, has launched a primary campaign against Miller-Meeks. He unsuccessfully challenged her in 2024 for the 1st District GOP nomination. "When will Christina learn? Iowans have rejected her twice already, and now she has to run to the left to beat radical Bob Krause and Bernie-bro Travis Terrell in the primary," Emily Tuttle, spokesperson for the National Republican Congressional Committee, said in a statement. "There's no doubt whoever comes out of this liberal rat race will be sent packing when they re-elect America First fighter Mariannette Miller-Meeks this fall." Marissa Payne covers the Iowa Statehouse and politics for the Register. Reach her by email at mjpayne@ Follow her on X, formerly known as Twitter, at @marissajpayne. This article originally appeared on Des Moines Register: Democrat Christina Bohannan to run again in Iowa's 1st District

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