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Business Recorder
18-06-2025
- Automotive
- Business Recorder
Numbers speak: Sindh agriculturalists spend more on vehicle registration, pay less in income tax
In a revealing fiscal projection, the Sindh government has said it will collect Rs9.35 billion in motor vehicle registration fees in the outgoing fiscal year ending June 30, 2025. That is more than double the Rs4 billion to be collected from income tax on the province's vast agriculture sector, according to budget documents. The figures highlight a long-standing wealth imbalance, suggesting people who are classified in middle and upper agriculture income brackets and rural elite earn and spend significantly on their lifestyle, but their tax contributions remain surprisingly low. The situation has resulted in a climbing tax burden on tax compliant industrial and services sectors as well as individuals earning salaries from non-agriculture sectors. The provincial government is set to collect comparatively higher revenue from motor vehicle registration fees despite the fact that the tax is charged at lower rates — ranging from 1% to 5% of the value of vehicles, depending on engine size. In contrast, agriculture income is taxed at significantly higher rates, from 15% to 45%, effective January 1, 2025. Additionally, a super tax of 1% to 10% applies to high agricultural incomes, while corporate farming is taxed at rates between 20% and 29%. Agriculturists remain minimal contributors to provincial tax revenues During the first half of FY25 (July–December), the applicable agriculture income tax ranged from 5% to 15%. Yet, agriculturists continue to contribute disproportionately little to provincial tax revenues. Agriculture remains a big source of income for almost half of the total provincial population (55.7 million) living in rural areas including poor farmers, landlords and individuals as well as businesses engaged in large-scale agricultural production including livestock. Muhammad Abrar Polani, an auto analyst at Arif Habib Limited, estimated that some 40% of the total vehicles sold nationwide are purchased by the people living in rural areas across the country. People living in rural Sindh buy around 40% of the total sold in the province. Other analysts said car purchasing is at peak in rural areas at the time of harvesting winter and summer crops, as well as around Eid-ul-Adha when farmers sell livestock mainly in urban centers. Hamdan Ahmed, an auto analyst at Optimus Capital Management, said in a commentary this week that agriculture season and development (PSDP/public sector development programme) spending fueled volumes growth in sale of passenger cars, SUVs (Sports Utility Vehicles) and LCVs (Light Commercial Vehicles) in May 2025. Auto sales (excluding tractors, buses and 2/3 wheelers) improved 38% year-on-year to 15,396 units in May, 'supported by the easing of highway closures from last month's canal protests, PSDP spending in the last months of FY25, (and) 'wheat harvest' despite pre-budgetary expectations.' Numbers reveal deeper reality As cars continue to fill garages in rural Sindh while collection of revenue in income tax on agriculture remain significantly low, the province's fiscal data tells a deeper story — of wealth that's visible on roads, but not reflected in the tax rolls. Latest estimates suggest the share of agriculture in Pakistan's gross domestic product stands at around 23.54% in FY25, while its share in revenue in taxes remained around 1%. Since agriculture income tax remains a provincial subject, Federal Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb said the provinces have done legislation for income tax on agriculture, expecting a significant increase in collections in the next fiscal year starting July 1, 2025. In contrast to Aurangzeb's projection, the Sindh government has targeted to collect Rs8 billion income tax on agriculture at in the next fiscal year (FY26) starting July 1, 2025. This is still low compared to the motor vehicle registration fees to be collected at Rs9.35 billion in both outgoing FY25 and upcoming FY26. All four provincial governments have legislated agriculture income tax recently in compliance with the federal government commitment with International Monetary Fund (IMF) to increase tax collection to Rs14.307 trillion (10.7% of GDP). The Sindh government, however, criticized the federal government for the commitment, saying it should have taken provinces into confidence before making such promises. The agriculture income tax is projected to make agriculture produces expensive, as people belonging to the sector may pass on the tax impact to end-consumers, it was learnt. A major portion of the motor vehicle registration fee was earned from passenger cars, SUVs and LCVs segment, according to Sindh's Excise, Taxation and Narcotics Control Department, which collects the fee in the range of 1% to 5% of the value of the vehicle. The department books small collections from the registration of tractors at Rs2,000/unit and motorcycles in range of 0.5% to 2% of the value of the two-wheelers.
