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News18
2 days ago
- Politics
- News18
Nine Deadly Scenarios After US Attack On Iran's Nukes Which May Reshape Middle East
Last Updated: Is peace going to descend on the Middle East, or is the stormy sea of unending turmoil going to get redder and wider? In the Iran-Israel conflict, America does not any longer have the gun to Iran's head. With the airstrikes on Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan, it has pulled the trigger. What is going to be the impact of this in the region and the world? Is peace going to descend on the Middle East, or is the stormy sea of unending turmoil going to get redder and wider? Let us examine a dropdown of scenarios. First, the Ayatollah Ali Khameini regime may fall. Israel, and now the US, are not just targeting nuclear, ballistic missile, and military infrastructure. They are going for the symbols of the regime, have assassinated almost the entire military leadership, driven Khameini himself to a secret bunker, and bombed places like the Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting. Second, the assassination of Khameini is not off the table. Israel has taken out a major chunk of his team, Trump said the US knew where he was hiding, and asked if the US would back a possible Israeli hit, US Vice President JD Vance said, it is 'up to the Israelis". Third, if the Ayatollah regime indeed falls, it does not guarantee peace. In fact, the vacuum could be filled by ideological hardliners in the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) or the Iranian military. The prospect of an Iraq 2.0 — with ISIS-like actors running amuck — is looming in Iran now, some analysts claim. In spite of the western agencies' support for a prominent Opposition figure like US-based Reza Pahlavi — the son of the ousted Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi — he does not enjoy broad popularity inside Iran. A major reason is because Pahlavi wants the restoration of the warm ties which existed between his late father and Israel and to upturn the Islamic Republic's refusal to recognise Israel as a nation. Monarchists want such a reconciliation to be termed the 'Cyrus Accords', after the ancient Persian king who is credited with freeing the Jews from Babylon. The other challenger group is the People's Mujahedin (MEK), whose leader Maryam Rajavi told the European Parliament recently: 'The people of Iran want the overthrow of this regime." But most of the other Opposition dislikes the MEK and many Iranians distrust it for supporting Saddam Hussein during the Iran-Iraq war. Fourth, Iran could resume nuclear talks. This is despite Iran's foreign minister Abbas Araghchi posting on X right after the US bombings: 'Last week, we were in negotiations with the US when Israel decided to blow up that diplomacy. This week, we held talks with the E3 (group of European ministers)/EU when the US decided to blow up that diplomacy." Iran has made it clear that the scenarios may not necessarily work out for the US-Israel-West alliance. Speaking in Istanbul, Iran's foreign minister Abbas Araghchi cautioned on Sunday that his country has 'a variety of options". Fifth and a distinctly possible outcome could be that of Iran retaliating. Mapping possibilities, James M. Acton, the chair and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, told The New Yorker: 'The first one is immediate Iranian retaliation. Iran has many short-range ballistic missiles that can reach American bases and American assets in the region. Israel has not particularly targeted that infrastructure. It's been primarily focussed on Iran's longer-range missiles that can reach Israel. So I'm expecting to see some pretty dramatic attempted retaliation by Iran, and I think that puts enormous pressure on the President to respond again." According to the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), the US maintains a presence at 19 sites across the region, with eight of those considered by analysts to have a permanent US presence. As of June 13, the CFR estimated 40,000-odd US troops were in the Middle East. In 2020, an Iranian missile attack on a US garrison left more than 100 soldiers with crippling brain injuries. Sixth, the escalation could see IRGC activate its much-weakened but existing proxies across Iraq, Yemen, and Syria which have previously attacked US assets in the region. Israel has brought Hezbollah and Hamas on their knees, but Houthis are a less organised ragtag militia still capable of much harm. Seventh, Iran has moved to block the Strait of Hormuz. It could affect the whole of commercial shipping in the Gulf. The narrow strait connects the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman, and flows out into the Arabian Sea. Major oil producers like Iran itself, Saudi Arabia, and UAE depend on the Strait of Hormuz to access the open seas. The strait is in the territorial waters of Iran and Oman. A blockage will dramatically affect the world's oil trade and prices. Interestingly, the Strait of Hormuz accounts for 50 per cent of China's total oil supplies and only 5 per cent of America's, according to some estimates. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio urged China to ask Iran to not shut down the Strait. 'I encourage the Chinese government in Beijing to call them about that, because they heavily depend on the Strait of Hormuz for their oil. If they do that, it will be another terrible mistake. It's an economic suicide for them if they do it," Rubio told Fox News. About 20 million barrels of oil flow through the strait each day, according to the US Energy Information Administration. Eighth, Iran may restart its nuclear programme. 