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New York Post
6 days ago
- Climate
- New York Post
National Hurricane Center flags area to watch for possible tropical development as system soaks Gulf Coast
A storm system spinning off the southeastern US coastline has caught the attention of the National Hurricane Center (NHC) with a small chance of developing into a tropical system. Much like what was previously known as Invest 93L earlier this month, a trough of low pressure at the southern end of a frontal boundary is forecast to move west-southwestward into the north-central portion of the Gulf, according to the NHC. Advertisement There, environmental conditions could allow for some slow development if the system remains far enough offshore. However, by this weekend, the system is likely to move inland, ending its chances for development. Though much like Invest 93L, the threat of heavy rain and thunderstorms will persist if the trough eventually develops into a tropical system. The NHC is currently just giving a low chance of development. Advertisement In terms of rainfall totals, about 2–3 inches could fall across much of the northern Gulf Coast, with some locally higher amounts. Widespread flash flooding isn't expected, but isolated flooding could pop up in pockets of heavy precipitation sitting over an area for too long. 3 This graphic shows the possible development area. FOX Weather The disturbance may have less of a chance to develop when compared to Invest 93L because the previous event had more of an organized structure when compared to the current system. Advertisement That said, the southerly flow along the northern Gulf will likely last for days, leading to an increased risk for rip currents along area beaches. A medium risk of rip currents is expected along the Florida Panhandle from Destin to Port St. Joe, as well as along the Atlantic coast from Daytona Beach southward through Melbourne and West Palm Beach, through the last weekend of July. 3 This graphic shows the forecast rain totals in the Southeast through Saturday, July 26, 2025. FOX Weather 3 Environmental conditions could allow for some slow development if the system remains far enough offshore. National Hurricane Center Impacts already felt along Southeast coast Advertisement Flooding has already been experienced in parts of the South Carolina Low Country as the combination of higher tides and heavy rainfall made streets around Charleston look more like ponds. Downtown Charleston received just over an inch of rainfall on Monday, but with nowhere for the water to go, flooding was reported on several roadways. Minor saltwater flooding was also reported around Charleston Harbor on Tuesday – impacts that will continue until the disturbed area of weather moves through the Gulf.
Associated Press
29-06-2025
- Climate
- Associated Press
Tropical Storm Barry forms off eastern coast of Mexico
MIAMI (AP) — The National Hurricane Center in Miami says Tropical Storm Barry has formed and is expected to bring heavy rain to Mexico's Atlantic coast over the next few days The Hurricane Center said at about 11 a.m. EDT that the storm's center was located about 90 miles (140 kilometers) east-southeast of Tuxpan, Mexico and about 165 miles (about 265 kilometers) southeast of Tampico, Mexico. Maximum sustained winds were measured at 40 mph (65 kph). Barry was moving northwest at 6 mph (9 kph). A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the coast of Mexico from Boca de Catan southward to Tecolutla. The storm is expected to strengthen slightly before it reaches the coast of eastern Mexico. Rapid weakening is expected after the system moves inland.
