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Gas prices could surge 75% to over $8/gallon in the Golden State by 2026 — what's driving the pending crisis
Gas prices could surge 75% to over $8/gallon in the Golden State by 2026 — what's driving the pending crisis

Yahoo

time23-05-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Gas prices could surge 75% to over $8/gallon in the Golden State by 2026 — what's driving the pending crisis

With a cost of living that's 38.5% higher than the national average, California is an expensive place to live. In fact, the Golden State currently ranks as the third most expensive state to live in, but a recent news report suggests California could potentially work its way up that list in the years to come. According to a report from USC's Marshall School of Business, California drivers could be paying more than $8 per gallon for gasoline by the end of 2026. The analysis, authored by Professor Michael A. Mische, warns of a potential 75% price increase from the April 2025 average of $4.82 per gallon. Thanks to Jeff Bezos, you can now become a landlord for as little as $100 — and no, you don't have to deal with tenants or fix freezers. Here's how I'm 49 years old and have nothing saved for retirement — what should I do? Don't panic. Here are 5 of the easiest ways you can catch up (and fast) Nervous about the stock market in 2025? Find out how you can access this $1B private real estate fund (with as little as $10) 'The estimated average consumer price of regular gasoline could potentially increase by as much as 75% from the April 23, 2025, price of $4.816 to $7.348 to $8.435 a gallon by calendar year end 2026,' Mische wrote. 'We can expect retail prices to be even higher in counties such as Mono and Humboldt.' According to KTLA 5 News, the potential increase is primarily driven by the scheduled closures of two major oil refineries. The Phillips 66 refinery in Los Angeles and Valero's facility in Northern California are both slated to shut down, removing approximately 21% of the state's refining capacity over the next three years. "Weak refining margins, rising regulatory compliance costs, softening demand for gasoline and the push for lower-carbon alternatives like batteries and renewable diesel have each contributed to a steady decline in California's refining capacity the past few years," writes Robert Auers in a blog post for RBN Energy LLC. "Now, Phillips 66's plan to idle its 139-Mb/d Los Angeles Refinery in Q4 2025 will leave the Golden State with only seven conventional refineries producing gasoline, diesel and jet fuel — a couple of dozen fewer than it had 40 years ago." The closure of these two refineries could lead to a daily deficit of 6.6 million to 13.1 million gallons of gasoline, as California currently consumes over 13.1 million gallons daily while producing less than 24% of its crude oil needs. Lawmakers have expressed concern over the potential economic impact and have urged Governor Gavin Newsom to intervene and prevent the refineries from closing. 'If the Governor doesn't act now, Californians will be blindsided by sticker shock at the pump and skyrocketing prices on everyday goods,' said Senate Minority Leader Brian W. Jones in a written statement. A spokesperson for the governor said that efforts are underway to maintain a stable fuel supply and protect Californians from steep price increases. 'Just last month, the governor directed the state to redouble efforts to work with refiners to ensure a safe, affordable and reliable supply of gasoline,' Daniel Villaseñor, a spokesperson for Governor Newsom, shared with KTLA 5 News. 'Governor Newsom will keep fighting to protect Californians from price spikes at the pump." Read more: This is how American car dealers use the '4-square method' to make big profits off you — and how you can ensure you pay a fair price for all your vehicle costs As of now, California already has some of the highest gas prices in the country, with averages exceeding $5 per gallon in certain areas. If prices rise to the projected $8.43 per gallon, California would further solidify its position as the state with the most expensive gasoline. To mitigate the impact of rising fuel costs, residents can consider several strategies: Look for fuel discounts: Membership-based retailers like Costco often provide lower fuel prices. Some grocery stores also offer points per dollar spent to help offset gas prices. Carpooling: Sharing rides can significantly reduce individual fuel expenses. Consider riding to work with a colleague or sharing driving duties with a family at your child's school. Limit your driving: Be mindful of when and where you drive. For example, you can consolidate nearby errands and make them all in one trip. Also, consider working remote more often, if that is an option. Invest in fuel-efficient vehicles: Transitioning to a vehicle with higher fuel economy, or switching to an electric vehicle, can offer long-term savings. California also offers a variety of tax rebates and incentives for electric cars. Use public transportation: California's major cities, including Los Angeles, San Francisco and San Diego, offer extensive public transit systems including buses, light rail and commuter trains. However, the state offers limited alternatives to driving outside of the major hubs. While these measures can help, the state's infrastructure may limit alternatives to driving for many residents. Continued investment in public transportation and policies to rein in the costs of fuel will be critical to address what could become a gasoline crisis in California. Want an extra $1,300,000 when you retire? Dave Ramsey says this 7-step plan 'works every single time' to kill debt, get rich in America — and that 'anyone' can do it Rich, young Americans are ditching the stormy stock market — here are the alternative assets they're banking on instead Robert Kiyosaki warns of a 'Greater Depression' coming to the US — with millions of Americans going poor. But he says these 2 'easy-money' assets will bring in 'great wealth'. How to get in now Here are 5 'must have' items that Americans (almost) always overpay for — and very quickly regret. How many are hurting you? This article provides information only and should not be construed as advice. It is provided without warranty of any kind.

