Latest news with #CarolinaMandl


Zawya
03-07-2025
- Business
- Zawya
Nvidia set to become the world's most valuable company in history
Nvidia was on track to become the most valuable company in history on Thursday, with the chipmaker's market capitalization reaching $3.915 trillion as Wall Street doubled down on optimism about AI. Shares of the leading designer of high-end AI chips were up 2% at $160.4 in morning trading, giving the company a higher market capitalization than Apple's record closing value of $3.915 trillion on December 26, 2024. (Reporting by Noel Randewich in Oakland, California; Arsheeya Bajwa in Bengaluru and Carolina Mandl in New York; Editing by Dawn Kopecki and Matthew Lewis)
Yahoo
24-06-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
Investment groups call for exemption of passive income from US tax bill
By Carolina Mandl NEW YORK (Reuters) -Six investment groups representing sectors including fund managers, venture capital and real estate in a letter to two Senate Republicans over the tax and spending bill now under debate asked that passive investments be exempt from a provision of the bill that targets foreign investors. The proposal would allow the imposition of new taxes on residents, businesses and other entities from countries that are found to impose "unfair foreign taxes." It targets, for instance, income from investments, rents and dividends. The investment groups said the levy, which includes the possibility of imposing a progressive tax burden of up to 20% on foreign investors' passive income, could spook investments in the U.S. The new tax "would significantly disrupt U.S. public and private debt and equity markets," the associations said in the letter, which was sent to Senate Majority Leader John Thune and Senate Finance Committee Chairman Mike Crapo on Monday evening. The groups said there would be the risk of investors selling portfolios in advance of the new levy. "This unnecessary sell-off will cause U.S. asset values to fall," they said in the letter. Although Senate Republicans proposed changes to the tax and spending bill that the House of Representatives passed last month, the Senate kept the provision of a tax targeting foreign investors. Under the Senate version, however, the tax would take effect in 2027, one year after the House version. The letter was jointly submitted by the Managed Funds Association, American Investment Council, Investment Company Institute, Loan Syndications and Trading Association, National Venture Capital Association and the Real Estate Roundtable. In notes to clients, many Wall Street analysts have cautioned that the levy could end up weighing on demand for U.S. assets. Multinational companies have said they could shut down operations in the U.S. Sign in to access your portfolio
Yahoo
09-06-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
Analysis-Investors eye Latin America as they diversify away from Wall Street
By Rodrigo Campos and Carolina Mandl NEW YORK (Reuters) -Latin America has emerged as a top investing destination as ongoing wars - both of the military and trade variety - make investors seek options in a region they view as refreshingly untroubled by tariffs and major conflicts. Portfolio flows data suggests that investors are largely underexposed to Latin America even as many stock markets - including Brazil's and Mexico's - are trading at or near record highs, while sovereign bonds offer still-attractive yields. Although some prefer not to chase a stock rally, others have focused on the local debt market. "The Latam story is easier to tell now as stocks are cheap and there is a lack of options in emerging markets," said Leonard Linnet, head of equities at Itau BBA. "China is at the epicenter of the trade war, India is more expensive and has some geopolitical issues with Pakistan and investors are avoiding investing in Russia.' Brazil and Mexico are the behemoths where most international investors concentrate their exposure to Latin America. Both carry by far the largest regional weights in global benchmarks for stocks and bonds. Among all emerging markets, however, the two countries are relatively small. Brazil, which is Latin America's largest economy and market, constitutes 60% of the MSCI Latam index and just below 5% of the broader EM index. The stock markets of both Brazil and Mexico are trading near record highs and at low valuations, and their bonds offer attractive yields with the backdrop of softening monetary policy. The investment avenues thin out for some institutions as some Latin American markets are comparatively illiquid or lack investment-grade credit ratings. But in that higher-risk environment other investors see returns. "The investment opportunity in Latam does not require large changes in global asset allocations," Rob Citrone, founder of global macro hedge fund Discovery Capital, told his investors recently. "Asset flows, on