'In the slightly longer term, I believe it's very likely that Iran's going to reconstitute its nuclear program. I think Iran is likely to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) and thus kick out inspectors," Acton has been quoted saying in The New Yorker. Iran had a batch of highly enriched uranium once believed to be stored in tunnels underneath Isfahan. While Iranians have claimed that they have removed it, none can say for sure. Ninth, with its nuclear sites bombed, Iran could make its nuke set-up portable and thus, more ominous. Components for building centrifuges which were being monitored when the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) under Barack Obama's 2015 nuclear deal. Trump pulled out in 2018. So, these parts are no longer being monitored. If the highly enriched uranium and the centrifuge components are small, it means they are portable, Acton avers. They can be moved around the country and be easily hidden. top videos View all And that could be the worst scenario born ironically out of the US-Israel attempt to stub off Iran's nuclear challenge. In all these, one outcome seems clear: the war in the Middle East is still not over. Abhijit Majumder is a senior journalist. Views expressed in the above piece are personal and solely those of the author. They do not necessarily reflect News18's views. First Published: Disclaimer: Comments reflect users' views, not News18's. Please keep discussions respectful and constructive. Abusive, defamatory, or illegal comments will be removed. News18 may disable any comment at its discretion. By posting, you agree to our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.
India.com
05-07-2025
- Politics
- India.com
Iran supreme leader Khamenei's net worth will shock you! Thousands of crores, has 6 children, has been married…., his wealth is accumulated…
Iran supreme leader Khamenei's net worth will shock you! Thousands of crores, has 6 children, has been married…., his wealth is accumulated… Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, had strongly criticised US President Donald Trump's call for Iran's surrender, describing it as "too big to come out of his mouth." By Sumaila Zaman Edited by Sumaila Zaman Advertisement Iran supreme leader Khamenei's net worth will shock you! Thousands of crores, has 6 children, has been married...., his wealth is accumulated... The war between Iran and Israel has been intensifying in recent months, and as the violence escalates, Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has made a clear warning to the United States about its support for Israel, stating that it will lead to important consequences. Once again, the attention turned to the personal life of the 84-year-old leader and his enormous wealth. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is Iran's Supreme Leader and one of the most powerful people in the world. As far as his wealth is concerned, although his official income is small, some accounts state he manages billions of dollars worth of revenue and assets through various organizations, therefore making him one of the wealthiest leaders in the world. Advertisement === When Khamenei warned Trump… Earlier on June 27, Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, had strongly criticised US President Donald Trump's call for Iran's surrender, describing it as 'too big to come out of his mouth.' 'The US President stated, 'Iran must surrender.' Needless to say, this statement is too big to come out of the US president's mouth,' Khamenei wrote on X. Iran is a country remarkably well-known for its strict application of the Hijab law (Hijab and Chastity Bill). Not only do laws related to the Hijab not allow for individual discretion, but non-compliance with hijab laws can also lead to considerable punishments – from large fines, incarceration, and education bans, to employment bans with travel restrictions. Advertisement === When did Ayatollah Ali Khamenei come to power in Iran? For 44 years, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has been in power in Iran, and he has married only once (1964), to Mansoureh Khojasteh Bagherzadeh. Mansoureh, who is now 78 years of age, was born in 1947 in Mashhad province of Iran to a devout Persian family with their fair share of privilege. Her father, Mohammad Esmail Khojasteh Bagherzadeh, was a businessperson, and her brother, Hasan Khojasteh Bagherzadeh, was the deputy director of the Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting(IRIB). She practices Islam and is of Persian ethnic origin. The couple has six children (four sons and two daughters). Who are Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's children, and how many does he have? Khamenei's Sons: Mojtaba Khamenei Masoud Khamenei Mostafa Khamenei Meysam Khamenei Khamenei's Daughters: Hoda Khamenei Boshra Khamenei Who is Boshra Khamenei? Boshra Khamenei, the daughter of Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, was born in the 1980s in Mashhad, Iran. She is around 40 years old. Boshra was raised in a religious family and follows Islam, specifically the Shia sect, due to strong clerical influences in her family. Ethnically, Boshra is Persian. However, much of the information about her personal life is kept private, as the Khamenei family is particularly careful about privacy. A six-month investigation conducted by Reuters disclosed that Khamenei controls a huge financial empire through an entity called Setad (Execution of Imam Khomeini's Order). In 2013, Reuters estimated the assets of Setad to be approximately $95 billion. However, other reports have suggested that this could be as high as $200 billion, citing U.S. officials' estimates. What is Ayatollah Khamenei's personal fortune, and how was it accumulated? Ayatollah Khamenei's personal fortune, particularly via Setad, is estimated to be worth between $95 billion and $200 billion. His sons—Mojtaba, Masoud, and Meysam—also reportedly own assets in the millions to billions. Despite enforcing strict hijab laws, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is a polarizing figure on the world stage as a wealthy and private man. Although claiming to value simplicity, his financial empire in the range of $95 billion-$200 billion raises many questions.
