Latest news with #DecisionDeskHQ
Yahoo
a day ago
- Business
- Yahoo
Political betting markets poised to grow as Polymarket returns to the U.S.
Get ready for a possible U.S. explosion in political wagering. The prediction market Polymarket announced Monday it has acquired an exchange that will allow it to re-enter the United States as a 'fully regulated and compliant platform.' They'll join competitors like Kalshi in a growing industry, which allow people to trade on their predictions, including the big political talkers of the day. 'Right now, this is everyone's best guess, right? But as these markets move— and they can move 24 hours a day— we can get some insight into whether or not something's going to happen,' Scott Tranter, Data Science Director at Decision Desk HQ, told me. It's believed north of $3 billion was wagered on the 2024 presidential race. You can imagine a world that soon exists where the prediction markets are cited as frequently as the polls, following the billions of dollars likely to come. Solve the daily Crossword
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First Post
3 days ago
- Politics
- First Post
Trump claims US 'most respected country' in world as he marks sixth month anniversary of second term
Despite these claims, Trump's six-month approval rating remains negative, with Decision Desk HQ reporting 52.7 per cent of US adults disapproving and 44.6 per cent approving read more US President Donald Trump celebrated six months into his second term, claiming the United States is now the 'hottest' and 'most respected country anywhere in the world.' 'Wow, time flies!' he posted on Truth Social Sunday morning (July 21). 'Today is that Sixth Month Anniversary of my Second Term. Importantly, it's being hailed as one of the most consequential periods of any President.' He noted that six months was 'not a long time to have totally revived a major Country,' asserting that a year ago, 'our Country was DEAD, with almost no hope of revival.' STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD 'Today the USA is the 'hottest' and most respected Country anywhere in the World,' he continued. 'Happy Anniversary!!!' Trump's approval ratings remain negative Despite these claims, Trump's six-month approval rating remains negative, with Decision Desk HQ reporting 52.7 per cent of US adults disapproving and 44.6 per cent approving. The latest Economist/YouGov poll shows his disapproval at its highest since his second term began. Trump, however, claimed his GOP support has risen 'significantly, since the Jeffrey Epstein Hoax was exposed by the Radical Left Democrats and, just plain 'troublemakers.'' 'They have hit 90 per cent, 92 per cent, 93 per cent, and 95 per cent, in various polls, and are all Republican Party records,' he stated on Truth Social. 'The General Election numbers are my highest, EVER! People like Strong Borders, and all of the many other things I have done. GOD BLESS AMERICA. MAGA!' These remarks follow his to Attorney General Pam Bondi on Thursday to release grand jury files related to Jeffrey Epstein's case, amid public demand for transparency. Trump remains doubtful that releasing the files will satisfy calls for more information. Trump on Saturday stated that even if the courts approve their release, 'nothing will be good enough for the troublemakers and radical left lunatics.' STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD 'It will always be more, more, more. MAGA!' Trump posted. The push to release Epstein-related files has intensified, with even some of Trump's staunchest supporters joining critics in demanding transparency. The post also came a day after Trump filed a defamation lawsuit against media mogul Rupert Murdoch and The Wall Street Journal, owned by Murdoch, over an article claiming Trump sent a 'bawdy' letter for Epstein's 50th birthday.
The Hill
3 days ago
- Politics
- The Hill
Trump touts six-month mark: US is now ‘hottest‘ and ‘most respected country anywhere‘
President Trump marked his six-month anniversary of his second term in office by touting that the United States is the 'hottest' and 'most respected country anywhere in the world.' 'Wow, time flies!' the president began his message on Truth Social on Sunday morning. 'Today is that Sixth Month Anniversary of my Second Term. Importantly, it's being hailed as one of the most consequential periods of any President.' He added that six months was 'not a long time to have totally revived a major Country,' and that one year ago, 'our Country was DEAD, with almost no hope of revival.' 'Today the USA is the 'hottest' and most respected Country anywhere in the World,' he added. 'Happy Anniversary!!!' His comments come as Trump's six-month approval rating remains underwater with Decision Desk HQ finding 52.7 percent of U.S. adults disapprove of the president, while 44.6 percent approve. The latest Economist/YouGov poll also found that Trump's disapproval rating is at its highest level since the start of his second term. Still, Trump insisted his numbers within the GOP 'have gone up, significantly, since the Jeffrey Epstein Hoax was exposed by the Radical Left Democrats and, just plain 'troublemakers.'' 'They have hit 90%, 92%, 93%, and 95%, in various polls, and are all Republican Party records,' he wrote in another Truth Social post. 'The General Election numbers are my highest, EVER! People like Strong Borders, and all of the many other things I have done. GOD BLESS AMERICA. MAGA!' His comments come after he instructed Attorney General Pam Bondi on Thursday to release the grand jury files in the case of sex offender and disgraced financier Jeffrey Epstein after nationwide pressure to produce more information. However, the president remains skeptical that the release of the files will quell the demand for more information on the case.