the margin, dictate much of the price performance, so small changes to large markets, such as the U.S., can have big impacts on smaller markets, such as most in Latam." After a 26% decline in the regional stock index last year, Latam is the best performer for stocks this year. Within the MSCI universe, investors are paying just over $9 for each dollar in earnings across Latam - compared with more than $19 for developed markets. Although Mexico is closer to the trade war's epicenter, its listed companies are not so exposed to it, so the country's stocks are moving higher. "Price-to-earnings multiples in Latam are low now even when compared with its own historical average," said Itau BBA's Linnet. "Brazil is not only cheaper than China and India, it is trading at a 23% discount from (itself)." Netherlands-based Robeco has been increasing allocation to Latin America, mainly to Mexico, Brazil and Chile, as it has partially shifted away from the U.S., said Wim-Hein Pals, head of emerging markets team at Robeco. The firm is overweight Latam, while it is close to neutral China and underweight India. Both dollar weakness and idiosyncratic stories, including last year's FX selloff, have bolstered the region's currencies. With its benchmark interest rate at 14.75%, Brazil's real has emerged as one of the favored global carry currencies and is up 9% against the greenback this year. The Latin America currency index is up nearly 15% this year and last week touched a 14-year high. The outlook for the global economy and the issue of reallocating outside of the United States both face uncertainties and it is far too soon to expect material inflows to Latin America, said Graham Stock, senior emerging market strategist at RBC Global Asset Management. "Having said that, you could always see short-term trades that are dollar-bearish, and you could see some allocation into Latin American currencies, because they're high yielding. The carry is attractive there, and I think that is part of what we've seen." Beyond the region's largest economies, Argentina has been a forbidden fruit of sorts for investors over the past years. Its dollar debt has returned over 100% at the index level since President Javier Milei was elected in late 2023 and the local Argentine stock index rose 173% last year. Yet Argentina remains outside major benchmarks, making the market inaccessible to some of the largest investors - some of whom have grown more curious about Argentine assets since capital controls were all but lifted in mid-April. "We couldn't buy in on Argentina for all practical purposes while they were under the capital controls," said Alison Shimada, head of the Total Emerging Markets Equity team at Allspring Global Investments. "Now that that has changed, we would be interested, and we're doing some work on it, but at the right price." Some investors would like to see more Latam companies listed. Brazil also attracts most of the region's venture capital, with over 1,400 VC-backed startups since 2013 as of the first half of last year, according to the most recent data from LAVCA, while Uruguay, Chile and Colombia emerged as alternative hubs for innovation. Regardless of how many of these startups actually go to market, they will likely find investors thirsty for places to put money to work in the region. Said Allspring's Shimada: "I'd love to see those smaller countries have more listed assets." Sign in to access your portfolio
Yahoo
09-06-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
Analysis-Investors eye Latin America as they diversify away from Wall Street
By Rodrigo Campos and Carolina Mandl NEW YORK (Reuters) -Latin America has emerged as a top investing destination as ongoing wars - both of the military and trade variety - make investors seek options in a region they view as refreshingly untroubled by tariffs and major conflicts. Portfolio flows data suggests that investors are largely underexposed to Latin America even as many stock markets - including Brazil's and Mexico's - are trading at or near record highs, while sovereign bonds offer still-attractive yields. Although some prefer not to chase a stock rally, others have focused on the local debt market. "The Latam story is easier to tell now as stocks are cheap and there is a lack of options in emerging markets," said Leonard Linnet, head of equities at Itau BBA. "China is at the epicenter of the trade war, India is more expensive and has some geopolitical issues with Pakistan and investors are avoiding investing in Russia.' Brazil and Mexico are the behemoths where most international investors concentrate their exposure to Latin America. Both carry by far the largest regional weights in global benchmarks for stocks and bonds. Among all emerging markets, however, the two countries are relatively small. Brazil, which is Latin America's largest economy and market, constitutes 60% of the MSCI Latam index and just