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Israel is not yet willing to touch Iran's most sensitive nerve
Israel is not yet willing to touch Iran's most sensitive nerve

Time of India

time23-06-2025

  • Business
  • Time of India

Israel is not yet willing to touch Iran's most sensitive nerve

Live Events Why does the Kharg Terminal matter so much Targeting Kharg will be a high-stakes move If Israel hits this one key energy site in Iran, it can break the back of the Iranian economy, but so far it has kept off this target. Israel has already hit several Iranian energy sites such as the Shahran fuel and gasoline depot, which has at least 11 storage tanks, and Shahr Rey, one of the country's largest oil refineries. Israel has also struck the South Pars Gas Field, which is one of the world's largest and critical to Iran's energy production. However, the most sensitive energy site of Iran is the Kharg Island from where Iran exports most of its the Iran-Israel conflict in October last year there was talk of Israel planning to hit Kharg island, resulting in a number of oil tankers vacating the waters around the oil-loading terminal on Kharg of the loadings from Kharg Island last week took place from the site's eastern jetty, Homayoun Falakshai, head of crude oil analysis at tracking firm Kpler, had told Reuters. "NIOC may believe it is less risky than the other main jetty located on the western side, in open waters," Falakshai said, referring to Iran's state oil firm National Iranian Oil Co. Large oil tankers were approaching Kharg Island one at a time, leaving the second jetty on the western side of the island unused for several days, with 15-16 more Iranian tankers scattered across the wider Persian Gulf Island is buzzing with activity as Iran is trying to get as much oil as possible, ensuring revenues would continue, at least for a while, if shipments are disrupted. Many oil tankers are now anchoring far from Kharg Island, unlike in normal times, and are making only brief stops to load oil before quickly leaving the area, as per a Bloomberg report. Iran's exports surged after Israel launched its offensive. In the first five days of the campaign, Iran exported an average of 2.23 million barrels of oil per day, a 44% increase from previous levels. Were Kharg Island to be targeted this time, Iran would lose a key source of revenue but then have little reason not to strike back in Island is a continental island located off Iran's coast near Bushehr, close to the entrance of the Strait of Hormuz . It serves as Iran's principal offshore oil export terminal. Constructed in the 1950s and reconstructed after heavy damage during the Iran–Iraq War, the terminal is equipped with modern infrastructure capable of handling very large crude carriers (VLCCs) and ultra large crude carriers (ULCCs). The terminal includes multiple berths, capable of loading 8–9 supertankers simultaneously, and has a storage capacity of approximately 28 million oil from Iran's major production fields is transported to Kharg via an extensive pipeline network. The terminal handles over 90% of Iran's crude oil exports, making it the country's single most important oil infrastructure Kharg terminal is essential for Iran's economy. With international sanctions severely limiting Iran's access to global markets, oil exports remain one of the few major sources of hard currency for the country. The revenues from Kharg's operations fund significant portions of Iran's national budget and support its geopolitical ambitions. Its location near the Strait of Hormuz, the world's most critical oil chokepoint, gives Iran considerable strategic leverage. The ability to control or disrupt energy flows through this region makes Kharg not only an economic asset but also a geopolitical Iran's oil output is constrained by sanctions, a disruption at Kharg could have outsized effects on global oil markets. Any significant attack or closure of the terminal would raise concerns about the safety of oil supplies from the Persian Gulf, driving up global energy October 2024, during heightened tensions between Iran and Israel, there was serious speculation that Israel might target Kharg. Iran's top oil officials made publicized visits to the island, and several tankers were observed vacating the area amid rising alerts. While tensions eased without a direct strike, the incident underscored how vulnerable and central Kharg is to Iran's strategic the current conflict, Israel has launched a series of strikes on Iranian oil and gas infrastructure, including attacks on the South Pars gas field. However, despite the strategic value of the Kharg terminal, Israel has notably refrained from targeting it. A direct attack on Kharg could provide Iran with a legitimate justification to block or restrict traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. This narrow passage handles approximately one-fifth of the world's oil shipments. Closure or disruption here would have catastrophic implications for global energy markets, shipping and regional stability. A strike on Kharg would almost certainly lead to a sharp spike in global oil prices. This would impact not only Iran and its adversaries but also economies worldwide, especially those heavily reliant on energy a move could escalate the conflict dramatically, prompting Iran to retaliate by targeting oil infrastructure in neighboring Gulf states, such as Saudi Arabia's Ras Tanura terminal. The regionalization of the conflict would draw in more actors and could spiral into a full-scale war. Israel's strategy in this phase of the conflict appears to be one of calibrated pressure. By striking critical but less politically explosive infrastructure, it weakens Iran's capabilities without crossing red lines that could provoke uncontrolled escalation or alienate international partners. Iran has developed alternatives to Kharg, including the Jask oil terminal on the Gulf of Oman, which allows exports to bypass the Strait of Hormuz. It has also developed storage capacity aboard a shadow fleet of tankers and at floating facilities, allowing it to continue exports even under the US and other producers have increased output to reduce global reliance on Gulf oil, the Strait of Hormuz and the Kharg terminal remain integral to the flow of energy. Any threat to Kharg causes anxiety in global markets, leading to volatility and risk Kharg terminal is not merely an oil export facility. It is Iran's economic artery. While Israel has demonstrated a willingness to target Iran's nuclear and energy infrastructure, avoiding Kharg suggests a recognition of the enormous risks involved. Striking Kharg could trigger a closure of the Strait of Hormuz, spark retaliatory strikes across the Gulf, cause global energy shocks and economic disruption, and escalate the conflict beyond the point of control. For now, Kharg remains a red line that Israel does not appear willing to cross.(With inputs from agencies)