Business Recorder
18-06-2025
- Automotive
- Business Recorder
Numbers speak: Sindh agriculturalists spend more on vehicles, pay less in income tax
In a revealing fiscal projection, the Sindh government has said it will collect Rs9.35 billion in motor vehicle registration fees in the outgoing fiscal year ending June 30, 2025. That is more than double the Rs4 billion to be collected from income tax on the province's vast agriculture sector, according to budget documents. The figures highlight a long-standing wealth imbalance, suggesting people who are classified in middle and upper agriculture income brackets and rural elite earn and spend significantly on their lifestyle, but their tax contributions remain surprisingly low. The situation has resulted in a climbing tax burden on tax compliant industrial and services sectors as well as individuals earning salaries from non-agriculture sectors. The provincial government is set to collect comparatively higher revenue from motor vehicle registration fees despite the fact that the tax is charged at lower rates — ranging from 1% to 5% of the value of vehicles, depending on engine size. In contrast, agriculture income is taxed at significantly higher rates, from 15% to 45%, effective January 1, 2025. Additionally, a super tax of 1% to 10% applies to high agricultural incomes, while corporate farming is taxed at rates between 20% and 29%. Agriculturists remain minimal contributors to provincial tax revenues During the first half of FY25 (July–December), the applicable agriculture income tax ranged from 5% to 15%. Yet, agriculturists continue to contribute disproportionately little to provincial tax revenues. Agriculture remains a big source of income for almost half of the total provincial population (55.7 million) living in rural areas including poor farmers, landlords and individuals as well as businesses engaged in large-scale agricultural production including livestock. Muhammad Abrar Polani, an auto analyst at Arif Habib Limited, estimated that some 40% of the total vehicles sold nationwide are purchased by the people living in rural areas across the country. People living in rural Sindh buy around 40% of the total sold in the province. Other analysts said car purchasing is at peak in rural areas at the time of harvesting winter and summer crops, as well as around Eid-ul-Adha when farmers sell livestock mainly in urban centers. Hamdan Ahmed, an auto analyst at Optimus Capital Management, said in a commentary this week that agriculture season and development (PSDP/public sector development programme) spending fueled volumes growth in sale of passenger cars, SUVs (Sports Utility Vehicles) and LCVs (Light Commercial Vehicles) in May 2025. Auto sales (excluding tractors, buses and 2/3 wheelers) improved 38% year-on-year to 15,396 units in May, 'supported by the easing of highway closures from last month's canal protests, PSDP spending in the last months of FY25, (and) 'wheat harvest' despite pre-budgetary expectations.' Numbers reveal deeper reality As cars continue to fill garages in rural Sindh while collection of revenue in income tax on agriculture remain significantly low, the province's fiscal data tells a deeper story — of wealth that's visible on roads, but not reflected in the tax rolls. Latest estimates suggest the share of agriculture in Pakistan's gross domestic product stands at around 23.54% in FY25, while its share in revenue in taxes remained around 1%. Since agriculture income tax remains a provincial subject, Federal Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb said the provinces have done legislation for income tax on agriculture, expecting a significant increase in collections in the next fiscal year starting July 1, 2025. In contrast to Aurangzeb's projection, the Sindh government has targeted to collect Rs8 billion income tax on agriculture at in the next fiscal year (FY26) starting July 1, 2025. This is still low compared to the motor vehicle registration fees to be collected at Rs9.35 billion in both outgoing FY25 and upcoming FY26. All four provincial governments have legislated agriculture income tax recently in compliance with the federal government commitment with International Monetary Fund (IMF) to increase tax collection to Rs14.307 trillion (10.7% of GDP). The Sindh government, however, criticized the federal government for the commitment, saying it should have taken provinces into confidence before making such promises. The agriculture income tax is projected to make agriculture produces expensive, as people belonging to the sector may pass on the tax impact to end-consumers, it was learnt. A major portion of the motor vehicle registration fee was earned from passenger cars, SUVs and LCVs segment, according to Sindh's Excise, Taxation and Narcotics Control Department, which collects the fee in the range of 1% to 5% of the value of the vehicle. The department books small collections from the registration of tractors at Rs2,000/unit and motorcycles in range of 0.5% to 2% of the value of the two-wheelers.