below 5% of the broader EM index. The stock markets of both Brazil and Mexico are trading near record highs and at low valuations, and their bonds offer attractive yields with the backdrop of softening monetary policy. The investment avenues thin out for some institutions as some Latin American markets are comparatively illiquid or lack investment-grade credit ratings. But in that higher-risk environment other investors see returns. "The investment opportunity in Latam does not require large changes in global asset allocations," Rob Citrone, founder of global macro hedge fund Discovery Capital, told his investors recently. "Asset flows, on the margin, dictate much of the price performance, so small changes to large markets, such as the U.S., can have big impacts on smaller markets, such as most in Latam." After a 26% decline in the regional stock index last year, Latam is the best performer for stocks this year. Within the MSCI universe, investors are paying just over $9 for each dollar in earnings across Latam - compared with more than $19 for developed markets. Although Mexico is closer to the trade war's epicenter, its listed companies are not so exposed to it, so the country's stocks are moving higher. "Price-to-earnings multiples in Latam are low now even when compared with its own historical average," said Itau BBA's Linnet. "Brazil is not only cheaper than China and India, it is trading at a 23% discount from (itself)." Netherlands-based Robeco has been increasing allocation to Latin America, mainly to Mexico, Brazil and Chile, as it has partially shifted away from the U.S., said Wim-Hein Pals, head of emerging markets team at Robeco. The firm is overweight Latam, while it is close to neutral China and underweight India. Both dollar weakness and idiosyncratic stories, including last year's FX selloff, have bolstered the region's currencies. With its benchmark interest rate at 14.75%, Brazil's real has emerged as one of the favored global carry currencies and is up 9% against the greenback this year. The Latin America currency index is up nearly 15% this year and last week touched a 14-year high. The outlook for the global economy and the issue of reallocating outside of the United States both face uncertainties and it is far too soon to expect material inflows to Latin America, said Graham Stock, senior emerging market strategist at RBC Global Asset Management. "Having said that, you could always see short-term trades that are dollar-bearish, and you could see some allocation into Latin American currencies, because they're high yielding. The carry is attractive there, and I think that is part of what we've seen." Beyond the region's largest economies, Argentina has been a forbidden fruit of sorts for investors over the past years. Its dollar debt has returned over 100% at the index level since President Javier Milei was elected in late 2023 and the local Argentine stock index rose 173% last year. Yet Argentina remains outside major benchmarks, making the market inaccessible to some of the largest investors - some of whom have grown more curious about Argentine assets since capital controls were all but lifted in mid-April. "We couldn't buy in on Argentina for all practical purposes while they were under the capital controls," said Alison Shimada, head of the Total Emerging Markets Equity team at Allspring Global Investments. "Now that that has changed, we would be interested, and we're doing some work on it, but at the right price." Some investors would like to see more Latam companies listed. Brazil also attracts most of the region's venture capital, with over 1,400 VC-backed startups since 2013 as of the first half of last year, according to the most recent data from LAVCA, while Uruguay, Chile and Colombia emerged as alternative hubs for innovation. Regardless of how many of these startups actually go to market, they will likely find investors thirsty for places to put money to work in the region. Said Allspring's Shimada: "I'd love to see those smaller countries have more listed assets." Sign in to access your portfolio
Yahoo
09-06-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
Analysis-Wall Street, Main Street push for foreign tax rethink in US budget bill
