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EU's proposed 2040 emissions target signals its retreat as leader on climate action
EU's proposed 2040 emissions target signals its retreat as leader on climate action

The Guardian

time02-07-2025

  • Business
  • The Guardian

EU's proposed 2040 emissions target signals its retreat as leader on climate action

For most of the past 30 years, the EU has led the world on climate action. The bloc had the deepest reductions in greenhouse gas emissions under the Kyoto protocol; the first climate laws came from EU member states; the first emissions trading scheme, in 2005; and the Paris agreement in 2015. At times when other major countries – the US, Japan, Canada, China and India at various points – have stepped back, the EU has often stepped forward. There would be no Paris accord had the bloc not won a key battle at the Durban climate summit in 2011 that paved the way. For Wopke Hoekstra, the EU's climate commissioner, that era is over. Europe would still lead, he said, but other countries must come forward too. '[We should be] looking forward to contributions from more than just the EU, given that we're responsible for 6% of global emissions, so without others we're not going to solve this,' he said in an interview before the publication of the commission's proposal for a 2040 emissions target on Wednesday. 'Much as I appreciate the high expectations [of EU leadership], it is extremely important to contextualise this. We will continue with clearly ambitious yet also pragmatic climate policies.' The commission has proposed a 90% reduction on greenhouse gas emissions by 2040, compared with 1990 levels. The figure is at the bottom of the 90-95% range that the bloc's scientific advisers said was possible, and to the consternation of many green campaigners includes a provision for up to 3% of the reductions to come from buying carbon credits overseas, from 2036. Mohamed Adow, the director of the Nairobi-based thinktank Power Shift Africa, said: 'The EU using carbon credits in its 2040 target is a huge concern and will undermine trust at a time [when] we need Europe to be stepping into the void left by the US. Carbon credits are a mirage, an accounting trick to let the rich world keep on burning fossil fuels whilst pretending climate change is being tackled somewhere else in the world.' The idea also has some support, however. Rebecca Humphries, the head of climate policy for Europe at the Nature Conservancy, said: 'Carbon markets, when done right, can lead to faster and more effective climate progress.' The proposal must still pass key hurdles: it could face opposition in the EU parliament, and some member states have signalled they may try to maul it. Those include the predictably climate-sceptic Hungary, but also – astoundingly, on the 10th anniversary of the Paris agreement – France. Emmanuel Macron has suggested the 2040 target could be delayed, by separating it from the EU's discussions on a fresh target on emissions under the Paris agreement, called a nationally determined contribution (NDC), covering the next decade. The UN secretary general has asked all countries to submit NDCs in September, after most missed a February deadline, to allow them to be presented at a crunch climate summit, Cop30, this November in Brazil. The EU's NDC, pegged to 2035, is supposed to be derived from the 2040 proposal. Allowing them to be separated would give more time for debate on the later goal – debate demanded mainly by those who wish to weaken it. European centrist leaders face a populist threat, and backlash against green policy. Macron's stance, and Hoekstra's comments on EU leadership, must be seen in that context. But giving in to populist rhetoric may be counterproductive. Polls show that most people in the EU remain firmly in favour of strong climate measures. Amélie Laurent, policy adviser at the Bellona Europe thinktank, said: 'With most Europeans recognising climate change as a serious threat and supporting climate neutrality by 2050, it is crystal clear that citizens demand meaningful climate action. EU policymakers must listen to their citizens and deliver the targets needed to meet this mandate.' Sign up to Down to Earth The planet's most important stories. Get all the week's environment news - the good, the bad and the essential after newsletter promotion The EU's policies will also have an effect internationally. Cosima Cassel, programme lead for climate diplomacy and geopolitics at the E3G thinktank in Berlin, said the EU's NDC would be crucial in galvanising other economic heavyweights to play their part. 'A timely NDC submission would send a clear signal to other major emitters including China, India, Japan, Australia and Mexico to step up their own ambition ahead of Cop30.' China, the world's biggest emitter, will be critical – whether Beijing goes for a 10% cut in emissions by 2035, as some have suggested, or the 30% to 50% cut that others calculate is feasible, will be the biggest determinant of success at Cop30 in Belém. The EU is holding key meetings with China in the coming weeks, and Hoekstra has criticised the Chinese for building new coal-fired power plants. But at least China is helping to drive global takeup of clean technology at a rapid rate. India is also surging ahead in renewable energy, and is now the world's third-biggest producer of solar and wind energy. By contrast, there are very large emitters and exporters of fossil fuels – Russia, Saudi Arabia and now the US – that take little action or have gone backwards on climate commitments. The key question for the EU, and the planet, will be what can be done to bring recalcitrant countries on board at Cop30. Allowing them to exploit the impression that the EU is backing down might prove a boon to the wreckers.

