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Bullish on 4 sectors from medium perspective; Phoenix Mills, JSW Infra 2 top picks: Dharmesh Shah
Bullish on 4 sectors from medium perspective; Phoenix Mills, JSW Infra 2 top picks: Dharmesh Shah

Economic Times

time09-07-2025

  • Business
  • Economic Times

Bullish on 4 sectors from medium perspective; Phoenix Mills, JSW Infra 2 top picks: Dharmesh Shah

Live Events You Might Also Like: Global headwinds: Should one focus on largecaps or look at midcaps and smallcaps? Nilesh Shetty answers You Might Also Like: Is the puck moving from discretionary to consumer staples? Amnish Aggarwal answers (You can now subscribe to our (You can now subscribe to our ETMarkets WhatsApp channel , AVP, Technical Analyst,, says Indian markets are consolidating, with strong support around 25,200-25,100 on the Nifty. Metals, real estate, PSU banks are the ones one should definitely look out from the medium perspective. While awaiting the US-India trade deal outcome and Q1 numbers, stock-specific actions dominate. Real estate remains positive, with Phoenix Mills as a top pick due to its retail expansion plans. JSW Infra is favored in logistics, with a target of Rs 336 and a stop loss of Rs market seems to be looking for a bit of a breather. There is anxiety ahead of the US-India trade deal. We believe going forward the market should trade positively because the Nifty seems to be consolidating above the breakout levels which also coincides with the 20-day EMA which is placed at around 25,200. So, 25,200, 25,100 remains to be the very strong support. I agree that the markets are lacklustre; there is more of a stock specific market is waiting for this event to pan out and more importantly, is looking out for the Q1 numbers. So, stock-specific actions are likely to continue. If you look at the broader picture, we expect the Nifty to head towards 25,800 in the coming month with strong support at 25,200 because if you look at the market breadth, that is a good indicator to understand the sentiment of the you look at the market breadth, the percentage of stocks trading above 200-day moving average of CNX 500 is currently at 60% compared to 52% last month. It looks like maybe in the near term, we see more of a consolidation, but it is more of a buy-on-dip market with strong support at 25,200 and target of 25,800 to 26,000 in the coming sectors to talk about include banking. It is clearly outperforming even in this current corrective phase of the market. Particularly, PSU banks appear to be on the verge of a breakout. We believe PSU banks are the one sector which we like. We can see an uptick coming in the coming months. Apart from that, real estate as a sector, in the last two months, post RBI rate cut, has seen a sharp recovery. But what is happening now is nothing but a retracement of that rally. So, we believe in the real estate sector, banking. Metals. It looks like a retracement is happening. Metals should be bought on any dip. So, metals, real estate, PSU banks are the ones one should definitely look out from the medium We remain positive in real estate. Phoenix Mills remains our top pick. On Tuesday, we saw a strong move from Phoenix Mills and the company seems to be expanding its portfolio into the retail segment. The target of 18 million square feet is a good positive going for Phoenix coming to technical, again we believe that the stock seems to be forming the base at about 100 week EMA. Since November 2020, the stock had never breached 100 week EMA on the closing basis and currently the monthly charts for the last nine months show that the stock has been consolidating in this range of 1640 to 1300. So, we expect a breakout happening for Phoenix Mills, on the higher side in the coming days and we expect the stock to head towards 1840 keeping a stop loss of around 1488. So, Phoenix Mills is one which remains to be our top pick inside the real estate space where the risk-reward looks more favourable at the current market from that, coming to logistics, we like JSW Infra. The way things are panning out for most of this logistics, the sector has done nothing for a long time. We expect a gradual outperformance going forward for JSW Infra. Again, a strong base formation, 100-week EMA and joining the lows of strong buying demand emerging at the lower end of the rising channel, it looks like JSW Infra should see a relative outperformance in the days to come and we expect the stock to head towards Rs 336, keeping a stop loss of Rs 296.