Iran adapts to maintain oil exports during conflict, trackers say
Iran adapts to maintain oil exports during conflict, trackers say

Zawya

time19-06-2025

  • Business
  • Zawya

Iran adapts to maintain oil exports during conflict, trackers say

Iran is maintaining crude oil supply by loading tankers one at a time and moving floating oil storage much closer to China, two vessel tracking firms told Reuters, as the country seeks to keep a key source of revenue while under attack from Israel. The conflict between Iran and Israel which broke out last week poses a fresh hurdle for Iran, which uses a shadow fleet of tankers to conceal their origin and skirt U.S. sanctions reinstated in 2018 over its nuclear programme. Crude exports from Iran, OPEC's third-largest producer, mainly head to China. Loadings have so far been largely unaffected by the conflict with Israel, the trackers said. Iran has loaded 2.2 million barrels per day of crude oil so far this week, marking a five-week high, the latest data from analytics firm Kpler showed. Energy infrastructure in both countries has been targeted in missile exchanges between the two countries, including the Haifa oil refinery in Israel and Iran's South Pars gas field, though Iran's major crude exporting facility at Kharg island has so far been spared. All of the loadings from Kharg Island this week took place from the site's eastern jetty, said Homayoun Falakshai, head of crude oil analysis at tracking firm Kpler. Kharg Island is situated deep inside the Persian Gulf, some 30 km off the Middle Eastern nation's south west coast. "NIOC may believe it is less risky than the other main jetty located on the western side, in open waters," Falakshai said, referring to Iran's state oil firm National Iranian Oil Co. Large oil tankers are now approaching Kharg Island one at a time, leaving the second jetty on the western side of the island unused for several days, with 15-16 more Iranian tankers scattered across the wider Persian Gulf area. Iranian oil exports have been steady so far this year at around 1.7 million bpd, the International Energy Agency said on Tuesday, despite U.S. sanctions on Chinese customers since March. Iran has moved part of its 40 million barrel floating storage fleet, which sits on 36 different vessels, much closer to China to minimise the impact of any disrupions on buyers, ship tracking firm Vortexa told Reuters. Around ten tankers, carrying approximately 8 million barrels of Iranian crude, are now stationed directly offshore China, Vortexa said, moving from the Singapore area where a further 20 million barrels are located. The remaining 12 or so million barrels were in the Persian Gulf at the start of the month, Vortexa added, but their current location was not clear. Having floating storage allows tankers to load crude oil without an immediate fixed destination to head to. "Iran has been moving these barrels eastwards even without firm orders to strategically place the barrels closer to the end buyers in a time of heightened geopolitical risk," Vortexa's senior China market analyst Emma Li said Moving barrels closer to China would offset the impact of up to two weeks of disrupted Iranian loadings, Vortexa added. (Reporting by Robert Harvey, editing by Alex Lawler, Dmitry Zhdannikov and Elaine Hardcastle)