Business Recorder
18-06-2025
- Automotive
- Business Recorder
Tax imbalance: Sindh to earn over twice as much from vehicle registration as agriculture
In a revealing fiscal projection, the Sindh government has said it will collect Rs9.35 billion in motor vehicle registration fees in the outgoing fiscal year ending June 30, 2025. That is more than double the Rs4 billion to be collected from income tax on the province's vast agriculture sector, according to budget documents. The figures highlight a long-standing wealth imbalance, suggesting people who are classified in middle and upper agriculture income brackets and rural elite earn and spend significantly on their lifestyle, but their tax contributions remain surprisingly low. The situation has resulted in a climbing tax burden on tax compliant industrial and services sectors as well as individuals earning salaries from non-agriculture sectors. The provincial government is set to collect comparatively higher revenue from motor vehicle registration fees despite the fact that the tax is charged at lower rates — ranging from 1% to 5% of the value of vehicles, depending on engine size. In contrast, agriculture income is taxed at significantly higher rates, from 15% to 45%, effective January 1, 2025. Additionally, a super tax of 1% to 10% applies to high agricultural incomes, while corporate farming is taxed at rates between 20% and 29%. Agriculturists remain minimal contributors to provincial tax revenues During the first half of FY25 (July–December), the applicable agriculture income tax ranged from 5% to 15%. Yet, agriculturists continue to contribute disproportionately little to provincial tax revenues. Agriculture remains a big source of income for almost half of the total provincial population (55.7 million) living in rural areas including poor farmers, landlords and individuals as well as businesses engaged in large-scale agricultural production including livestock. Muhammad Abrar Polani, an auto analyst at Arif Habib Limited, estimated that some 40% of the total vehicles sold nationwide are purchased by the people living in rural areas across the country. People living in rural Sindh buy around 40% of the total sold in the province. Other analysts said car purchasing is at peak in rural areas at the time of harvesting winter and summer crops, as well as around Eid-ul-Adha when farmers sell livestock mainly in urban centers. Hamdan Ahmed, an auto analyst at Optimus Capital Management, said in a commentary this week that agriculture season and development (PSDP/public sector development programme) spending fueled volumes growth in sale of passenger cars, SUVs (Sports Utility Vehicles) and LCVs (Light Commercial Vehicles) in May 2025. Auto sales (excluding tractors, buses and 2/3 wheelers) improved 38% year-on-year to 15,396 units in May, 'supported by the easing of highway closures from last month's canal protests, PSDP spending in the last months of FY25, (and) 'wheat harvest' despite pre-budgetary expectations.' Numbers reveal deeper reality As cars continue to fill garages in rural Sindh while collection of revenue in income tax on agriculture remain significantly low, the province's fiscal data tells a deeper story — of wealth that's visible on roads, but not reflected in the tax rolls. Latest estimates suggest the share of agriculture in Pakistan's gross domestic product stands at around 23.54% in FY25, while its share in revenue in taxes remained around 1%. Since agriculture income tax remains a provincial subject, Federal Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb said the provinces have done legislation for income tax on agriculture, expecting a significant increase in collections in the next fiscal year starting July 1, 2025. In contrast to Aurangzeb's projection, the Sindh government has targeted to collect Rs8 billion income tax on agriculture at in the next fiscal year (FY26) starting July 1, 2025. This is still low compared to the motor vehicle registration fees to be collected at Rs9.35 billion in both outgoing FY25 and upcoming FY26. All four provincial governments have legislated agriculture income tax recently in compliance with the federal government commitment with International Monetary Fund (IMF) to increase tax collection to Rs14.307 trillion (10.7% of GDP). The Sindh government, however, criticized the federal government for the commitment, saying it should have taken provinces into confidence before making such promises. The agriculture income tax is projected to make agriculture produces expensive, as people belonging to the sector may pass on the tax impact to end-consumers, it was learnt. A major portion of the motor vehicle registration fee was earned from passenger cars, SUVs and LCVs segment, according to Sindh's Excuse, Taxation and Narcotics Control Department, which collects the fee in the range of 1% to 5% of the value of the vehicle. The department books small collections from the registration of tractors at Rs2,000/unit and motorcycles in range of 0.5% to 2% of the value of the two-wheelers.