Bullish on 4 sectors  from medium perspective; Phoenix Mills, JSW Infra 2 top picks: Dharmesh Shah
Bullish on 4 sectors  from medium perspective; Phoenix Mills, JSW Infra 2 top picks: Dharmesh Shah

Time of India

time09-07-2025

  • Business
  • Time of India

Bullish on 4 sectors from medium perspective; Phoenix Mills, JSW Infra 2 top picks: Dharmesh Shah

Dharmesh Shah , AVP, Technical Analyst, ICICI Direct , says Indian markets are consolidating, with strong support around 25,200-25,100 on the Nifty. Metals, real estate, PSU banks are the ones one should definitely look out from the medium perspective. While awaiting the US-India trade deal outcome and Q1 numbers, stock-specific actions dominate. Real estate remains positive, with Phoenix Mills as a top pick due to its retail expansion plans. JSW Infra is favored in logistics, with a target of Rs 336 and a stop loss of Rs 296. What is your take on the market and what are going to be your picks for investors? Dharmesh Shah: The market seems to be looking for a bit of a breather. There is anxiety ahead of the US-India trade deal. We believe going forward the market should trade positively because the Nifty seems to be consolidating above the breakout levels which also coincides with the 20-day EMA which is placed at around 25,200. So, 25,200, 25,100 remains to be the very strong support. I agree that the markets are lacklustre; there is more of a stock specific action. by Taboola by Taboola Sponsored Links Sponsored Links Promoted Links Promoted Links You May Like Play War Thunder now for free War Thunder Play Now The market is waiting for this event to pan out and more importantly, is looking out for the Q1 numbers. So, stock-specific actions are likely to continue. If you look at the broader picture, we expect the Nifty to head towards 25,800 in the coming month with strong support at 25,200 because if you look at the market breadth, that is a good indicator to understand the sentiment of the market. If you look at the market breadth, the percentage of stocks trading above 200-day moving average of CNX 500 is currently at 60% compared to 52% last month. It looks like maybe in the near term, we see more of a consolidation, but it is more of a buy-on-dip market with strong support at 25,200 and target of 25,800 to 26,000 in the coming month. If I take an analogy of a football match, this market is behaving like two goals this side, two goal that side, and ending in a draw. Which are the sectors one should pencil in or one should wait and watch before entering the market? Dharmesh Shah: The sectors to talk about include banking. It is clearly outperforming even in this current corrective phase of the market. Particularly, PSU banks appear to be on the verge of a breakout. We believe PSU banks are the one sector which we like. We can see an uptick coming in the coming months. Apart from that, real estate as a sector, in the last two months, post RBI rate cut, has seen a sharp recovery. But what is happening now is nothing but a retracement of that rally. So, we believe in the real estate sector, banking. Metals. It looks like a retracement is happening. Metals should be bought on any dip. So, metals, real estate, PSU banks are the ones one should definitely look out from the medium perspective. Live Events You Might Also Like: Global headwinds: Should one focus on largecaps or look at midcaps and smallcaps? Nilesh Shetty answers What is your stance on stock-specific approaches? The sectors are doing a lot of churning, but at the same time, which are the stocks on the radar? Dharmesh Shah: Definitely. We remain positive in real estate. Phoenix Mills remains our top pick. On Tuesday, we saw a strong move from Phoenix Mills and the company seems to be expanding its portfolio into the retail segment. The target of 18 million square feet is a good positive going for Phoenix Mills. But coming to technical, again we believe that the stock seems to be forming the base at about 100 week EMA. Since November 2020, the stock had never breached 100 week EMA on the closing basis and currently the monthly charts for the last nine months show that the stock has been consolidating in this range of 1640 to 1300. So, we expect a breakout happening for Phoenix Mills, on the higher side in the coming days and we expect the stock to head towards 1840 keeping a stop loss of around 1488. So, Phoenix Mills is one which remains to be our top pick inside the real estate space where the risk-reward looks more favourable at the current market price. Apart from that, coming to logistics, we like JSW Infra. The way things are panning out for most of this logistics, the sector has done nothing for a long time. We expect a gradual outperformance going forward for JSW Infra. Again, a strong base formation, 100-week EMA and joining the lows of strong buying demand emerging at the lower end of the rising channel, it looks like JSW Infra should see a relative outperformance in the days to come and we expect the stock to head towards Rs 336, keeping a stop loss of Rs 296. You Might Also Like: Is the puck moving from discretionary to consumer staples? Amnish Aggarwal answers

