Latest news with #GavriloPrincip
9 News
4 days ago
- 9 News
Stalled car sends the world to war
2 of 11 Attribution: The Picture Desk The royal couple were assassinated by Bosnian Serb student Gavrilo Princip, who was part of a group of nationalists hoping to overthrow Austro-Hungarian rule in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Ferdinand had already survived one bomb attack by one of Princip's co-conspirators earlier that day. Princip was waiting outside a delicatessen when the royal motorcade passed, and the local governor, who was sharing the royal couple's car, called out to the driver he had taken a wrong turn. The driver stalled the car as he tried to reverse, allowing Princip to step up and fatally shoot Franz and Sophie.
Bloomberg
15-05-2025
- Politics
- Bloomberg
Serbia's Embattled Leader Looks to Leverage Trump Family Ties
Evidence of a turbulent history is never far away in Belgrade. In a small downtown park, fresh flowers lie at the foot of a statue of Gavrilo Princip, the assassin who triggered World War I. A block away, the remains of a building hit by NATO in 1999 stand preserved in their shattered state. The conspicuously untouched site of the bombed-out former Yugoslav military headquarters is now slated to become a shrine of a very different kind: a commemoration of Serbia's deepening ties to Donald Trump. The American president's son-in-law, Jared Kushner, has the Serb government's blessing to develop a $500 million Trump hotel there.
Wall Street Journal
12-03-2025
- Politics
- Wall Street Journal
‘The Art of Uncertainty' Review: How to Sail Uncharted Waters
History is profoundly shaped by luck and chance. When Archduke Franz Ferdinand's driver made a wrong turn on the streets of Sarajevo in 1914, the car stalled directly in front of Gavrilo Princip, who had earlier missed an opportunity to shoot the Austrian heir but now killed him and his wife. The assassination would spark World War I. Winston Churchill was nearly killed in 1931 when he looked the wrong way while crossing New York's Fifth Avenue and was struck by a car. His death would have deprived the world of the steely leader who would face down Hitler a decade later. 'In this immeasurably complex world, each of us is the result of an unforeseen and unforeseeable sequence of small occurrences,' writes the British statistician David Spiegelhalter in 'The Art of Uncertainty,' which tackles the hazy science of ambiguity and our flailing efforts to come to terms with it. Uncertainty surrounds us 'like the air we breathe,' he writes, but our ability to assign a quantitative probability to future events remains poor. Our struggles are reflected in our language. President John F. Kennedy's approval of the ill-fated Bay of Pigs invasion in 1961 was guided by advice that there was a 'fair chance' of success, even though the Joint Chiefs of Staff had put the likelihood of victory at only around 30%. Such 'variants of vague verbiage,' as a NATO report describes phrases like 'fair chance' and 'highly likely,' tend to obfuscate. One global survey reveals that 'likely' can mean anything from 25% to 90%. It's better to quantify uncertainty, Mr. Spiegelhalter suggests, than to hide behind ambiguous terminology. Assigning probabilities is challenging outside of tightly controlled situations like casino games, where the rules are clear. Most of life doesn't lend itself to convenient reduction. Unlike temperature or mass, the author argues, probability is not a property of nature. Rather it is intrinsically personal, reflecting one's relationship with the outside world, and it depends on one's perspective and knowledge. While most of us can agree on the probability that a flipped coin will come up heads, our assessments of other probabilities, like the chances the Red Sox will win the World Series, may differ. Such predictions, he writes, 'are constructed on the basis of personal judgment.'