EU's proposed 2040 emissions target signals its retreat as leader on climate action
EU's proposed 2040 emissions target signals its retreat as leader on climate action

The Guardian

time02-07-2025

  • Business
  • The Guardian

EU's proposed 2040 emissions target signals its retreat as leader on climate action

For most of the past 30 years, the EU has led the world on climate action. The bloc had the deepest reductions in greenhouse gas emissions under the Kyoto protocol; the first climate laws came from EU member states; the first emissions trading scheme, in 2005; and the Paris agreement in 2015. At times when other major countries – the US, Japan, Canada, China and India at various points – have stepped back, the EU has often stepped forward. There would be no Paris accord had the bloc not won a key battle at the Durban climate summit in 2011 that paved the way. For Wopke Hoekstra, the EU's climate commissioner, that era is over. Europe would still lead, he said, but other countries must come forward too. '[We should be] looking forward to contributions from more than just the EU, given that we're responsible for 6% of global emissions, so without others we're not going to solve this,' he said in an interview before the publication of the commission's proposal for a 2040 emissions target on Wednesday. 'Much as I appreciate the high expectations [of EU leadership], it is extremely important to contextualise this. We will continue with clearly ambitious yet also pragmatic climate policies.' The commission has proposed a 90% reduction on greenhouse gas emissions by 2040, compared with 1990 levels. The figure is at the bottom of the 90-95% range that the bloc's scientific advisers said was possible, and to the consternation of many green campaigners includes a provision for up to 3% of the reductions to come from buying carbon credits overseas, from 2036. Mohamed Adow, director of the Nairobi-based thinktank Power Shift Africa, said: 'The EU using carbon credits in its 2040 target is a huge concern and will undermine trust at a time [when] we need Europe to be stepping into the void left by the US. Carbon credits are a mirage, an accounting trick to let the rich world keep on burning fossil fuels whilst pretending climate change is being tackled somewhere else in the world.' The idea also has some support, however. Rachel Humphries, head of climate policy for Europe at the Nature Conservancy, said: 'Carbon markets, when done right, can lead to faster and more effective climate progress.' The proposal must still pass key hurdles: it could face opposition in the EU parliament, and some member states have signalled they may try to maul it. Those include the predictably climate-sceptic Hungary, but also – astoundingly, on the 10th anniversary of the Paris agreement – France. Emmanuel Macron has suggested the 2040 target could be delayed, by separating it from the EU's discussions on a fresh target on emissions under the Paris agreement, called a nationally determined contribution (NDC), covering the next decade. The UN secretary general has asked all countries to submit NDCs in September, after most missed a February deadline, to allow them to be presented at a crunch climate summit, Cop30, this November in Brazil. The EU's NDC, pegged to 2035, is supposed to be derived from the 2040 proposal. Allowing them to be separated would give more time for debate on the later goal – debate demanded mainly by those who wish to weaken it. European centrist leaders face a populist threat, and backlash against green policy. Macron's stance, and Hoekstra's comments on EU leadership, must be seen in that context. But giving into populist rhetoric may be counterproductive. Polls show that most people in the EU remain firmly in favour of strong climate measures. Amélie Laurent, policy adviser at the Bellona Europe thinktank, said: 'With most Europeans recognising climate change as a serious threat and supporting climate neutrality by 2050, it is crystal clear that citizens demand meaningful climate action. EU policymakers must listen to their citizens and deliver the targets needed to meet this mandate.' Sign up to Down to Earth The planet's most important stories. Get all the week's environment news - the good, the bad and the essential after newsletter promotion The EU's policies will also have an effect internationally. Cosima Cassel, programme lead for climate diplomacy and geopolitics at the E3G thinktank in Berlin, said the EU's NDC would be crucial in galvanising other economic heavyweights to play their part. 'A timely NDC submission would send a clear signal to other major emitters including China, India, Japan, Australia and Mexico to step up their own ambition ahead of Cop30.' China, the world's biggest emitter, will be critical – whether Beijing goes for a 10% cut in emissions by 2035, as some have suggested, or the 30% to 50% cut that others calculate is feasible, will be the biggest determinant of success at Cop30 in Belém. The EU is holding key meetings with China in the coming weeks, and Hoekstra has criticised the Chinese for building new coal-fired power plants. But at least China is helping to drive global takeup of clean technology at a rapid rate. India is also surging ahead in renewable energy, and is now the world's third-biggest producer of solar and wind energy. By contrast, there are very large emitters and exporters of fossil fuels – Russia, Saudi Arabia and now the US – that take little action or have gone backwards on climate commitments. The key question for the EU, and the planet, will be what can be done to bring recalcitrant countries on board at Cop30. Allowing them to exploit the impression that the EU is backing down might prove a boon to the wreckers.