Dalal Street Week Ahead: Nifty near breakout as resistance seen at 25,100; PSU banks, energy lead sectoral momentum
Dalal Street Week Ahead: Nifty near breakout as resistance seen at 25,100; PSU banks, energy lead sectoral momentum

Time of India

time07-06-2025

  • Business
  • Time of India

Dalal Street Week Ahead: Nifty near breakout as resistance seen at 25,100; PSU banks, energy lead sectoral momentum

After consolidating for two weeks, the Nifty finally appeared to be flexing its muscles for a potential move higher. Over the past five sessions, the Nifty traded with an underlying positive bias and ended near the week's high point while also attempting to move past a crucial pattern of resistance. The past week saw the Index oscillating in the 527-point range, which was in line with the previous weeks. The volatility also cooled off; the India VIX came off by 9% to 14.63 on a weekly basis. While staying largely in a range trading with a positive bias, the headline Index closed with a net weekly gain of 252.35 points (+1.02%). Over the past couple of weeks, the Nifty has traded in a well-defined range created between 24,500-25,100 levels. This would mean that the markets would remain devoid of directional bias unless they take out 25,100 on the higher side or violate the 24,500 level. Despite visibly strong undercurrents, staying reactive to the markets rather than getting predictive would be prudent. Although there are heightened possibilities of the Nifty taking out the 25,100 level, we must consider it as resistance until it is taken out convincingly. by Taboola by Taboola Sponsored Links Sponsored Links Promoted Links Promoted Links You May Like Villa For Sale in Dubai Might Surprise You Villas in Dubai | Search ads Learn More Undo The coming week is set to see a stable start; the levels of 25150 and 25400 are likely to act as resistance points. The supports come in at 24,800 and 24500. The trading range is expected to get wider than usual. The weekly RSI is 60.94; it continues to remain neutral and does not show any divergence against the price. The weekly MACD is bullish and remains above its signal line. A strong white candle emerged; this shows the bullish trend that the markets had during the week. Live Events A pattern analysis of the weekly chart shows that the Nifty resisted the upward rising trendline that began from the low of 21,350 and joined the subsequent rising bottoms. The Nifty has attempted to penetrate it after resisting it for a couple of weeks. Overall, the coming week may see the markets trading with an underlying bullish bias. However, for this to culminate in a good trending move, the Index will have to take out the 25,100-25,150 zone convincingly on the upside. Until this happens, the markets may continue to consolidate in a broad trading range. Unless there is a strong move that surpasses the 25,100-25,150 zone, one must consider this level as an immediate resistance point. Some pockets have run up too hard over the past few days; one must also focus on protecting gains at current levels rather than chasing the up moves. Fresh purchases must be kept limited in stocks with strong technical setups and the presence of relative strength. A cautiously positive approach is advised for the coming week. In our look at Relative Rotation Graphs®, we compared various sectors against the CNX500 (NIFTY 500 Index), representing over 95% of the free-float market cap of all the listed stocks. Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) show that the Nifty PSU Bank Index continues to build on its relative momentum while staying inside the leading quadrant. It may continue outperforming the markets relatively. The Infrastructure, Consumption, and PSE Index are also inside the leading quadrant but are seen giving up on their relative momentum. The Nifty Bank Index has rolled inside the weakening quadrant. The Nifty Services Sector, Financial Services, and Commodity Indice are also inside the weakening quadrant. Individual performance of components from these groups may be seen, but overall relative performance may slow down over the coming weeks. The Nifty FMCG Index has rolled inside the lagging quadrant. The Nifty Metal and Pharma Indice are languishing in this quadrant. The Nifty IT index is also inside the lagging quadrant, but is seen in a strong bottoming-out process while improving its relative momentum. The Nifty Energy, Media, Realty, and Auto Indices are inside the improving quadrant and may continue improving their relative performance against the broader markets. Important Note: RRG™ charts show the relative strength and momentum of a group of stocks. In the above Chart, they show relative performance against NIFTY500 Index (Broader Markets) and should not be used directly as buy or sell signals. Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA, is a Consulting Technical Analyst and founder of and and is based in Vadodara. He can be reached at

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