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Bloomberg Surveillance TV: July 16th, 2025
Bloomberg Surveillance TV: July 16th, 2025

Bloomberg

time5 days ago

  • Business
  • Bloomberg

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: July 16th, 2025

- David Malpass, former President at the World Bank - Devin Ryan, Managing Director at Citizens JMP Securities - Pierre Ferragu, Head: Global Technology at New Street Research - Kara Murphy, CIO at Kestra Investment Management David Malpass, former President at the World Bank, joins to discuss President Trump's economic and political priorities both domestically and abroad. Devin Ryan, Managing Director at Citizens JMP Securities, reacts to bank earnings. Pierre Ferragu, Head: Global Technology at New Street Research, talks about Nvidia's valuation after the latest move by the Trump administration on chip trade curbs and also talks about the broader outlook for big tech. Kara Murphy, CIO at Kestra Investment Management, offers her equity outlook for the second half of 2025.

Trump's demands for next Fed chief: lower rates and look the part
Trump's demands for next Fed chief: lower rates and look the part

Irish Times

time05-07-2025

  • Business
  • Irish Times

Trump's demands for next Fed chief: lower rates and look the part

Donald Trump wants a Federal Reserve chairperson who will cut rates, which are currently 4.5 per cent, to 1 per cent. Delusional? Perhaps, but this is Trumpworld. Trump isn't the first president to pressure the Fed. In 1965 Lyndon Johnson told William McChesney Martin his rate hike was 'despicable'. Richard Nixon successfully leant on Arthur Burns to ease policy before the 1972 election, driving short-term growth but long-term inflation. READ MORE Unlike his predecessors, however, Trump applies pressure in public, calling Fed chief Jerome Powell everything from 'very average mentally' to a 'moron'. Trump's rants about 1 per cent interest rates are alarming economist Justin Wolfers. He sees echoes of Turkey's Recep Tayyip Erdogan, another authoritarian populist who favoured low rates over sound economics, with predictably ruinous results. 'That movie was Turkey,' says Wolfers, who fears 'an American sequel.' Trump wants Powell to resign. Powell can refuse, but he obviously won't be reappointed when his term ends next May. Nevertheless, Trump's problem is finding a replacement who both looks the part and will follow the script. The Wall Street Journal says Trump was impressed by Kevin Warsh's hair and appearance when interviewing him in 2017, but thought him too young-looking. Warsh, back in contention, says zero rates lead to 'very bad economic outcomes', so he is hardly the pliable dove Trump wants. Another contender, former World Bank president David Malpass, wants cuts, but Trump has reportedly cooled on him, doubting whether Malpass is telegenic enough for the job. The ideal candidate, it seems, must promise cheap money and good lighting.

Trump gets closer to naming his pick to replace Powell as Fed chair
Trump gets closer to naming his pick to replace Powell as Fed chair

Yahoo

time26-06-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Trump gets closer to naming his pick to replace Powell as Fed chair

President Trump is getting closer to naming his replacement for Jerome Powell as his patience with the central bank chairman runs out. Trump told reporters Wednesday that that he is down to three or four candidates, and The Wall Street Journal reported late Wednesday that he could announce his final pick by September or October — or even this summer — to undercut Powell's authority for the remainder of his term ending in May 2026. "I know within three or four people who I'm going to pick," the president said Wednesday without offering specific names. The Wall Street Journal reported that former Fed governor Kevin Warsh and National Economic Council director Kevin Hassett are among the people being considered by Trump, and that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has been pitched as well. Before Trump was elected, Bessent in 2024 floated the idea of naming a "shadow chair" well before Powell's term was up, ensuring that "no one is really going to care what Jerome Powell has to say anymore." Bessent told lawmakers earlier this month he would like to remain in his seat until 2029, but he did not dismiss the possibility of becoming the next chair of the Fed. Bessent said he has "the best job" in Washington and is "happy to do what President Trump wants me to do," while noting that "I would like to stay in my seat through 2029" to help carry out the administration's agenda. Former World Bank President David Malpass and Fed governor Christopher Waller are among other possible candidates, the Journal reported. Waller has been outspoken recently about his support for rate cuts, a stance that would surely please Trump. The active consideration of Powell successors comes after a period of intensifying pressure from Trump as the chairman's guarded wait-and-see monetary policy stance continues to inflame tensions with the White House. The president has called repeatedly for rate cuts and lobbed a series of insults at Powell via social media, from "loser" to "fool." Read more: How the Fed rate decision affects your bank accounts, loans, credit cards, and investments Trump's comments on Wednesday didn't address the question of whether he is looking to fire Powell or announce his final pick quickly. Last week the president mused: "Maybe, just maybe, I'll have to change my mind about firing him?" Powell has said he intends to serve out his term as chair, and that he can't be removed by law. "He goes out pretty soon, fortunately, because I think he's terrible," Trump added Wednesday. The comments from the president came as Powell sat before Senate lawmakers for his second day of regularly scheduled testimony before Congress. Powell told lawmakers that the central bank is "well-positioned to wait" on any interest rate adjustments until it has more clarity on how Trump's tariffs will affect inflation and the direction of the US economy. Read more: What Trump's tariffs mean for the economy and your wallet The president's attacks on Powell intensified at the end of last week as Trump called for rates to drop from 4.25% to 4.5% to between 1% and 2% and said of Powell and the Fed's board of governors, "I don't know why the Board doesn't override this Total and Complete Moron!" Trump repeated some of those points in a Tuesday social media post, calling for rates "at least two to three points lower" and saying that Powell "will be in Congress today in order to explain, among other things, why he is refusing to lower the Rate." "I hope Congress really works this very dumb, hardheaded person, over. We will be paying for his incompetence for many years to come." On Wednesday, Trump reiterated his oft-stated case for why Powell should lower rates by at least one percentage point immediately, citing "no inflation." He also recounted an earlier face-to-face meeting with Powell, offering a mocking voice for Powell, and repeated his personal attacks by saying "I think he's a very stupid person actually" and calling him "an average mentally person." Trump is not the only one calling for lower rates. Even some of Powell's fellow policymakers — Fed governors Michelle Bowman and Waller — have said in recent days that they now see cutting rates as soon as the Fed's next policy meeting in July due to recent mild inflation readings. But other officials have pushed back on that urgency and warned that it is too soon to know the true effects of tariffs on inflation. Trump has even mused about appointing himself Fed chair. One lawmaker asked Powell on Tuesday if that was even possible. "I don't know," he said, adding that it's "not a question for me." Powell has not said if he also plans to leave the Fed's board. His term as a Fed governor is not up until 2028. On Tuesday he repeatedly dodged questions about Trump, Trump's policies and personal insults. "All I want to do in what's left of my time at the Fed is to have the economy be strong and have inflation be under control. I want to turn it over to my successor in that condition." Click here for in-depth analysis of the latest stock market news and events moving stock prices