Yahoo
24-06-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Tropical Storm Andrea forms in Atlantic. See spaghetti models, projected path
Tropical Storm Andrea, the first named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, has formed. Don't expect Andrea to hang around long. The National Hurricane Center issued its first advisory on the system at 11 a.m. June 24. Elsewhere, a heat dome continues to bring record-breaking temperatures from Kansas to Maine. The heat and humidity are expected to last into through the first half of the week, keeping the heat index and temperatures hotter than Florida. ➤ Track all active storms ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location The National Hurricane Center is tracking three tropical waves, including two in the Caribbean. The first named storm in the Atlantic basin will be Andrea. The average first named storm in the Atlantic happens on June 20, said Alex DaSilva, AccuWeather lead hurricane expert. Here's the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center as of 8 a.m. June 24. Location: 1,205 miles west of the Azores Maximum sustained winds: 40 mph Movement: east-northeast at 17 mph At 11 a.m. AST, the center of Tropical Storm Andrea was located near latitude 36.6 North, longitude 48.9 West. Andrea is moving toward the east-northeast near 17 mph, and this motion is expected to continue for the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph, with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles from the center. Weakening is expected to begin tonight, with Andrea dissipating by Wednesday night, June 25. Special note about spaghetti models: Spaghetti model illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The Hurricane Center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts. The National Hurricane Center is monitoring three tropical waves in the Atlantic basin. Tropical wave 1: The axis of a tropical wave is along 28W, south of 16N, moving westward around 17 mph. Tropical wave 2: A tropical wave is moving across the eastern Caribbean. Its axis is along 64W, south of 17N, moving westward at 23 to 28 mph. The wave appears to enhance convection over eastern Venezuela. Tropical wave 3: A second tropical is over the central Caribbean with axis along 73W,south of 18N, moving quickly westward at 23 to 28 mph. Scattered moderate convection is found from 13N to 15N between 70W and 76W. This wave is forecast to reach Central America on June 25, increasing the likelihood of showers and thunderstorms. The next plume of dust that could impact South Florida may arrive around June 27 and could last a few days, DaSilva said via email. "Strong wind shear and an abundance of Saharan dust is helping to protect Florida," DaSilva said. "The average first named storm in the Atlantic is June 20 and the average first hurricane is Aug. 11. It is not really that unusual for the start of the season to be quiet. Water temperatures and ocean heat content remain very high in the Gulf. "I think once we get more into the heart of the season, things could get very active. Expect a second-half loaded season. Dry air, including associated Saharan dust, along with wind shear, both prevent tropical systems from developing or strengthening, essentially cutting off the fuel storms need. Florida weather forecast for June 24, 2025 Pensacola, western Panhandle: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. High 91. Tallahassee, central Panhandle: Temperatures will be in the upper 90s and approaching 100. Heat index 105. Jacksonville, North/Northeast Florida: Highs will soar to the upper 90s inland this afternoon, with peak heat indices around 105 degrees. Daytona Beach to Stuart, East/Central Florida: Below normal storm chances today, with the greatest coverage from Lake Kissimmee to Vero Beach southward. Hot & humid again today with highs in the U80s/L90s along the coast, and L90s inland. Highs range from 87 in Daytona Beach to 86 in Stuart and 93 in Orlando. West Palm Beach to Naples, South/Southwest Florida: Isolated showers over the east coast and nearshore Atlantic in the morning. Chance for rain and strong thunderstorms increasing in the afternoon and evening across inland and Gulf Coast. High in West Palm Beach 84. High in Naples 93, with heat index 101. Fort Myers to Sarasota, West/Southwest Florida: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. High 93, with heat index 99 in Fort Myers. High 91, heat index 98 in Sarasota. The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said. The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America, as the Gulf of Mexico is now known in the U.S. per an order from President Trump. NOAA and the National Hurricane Center are now using Gulf of America on its maps and in its advisories. The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center. Hurricane season starts June 1 in the Atlantic basin. Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include: Tropical cyclone is the generic term used by the National Weather Service, NOAA and the National Hurricane Center for any tropical system, even if it's in the tropical Atlantic basin. To be more precise, a tropical cyclone is a "rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or subtropical waters and has closed, low-level circulation," NOAA said. Once maximum sustained winds reach 74 mph, what it is called is determined by where it originated: : for storms in the North Atlantic, central North Pacific, and eastern North Pacific. : for storms in the Northwest Pacific. : for storms in the South Pacific and Indian Ocean. We will update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This story was updated to add new information. This article originally appeared on Florida Times-Union: NOAA tracking Tropical Storm Andrea, tropical waves. Florida forecast
