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SA not ready for fallout if Israel-Iran ceasefire fails, warns UJ professor
SA not ready for fallout if Israel-Iran ceasefire fails, warns UJ professor

The Citizen

time12 hours ago

  • Politics
  • The Citizen

SA not ready for fallout if Israel-Iran ceasefire fails, warns UJ professor

As the ceasefire between Iran and Israel holds, the world watches with bated breath to see what will happen next between the two regional powers. To gain insight into the situation, Caxton Local Media spoke to Dr Suzy Graham, professor in the Department of Politics and International Relations at the University of Johannesburg. Discussing the ceasefire, Graham explained that although it is still early days, the truce holds real potential, though it remains inherently fragile. 'Its longevity hinges on disciplined diplomacy, credible inspections, and political will from all actors. If any of these break down, especially due to hardliners or indirect aggression via proxies, the truce could unravel quickly,' she said. For now, however, the signs are cautiously optimistic. A ceasefire on edge: What's holding it together? Graham believes the ceasefire was primarily driven by a rapid cycle of escalation and daring diplomacy aimed at avoiding further catastrophic conflict. Although the ceasefire appears to be working, she warned that initial breaches from either side could lead to its deterioration. She described the thought of a third world war as unthinkable. 'Despite social media speculation, the probability of a full-scale World War III remains low, but not zero,' Graham said. South Africa's position: Legal, vocal, and diplomatic Speaking about South Africa's stance on the Israel-Iran conflict and how it aligns with the country's broader foreign policy, Graham said South Africa will almost always call for dialogue in any conflict situation. 'The South African government has been vocal in strongly condemning the recent military strikes on Iran, describing the attacks as violations of international law. It has urged all parties, Iran, Israel, and the USA, to engage in UN-led dialogue, emphasising diplomacy, restraint, and nuclear inspection,' she explained. Regarding the potential impact on South Africa if the conflict reignites and becomes a wider regional crisis, Graham said the country would likely continue championing international law, human rights, and nuclear non-proliferation. She noted that South Africa could strengthen its moral leadership among Global South and Muslim-majority countries. 'At the same time, the country could face intense backlash from Israel and Western allies, particularly the USA, Germany, and the UK, especially if Pretoria doubles down on its International Court of Justice genocide case or calls for sanctions. 'South Africa could see reduced goodwill from Western investors or governments, especially if tensions rise over its international legal campaigns or alignment with Iran.' 'In the immediate term, South Africa would likely call for a ceasefire, condemn aggression, and activate international and legal channels. In the short term, it might push for UN and BRICS statements and engage the African Union and Global South partners. 'In the mid-term, it would need to manage economic fallout, reinforce public diplomacy, and maintain BRICS plus solidarity. In the longer term, South Africa could use the crisis to push for UN Security Council reform, nuclear disarmament, and multipolar global governance.' Graham emphasised that if South Africa is drawn into the conflict, its role would be principled, vocal, and legalistic, not military. 'It may be drawn in politically, but not militarily,' she said. 'The country's focus would remain on shaping the normative global order, not engaging in hard power projection.' What escalation could mean for South Africa Although South Africa would not be militarily involved, Graham said a wider Middle East conflict would hit its economy hard, particularly through rising fuel prices, increased trade costs, and inflation. 'An escalation in the Israel-Iran conflict could seriously disrupt global oil flows, and South Africa, as an energy-importing nation, would feel the effects quickly and deeply. 'The country's inflation rate, currency, fiscal stability, and household livelihoods would all come under pressure.' When asked if South Africa is prepared for possible knock-on effects of war, such as cyberattacks or disruptions in trade, Graham said the country is not fully ready for the complex and interconnected consequences of a major regional war involving Iran and Israel. 'While it has some institutional frameworks and economic policy tools, South Africa lacks a coordinated national resilience strategy, particularly for cyber threats and maritime trade disruptions. 'A greater focus on strategic planning, inter-agency coordination, and public-private resilience building is urgently needed.' Breaking news at your fingertips… Follow Caxton Network News on Facebook and join our WhatsApp channel. Nuus wat saakmaak. Volg Caxton Netwerk-nuus op Facebook en sluit aan by ons WhatsApp-kanaal. Read original story on At Caxton, we employ humans to generate daily fresh news, not AI intervention. Happy reading!

