Latest news with #EmersonCollegePolling
Yahoo
01-07-2025
- Politics
- Yahoo
New poll shows who currently leads potential 2028 Democratic presidential field
Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg has pulled ahead in the early contest for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, edging out other high-profile names in a party still searching for its next standard-bearer, according to a new national survey. Keep up with the latest in + news and politics. A June Emerson College Polling survey, published on Friday, finds Buttigieg, who is gay, leading the Democratic field with support from 16 percent of likely primary voters. Former Vice President Kamala Harris, who once dominated early polling, has slipped to 13 percent, followed closely by California Gov. Gavin Newsom at 12 percent. Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro and New York U.S. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez each earn 7 percent, while Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders captures 5 percent and New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker 3 percent. Nearly one in four Democratic voters, 23 percent, remain undecided. Related: Pete Buttigieg reportedly won't run for U.S. Senate, keeping 2028 presidential hopes alive The results mark a dramatic change from November, when an earlier Emerson poll taken after the election showed Harris with 37 percent support, far outpacing her rivals. Buttigieg's emergence reflects not just his credentials as a cabinet official and former presidential candidate, but also his ability to bridge policy expertise and cultural fluency —a combination increasingly vital in a fragmented political landscape. His recent appearances on podcasts such as Flagrant, where he discussed fatherhood, racial identity, military service, and the emotional costs of political life, highlight a strategy of engaging younger and culturally attuned audiences. He has also been vocal in moments of national crisis. In June, Buttigieg condemned the Trump administration after federal agents violently detained California Sen. Alex Padilla during a press conference in Los Angeles. Padilla, the first Latino U.S. senator from California, was handcuffed and forced to the ground after attempting to question Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem. Related: Why Pete Buttigieg said 'no' to Michigan's open political races Earlier this year, Buttigieg declined to run for Michigan's U.S. Senate or gubernatorial seats, citing his desire to spend more time with his husband, Chasten, and their kids, Penelope and Gus, at home in Traverse City. Considered one of the most effective communicators among Democrats, many in political circles believe Buttigieg is positioning himself for a presidential run. Although President Donald Trump cannot run again, he has floated the idea of a third term (something barred by the Constitution). On the Republican side, Vice President JD Vance has solidified his standing as the early favorite for the 2028 nomination, earning 46 percent support among GOP primary voters. Secretary of State Marco Rubio polls at 12 percent, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis at 9 percent, and Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. registers 5 percent. Vance's support has grown markedly since November, when he held 30 percent of the vote. Related: Democrats eye Pete Buttigieg for potential run for Michigan governor The overall 2028 race remains tight. In a generic presidential ballot, voters are evenly divided, with 42 percent backing a Democratic candidate and 42 percent favoring a Republican, while 16 percent remain undecided. Among independents, Democrats hold a slim edge, leading 37 percent to 29 percent, although a significant 34 percent remain undecided. Voters continue to cite the economy as the most important issue, with 32 percent naming it, followed by threats to democracy at 22 percent and immigration at 14 percent. This article originally appeared on Advocate: New poll shows who currently leads potential 2028 Democratic presidential field Democrats eye Pete Buttigieg for potential run for Michigan governor Why Pete Buttigieg said 'no' to Michigan's open political races Pete Buttigieg reportedly won't run for U.S. Senate, keeping 2028 presidential hopes alive
Newsweek
27-06-2025
- Politics
- Newsweek
Birthright Citizenship: What Polls Show About Americans' Views
