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Both Israel and Iran deny violating truce
Both Israel and Iran deny violating truce

Time of India

time25-06-2025

  • Politics
  • Time of India

Both Israel and Iran deny violating truce

After US President Donald Trump harshly criticised Israel and Iran on Tuesday for mounting attacks after his announcement that a ceasefire deal had been reached, both countries denied having violated the truce and pushed back with their own timelines of events. The absence of details surrounding the truce deal added to the confusion about the sequence of the strikes and counter-strikes that took place in the hours after the initial announcement. Trump did not publicly specify a start time when he announced the truce, for example. There are also time differences involved. Iranian time is half an hour ahead of Israeli time, which is seven hours ahead of Eastern Daylight Time. Yet despite the discordant Iranian and Israeli claims about timelines, the mutual denials of violations strongly suggested that each side wanted the ceasefire to hold. PM Netanyahu of Israel said Tuesday afternoon that the ceasefire had been set to take effect at 7am Israel time. Four hours earlier, at 3am, Israel attacked targets "in the heart of Tehran," his office said in a statement, adding that shortly before the truce came into effect Iran fired a barrage of missiles at Israel. One hit an apartment building in the southern Israeli city of Beersheba, killing four people. At 7.06am in Israel, Iran fired another missile, and then two more at 10.25am, according to Israel. Netanyahu's office said those missiles were intercepted or fell in open areas. In response, Netanyahu's office said, Israeli forces destroyed a radar position near Tehran. By then, Trump had publicly demanded that Israel not respond, describing the last volley of missiles fired by Iran at northern Israel as "one rocket that didn't land, that was shot perhaps by mistake." Despite earlier threats from the Israeli defence minister and military that Israel would respond forcefully to the missile fire, the actual Israeli response appeared to be limited and symbolic. "Following a conversation between President Trump and PM Netanyahu, Israel refrained from further attacks," Netanyahu's office said. Around the same time, Trump wrote on social media that Israel's warplanes would "turn around and head home." Iran, for its part, said its missile fire came as retaliation for Israel's pre-dawn bombardment, and only before the cease-fire was meant to start. The Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps said that in retaliation for "savage" Israeli attacks on Iran overnight, Iran had launched 14 missiles at military and logistical centres in Israel in the "final minutes" before the cease-fire came into effect, according to a statement published on the Telegram channel of Press TV, an Iranian state news channel. The statement made no mention of the firing any missiles after the cease-fire came into force, as Trump and Israel charged. In addition, an Iranian military spokesman, Lt. Col. Ebrahim Zolfaqari, said Israel had launched "three waves of attacks" against Iran on Tuesday morning, after the ceasefire was supposed to take effect, with the last ending at 9 am Iranian time, according to a Press TV report citing a report from Defa Press, another Iranian news agency. Fars, a news agency managed by the Revolutionary Guards, reported that explosions were heard in Babol and Babolsar, Iranian cities to the northeast of Tehran, without providing a time or any other details. Trump first announced that Israel and Iran had agreed to a ceasefire deal on Monday evening - around 1.30am Tuesday in Tehran - and Iran's state television later announced a ceasefire early on Tuesday morning local time. The Israeli govt remained silent until it made its own announcement of a ceasefire at about 9am. Israel time, saying Israel had agreed to the truce. nyt

Iranians Do Not Want a West-Led Change of Their Repressive Regime
Iranians Do Not Want a West-Led Change of Their Repressive Regime