Support Boksburg Advertiser's ‘Be a Sport' Mandela Month Drive.
Support Boksburg Advertiser's ‘Be a Sport' Mandela Month Drive.

The Citizen

time2 days ago

  • Sport
  • The Citizen

Support Boksburg Advertiser's ‘Be a Sport' Mandela Month Drive.

There's still time for the community to get behind the Boksburg Advertiser's Be a Sport initiative this Mandela Month. Residents are encouraged to donate new or gently used sporting equipment to help uplift under-resourced clubs, schools, and NPOs in the community. Donation boxes are located at: Caxton Local Media, 20 Sydney Road, Ravenswood; Hoërskool Dr EG Jansen (Die Kragstasie) and Laerskool Concordia (security gate). If your club, school, or organisation would like to benefit from the items collected, send an email to taylas@ Also Read: #BeASport: Get those donations of sports equipment in! Also Read: Be a Sport! We need all that sports equipment you no longer use! At Caxton, we employ humans to generate daily fresh news, not AI intervention. Happy reading!

#BeASport: Get those donations of sports equipment in!
#BeASport: Get those donations of sports equipment in!

The Citizen

time7 days ago

  • Sport
  • The Citizen

#BeASport: Get those donations of sports equipment in!

#BeASport: Get those donations of sports equipment in! The public is reminded to support Boksburg Advertiser's Be a Sport initiative by donating good second-hand or new sports equipment and all the related paraphernalia. All donations, big or small, will be received with open arms. So, get cracking on an early spring clean of your garage and cupboards ,and dust off those unused cricket sets, golf clubs, cycling helmets, hockey sticks, squash racquets, balls and bags! This is where you can donate: • Caxton Local Media, 20 Sydney Road, Ravenswood (June 18 to July 14) • Laerskool Concordia (until June 25) • Hoërskool Dr EG Jansen (until June 25) • Laerskool Baanbreker (until June 25) • Benoni Lake Club (June 18 to July 14) • Benoni Northerns Sports Club (June 18 to July 14) • Old Bens Sports Club (June 18 to July 14) Get your share If your club, school or organisation wants to benefit from the items donated to Be a Sport, send a short motivation and the details of a contact person to our Be a Sport champions: •Tayla Smit (Boksburg organisations): taylas@ • Lebohang Pita (Benoni organisations): lebohangp@ Also Read: Urban Ruins Projects NPO and The Humanity Foundation celebrate women At Caxton, we employ humans to generate daily fresh news, not AI intervention. Happy reading!

Advertiser's Winter Wool Drive gets a boost
Advertiser's Winter Wool Drive gets a boost

The Citizen

time14-06-2025

  • Climate
  • The Citizen

Advertiser's Winter Wool Drive gets a boost

As the cold weather conditions continue, donations keep pouring in to the Boksburg Advertiser's Winter Wool Drive – set up to collect wool or knitted items to be devoted to shield the less fortunate and vulnerable citizens against the biting winter cold days. Impala Park's Madeleine Ritter and her daughter Wanda were the latest to make a real impact to the initiative when they showed up on Wednesday (June11) fully loaded with wool supplies and some knitted items. These touching acts of kindness enable the project to support various local groups during the colder months. These include, elderly citizens, and underprivileged children in the community. The drive remains open for donations of all types of wool, regardless of quality, quantity or texture. Knitted items, such as beanies, scarves and blankets will also be gratefully accepted until the end of July. You may drop your wool or knitted items off here: • Caxton Local Media, 20 Sydney Road, Ravenswood. • Med-Leigh Pharmacy, The Square Shopping Centre, Rietfontein Road. • Vellie Boutique, corner 6th Street and Rietfontein Road. • Eyeland Optometrist, Shop 17E, East Rand Mall. • Absolute Batteries, 86 Rietfontein Road. • The Doggy Palour, 178 Kingfisher Avenue. • Heckers Garden Centre, North Rand Road. For more information, contact Elize on 010 971 3325 or elizek@ Thank you for your continued support. Also Read: Help NPOs this winter At Caxton, we employ humans to generate daily fresh news, not AI intervention. Happy reading!

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