By Carolina Mandl and Bo Erickson NEW YORK/WASHINGTON (Reuters) -Industry groups representing sectors including real estate, finance and multinational companies are pushing for the reduction or exclusion of a retaliatory tax targeting foreign investors in the U.S. in the Republican tax bill, as they see it as a threat to their businesses and to the broader markets and economy. The proposed tax, known as Section 899, applies a progressive tax burden of up to 20% on foreign investors' U.S. income as pushback against countries that impose taxes the U.S. considers unfair, such as digital service taxes. It could raise $116 billion in taxes over 10 years. Some individual companies are also pushing for action, according to two lawyers familiar with their clients' plans, who did not name specific companies due to client confidentiality. 'Lobbying surrounding Section 899 is at peak levels,' said Jeff Paravano, a former Treasury Department official who is now chair of law firm BakerHostetler's tax group. The move comes as Senate Finance Committee Chairman Mike Crapo, the Republican in charge of the chamber's tax writing provisions, and other Republicans are in close coordination with President Donald Trump on the tax bill, having met on Wednesday. The White House declined to comment. Crapo said he would not comment on ongoing discussions about the bill. Global investors hold almost $40 trillion in U.S. assets, such as securities, loans and deposits, according to the U.S. Treasury International Capital Reporting System. This raises concerns about the ripple impact of the bill. "It has the potential to be a very negative impact on the free flow of capital from the U.S. and through businesses that are multinational," said Gabriel Grossman, a U.S. tax partner at Linklaters, adding he has seen some clients put planned investments in the U.S. on pause until they have more clarity on the new levies. The broader bill itself is also creating much debate as it is forecast to add about $2.4 trillion to the U.S. debt and has sparked an explosive feud between Trump and his erstwhile key ally Elon Musk, the billionaire CEO of Tesla. COLLATERAL DAMAGE Industries across different sectors are on high alert. The new levy could increase taxes from rents and real estate investment trusts, gains from property sales and securitized products. "There is a legitimate fear among investors that, if this goes through, it could impact investments, and that it would create higher costs for real estate in terms of getting financing," said David McCarthy, managing director at the CRE Finance Council, a nonpartisan trade group. "It could depress the value of real estate if you don't have as much money to finance property purchases." The asset management industry is concerned about outflows. "We encourage the Senate to make this provision more targeted to respond to unfair foreign taxes and other concerning measures rather than disincentivizing beneficial foreign investment in the U.S.," a spokesperson for the Investment Company Institute said. The investment community is also working to clarify whether Treasuries and corporate bonds will remain exempt as they are currently subject to a portfolio interest exception that applies no taxation, lawyers and industry sources said. "There's reason to believe that fixed-income assets wouldn't be in scope, but there's still considerable uncertainty about this point," Morgan Stanley strategist Michael Zezas said in a note to clients. A footnote part of the Budget Committee report, which provides direction to taxpayers, courts and the Treasury in interpreting the statute, says that Section 899 "does not apply to portfolio interest." Foreigners' equity investments, however, do not count with the portfolio interest protection and could be taxed, lawyers and banks said. MULTINATIONALS Multinational companies could face a new tax burden on dividends and inter-company loans, potentially reducing profit, according to Section 899. Jonathan Samford, president of the Global Business Alliance, a lobbying group for international companies in the U.S., said many multinationals could decide to shut down operations in the U.S., risking 8.4 million jobs in the country. "Those companies will not be paying U.S. tax whatsoever because they will not be able to operate in that punitive, high-tax environment," he said. Morgan Stanley said in a note to clients a repatriation of profits out of the U.S. and pressure on the U.S. dollar. Corporate loans could also become more expensive, as loans extended by foreign banks might be subject to the new tax burden if section 899 overrides current treaties, lawyers said, adding that companies could end up paying more for the debt to make up for the tax increase. SENATE PASSAGE Investors are hoping for some changes in the Senate. Senator Steve Daines, a Montana Republican on the Finance Committee, said it may be necessary to clarify the language in Section 899. 'We want to make sure we don't have tax policies that in some way would diminish the fact that we are the gold standard in the world,' Daines said. Morgan Stanley said in a note that it expects "sufficient Senate Republicans to take notice and clarify the policy to mitigate this risk" of increasing the cost of capital for the U.S. "It actually is pretty much of a nuclear bomb," said Pascal Saint-Amans, partner at Brunswick Group, who is also the former tax chief of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, who led the 2021 global tax treaty. "The coverage (of Section 899) seems extremely broad and the terms are not extremely well-defined."