The Wire

time25-06-2025

  • Politics
  • The Wire

Iranians Do Not Want a West-Led Change of Their Repressive Regime

We may have to wait for another moment when, unguided or prompted by the saviours of democracy in the west, the people of Iran will do the needful for themselves. Illustration: Pariplab Chakraborty. For the moment the US seems to have decided that regime change is a bridge too far in Iran. They have agreed to a ceasefire and have ordered the Israelis to accept as well. The US realised that they were tempting hubris in getting involved in another war in the region. A regime change may have been the Israelis' fondest goals but they have clearly lacked the means to accomplish it and have also suffered unprecedented battering from Iranian missiles. Without air defence, Iran was helpless in resisting the Israeli-American bombing campaign and so has quickly grasped the ceasefire. The choreographed ending of the war with Iran launching 12 missiles at Al Udeid air base in Qatar – equal to the number of bombs the Americans had dropped on Iran – and that too after warning the Americans in advance, seems to suggest that the parties of the war agree to live to fight another day. Two recent events tell us a lot about nationalism and the resilience of societies. On February 21 and 22, 2022, the Russian attack on Ukraine focused a major thrust by Spetsnaz elements towards Kiev. This was part of a 'shock and awe' strategy of capturing the capital city of Ukraine through a coup de main. The attack devolved into a fiasco. The Russians were repelled, not only did Ukraine stand firm, but the event led to the consolidation of Ukrainian nationalism that continues to successfully battle the Russians today. On June 13, Israel launched a similar 'shock and awe' attack on Iran declaring that not only would they finish off the Iranian nuclear programme, but effect a regime change in the country. The attack was accompanied by decapitating strikes to assassinate a cross-section of the Iranian security and nuclear establishment. The police headquarters was struck, as well as the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) intelligence directorate and the state television broadcaster. The Israelis threatened to 'take out' Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. In an interview with Fox News on June 15, Netanyahu said that the government in Teheran was very weak and given the chance '80% of the people would throw these theological thugs out.' Netanyahu was wrong here, as he was in Iraq when he egged on the US to remove Saddam Hussein because the Iraqis would welcome it. But as the Americans and the world learnt to their cost, regime change was not quite the same thing as regime destruction. Iran's central location and size marks it out as a major country in West Asia. The vast country has an ancient history and a strategic location in West Asia and is rich in natural gas and oil. They have a theocratic government system that gives primacy to Mullahs or clerics, and from the outset they have been bitterly opposed to Israel and seek to expel the US from the region. Their defence strategy has involved supporting militants in Lebanon, Syria, Gaza and Yemen and they have good ties with Russia, China and North Korea. Necessity has led to the development of a sophisticated defence industry that produces its own missiles, drones, aircraft, armoured vehicles, small arms, naval vessels and electronic warfare systems. With a negligible air force, they have relied on missiles and drones for deterrence. All this has been built by a sophisticated industry, dependent on their substantial educated class which features a large number of STEM graduates, especially engineers. In recent years the Mullah regime has faced a steady attrition of its position – its ally Bashar al-Assad was overthrown in December 2024, between October 7, 2023 to now, the Hamas and Gaza itself has been virtually levelled by Israeli bombs, in September 2024, Hassan Nasrallah's death marked the near-demise of the Hezbollah. In April 2024 Iran and Israel fought their first round of war which saw the destruction of Iran's air defence network. And now in June 2025, Iran has suffered the decapitation of its military and civil leadership and destruction of its nuclear programme. Iran's economy has suffered for long on account of mismanagement and the US-led embargo on its oil exports and from the fact that its Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamanei, 86, has no clear successor. The repressive Mullah regime has progressively tightened its grip on the country following the popular unrest in 2022 following the killing of Mahasa Amini, an Iranian woman, for not wearing her hijab. The protests saw the killing of 1500 people and over 20,000 arrested and were spread across social classes, universities and schools. These protests had followed