Record-breaking gas prices in California by 2026? Here's what a gallon could cost you
Record-breaking gas prices in California by 2026? Here's what a gallon could cost you

Hindustan Times

time08-05-2025

  • Business
  • Hindustan Times

Record-breaking gas prices in California by 2026? Here's what a gallon could cost you

Gas prices is an ever-increasing headache for Americans, but for Californians, things may get even complicated come 2026. This new fear has been "unlocked" following a recent study by a University of Southern California professor. Gasoline prices in California to see major hike in 2026, says new study(Unsplash) The study suggests that gasoline prices in the state could rise to $8.44 per gallon by the end of 2026. Professor Michael A. Mische, who conducted this study attributed this escalating rise of gas prices to the pending closure of two refineries. He suggests that once these refineries in California shut down, one-fifth of the state's refining capacity would see a disruption, leading to rising prices. Gas prices in California could touch $8.44 per gallon come next year, from $4.78 per gallon (current rates). According to AAA reports, CA gas prices are highest in the country, and if the study's claims come true, this could have a nationwide impact based on shortened supply of gasoline. ALSO READ | What does black smoke at the Vatican mean? Papal conclave day 1 ends without a new pope Professor Mische closely studied California's historical gas prices, oil supply and refining capacity. Then this entire data was modeled along the the likely impact of refinery closures, coupled with costly new fossil fuel and the new refinery fees and regulations. Based on these calculations, it is being predicted that CA gas prices could touch record peak in 2026. Around his study Professor Mische went on to say, "Based on current demand and consumption assumptions and estimates, the combined consequences of the Phillips 66 and Valero refinery closure, together with the potential impact of legislative actions such as, but not limited to, the new LCFS standard, increase in excise taxes, Cap and Trade, SBX1-2, and ABX2-1 could create an impact. The estimated average consumer price of regular gasoline could potentially increase by as much a 75% from the April 23, 2025, price of $4.816 to $7.348 to $8.435 a gallon by calendar year end 2026."

Gas prices could top $8 in California by 2026 due to upcoming refinery closures, report warns
Gas prices could top $8 in California by 2026 due to upcoming refinery closures, report warns

Yahoo

time07-05-2025

  • Automotive
  • Yahoo

Gas prices could top $8 in California by 2026 due to upcoming refinery closures, report warns

According to a new report, gas prices in California could increase up to 75% by the end of 2026 as the state prepares to lose nearly one-fifth of its oil refining capacity. The scheduled closure of the Phillips 66 refinery in Los Angeles, along with Valero's planned shutdown of its facility in Northern California, represents a potential 21% reduction in California's refining output over three years, according to a report by Michael A. Mische of USC's Marshall School of Business. As electric vehicle use grows in California, the state rethinks the future of its gas tax 'The estimated average consumer price of regular gasoline could potentially increase by as much as 75% from the April 23, 2025, price of $4.816 to $7.348 to $8.435 a gallon by calendar year end 2026. We can expect retail prices to be even higher in counties such as Mono and Humboldt,' Mische wrote. California currently consumes more than 13.1 million gallons of gasoline daily. With the state producing just under 24% of its crude needs, the loss of refining capacity could create a deficit of 6.6 million to 13.1 million gallons per day. California now has more EV chargers than gas nozzles, Newsom says Some lawmakers are sounding the alarm after the report, sending a letter to Gov. Gavin Newsom urging him to 'stop the refinery closures.' 'If the Governor doesn't act now, Californians will be blindsided by sticker shock at the pump and skyrocketing prices on everyday goods,' Senate Minority Leader Brian W. Jones (R-San Diego) said in a statement. 'We're talking about gas prices over $8.43 per gallon by the end of next year.' Copyright 2025 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. For the latest news, weather, sports, and streaming video, head to KTLA.

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