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Global Economy To Slowdown In 2H Due To US Tariff Impact -- CGS International
Global Economy To Slowdown In 2H Due To US Tariff Impact -- CGS International

Barnama

time08-07-2025

  • Business
  • Barnama

Global Economy To Slowdown In 2H Due To US Tariff Impact -- CGS International

BUSINESS KUALA LUMPUR, July 7 (Bernama) -- The global economy is expected to face a slowdown in the second half (2H) of 2025 as tariffs imposed on the United States' (US) trading partners have impacted all economic actors, according to CGS International Securities Malaysia Sdn Bhd (CGS MY). In a research note, CGS MY stated that while China was hit the hardest, other US allies, including Canada, Mexico and the European Union (EU), also suffered negative impacts. 'Positively, the US producers who baulked at the possibility of another trade war have frontloaded their purchases and piled up inventory in anticipation of rainy days, benefiting global trade, especially export-oriented ASEAN economies, which saw shipments and trade surpluses growing rapidly. 'That said, we think the front-loaded support is at its tail end as tariffs start to kick in and the US producers may have started looking inwards, dampening global demand,' it said. Meanwhile, CGS MY said that the ASEAN-4 nations - Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand - would likely lose some key growth momentum without the support from the US frontloading. The investment company has cut Indonesia's 2025 gross domestic product (GDP) forecast to 4.8 per cent from 5.0 per cent, while maintaining Singapore's GDP growth at 1.6 per cent. 'We forecast Thailand's GDP growth of 2.0 per cent in 2025, amidst dull sentiment on consumption, ongoing political turmoil, weak international arrivals, as well as risks from Trump's reciprocal tariffs,' it added. Furthermore, driven by the loss of the US market, CGS MY said that China may flood its products elsewhere, pricing out ASEAN producers. 'In our view, key to watch is the US bilateral talks with ASEAN countries on the reciprocal tariffs.

CGS International backs Johor-Singapore SEZ with investment pledge
CGS International backs Johor-Singapore SEZ with investment pledge

New Straits Times

time20-05-2025

  • Business
  • New Straits Times

CGS International backs Johor-Singapore SEZ with investment pledge

KUALA LUMPUR: CGS International Securities Malaysia Sdn Bhd (CGS MY) has strengthened its commitment to regional investment by signing four strategic Letters of Intent (LOIs) aimed at accelerating the development of the Johor-Singapore Special Economic Zone (JS-SEZ). As one of six financial institutions partnering with the Ministry of Economy, the Johor State government, and the Iskandar Region Development Authority, CGS MY is positioned as a key facilitator in driving economic activity within the JS-SEZ. Chief executive officer Azizah Mohd Yatim said CGS MY is actively engaging with companies to unlock opportunities within the zone, leveraging its regulatory transparency, cross-border connectivity, and attractive incentive framework. "As Asia's global investment house, CGS MY supports businesses in exploring capital access on JS-SEZ incentives, market expansion and strategic partnerships," she said. She added that the LOIs mark a vote of confidence in JS-SEZ appeal as a launchpad for innovation and it represents more than just investment interest. The LOIs were announced at the JS-SEZ Partners Dialogue: Advancing Facilitation on Monday. Positioned as a key regional financial player, CGS MY is aiming to facilitate RM3 billion in foreign direct investment (FDI) within the JS-SEZ over the next three years. In addition, the company is targeting another RM3 billion in assets under management through the development of Single Family Office (SFO) ventures.

Pentamaster misses expectations, outlook downgraded
Pentamaster misses expectations, outlook downgraded

New Straits Times

time12-05-2025

  • Business
  • New Straits Times

Pentamaster misses expectations, outlook downgraded

KUALA LUMPUR: Pentamaster Corp Bhd's first quarter net profit of RM9.9 million, which dropped 37 per cent due to weaker revenue from the medical segment, has missed expectations. CGS International Securities Malaysia Sdn Bhd said the results made up only 12 per cent of its full-year estimates and 15 per cent of Bloomberg consensus. The firm expects medical segment revenue to decline by 20 per cent in financial year 2025 (FY25) as more US-based MedTech companies may increasingly seek to re-shore their manufacturing operations. "This trend could be particularly pronounced for companies with existing facilities in the US, potentially limiting strong order wins for Pentamaster compared to our earlier expectations," it said in a note. The firm lowered its earnings forecasts for Pentamaster by 14 per cent-17 per cent for FY25-FY27 to reflect more conservative revenue growth assumptions for its equipment segment amid rising uncertainties in the automotive sector. The firm said that these uncertainties, driven by reciprocal US tariffs, could dampen demand for the group's known good die and burn-in testers. However, Pentamaster's diversification into new growth areas, such as renewable energy and high-performance computing, may alleviate the emerging challenges pertaining to the US tariff situation, added CGS International. "We expect these new segments to contribute five per cent of FY25F revenue, driven by the group's ongoing efforts to expand its sales pipeline," it said. The firm downgraded its call for Pentamaster to 'Hold' from 'Add' with a lower target price of RM2.70 following the earnings revision.

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