Iran adapts to maintain oil exports during conflict, trackers say
Iran adapts to maintain oil exports during conflict, trackers say

Yahoo

time19-06-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Iran adapts to maintain oil exports during conflict, trackers say

By Robert Harvey LONDON (Reuters) -Iran is maintaining crude oil supply by loading tankers one at a time and moving floating oil storage much closer to China, two vessel tracking firms told Reuters, as the country seeks to keep a key source of revenue while under attack from Israel. The conflict between Iran and Israel which broke out last week poses a fresh hurdle for Iran, which uses a shadow fleet of tankers to conceal their origin and skirt U.S. sanctions reinstated in 2018 over its nuclear programme. Crude exports from Iran, OPEC's third-largest producer, mainly head to China. Loadings have so far been largely unaffected by the conflict with Israel, the trackers said. Iran has loaded 2.2 million barrels per day of crude oil so far this week, marking a five-week high, the latest data from analytics firm Kpler showed. Energy infrastructure in both countries has been targeted in missile exchanges between the two countries, including the Haifa oil refinery in Israel and Iran's South Pars gas field, though Iran's major crude exporting facility at Kharg island has so far been spared. All of the loadings from Kharg Island this week took place from the site's eastern jetty, said Homayoun Falakshai, head of crude oil analysis at tracking firm Kpler. Kharg Island is situated deep inside the Persian Gulf, some 30 km off the Middle Eastern nation's south west coast. "NIOC may believe it is less risky than the other main jetty located on the western side, in open waters," Falakshai said, referring to Iran's state oil firm National Iranian Oil Co. Large oil tankers are now approaching Kharg Island one at a time, leaving the second jetty on the western side of the island unused for several days, with 15-16 more Iranian tankers scattered across the wider Persian Gulf area. Iranian oil exports have been steady so far this year at around 1.7 million bpd, the International Energy Agency said on Tuesday, despite U.S. sanctions on Chinese customers since March. Iran has moved part of its 40 million barrel floating storage fleet, which sits on 36 different vessels, much closer to China to minimise the impact of any disrupions on buyers, ship tracking firm Vortexa told Reuters. Around ten tankers, carrying approximately 8 million barrels of Iranian crude, are now stationed directly offshore China, Vortexa said, moving from the Singapore area where a further 20 million barrels are located. The remaining 12 or so million barrels were in the Persian Gulf at the start of the month, Vortexa added, but their current location was not clear. Having floating storage allows tankers to load crude oil without an immediate fixed destination to head to. "Iran has been moving these barrels eastwards even without firm orders to strategically place the barrels closer to the end buyers in a time of heightened geopolitical risk," Vortexa's senior China market analyst Emma Li said Moving barrels closer to China would offset the impact of up to two weeks of disrupted Iranian loadings, Vortexa added. Sign in to access your portfolio

Iran adapts to maintain oil exports during conflict, trackers say
Iran adapts to maintain oil exports during conflict, trackers say