CTV News
18-06-2025
- Climate
- CTV News
Hurricane Erick forms off Mexico's Pacific coast and threatens to bring flooding and mudslides
This satellite image provided by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) shows Tropical Storm Erick, Tuesday, June 17, 2025. (NOAA via AP) MEXICO CITY — Hurricane Erick formed Wednesday in the Pacific Ocean on a forecast track to bring heavy rain, strong winds, storm surge and possible mudslides to southern coastal Mexico, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said. Up to 20 inches (51 centimetres) of rain could fall across the Mexican states of Oaxaca and Guerrero, with lighter amounts in Chiapas, Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco states, the Miami-based centre said in an advisory. The rainfall threatened flooding and mudslides, especially in areas with steep terrain. Erick was located about 160 miles (257 kilometres) south-southeast of Puerto Angel, Mexico, and had maximum sustained winds of 75 mph (121 km/h). It was moving northwest at 7 mph (11 km/h). Erick is expected to be at or near major hurricane status as it approaches the Mexican coast on Thursday. A major hurricane is defined as Category 3 or higher and wind speeds of 111-129 mph (180-210 kph). The storm's projected path would take its centre near the resort of Acapulco, which was devastated in October 2023 by Hurricane Otis, a Category 5 hurricane that rapidly intensified and caught many unprepared. At least 52 people died in Otis and 32 were missing, after the storm severely damaged almost all of the resort's hotels. Guerrero state Gov. Evelyn Salgado said Tuesday that lessons were learned from that storm. She said all schools in the state would close Wednesday and said 582 shelters were prepared to receive people who might evacuate their homes. A hurricane warning was in effect for Acapulco to Puerto Angel. A hurricane warning means hurricane conditions are expected in the area, and preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion, according to the hurricane centre advisory. Heavy rainfall up to 20 inches (51 centimetres) was forecast for parts of Oaxaca and Guerrero, with as much as 8 inches (20 centimetres) set to fall in Chiapas, Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco states. The Associated Press
Yahoo
07-06-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
New area to watch joins Invests 91E, 92E in busy eastern Pacific tropics as Barbara looms this weekend
A busy start to the hurricane season in the eastern Pacific Ocean got even busier Saturday morning as the National Hurricane Center has now added a third area to watch for possible tropical development. But in the short term, two clusters of thunderstorms are on the cusp of becoming the basin's next named storms, but which area of disturbed weather will take the name Barbara remains somewhat of an open question. Both thunderstorm clusters were designated as invests on Friday as they parallel or slowly drift away from the Mexican coastline. The National Hurricane Center first designated the batch of developing thunderstorms farther away from the southwestern Mexican coast as Invest 91E on Friday. A few hours later, the cluster closer to the coast became Invest 92E. An "invest" designation signals an area of heightened interest and allows the National Hurricane Center to run a collection of specialized datasets and computer forecast model guidance on that area of disturbed weather. These computer models simulate the system's projected track possibilities and predict its future intensity. Saharan Dust Muddies Florida Skies Before Eyeing Gulf Coast, Texas What Is An Invest During Hurricane Season? Both 91E and 92E have a near-certain chance of developing into a tropical system over the weekend. Invest 91E organized somewhat quickly and is expected to see continued gradual development. The NHC says a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves northwestward at about 10 mph. It has a 70% chance of tropical development over the weekend. What Is An Invest During Hurricane Season? Invest 92E, located several hundred miles southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec, could potentially have impacts on Mexico's southwestern coast with rounds of heavy rains and high surf. "Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form this weekend as the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph," NHC forecasters said. Invest 92E has an 80% chance of development over the weekend and thunderstorm activity has increased on the disturbance's eastern side, according to the Hurricane Center. The next name on the list is Barbara. If both manage to form into a tropical storm, the latter one would be named Cosme. Finishing out the trio, a new area to watch was tagged by the NHC on Saturday morning as an area of low pressure is forecast to develop late next week south of southern Mexico. The NHC says conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this system as it moves west-northwestward, but as of now just has a low chance of development over the nest week. How To Watch Fox Weather Tropical activity has been increasing in the basin since the start of the hurricane season on May 15. Tropical Storm Alvin formed and quickly dissipated last week. Watch: Drone Video Shows Giant Wave Swallowing Up Swimmers On Mexican BeachOriginal article source: New area to watch joins Invests 91E, 92E in busy eastern Pacific tropics as Barbara looms this weekend