Toronto Star
23-06-2025
- Politics
- Toronto Star
Canada starts busing citizens out of Israel days after allies began
A man walks through the damaged headquarters of Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting, Iranian state television, in Tehran, Iran on Thursday, June 19, 2025. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi) flag wire: true flag sponsored: false article_type: : sWebsitePrimaryPublication : publications/toronto_star bHasMigratedAvatar : false :
Hindustan Times
23-06-2025
- Politics
- Hindustan Times
Israeli strikes on Iran killed at least 950 people, claims human rights group
Jun 23, 2025 06:32 AM IST Israeli strikes on Iran have killed at least 950 people and wounded 3,450 others, a human rights group said Monday. This picture shows the destroyed building of the Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting (IRIB) after it was hit a few days earlier in an Israeli strike, in Tehran.(AFP) The Washington-based group Human Rights Activists offered the figures, which covers the entirety of Iran. It said of those dead, it identified 380 civilians and 253 security force personnel being killed. Human Rights Activists, which also provided detailed casualty figures during the 2022 protests over the death of Mahsa Amini, crosschecks local reports in the Islamic Republic against a network of sources it has developed in the country. Iran has not been offering regular death tolls during the conflict and has minimised casualties in the past. On Saturday, Iran's Health Ministry said some 400 Iranians had been killed and another 3,056 wounded in the Israeli strikes.
Hindustan Times
21-06-2025
- Politics
- Hindustan Times
Iran Israel war updates: Indians evacuated from Iran to land in Delhi today
Heavily damaged building of the Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting (IRIB) after it was hit a few days earlier in an Israeli strike, in Tehran. Iran and Israel exchanged a new wave of air strikes on Friday, marking the eighth consecutive day of hostilities between the neighbours. The conflict intensified even as European diplomats convened in Geneva in a fresh bid to revive nuclear negotiations and stem further escalation. Israeli fighter jets targeted missile infrastructure in western Iran, the military said, while Tehran launched salvos of missiles at Haifa and Beersheba. At least 19 Israelis were reported wounded, and Iran's Human Rights Activists News Agency estimated 657 deaths and over 2,000 injuries in Iran since the conflict began. ...Read More In Geneva, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi held talks with EU foreign policy chief and ministers from the UK, France, and Germany. Araghchi said Iran would not engage with the US until Israel halts its attacks, but signaled willingness to continue talks with Europe. US President Donald Trump cast doubt on European mediation efforts, asserting that 'Iran doesn't want to speak to Europe. They want to speak to us.' Trump had on Friday warned Tehran that it has only two weeks to de-escalate or face potential American intervention. Latest developments in the Iran Israel war: Israel vows a 'prolonged campaign' to cripple Iran's nuclear capacity. Iran's foreign minister holds talks in Geneva, but rules out US dialogue for now. Israel says it struck missile and nuclear-related sites in Tehran and western Iran. Trump gives Iran two weeks to de-escalate or face possible US strikes. Iran reports 657 killed, including civilians, in Israeli airstrikes since the conflict began. Iran accuses Israel of bombing five hospitals in recent attacks. Haifa and Beersheba hit by Iranian missiles; 19 injured in Israel. Arab ministers warn of regional energy disruption, call for US pressure. Follow all the updates here: June 21, 2025 6:09 AM IST Iran Israel war live: Hundreds of American citizens have departed Iran using land routes over the past week since an aerial war between the Islamic Republic and Israel broke out, according to an internal State Department cable seen by Reuters on Friday. While many left without problem, "numerous" citizens had faced "delays and harassment" while trying to exit, the cable said. It said, without giving further details, that one unidentified family had reported that two US citizens attempting to leave Iran had been detained. June 21, 2025 6:05 AM IST Iran Israel war live: The Israeli military launched a new wave of attacks targeting missile storage and launch infrastructure within Iran. Following the recent Iranian air strikes, Israeli authorities have now instructed residents that it is safe to leave protected areas, indicating that the immediate threat has passed.