Reuters

time19-06-2025

  • Business
  • Reuters

Iran adapts to maintain oil exports during conflict, trackers say

LONDON, June 19 (Reuters) - Iran is maintaining crude oil supply by loading tankers one at a time and moving floating oil storage much closer to China, two vessel tracking firms told Reuters, as the country seeks to keep a key source of revenue while under attack from Israel. The conflict between Iran and Israel which broke out last week poses a fresh hurdle for Iran, which uses a shadow fleet of tankers to conceal their origin and skirt U.S. sanctions reinstated in 2018 over its nuclear programme. Crude exports from Iran, OPEC's third-largest producer, mainly head to China. Loadings have so far been largely unaffected by the conflict with Israel, the trackers said. Iran has loaded 2.2 million barrels per day of crude oil so far this week, marking a five-week high, the latest data from analytics firm Kpler showed. Energy infrastructure in both countries has been targeted in missile exchanges between the two countries, including the Haifa oil refinery in Israel and Iran's South Pars gas field, though Iran's major crude exporting facility at Kharg island has so far been spared. All of the loadings from Kharg Island this week took place from the site's eastern jetty, said Homayoun Falakshai, head of crude oil analysis at tracking firm Kpler. Kharg Island is situated deep inside the Persian Gulf, some 30 km off the Middle Eastern nation's south west coast. "NIOC may believe it is less risky than the other main jetty located on the western side, in open waters," Falakshai said, referring to Iran's state oil firm National Iranian Oil Co. Large oil tankers are now approaching Kharg Island one at a time, leaving the second jetty on the western side of the island unused for several days, with 15-16 more Iranian tankers scattered across the wider Persian Gulf area. Iranian oil exports have been steady so far this year at around 1.7 million bpd, the International Energy Agency said on Tuesday, despite U.S. sanctions on Chinese customers since March. Iran has moved part of its 40 million barrel floating storage fleet, which sits on 36 different vessels, much closer to China to minimise the impact of any disrupions on buyers, ship tracking firm Vortexa told Reuters. Around ten tankers, carrying approximately 8 million barrels of Iranian crude, are now stationed directly offshore China, Vortexa said, moving from the Singapore area where a further 20 million barrels are located. The remaining 12 or so million barrels were in the Persian Gulf at the start of the month, Vortexa added, but their current location was not clear. Having floating storage allows tankers to load crude oil without an immediate fixed destination to head to. "Iran has been moving these barrels eastwards even without firm orders to strategically place the barrels closer to the end buyers in a time of heightened geopolitical risk," Vortexa's senior China market analyst Emma Li said Moving barrels closer to China would offset the impact of up to two weeks of disrupted Iranian loadings, Vortexa added.

Oil edges down as potential higher OPEC+ output eyed
Oil edges down as potential higher OPEC+ output eyed

Zawya

time27-05-2025

  • Business
  • Zawya

Oil edges down as potential higher OPEC+ output eyed

Oil prices eased on Tuesday as market participants weighed the possibility of an OPEC+ decision to further increase its crude oil output at a meeting later this week. Brent crude futures shed 12 cents, or 0.19%, to $64.62 a barrel by 0022 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was down 15 cents, or 0.24%, at $61.38 a barrel. "Crude oil edged lower as the market contemplated the outlook for rising OPEC supply," Daniel Hynes, senior commodity strategist at ANZ, said in a note. Eight OPEC+ members that had pledged additional voluntary cuts are now expected to meet on May 31, one day earlier than previously scheduled, three sources within the group told Reuters on Monday. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, collectively known as OPEC+, will likely finalise July output at the meeting, which sources have previously told Reuters will entail a production increase of 411,000 barrels per day. This month, OPEC+ agreed to accelerate oil output increases for a second consecutive month in June. However, losses were limited as U.S. President Donald Trump announced an extension to trade talks with the European Union until July 9, alleviating immediate fears of tariffs that could suppress fuel demand. Elsewhere, Iran set the official selling price for its light crude oil grade for Asian buyers at $1.80 a barrel above the Oman/Dubai average for June, the state-owned National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC) said. The price it set for May was a premium of $1.65. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said on Monday that Iran would be able to survive if negotiations with the U.S. over its nuclear programme fail to secure a deal. If nuclear talks between the U.S. and Iran fail, it could mean continued sanctions on Iran, which would limit Iranian supply and be supportive of oil prices. (Reporting by Anjana Anil in Bengaluru; Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman)

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