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Following the Supreme Court's Friday ruling in a case pertaining to President Donald Trump's move to end birthright citizenship, here's what several polls show about Americans' views on the matter. Why It Matters While the case is about injunctions, at the center is the issue of whether anyone born in the U.S. is considered an American citizen or not, and what exactly the 14th Amendment says, or doesn't say, to define birthright. The Supreme Court's 6-3 ruling on Friday ended the use of nationwide injunctions by federal judges, clearing the way for Trump's restrictions on automatic U.S. citizenship to take effect in some states while remaining blocked in others, as injunctions issued by more than 20 states remain in place. In states without active injunctions, Trump's policy could take effect 30 days after the ruling. The ruling did not decide whether President Trump's executive order—which seeks to deny U.S. citizenship to children born on American soil to illegal immigrants—is constitutional. Jenny Harris, of Baltimore, protests in support of birthright citizenship and the immigrant community, Thursday, May 15, 2025, outside of the Supreme Court in Washington. Jenny Harris, of Baltimore, protests in support of birthright citizenship and the immigrant community, Thursday, May 15, 2025, outside of the Supreme Court in Washington. AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin What To Know While the Supreme Court's ruling leaves the issue of birthright citizenship slightly unclear and in limbo, Americans' views on the matter are also split. The concept of birthright citizenship has long been established in the U.S., with the 14th Amendment of the U.S. Constitution guaranteeing citizenship to "all persons born or naturalized in the United States." Released just ahead of the Supreme Court's ruling, an Emerson College Polling survey of 1,000 registered U.S. voters conducted between June 24 and 25, found that a majority support birthright citizenship, 68 percent. Meanwhile, 32 percent of voters believe it should be ended for people who are not born to U.S. citizen parents. "Support for birthright citizenship policy is highest among voters under 30, at 83%, and lowers steadily as voters' age increases, to 55% of voters over 70," Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said. The poll's findings also fall along partisan lines, with 90 percent of Democrats supporting birthright citizenship for everyone, with 49 percent of Republicans believing it should continue. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. A Reuters/Ipsos poll of 1,136 Americans conducted between June 11 and 12 found a smaller percentage of people support ending birthright citizenship, 24 percent, while 52 percent opposed ending it. Similarly, it found a large partisan divide, with 84 percent of Democrats opposing it, while 43 percent of Republicans support ending the automatic citizenship. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. A May NPR/Ipsos poll found similar data, with just over half of participants opposing ending birthright citizenship, 53 percent, whereas 28 percent support ending the measure. The poll surveyed 1,019 people between May 9 and 11. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points. A Pew Research Center survey in April found much closer results, with 49 percent of participants in favor of ending birthright citizenship, while 50 percent believe that children born to illegal immigrant parents should be granted U.S. citizenship. The poll of 3,589 people was conducted between April 7 and 13 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 1.8 percentage points. What People Are Saying President Donald Trump wrote on Truth Social: "GIANT WIN in the United States Supreme Court! Even the Birthright Citizenship Hoax has been, indirectly, hit hard. It had to do with the babies of slaves (same year!), not the SCAMMING of our Immigration process. Congratulations to Attorney General Pam Bondi, Solicitor General John Sauer, and the entire DOJ." Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito wrote in a concurring opinion: "First, the Court does not address the weighty issue whether the state plaintiffs have third-party standing to assert the Citizenship Clause claims of their individual residents." Professor Samuel Bray said in a statement to Newsweek for a related article: "Given that the birthright-citizenship executive order is unconstitutional, I expect courts will grant those preliminary injunctions, and they will be affirmed on appeal. I do not expect the President's executive order on birthright citizenship will ever go into effect. Today's decision is a vindication and reassertion of the proper role of the federal courts in our constitutional system." What Happens Next The Court's ruling allows the Trump administration to issue guidance on how the executive order on birthright citizenship can be implemented, which can now happen in 30 days. The executive order could still face challenges, with at least two attempts at class action lawsuits filed later Friday. One came in the form of an updated complaint in Casa Inc. v. Trump, one of the cases before the Supreme Court. Another was in a new suit filed by the American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU) in New Hampshire, with the group making it clear it was seeking relief for all families across the U.S.