The Hill
16-07-2025
- Politics
- The Hill
Adelita Grijalva wins Arizona special primary in bid to succeed her late father
Adelita Grijalva, a former Pima County supervisor and daughter of the late Rep. Raúl Grijalva (D-Ariz.), is projected to win the Democratic nomination to represent Arizona's 7th Congressional District, according to Decision Desk HQ. Adelita Grijalva beat four other challengers in the Democratic primary to succeed her father, who had represented the same southern Arizona House district until he died in March, prompting a special election to replace him. The district stretches across much of the state's southern border and includes portions of Tucson. The former Pima County supervisor's most competitive challengers included former state Rep. Daniel Hernandez, who gained prominence for helping save former Rep. Gabby Giffords's (D-Ariz.) life when he was an intern during the 2011 shooting, and Gen Z influencer Deja Foxx. The Arizona special primary received national attention, not just because of the late Grijalva's prominence, but also because it was seen as yet another test for a party grappling with generational tensions within its ranks. The 25-year-old Foxx had seen some momentum in the closing weeks of the race, leading to speculation that the party could see another upset similar to the one in New York City's mayoral primary in June, in which Millennial democratic socialist Zohran Mamdani defeated former New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D). But unlike Cuomo, Adelita Grijalva enjoyed endorsements not only from members of the center, like Arizona Sens. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) and Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.), but also progressives like Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-Ariz.). Grijalva touted her experience in the community in the days leading up to the race. 'When I say I am a proponent of preschool, it's not just saying that I'm going to do preschool. I actually created a whole system in Pima County, where every year $10 million is dedicated to free preschool,' she told The Hill, referring to the Pima Early Education Program Scholarships, which the Pima County Board of Supervisors voted for in 2021. Former Vice President Harris carried the district in November by 22 points, meaning that she's seen as the heavy favorite to win the seat in the special general election on Sept. 23.
The Independent
09-07-2025
- Business
- The Independent
More than 70% of Black voters disapprove of Trump - erasing gains he made that helped win the 2024 race
Donald Trump appears to have lost of goodwill he had among Black voters during the 2024 presidential campaign, according to a new poll. Among African-Americans, 71.5 percent disapprove of Trump's presidency so far, while just 24.1 percent approve, according to a Decision Desk HQ average of polls current through July 7. The president hasn't gotten majority approval from Black voters since the end of his first week back in office, according to the aggregator, but the latest numbers represent a notable increase in discontent, after Trump had a 63.7 percent average approval rating among the voting demographic in mid-June. 'We've seen his overall approval rating go down. And that's got to come from somewhere. The African-American vote is his newest vote, and that's probably going to be the first to go,' Scott Tranter, the director of data science for Decision Desk, told The Hill. The findings are in contrast to the president's surprising gains with voters of color during the 2024 race, where Trump won 15 percent of Black voters, up from 8 percent in 2020, and drew nearly even with Kamala Harris among Hispanic voters. The decline in support from Black voters could have a variety of causes. Many 2024 voters were inspired to cast their choice based on economic conditions and the record inflation under the Biden administration. So far, the Trump presidency has been marked with a sense of economic uncertainty and numerous revised and suspended deadlines for global tariffs. Trump's recently signed Big, Beautiful Bill spending package could be a mixed bag economically for Black voters, cutting taxes for the wealthy and likely causing millions to be ineligible for Medicaid, a low-income government health plan that disproportionately serves Black people. The Trump administration has also sought to end diversity and inclusion programs and funding across the federal government, ended race-conscious affirmative action at the US Naval Academy, scrubbed government websites and libraries of materials mentioning prominent Black figures in history, and renamed military bases for Confederate soldiers who fought to defend slavery in the U.S. Civil War, defending the move as 'important for morale.'