Express Tribune
29-01-2025
- Business
- Express Tribune
Rs55b windfall expected from gas tariff hike
Listen to article In line with International Monetary Fund (IMF) commitments, the government is projected to collect over Rs55 billion in prior year adjustments (PYA) during FY25, following an increase in gas tariffs for captive power plants (CPPs). The tariff was raised from Rs3,000/mmbtu to Rs3,500/mmbtu for CPPs, pushing the weighted average gas tariff to Rs1,722/mmbtu, with an expected annual average of Rs1,689/mmbtu, said Hamdan Ahmed, an analyst at Optimus Capital Management. Additionally, the Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority's (OGRA) oil price assumption of $81.8/bbl, compared to FYTD25 prices of $76.5/bbl, suggests an upside potential to revenue estimates. The power sector stands to benefit from this shift. If CPPs transition to the national grid, a net tariff reduction of Rs0.2-0.5/KWh could be achieved across all consumer segments. "A net tariff reduction of Rs0.2-0.5/KWh for all consumers is achievable if CPPs shift to the grid," said Ahmed. Additionally, capacity charges may decrease by Rs0.6/KWh, particularly as the majority of CPPs — around 3,676 GWh — are concentrated in the South. Increased reliance on low-cost nuclear and Thar coal plants would further aid in lowering electricity tariffs, he wrote in a research report. On the other hand, the gas sector faces limited direct impact, though a complete shift of CPPs to the grid could lead to a Rs35 billion under-collection, necessitating a modest 5% gas tariff hike to meet revenue requirements. However, short-term challenges remain, including excess RLNG in the system, potential disruptions to domestic gas supply, and risks of exploration and production (E&P) curtailments. Despite this, the weighted average cost of gas remains below imported RLNG, favouring its reallocation to productive industrial use. In line with IMF commitments, the government is expected to accelerate the grid transition of CPPs through levies, which could weigh on energy-intensive industries such as chemicals, textiles, and cement. However, Ahmed anticipated that electricity tariff reductions may offset some of the financial strain on these industries. Additionally, exploration and production companies (E&Ps) and the PSO could benefit from a gradual recovery in circular debt stock, which is around Rs2.8 trillion. It is pertinent to mention that OGRA had notified an increase of Rs500/MMBtu in gas tariffs, effective February 1, 2025, for CPPs, with the primary beneficiary being the textile sector. Gas prices remained unchanged for all other consumer categories. Contrary to the Petroleum Division's proposal of a Rs100/MMBtu hike in unprotected residential consumer tariffs, the government opted to maintain the current rate. The Economic Coordination Committee also clarified its plans to gradually bring gas tariffs for CPPs at par with RLNG rates and instructed the Petroleum Ministry to take measures to impose a grid transition levy on CPPs. The revision in gas prices for CPPs would reduce the gap between CPP tariffs and RLNG prices to a minimum of $0.12/MMBtu, compared to an average of over $6.5/MMBtu over the past three years, thus meeting IMF guidelines for tariff alignment, wrote JS Global. However, contrary to common belief that companies using CPPs would shift to the national grid after the hike, they may choose to maintain CPP utilisation despite the increased price. The transition to the grid is estimated to take six months, and fluctuations in power supply could prove costly, said Ahmed. "The supply, even at the increased price, is a sigh of relief for CPPs," wrote Shagufta Irshad of JS Global in her report. A 17% or Rs500/MMBtu hike in gas tariffs, compared to a potential complete cut in gas supply, would still provide relief for CPPs, especially in the textile sector. Although the industry has arranged for alternative fuel and power sources — including multi-fuel-fired plants, increased solar power capacities, direct RLNG purchases from private companies, and power supply arrangements with respective power utilitiesa complete disconnection remains a threat. This is particularly concerning as an uninterrupted power supply from the grid throughout the year remains uncertain.