Yahoo
27-06-2025
- Politics
- Yahoo
Vance is clear front-runner for GOP nod in 2028: Poll
Vice President Vance is the clear front-runner for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, well ahead of other possible candidates, according to a new poll. The Emerson College Polling survey released on Friday showed Vance receiving 46 percent support, with his closest competitors being Secretary of State Marco Rubio with 12 percent and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) with 9 percent. Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who is an independent, followed with 5 percent, then Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem and former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley with 2 percent each. The other six listed names received 1 percent or less, while 17 percent said they were undecided and 4 percent said they prefer someone else not listed. This marks an improvement for Vance from Emerson's November poll exploring a hypothetical 2028 Republican primary. Vance led in that poll by a smaller amount, with 30 percent compared to 5 percent for DeSantis and 3 percent for 2024 GOP presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy. Half of all respondents said at the time that they were undecided. Emerson College Polling Executive Director Spencer Kimball said in a release that Vance has 'solidified' himself as the frontrunner, noting he had support from 52 percent of male Republican voters and voters over 60 years old. President Trump has weighed in somewhat on who could be his successor as Republican nominee in 2028 but has avoided declaring support for one candidate. He told Fox News in February that 'it's too early' to declare Vance as his successor but said he and others are 'very capable.' In an interview on NBC's 'Meet the Press' from last month, he mentioned Vance and Rubio as possible future leaders of his 'Make America Great Again,' or MAGA, movement. 'I think [Vance is] a fantastic, brilliant guy,' he said. 'Marco is great. There's a lot of them that are great.' The poll was conducted from June 24 to 25 among 1,000 registered voters, including 416 Republican primary voters. The margin of error among Republican respondents was 4.8 points. Copyright 2025 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
Time of India
27-06-2025
- Politics
- Time of India
Trump approval rating takes a wild turn after US strike on Iran. Americans have spoken and numbers will leave you stunned
US President Donald Trump's approval ratings remain negative following his decision to carry out airstrikes on Iran and a majority of voters believe the country is on the wrong track, according to a poll released Friday. Trump's decision to bomb nuclear facilities in Iran offer initial glimpse into how the conflict could be affecting Americans' opinions of his job performance. The Emerson College Polling survey found 45 percent of respondents approved of the job Trump was doing as president, while 46 percent disapproved. Close to 9 percent said they were neutral on the issue or had no opinion, reports The Hill. ALSO READ: Harvey Milk, US 'gay rights icon, snubbed by Pentagon from a Navy ship. Who was he? by Taboola by Taboola Sponsored Links Sponsored Links Promoted Links Promoted Links You May Like Villa For Sale in Dubai Might Surprise You Villas in Dubai | Search ads Learn More Undo Trump's approval ratings fall This week, two polls were released which showed Donald Trump's rating at 41 percent, a few points below June averages that have hovered around 45%. The poll numbers come amid a CNN/SSRS survey also released this week showing a majority of Americans disapprove of the president's strikes in Iran, according to USA Today. In a Quinnipiac University poll released Thursday, June 26, the Republican leader had a 41% approval rating among respondents, with 54% disapproving. This compares to Quinnipiac's poll released June 11, when 38% approved and 54% disapproved. Live Events Meanwhile, a new poll from Quantus, shows Trump's approval slipping slightly to 47 percent, down from 48 percent. His disapproval rating rose 1 point to 50 percent, giving him a net approval of -3 points, down from -2 points earlier this month, but still within the poll's ±3 percent margin of error, as per NewsWeek. ALSO READ: Who is Oscar Verner Peterson, after which naval ship USNS Harvey Milk has been renamed? Trump ordered airstrikes against three key Iranian nuclear facilities over the weekend amid the country's conflict with Israel. In retaliation, Iran fired missiles at a US military base in Qatar on Monday. A ceasefire was agreed to between Iran and Israel on Monday. But the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have accused Iran of violating the ceasefire and said they will strike Tehran in retaliation. Iran's military has denied any such violation. Trump's approval ratings have shifted in other ways in the wake of the recent U.S. airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, revealing a public that largely supports decisive military action, but is deeply wary of broader conflict. The poll also measured Trump's job performance, finding that 46% of Americans approve and 51% disapprove. The US attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities have left American voters with contradictory feelings, according to a new poll, as reported by Axios. While a majority favored limited strikes, but nearly as many said they were worried about a widening war and Iran retaliating on US soil. Meanwhile, most viewed the US attacks as a success — and are likely to back similar military action as a result. ALSO READ: Indian-origin Zohran Mamdani faces shocking threat to US citizenship: Can Trump really deport him? Trump's approval ratings have shifted in other ways in the wake of the recent U.S. airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, revealing a public that largely supports decisive military action, but is deeply wary of broader conflict. Though the commander-in-chief's decision to launch Operation Midnight Hammer gave him a short-term boost on key aspects of foreign policy, polls suggest, a Quantus survey shows 47 percent of Americans approve of the strike, while 36 percent disapprove, giving the operation a net approval of +11. Approval is strongest among Republicans (75 percent), while 61 percent of Democrats disapprove. Independents are split nearly evenly. ALSO READ: 'Didn't expect this much...': Squid Games Season 3 'heart wrenching' plot twist leaves fans devastated On the specific question of Trump's handling of the Israel-Iran conflict—including military strikes and the subsequent ceasefire—Trump received his strongest numbers yet: 60 percent of voters approve, with just 25 percent disapproving, according to Quantus. This latest Emerson survey also found close to 53 percent believed the country was on the wrong track, compared to close to 48 percent of respondents who said the U.S. was headed in the right direction. 'Looking ahead to next year's Midterm Election, the Democrats have a slight edge over the Republicans, with independents breaking for the Democratic candidate 37% to 27%,' Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, noted in a press release. 'However, a significant 36% of independents are undecided, so this number is expected to shift.'