those in 2019 that shook more than 21 cities following the hike in oil prices. The protests saw widespread destruction of public property and affected all classes of people. The protestors called for among other things, the overthrow of Ali Khamanei and were the most violent protests since the 1979 disturbances that saw the overthrow of the Shah of Iran. The Israeli government, and some elements in the US felt that these events were an indicator that the geopolitical setbacks of 2024 could be translated into an uprising against the regime. But despite the deep unpopularity of the mullahs the people of Iran were not about to work along the plans thought up in Tel Aviv and Washington. No doubt the Mossad and the CIA would have worked hard in the last week to trigger some kind of an uprising, but it just did not occur. The Supreme Leader's (Rahbar) government is a carefully constructed autocracy. Rahbar himself is appointed for life by an Assembly of Experts and is supreme in all affairs. For example, he had issued a fatwa against making nuclear weapons in 2003, and it seems to have been obeyed by his government. The Assembly of Experts are 88 clerics elected from among the clergy every 8 years. Theoretically they supervise and can dismiss the Supreme Leader. Then there is the Guardian Council of 12 members, of which 6 clerics are appointed by the Supreme Leader and 6 jurists nominated by the judiciary and approved by the Majlis or Parliament. The Guardian Council vets candidates for all elections – president, parliament, Assembly of Experts, and all laws. It has veto powers over parliament laws. The President is the head of the government and is elected by popular vote every four years for a maximum of two years. He managed the domestic and economic policies and the foreign policy of Iran, all under the Supreme Leader's supervision. The Majlis is elected every 4 years by popular vote and handles issues of everyday governance, though its laws must be approved by the Guardian Council and have all its members also vetted by it. The Expediency Council is appointed by the Supreme Leader and advises him and resolves disputes between the Majlis and the Guardian's Council. The Judiciary head is appointed by the Supreme Leader is independent, but has to align itself to Islamic laws. It enforces laws and prosecutes crimes. The Supreme Leader's sword arm is the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) which is parallel and even more powerful than the Iranian military itself. But for the average citizen, the most feared is the Basij volunteer militia that is one of the branches of the IRGC and which enforces the Islamic laws. As can be seen, this cruelly constructed autocracy is designed to preserve the authority of the theocracy and repress the average citizen. Contrary to its stated goals of creating an ideal Islamic republic, the Mullah government is riven with corruption and rivalries. Its handling of the economy has been poor and there has been no effort to reform the system. Dissent has been brutally crushed and the Mullah ideological control have alienated the young Iranians for generations. Perhaps the worst aspects of Islamic rule are its treatment of women. Ayatollah Khomeini's Islamic 'revolution' took away the rights of the women and removed restrictions on polygamy and child marriage. The ban on the hijab was lifted and complete covering of women's hair made compulsory by imprisonment and even death. Yet in one area Iranian women have achieved a great deal. Education of women is a particular success story. Today the youth literacy rate among women is at 98% and their overall literacy is 85.5%. Fully 70% of STEM graduates are women, more than that of the US and, in some fields like engineering, Iranian women are ranked first globally. But patriarchy has restricted their abilities to get jobs related to their competency, indeed, there are legal and societal limits to their workforce participation, to their rights to divorce and travel. But Iranians who face this repressive system, do not want to participate in western-led regime change because they have seen what has happened in Iraq, Libya, Syria and Afghanistan. People who were promised freedom are instead grappling with chaos and anarchy. Their attitude is that bad government is preferable to no government. So we may have to wait for another moment when, unguided or prompted by the saviours of democracy in the west, the people of Iran will do the needful for themselves. Manoj Joshi is a distinguished fellow with the Observer Research Foundation in Delhi. This piece was first published on The India Cable – a premium newsletter from The Wire & Galileo Ideas – and has been updated and republished here. To subscribe to The India Cable, click here. The Wire is now on WhatsApp. Follow our channel for sharp analysis and opinions on the latest developments.

