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New York Times

After Surge During Pandemic, Homicides Fall Significantly

Homicides in the United States have continued to fall sharply this year, according to a new analysis published Thursday by the Council on Criminal Justice, a nonprofit policy research organization, based on data from more than three dozen American cities. If the trend continues for the remainder of the year, the United States could post a third straight year of record declines in homicides. Homicides in major cities Total homicides over the previous 12 months, by month Chicago Philadelphia 800 600 400 501 homicides from July '24 to June '25 200 253 Jan. '19 June '25 Jan. '19 June '25 St. Louis Baltimore 400 200 176 119 Jan. '19 June '25 Jan. '19 June '25 Detroit San Antonio 400 200 206 115 Jan. '19 June '25 Jan. '19 June '25 Chicago Philadelphia Baltimore 800 600 400 501 homicides from July 2024 to June 2025 253 176 200 2019 2021 2023 2025 2019 2021 2023 2025 2019 2021 2023 2025 St. Louis Detroit San Antonio 800 600 400 206 200 119 115 2019 2021 2023 2019 2021 2023 2025 2019 2021 2023 2025 2025 Source: Council on Criminal Justice By The New York Times In fact, the new analysis suggests that the broad crime surge that took place during the pandemic has largely reversed itself. Of 13 categories of crimes that the council tracks, only one — car theft — remains higher than in 2019, the year before the pandemic. But the council's study is limited to a sampling of 42 American cities whose police departments release data on a timely basis, and for which it can make comparisons to crime levels just before the pandemic. The smallest city in the study is Cary, N.C., and the largest is New York City. The findings of the council's study through the first six months of this year largely align with other private sources of data that offer clues to national trends about crime. The F.B.I. has typically provided official nationwide crime data once a year. It last released nationwide statistics in September 2024. Murders in the United States Total murders over the previous 12 months, by month 12,000 10,000 8,000 7,551 murders from June '24 to May '25 6,000 4,000 2,000 2019 2021 2023 2025 12,000 10,000 8,000 7,551 murders from June 2024 to May 2025 6,000 4,000 2,000 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Note: Chart represents sample of 421 police agencies with available data. Source: Real-Time Crime Index By The New York Times Other crimes in the United States Total reported incidents over the previous 12 months, by month Robberies 100,000 109,253 robberies from June '24 to May '25 2019 2021 2023 2025 Aggravated assaults 400,000 300,000 343,137 assaults from June '24 to May '25 200,000 100,000 2019 2021 2023 2025 Motor vehicle theft 500,000 400,000 397,814 auto thefts from June '24 to May '25 300,000 200,000 100,000 2019 2021 2023 2025 Robberies Aggravated assaults Motor vehicle thefts 500,000 400,000 397,814 thefts 343,137 assaults 300,000 200,000 100,000 109,253 robberies from June 2024 to May 2025 2019 2021 2023 2019 2021 2023 2025 2025 2019 2021 2023 2025 Note: Chart on robberies show a sample of 417 police agencies, aggravated assaults show a sample of 414 agencies, and motor vehicle thefts show a sample of 417 agencies. Source: Real-Time Crime Index By The New York Times Want all of The Times? Subscribe.