Newsweek
27-06-2025
- Politics
- Newsweek
JD Vance is Crushing the 2028 Election Competition Right Now: Survey
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Vice President J.D. Vance is by a significant margin the most popular potential 2028 Republican presidential candidate among GOP primary voters, according to a new survey conducted by Emerson College Polling. But one expert told Newsweek, "...his fate is tied to the success of Trump's second term, and if that fails to deliver, JD's star will wane." Newsweek contacted the office of Vice President Vance for comment on Friday via email outside of regular office hours. Why It Matters Whilst he's occasionally toyed with running for a third term, President Trump is constitutionally limited to two terms in the White House, meaning the Republican Party will need a new candidate for the 2028 presidential election. Over the past decade, Trump has redefined the Republican Party, moving it to more nativist, protectionist, and anti-immigration positions, and the 2028 GOP presidential primary could see a contest between those who want it to continue with this direction and their rivals. What To Know Emerson College Polling surveyed 416 likely Republican primary voters about their preferred 2028 presidential candidate between June 24 and 25, with the data having a plus or minus 4.8 percentage point margin of error. The poll found that Vance had a strong lead, with 46 percent saying he was their preferred candidate, ahead of Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 12 percent and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis at 9 percent. They were followed by Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 5 percent and Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem and former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley each at 2 percent. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, business tycoon Vivek Ramaswamy and Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin all had 1 percent support. Another 17 percent of those polled said they were "undecided." Vice President J.D. Vance speaking during the 20th annual National Catholic Prayer Breakfast at the Walter E. Washington Convention Center on February 28, 2025 in Washington, DC. Vice President J.D. Vance speaking during the 20th annual National Catholic Prayer Breakfast at the Walter E. Washington Convention Center on February 28, 2025 in Washington, DC. Anna Moneymaker/GETTY Vance shared Trump's more nationalistic view of what the Republican Party should be, but also has close ties to figures on the tech right, including billionaire businessman Peter Thiel. Emerson College Polling also surveyed 404 likely Democratic primary voters over the same period, which produced a much tighter result. When asked about their preferred 2028 Democratic presidential candidate, 16 percent chose former transportation secretary Pete Buttigieg, 13 percent supported a second run by Kamala Harris, and 12 percent endorsed California Governor Gavin Newsom. Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Pennsylvania Governor Tim Waltz came in joint fourth with 7 percent support each, followed by left-wing Senate veteran Bernie Sanders at 5 percent. Recently, Newsom challenged Vance to a debate after the vice president accused him of "egging on" violent disorder in Los Angeles during anti-immigration enforcement demonstrations. Overall, Emerson College Polling surveyed 1,000 U.S. voters, with 42 percent saying they would vote for each of the Democratic and Republican nominees on a generic 2028 presidential ballot, with another 16 percent undecided. On Trump, 45 percent approved of his performance as president, whilst 46 percent disapproved. What People Are Saying Speaking to Newsweek Mark Shanahan, an expert in American politics who teaches at the University of Surrey in the UK, said: "It's very early days yet in picking the runners and riders for the 2028 GOP Presidential Primary and at the moment, it's hard for anyone to see past the vast shadow cast by the incumbent. It's no surprise that Vance is leading the field. He has high visibility and name recognition. "However, his fate is tied to the success of Trump's second term, and if that fails to deliver, JD's star will wane. Rubio, DeSantis and RFK Junior are tarnished by failed previous runs for the White House, and realistically, Vance is most likely to face a successful Governor - Youngkin or Abbott perhaps, or a member of Congress who gains momentum from the midterms and can challenge the Vance continuity candidacy." Emerson College Polling executive director Spencer Kimball said: "Vice President Vance has solidified himself as the frontrunner in the 2028 nomination contest, backed by 52% of male Republican primary voters and voters over 60. "Looking ahead to next year's Midterm Election, the Democrats have a slight edge over the Republicans, with independents breaking for the Democratic candidate 37% to 27%. However, a significant 36% of independents are undecided, so this number is expected to shift." What Happens Next Vance has not announced that he is running in the 2028 Republican presidential primary contest, nor would he be expected to do so until much nearer the time. The first GOP presidential primary elections are expected to be held in early 2028.
