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July 15 South Africa (Kenilworth) form analysis
Race 1 (1,600m) (7) BETTER MAN comes back from a small break. On his best form, he will be tough to beat. (4) NEW WORLD stayed on beautifully for second last time. From a good draw, he will be right there in the finish. (9) DIAMOND DAYS is still improving. Although the bad draw is a concern, he has a good place chance if he gets some luck in the running. (8) YAMAZAKI ran a better race last time. If he can build on that, he could sneak into the quartet. Race 2 (1,000m) (5) STORMWATCH was green and stayed on strongly for second on debut. If she has improved, she will be very hard to beat. (2) SWIFT SERENITY ran fourth last time behind Stormwatch. She should be there among the places. (3) SPLASH OF COLOUR ran a disappointing race last time. The drop in trip could help her chances. Newcomer (1) WITHOUT HESITATION has drawn gate 1. Watch her closely. Race 3 (1,000m) (7) NIGHTRAIN stayed on well to finish third on debut. He has ability and looks hard to beat. (6) AFRICAN MEMOIR has run two lovely races in succession, and finished just in front of Nightrain last time. Include him in all bets. (3) FEAR OF FIRE ran a fair race on debut. He drops in trip to 1,000m and could certainly run into the places at a decent price. (8) FLEUR DE VILLE has been well tried in the maiden ranks. On her best form, she could make the quartet pay. Race 4 (1,400m) (8) UNITED FRONT will be very hard to beat. He showed tremendous speed early and fought hard to finish second on debut. It will take a smart horse to beat him. (3) SIERRA SAGRADA comes back from a break and gelding. He ran a disappointing fifth last time, but he is better than that, so respect his chances from a neat draw. (9) KONNICHIWA has been rested for 92 days. The draw will make life tough for him, but he tries hard and will be running on powerfully late. (6) FUTURE FREE ran a shocker up the straight at Hollywoodbets Kenilworth last time. He steps up in trip. Watch him closely. Race 5 (1,400m) (1) APRICITY made up solid ground to finish second last time. She enjoyed the step-up in trip to 1,400m. From a good draw, she will go very close to winning. (2) KISSES's last two runs over ground have been good. She ran a lovely race from a bad draw last time but, if she can build on her recent form, she will have a nice each-way chance. (3) PACIFIC WATERS ran a fair race on debut. She steps up in trip and gets the service of Gavin Lerena. Watch for a big run. (6) SPECIAL GLAMOUR ran a much better race with the tongue tie last time. If she can bring that run to the track, she will have a say in the finish. Race 6 (1,000m) (1) CHURCHILLIAN ran the race of his life in the Listed Somerset 1,200 last time. He showed good speed early, and stayed on strongly for second in a tight finish. He can win a race like this on pure ability. (11) OCTOBER STORM won well on debut, even though he was green. He can improve from that. Include him in all bets. (2) ESCARPMENT was just off the speed early, but stayed on nicely for second last time. On his best form, he could finish among the places at a decent price. (4) IRELAND FOREVER has been rested for 72 days. The blinkers go on, watch for improvement. Race 7 (1,200m) (5) TRIP TO MAPUTO ran a great race on the Poly last time. Her penultimate run up the straight at Hollywoodbets Kenilworth was impressive. If the gaps open at the right time, she will be hard to beat. (1) BABELICIOUS won a good race last time. Her form is very consistent, include her in all bets. (4) WINTER RAINFALL has run three decent races in succession. Watch her closely at a decent price. (8) SUMMER LILY has been rested for 79 days. Her last run in the Grade 3 Poinsettia Stakes at Hollywoodbets Scottsville was good. If she does not need the run badly, she will run a massive race. Race 8 (1,500m) (5) SUGAR MOUNTAIN has won his last two races. He has a good turn of foot and, from a good draw, he must have a solid winning chance again. (7) PROMETTERE was very unlucky last time, when the gaps opened late and he flew home to finish second. Jockey Richard Fourie knows him well and he will be right there in the finish. (9) SEEKING THE STARS ran a lovely third behind Sugar Mountain last time. If he gets some luck in transit from a wide draw, he could finish in the placings. (4) SONG TO THE MOON ran a fair race last time. He drops in trip, and carries a light weight. He will be doing good work late with jockey Muzi Yeni on board. Race 9 (1,400m) (2) BOOGIEFIED ran a top race last time. He gets a good draw and can run a good race again. (8) AZZURRI won impressively over 1,200m last time. The step-up to 1,400m helps and, if he can get into a good position early from a wide draw, he will have a massive winning chance. (12) HAPPY DAYS has drawn wide again. He has run three excellent runs in succession. If he gets some luck in the running, he will be storming home late. (13) WAR CHARIOT is consistent and Fourie knows him well. The only negative is the bad draw.