We need to show leadership on ‘brutal' Gaza war, Harris told EU chief
We need to show leadership on ‘brutal' Gaza war, Harris told EU chief

Irish Times

time21-05-2025

  • Politics
  • Irish Times

We need to show leadership on ‘brutal' Gaza war, Harris told EU chief

The European Union needs to show leadership and hold Israel to account for the 'brutal' war it continues to wage in Gaza, the governments of Ireland, Spain, Luxembourg and Slovenia privately warned in correspondence this week. Israel was involved in the 'systematic targeting' of humanitarian actors in its 'ceaseless' military campaign in Gaza , the four governments told the EU's foreign affairs chief Kaja Kallas. In a letter on Monday, seen by The Irish Times, the governments said the EU should review its long standing trade agreement with Israel as a way to put diplomatic pressure on Israeli prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu . International law and basic humanitarian principles were being 'blatantly ignored and disregarded by Israel', the letter said. 'The unprecedented gravity of the situation on the ground requires a proactive approach and visible leadership from the European Union,' it stated. READ MORE The letter to Ms Kallas was signed by Tánaiste and Minister for Foreign Affairs Simon Harris, and the foreign ministers of Spain, Luxembourg and Slovenia, José Manuel Albares, Xavier Bettel and Tanja Fajon respectively. Gaza remained at 'critical risk of famine', the ministers told Ms Kallas. An almost three-month blockade of food and humanitarian aid for Gaza has seen renewed international pressure put on Israel, to avert the mass starvation of Palestinian civilians inside the war-torn enclave. In a significant shift, a majority of EU states sided with Ireland, Spain and others to order a review of the bloc's trading agreement with Israel. Some 17 of the EU's 27 states supported a proposal to review the EU-Israel 'association' agreement, which governs relations, to determine if Israel's actions in Gaza had breached commitments to respect human rights. Germany, Hungary, Greece and the Czech Republic were among the nine EU states who opposed the proposal, at a meeting of foreign ministers in Brussels on Tuesday. [ Majority of EU states back review of Israel relations Opens in new window ] Israeli officials had been lobbying to stall efforts to trigger the review, according to one senior EU diplomat involved in behind-the-scenes negotiations. The review will likely be carried out by officials from the European Commission's diplomatic corps, who report to Ms Kallas. Ireland and Spain previously called for a review of the EU's 'association agreement' with Israel in February 2024 but found little support for the idea inside the EU at the time. The renewed push to build a coalition supporting a review of the deal was led by the Dutch government this month. It gained momentum last week when France indicated it would support the proposal, along with a number of other states. In a statement Fine Gael's four MEPs, Seán Kelly, Maria Walsh, Regina Doherty and Nina Carberry, called for the EU's trade agreement with Israel to be suspended. In a break with their centre right grouping, the European People's Party, the Irish MEPs said the EU should go further than just carrying out a review. 'In view of war crimes such as forced starvation of ordinary people in Gaza, we are calling for the suspension of the EU-Israel association agreement immediately,' the Fine Gael MEPs said in a joint statement. 'Ireland stood almost alone when we first demanded action on Gaza, now the EU is finally catching up,' the statement said. More than 53,000 Palestinians have been killed during the 19-month bombardment and invasion of Gaza by Israel's military, launched in response to the October 7th, 2023 Hamas-led attack in southern Israel. In response to international pressure, Israel said it had allowed 93 UN aid trucks into the Palestinian territory on Tuesday. Humanitarian agencies have said vastly more supplies of food and medicines are needed.

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