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3 hours ago
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Trump Weighs Taiwan Gamble That Could Shake Markets
The Trump administration is weighing whether to approve Taiwan President Lai Ching-te's planned U.S. stopoversfirst in New York on August 4, then Dallas 10 days lateras part of his broader trip to Paraguay, Guatemala, and Belize. But the green light hasn't come, and behind the scenes, it's triggering concern. Some officials in Washington and Taipei worry President Donald Trump may be holding back to preserve the optics ahead of a potential trade summit with President Xi Jinping. The timing matters: U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and China's He Lifeng are meeting in Sweden this week to advance trade talks that could anchor a Trump-Xi dealone with real implications for markets. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Sign with PYPL. Taiwan, meanwhile, is walking a tightrope. Laialready under fire at home after an opposition power playnow risks looking weakened on the global stage. Adding to the tension, Taiwanese negotiators are in Washington trying to avert a 32% tariff on exports. And China? It's watching closely. Beijing has branded Lai a separatist and is likely to react if the trip goes ahead. Past transitslike former President Lee Teng-hui's 1995 visit to Cornellhave sparked military escalations. Even Lai's December layovers in Guam and Hawaii were followed by China's largest naval deployment in years. What looks like a layover on paper could turn into a flashpoint for global investors. And here's where things get especially sensitive for markets. The U.S. doesn't officially recognize Taiwan but is bound by law to supply arms for its defensean arrangement that's long underpinned regional stability. But any signal that Washington is reconsidering its support could rattle supply chains and companies exposed to cross-strait tensions. Trump has already shown a willingness to revisit tech curbs on Chinaraising questions about whether Taiwan becomes a trade chip. That's a risk for players like Taiwan Semiconductor (NYSE:TSM), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), whose fortunes are tied to a fragile geopolitical balance. Investors will be watching what happens next, because even a simple stopover could trigger consequences far beyond the tarmac. This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
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3 hours ago
- Business
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Nike Shares Jump On JPMorgan Upgrade
Nike (NYSE:NKE) popped 4% on Monday after JPMorgan upgraded it to Buy and raised its price target to $93, signaling over 18% upside. Analyst Matthew Boss says inventory levels are finally normalizing and retail demand is picking upcritical after heavy discounting squeezed margins. He now forecasts operating margins climbing to 10% by fiscal 2028 from 5.3% in fiscal 2026 and bumped his EPS estimate for fiscal 2026 to $1.32 from $1.07. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 7 Warning Sign with NKE. J.P. Morgan believes revenue growth will accelerate in H2 fiscal 2026 and into fiscal 2027 as channel inventories clear and new running and basketball launches draw consumer interest. North American and European retailers are already boosting reorders for upcoming seasons, pointing to healthier year?over?year comps ahead. Why it matters: Margin expansion and inventory drawdown could be the catalysts Nike needs to sustain gains. Investors will be watching Nike's Q4 fiscal 2025 update for confirmation that the turnaround thesis is taking hold. This article first appeared on GuruFocus.
Yahoo
3 hours ago
- Business
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AI Could Be U.S. Debt's Silver Bullet
Apollo chief economist Torsten Slk reckons AI could be the secret weapon to tackle America's debt. In a weekend note he leans on Congressional Budget Office projections showing that if AI adoption drives steady GDP growth and holds inflation down, the U.S. could cut borrowing costs and narrow budget deficits. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 6 Warning Sign with META. Slk points to productivity gains, automation and efficiency boosts across industries as the engines of higher output, while a calmer price backdrop would let the Fed keep rates lower. Over time, those twin effects could stabilize a debt trajectory that under current trends is set to climb. Why it matters: With Washington wrestling trillion?dollar deficits, AI innovation may offer a market?friendly fiscal fix. Investors will be watching how AI's impact shows up in upcoming growth and inflation data. This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
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3 hours ago
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IBM Stock Slips on Slower Software Growth Despite Q2 Beat
IBM (IBM, Financials) had better overall results for the second quarter than analysts had predicted. However, investors were more interested in the company's software division, where revenue fell slightly short of what analysts had expected. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Sign with AMZN. Projections were off by $16.98 billion in revenue and $2.80 in adjusted profits per share. But the software sales were $7.39 billion, which was a little less than the $7.43 billion that most people expected. IBM CEO Arvind Krishna claimed that geopolitical concerns and weaker U.S. federal spending were to blame for slower client activity, but he said that long-term expectations had not changed. UBS analysts reaffirmed their "sell" rating but boosted their price target to $200 because software revenue growth was slowing down. Bank of America lowered its price target from $320 to $310, but kept its "buy" rating. It said that the segment's performance will be a "show me story" for the remainder of 2025. Wedbush analysts were positive about IBM's position in hybrid cloud and AI and saw the drop after earnings as a possible buying opportunity. This article first appeared on GuruFocus.
