Latest news with #NimeshVora
Yahoo
7 hours ago
- Business
- Yahoo
Rupee likely to remain on backfoot as Asia FX dip, inflows dwindle
By Nimesh Vora MUMBAI (Reuters) -The Indian rupee is poised to retain its weakening bias on Monday, pressured by broad losses in regional peers, lacklustre foreign equity inflows and persistent dollar demand from local corporates. The 1-month non-deliverable forward indicated a flat-to-slightly-weaker open on Monday from 86.1475 in the previous session. The rupee has slipped near to 1% in the last two weeks and now hovers near its lowest level in almost a month. With the dollar/rupee pair "having clipped past 86, it looks like we're in a slow push higher," said a currency trader at a Mumbai-based bank. "Right now, I don't see anything that could meaningfully turn the rupee around. The U.S.-India trade deal is one factor, though expectations of India making a relatively favourable one are fading.' Bankers said importers have been actively buying dollars for payments and short-term hedging, while foreign portfolio investor flows have remained muted. Offshore investors have pulled out more than $600 million from Indian equities so far this month, after pumping in nearly $4 billion during May and June. Market participants are keeping an eye on headlines around the U.S.-India trade deal, though most reckon it's unlikely to offer much support to the rupee. The pause in the dollar's downtrend is adding to the pressure on the rupee. The dollar index climbed 0.6% last week, extending its nearly 1% rally from the previous week. The dollar index was hovering near 98.50 on Monday, while Asian currencies were mostly weaker. Market focus remains on U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff announcements ahead of the August 1 deadline. Other key events this week include the European Central Bank's rate decision and China–European Union summit. "A wait-and-see approach remains the most probable course of action for the ECB next week. With the next potential tariff escalation not expected until August 1, there's little reason for a pre-emptive rate cut now," ING Bank said in a note. KEY INDICATORS: ** One-month non-deliverable rupee forward at 86.28; onshore one-month forward premium at 10.25 paisa ** Dollar index at 98.48 ** Brent crude futures at $69.3 per barrel ** Ten-year U.S. note yield at 4.42%** As per NSDL data, foreign investors sold a net $333.4 million worth of Indian shares on July 17 ** NSDL data shows foreign investors bought a net $38.7 million worth of Indian bonds on July 17 Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
9 hours ago
- Business
- Yahoo
Rupee likely to remain on backfoot as Asia FX dip, inflows dwindle
By Nimesh Vora MUMBAI (Reuters) -The Indian rupee is poised to retain its weakening bias on Monday, pressured by broad losses in regional peers, lacklustre foreign equity inflows and persistent dollar demand from local corporates. The 1-month non-deliverable forward indicated a flat-to-slightly-weaker open on Monday from 86.1475 in the previous session. The rupee has slipped near to 1% in the last two weeks and now hovers near its lowest level in almost a month. With the dollar/rupee pair "having clipped past 86, it looks like we're in a slow push higher," said a currency trader at a Mumbai-based bank. "Right now, I don't see anything that could meaningfully turn the rupee around. The U.S.-India trade deal is one factor, though expectations of India making a relatively favourable one are fading.' Bankers said importers have been actively buying dollars for payments and short-term hedging, while foreign portfolio investor flows have remained muted. Offshore investors have pulled out more than $600 million from Indian equities so far this month, after pumping in nearly $4 billion during May and June. Market participants are keeping an eye on headlines around the U.S.-India trade deal, though most reckon it's unlikely to offer much support to the rupee. The pause in the dollar's downtrend is adding to the pressure on the rupee. The dollar index climbed 0.6% last week, extending its nearly 1% rally from the previous week. The dollar index was hovering near 98.50 on Monday, while Asian currencies were mostly weaker. Market focus remains on U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff announcements ahead of the August 1 deadline. Other key events this week include the European Central Bank's rate decision and China–European Union summit. "A wait-and-see approach remains the most probable course of action for the ECB next week. With the next potential tariff escalation not expected until August 1, there's little reason for a pre-emptive rate cut now," ING Bank said in a note. KEY INDICATORS: ** One-month non-deliverable rupee forward at 86.28; onshore one-month forward premium at 10.25 paisa ** Dollar index at 98.48 ** Brent crude futures at $69.3 per barrel ** Ten-year U.S. note yield at 4.42%** As per NSDL data, foreign investors sold a net $333.4 million worth of Indian shares on July 17 ** NSDL data shows foreign investors bought a net $38.7 million worth of Indian bonds on July 17 Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