Trump gets closer to naming his pick to replace Powell as Fed chair
Trump gets closer to naming his pick to replace Powell as Fed chair

Yahoo

time26-06-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Trump gets closer to naming his pick to replace Powell as Fed chair

President Trump is getting closer to naming his replacement for Jerome Powell as his patience with the central bank chairman runs out. Trump told reporters Wednesday that that he is down to three or four candidates, and The Wall Street Journal reported late Wednesday that he could announce his final pick by September or October — or even this summer — to undercut Powell's authority for the remainder of his term ending in May 2026. "I know within three or four people who I'm going to pick," the president said Wednesday without offering specific names. The Wall Street Journal reported that former Fed governor Kevin Warsh and National Economic Council director Kevin Hassett are among the people being considered by Trump, and that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has been pitched as well. Before Trump was elected, Bessent in 2024 floated the idea of naming a "shadow chair" well before Powell's term was up, ensuring that "no one is really going to care what Jerome Powell has to say anymore." Bessent told lawmakers earlier this month he would like to remain in his seat until 2029, but he did not dismiss the possibility of becoming the next chair of the Fed. Bessent said he has "the best job" in Washington and is "happy to do what President Trump wants me to do," while noting that "I would like to stay in my seat through 2029" to help carry out the administration's agenda. Former World Bank President David Malpass and Fed governor Christopher Waller are among other possible candidates, the Journal reported. Waller has been outspoken recently about his support for rate cuts, a stance that would surely please Trump. The active consideration of Powell successors comes after a period of intensifying pressure from Trump as the chairman's guarded wait-and-see monetary policy stance continues to inflame tensions with the White House. The president has called repeatedly for rate cuts and lobbed a series of insults at Powell via social media, from "loser" to "fool." Read more: How the Fed rate decision affects your bank accounts, loans, credit cards, and investments Trump's comments on Wednesday didn't address the question of whether he is looking to fire Powell or announce his final pick quickly. Last week the president mused: "Maybe, just maybe, I'll have to change my mind about firing him?" Powell has said he intends to serve out his term as chair, and that he can't be removed by law. "He goes out pretty soon, fortunately, because I think he's terrible," Trump added Wednesday. The comments from the president came as Powell sat before Senate lawmakers for his second day of regularly scheduled testimony before Congress. Powell told lawmakers that the central bank is "well-positioned to wait" on any interest rate adjustments until it has more clarity on how Trump's tariffs will affect inflation and the direction of the US economy. Read more: What Trump's tariffs mean for the economy and your wallet The president's attacks on Powell intensified at the end of last week as Trump called for rates to drop from 4.25% to 4.5% to between 1% and 2% and said of Powell and the Fed's board of governors, "I don't know why the Board doesn't override this Total and Complete Moron!" Trump repeated some of those points in a Tuesday social media post, calling for rates "at least two to three points lower" and saying that Powell "will be in Congress today in order to explain, among other things, why he is refusing to lower the Rate." "I hope Congress really works this very dumb, hardheaded person, over. We will be paying for his incompetence for many years to come." On Wednesday, Trump reiterated his oft-stated case for why Powell should lower rates by at least one percentage point immediately, citing "no inflation." He also recounted an earlier face-to-face meeting with Powell, offering a mocking voice for Powell, and repeated his personal attacks by saying "I think he's a very stupid person actually" and calling him "an average mentally person." Trump is not the only one calling for lower rates. Even some of Powell's fellow policymakers — Fed governors Michelle Bowman and Waller — have said in recent days that they now see cutting rates as soon as the Fed's next policy meeting in July due to recent mild inflation readings. But other officials have pushed back on that urgency and warned that it is too soon to know the true effects of tariffs on inflation. Trump has even mused about appointing himself Fed chair. One lawmaker asked Powell on Tuesday if that was even possible. "I don't know," he said, adding that it's "not a question for me." Powell has not said if he also plans to leave the Fed's board. His term as a Fed governor is not up until 2028. On Tuesday he repeatedly dodged questions about Trump, Trump's policies and personal insults. "All I want to do in what's left of my time at the Fed is to have the economy be strong and have inflation be under control. I want to turn it over to my successor in that condition." Click here for in-depth analysis of the latest stock market news and events moving stock prices