Yahoo
4 hours ago
- Business
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Yacktman Focused Fund's Strategic Move: Compagnie de l'Odet Takes Center Stage
Exploring the Latest Investment Decisions of Yacktman Focused Fund (Trades, Portfolio) Warning! GuruFocus has detected 3 Warning Signs with XKRX:005935. Yacktman Focused Fund (Trades, Portfolio) recently submitted its N-PORT filing for the second quarter of 2025, shedding light on its strategic investment decisions during this period. Managed by Yacktman Asset Management (Trades, Portfolio), the fund is renowned for its pursuit of long-term capital appreciation, with a secondary focus on current income. As a non-diversified fund, it primarily invests in common stocks of both domestic and foreign companies, regardless of size, with a preference for those that pay dividends. The investment team is known for its objective, patient, and diligent approach, making decisions based on the intrinsic merits of individual securities rather than attempting to predict market trends. Yacktman employs a disciplined strategy, seeking growth companies at attractive valuations, effectively blending "growth" and "value" investing principles. The fund typically targets companies with strong business models, shareholder-oriented management, and low purchase prices. Summary of New Buy Yacktman Focused Fund (Trades, Portfolio) added a total of one stock to its portfolio this quarter: The most significant addition was Compagnie de l'Odet (XPAR:ODET), with 12,846 shares, accounting for 0.95% of the portfolio and a total value of 22.58 million. Key Position Reduces Yacktman Focused Fund (Trades, Portfolio) also reduced its position in 21 stocks. The most significant changes include: Reduced Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (NYSE:CNQ) by 700,000 shares, resulting in a -9.09% decrease in shares and a -0.92% impact on the portfolio. The stock traded at an average price of $30.31 during the quarter and has returned 9.41% over the past 3 months and 6.32% year-to-date. Reduced Bollore SE (XPAR:BOL) by 3,500,000 shares, resulting in a -7.87% reduction in shares and a -0.88% impact on the portfolio. The stock traded at an average price of 5.4 during the quarter and has returned 2.08% over the past 3 months and -8.92% year-to-date. Portfolio Overview As of the second quarter of 2025, Yacktman Focused Fund (Trades, Portfolio)'s portfolio comprised 40 stocks. The top holdings included 13.76% in Samsung Electronics Co Ltd (XKRX:005935), 10.86% in Bollore SE (XPAR:BOL), 9.26% in Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (NYSE:CNQ), 4.82% in Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), and 4.02% in Hyundai Mobis Co Ltd (XKRX:012330). The holdings are primarily concentrated in nine of the eleven industries: Communication Services, Technology, Consumer Defensive, Energy, Consumer Cyclical, Industrials, Basic Materials, Financial Services, and Healthcare. This article, generated by GuruFocus, is designed to provide general insights and is not tailored financial advice. Our commentary is rooted in historical data and analyst projections, utilizing an impartial methodology, and is not intended to serve as specific investment guidance. It does not formulate a recommendation to purchase or divest any stock and does not consider individual investment objectives or financial circumstances. Our objective is to deliver long-term, fundamental data-driven analysis. Be aware that our analysis might not incorporate the most recent, price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative information. GuruFocus holds no position in the stocks mentioned herein. This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Error while retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data