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20-06-2025
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June 21 South Africa (Kenilworth) form analysis
Race 1 (1,400m) (1) STAR MAJOR has gone close in both starts and could get it right. (2) GOLD GIBOSKI should be in the shake-up after two crackers. (5) DIAMOND DAYS relished the step-up to this trip last time. Can go close from a fair draw. (9) NEW WORLD is knocking on the door and Richard Fourie retains the ride, with blinkers on. Race 2 (1,400m) (6) SPLASH OF COLOUR has Gavin Lerena up from a middle draw of six and having gone close last time over this course and distance, she should be in the shake-up. (1) LOVE HER MADLY has run some good races and should relish the step-up in trip. She should be right there from pole position. (2) GREEK HEIRESS is a well-bred filly by far away out of a decent Fort Wood mare and Craig Zackey rides from a plum draw. (7) ONCIDIUM has Fourie up from a tricky draw of seven but she could improve on her first start. Race 3 (1,000m) (1) OCTOBER STORM is very well bred being by Vercingetorix out of the top broodmare Miss October. He should go close on debut. (4) FLEUR DE VILLE went close last time over course and distance and he should be in the shake-up. (6) IKO IKO is knocking on the door and should also be right there. (7) DIGBY is in good form and could be involved in the finish. Race 4 (1,400m) (1) MEG'S LEGACY ran a fine race over course and distance last time and is now drawn in pole and should be right there. (2) TAYLOR'S VERSION also went close last time and from draw two should be in the shake up. (5) RED CORAL improved second time and should enjoy this further step-up in trip. (10) RED STATE has run two good races in succession over 1,200m and should relish the step-up in trip but does have a wide draw. Race 5 (1,950m) (2) ARIOVISTUS won easily last time in an open maiden. Starts off on a fair rating of 73 with Fourie up over an ideal course and trip. (3) KWITE A KING ran well last time over 2,200m and from a good draw, will also enjoy this trip. (4) AHEAD OF THE FACTS has won two of his last three over middle distances and should be in the shake-up from a fair draw. (5) WOOD WORLD has been in good form and with Lerena up for the third time in succession, he has a chance. Race 6 (1,500m) (3) ELECTROMAGNETISM has won her last two and on pedigree, should relish the step-up in trip. (6) UKUDUMA is a well-bred Vercingetorix out of dual Group 1 winner Thunder Dance. She should go close after a good debut win. (7) LOWVELD LILY won well second time out and should enjoy the step-up in trip. (2) SHE'S MY WORLD is well drawn and should be thereabouts. Race 7 (1,500m) (5) HAPPY VERSE should enjoy the step-up in trip here and looks the one to beat. (6) ROLAND GARROS has won his last two in fine fashion and should be in the shake-up. (3) VAPOUR TRAIL is a half-brother to One Stripe and should enjoy this trip and is a contender from a good draw. (2) DREAMWORLD has fine form and tries a step-up in trip from a good draw, although the jury is out on whether he will stay. Race 8 (1,600m) (2) LADY LOOK ALIKE is in hard-knocking form. From a good draw over a suitable trip, should go close. (5) MIRACULOUS is knocking hard too and might enjoy the step-up and trip. (6) KAMCHATKA ran well last time over 1,400m and will enjoy this trip, but does have a tricky draw. (1) PENTOLINA has pole position and can be right there if repeating penultimate start. Race 9 (1,200m) (3) RIKKITIKKITAVI beat a good sort last time and is the one to beat. (4) OCTOBER FEST is well bred and is coming to hand. (2) MARITZBURG MEMORY has the form to be a contender. (8) HOPE CHEST has ability and could bounce back. Race 10 (1,200m) (1) BECKY SHARP is knocking hard and could get it right. (4) SAINT BRIGID ran a cracker last time when stepped down to 1,400m and is interesting over a further step-down in trip. (3) EASY MONEY beat Becky Sharp last time and is only 1.5kg worse off for a 1.75 length beating, so might confirm the form. (7) IM THE BUZZ has the form to earn a cheque. Race 11 (1,000m) (1) MISS WORLD is well regarded and Fourie could make all the difference. (3) DEAN STREET has the ability and can never be ignored. (5) TANNERON won well last time and looks to be coming into her own. (6) ELUSIVE WINTER is consistent and should be right there.