Iran Casts Cease-Fire as Proof That Its Military Has Prevailed
Iran Casts Cease-Fire as Proof That Its Military Has Prevailed

New York Times

time24-06-2025

  • Politics
  • New York Times

Iran Casts Cease-Fire as Proof That Its Military Has Prevailed

Fresh from striking an American air base and then agreeing to a cease-fire with Israel, Iran claimed victory on Tuesday morning, saying that its attacks had pressured Israel into accepting a truce. 'Defeat of the Zionist enemy,' ran the chyron on Iran's state TV network as it broadcast news of the agreement Tuesday morning. State news agencies published a statement by the Iranian national security council saying that Tehran was 'imposing a cease-fire' on Israel by striking a U.S. air base in Qatar and other targets. The 12-day war began with a barrage of Israeli airstrikes on Iran that wiped out much of the Iranian military's top brass, and destroyed its air defenses and some of its nuclear and missile facilities. Subsequent Israeli attacks killed hundreds of Iranians, including children. And American airstrikes on three Iranian nuclear sites damaged, or may have destroyed, key parts of the country's nuclear program. Still, Iranian officials were casting the outcome of the conflict as a resounding triumph for Iran and a decisive loss for Israel — a positive spin on what officials privately said was a face-saving effort to retaliate while avoiding an unwinnable all-out war with the United States. In public, the tone was swaggering, emphasizing Iran's response: first, Iranian missile barrages into Israeli towns that sent Israelis ducking into bomb shelters, destroyed buildings and killed 28 people; then, the missile strike on Monday on the installation in Qatar, Al Udeid Air Base, which left no casualties. A retired Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps naval commander, Gen. Hossein Alaei, told ISNA, a state news agency, that Iran had been able not only to withstand Israeli attacks but also to hit targets in Israel and then launch an attack of its own devastating enough to force the United States to retreat. Want all of The Times? Subscribe.

Trump floats regime change in Iran
Trump floats regime change in Iran

Ya Libnan

time23-06-2025

  • Politics
  • Ya Libnan

Trump floats regime change in Iran

President Trump floated the possibility of 'regime change' in Iran on Sunday in a post to his Truth Social account. This is the first time Trump has raised the possibility of regime change in Iran since Israel launched its war ten days ago — and the U.S. joined with airstrikes targeting Iran's nuclear sites on Saturday. The president's post is a departure from the rest of his administration, which has stressed multiple times over the last several days that its goal is to prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons and that the U.S. is not pushing for regime change in Iran. An Iran regime change has become an unstated goal of the Israeli government since the war began earlier this month. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu even said it could be one of the results of the war. Yes, but , there has been no significant uprising against the Iranian regime since the war began, and experts have mentioned a dynamic of rallying around the flag in Iran — even among Iranians who are critical of the regime. Trump also wrote on his Truth Social account on Sunday that the damage to the Iran nuclear sites targeted by U.S. airstrikes 'is said to be monumental' and that the hits 'were hard and accurate.' Khamanei's successor Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has named three senior clerics as candidates to take his place if he is assassinated, The New York Times reported. Living in a deep bunker, Khamenei has also instructed officials to shut down all electronic communications around him to make it harder to find him, the newspaper reported , quoting three Iranian officials familiar with Khamenei's emergency war plans. The NYT in its report said: Ayatollah Khamenei's son Mojtaba, also a cleric and close to the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps, who was rumored to be a front-runner, is not among the candidates, the officials said. Iran's former conservative president, Ibrahim Raisi, was also considered a front-runner before he was killed in a helicopter crash in 2024.

Israeli strikes in central Iran kills 9 Revolutionary Guards
Israeli strikes in central Iran kills 9 Revolutionary Guards

Iraqi News

time22-06-2025

  • Politics
  • Iraqi News

Israeli strikes in central Iran kills 9 Revolutionary Guards

Tehran – At least nine members of the Revolutionary Guards were killed Sunday in Israeli attacks on central Iran, local media reported, as fighting between the two foes continued. 'Following the aggression of the barbaric Zionist regime and its mercenaries against two military centres in Yazd city, seven Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps personnel and two conscripts were martyred,' the Tasnim news agency reported, quoting an IRGC statement. Others were injured in the attack, it added. The Fars news agency had earlier said Israeli strikes targeted two military sites in Yazd.

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