Fed chief Powell's stubborn defiance on interest rates risks an avoidable downturn, says ALEX BRUMMER
Fed chief Powell's stubborn defiance on interest rates risks an avoidable downturn, says ALEX BRUMMER

Daily Mail​

time18-06-2025

  • Business
  • Daily Mail​

Fed chief Powell's stubborn defiance on interest rates risks an avoidable downturn, says ALEX BRUMMER

The Federal Reserve's interest rate hold should come as no surprise. Chairman Jay Powell is determined to preserve the US central bank's independence, Trump's tariffs are a threat to domestic prices and the ramping up of American pressure on Iran is nerve-racking. One needs no reminder of how Russia's war on Ukraine caused a major inflation shock as energy costs soared. If it were not for these factors, the Fed, and for that matter the Bank of England, would be wise to get on the front foot by cutting borrowing costs. Former World Bank boss David Malpass, writing in the Wall Street Journal, argues the Fed is behind the curve in lowering rates as the US economy weakens. He points to the loss of 700,000 jobs, strain among small businesses and argues that the prime borrowing rate of 7.5 per cent and credit card costs at 20 per cent are too high. The bunker-buster in the room is the Middle East. The Ukraine war demonstrated how speedily geopolitics can spin off into an economic and fiscal crisis. The reason why so many Western democracies are sitting on unacceptable debt piles, inhibiting capacity for growth, is unmet costs and subsidies which came after energy prices spiralled. Nevertheless, 2025 is not 1973 when an Arab oil embargo started an economic catastrophe which saw inflation rocket, interest rates soar, recession and Britain forced to the IMF for a bail-out. Oil-induced inflation also drove Jimmy Carter out of the White House. Energy production is robust and diversified enough to deal with anything less than a cataclysm which causes energy taps across the Arabian Gulf to be turned off. Saudi Arabia is stepping up production, Guyana has become an oil gusher, Brazil and Canada are major drillers, and US production hit a record 13.5m barrels in March. It has long been a concern that the Fed and the Bank of England would make the same error as inflation tumbles from its peaks as they did when it mounted, and assume the decline is 'transitory'. By holding rates higher than they need to be, they are punishing business, consumers and home-buyers, and risking an avoidable downturn. Should the tumult in the Middle East retreat, interest rate-setters must be alert to the need for bold rate cuts. Drill, baby, drill The hike in Brent crude prices, since Israel's attack on Iran, will come as something of a relief to BP. As it pivots back to oil and gas, after backing a green future, the higher the oil price, the stronger the cashflow. Moreover, with aggressive activist investor Elliott on its case, a volatile oil price offers the opportunity to ramp up trading – a key money-spinner. Fossil fuels are disparaged by green campaigners. But one shouldn't lose sight of the contribution that BP, which began life as the Anglo-Persian oil company, makes to the British economy. As reported today, BP analysis shows that the oil giant made a £7.4billion contribution to UK plc last year. It paid £1.2billion in corporation tax and bolstered the exchequer by a further £2.2billion indirectly in the shape of excise duties, employees' income tax, National Insurance and VAT. There has been speculation that a weakened BP could be swallowed by London-listed Shell or one of the US majors like Chevron or Exxon. Britain would be much better served if it maintained its independence. BP's global reach into markets such as India and Indonesia is invaluable. Given the current dislocation in the Middle East, the Government would be wise to end the daft embargo on new North Sea oil licences. To do so would provide a much-needed fillip to drillers and Aberdeen-based engineering services. Spanish lift Tracking Ocado's business model is tricky as its topsy-turvy share price, 24 per cent down this year, shows. It struggles to be viewed as the Amazon of global grocery, as once hoped. Yet it is encouraging to see that the company's first international customer in 2017, the Catalan supermarket group Bon Preu, is coming back for more of the UK group's robotic systems with a new warehouse in Barcelona.

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