9 hours ago
- Business
- Yahoo
Rupee likely to remain on backfoot as Asia FX dip, inflows dwindle
By Nimesh Vora MUMBAI (Reuters) -The Indian rupee is poised to retain its weakening bias on Monday, pressured by broad losses in regional peers, lacklustre foreign equity inflows and persistent dollar demand from local corporates. The 1-month non-deliverable forward indicated a flat-to-slightly-weaker open on Monday from 86.1475 in the previous session. The rupee has slipped near to 1% in the last two weeks and now hovers near its lowest level in almost a month. With the dollar/rupee pair "having clipped past 86, it looks like we're in a slow push higher," said a currency trader at a Mumbai-based bank. "Right now, I don't see anything that could meaningfully turn the rupee around. The U.S.-India trade deal is one factor, though expectations of India making a relatively favourable one are fading.' Bankers said importers have been actively buying dollars for payments and short-term hedging, while foreign portfolio investor flows have remained muted. Offshore investors have pulled out more than $600 million from Indian equities so far this month, after pumping in nearly $4 billion during May and June. Market participants are keeping an eye on headlines around the U.S.-India trade deal, though most reckon it's unlikely to offer much support to the rupee. The pause in the dollar's downtrend is adding to the pressure on the rupee. The dollar index climbed 0.6% last week, extending its nearly 1% rally from the previous week. The dollar index was hovering near 98.50 on Monday, while Asian currencies were mostly weaker. Market focus remains on U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff announcements ahead of the August 1 deadline. Other key events this week include the European Central Bank's rate decision and China–European Union summit. "A wait-and-see approach remains the most probable course of action for the ECB next week. With the next potential tariff escalation not expected until August 1, there's little reason for a pre-emptive rate cut now," ING Bank said in a note. KEY INDICATORS: ** One-month non-deliverable rupee forward at 86.28; onshore one-month forward premium at 10.25 paisa ** Dollar index at 98.48 ** Brent crude futures at $69.3 per barrel ** Ten-year U.S. note yield at 4.42%** As per NSDL data, foreign investors sold a net $333.4 million worth of Indian shares on July 17 ** NSDL data shows foreign investors bought a net $38.7 million worth of Indian bonds on July 17 Sign in to access your portfolio
Mint
3 days ago
- Business
- Mint
Pause in dollar rally offers relief to rupee after 86 breach
MUMBAI, July 18 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is set to open higher on Friday, tracking a broader recovery in Asian peers and supported by a pause in the U.S. dollar index's near-term uptrend. The 1-month non-deliverable forward indicated an open in the 86.00-86.02 range versus 86.0750 on Thursday, marking the rupee's first sub-86 finish in nearly a month. "Asia will help (the rupee) at the open. However, I'd fade any downside (on USD/INR)," a currency trader at a bank said. "Positioning and risk-reward favour upside, and this looks (like a) buy-on-dips market right now." The dollar index fell about 0.2% in Asia to 98.40, helping most Asian currencies climb higher. The dollar index had rallied on Thursday, approaching the 99 mark, after robust U.S. data spurred expectations that the Federal Reserve will be in no rush to resume rate cuts. Upbeat U.S. retail sales in June pointed to a pickup in economic activity, while job claims fell to a three-month low, reinforcing signs of steady labour market strength. U.S. economic data released on Thursday "continues to signal resilience," MUFG Bank said, while noting the muted reaction in U.S. Treasury yields. Markets were largely unchanged about the Fed outlook, with no major shift in pricing for a September rate cut or the cumulative rate cuts expected in 2025. Despite the dip in the dollar index on Friday, the gauge is up 0.6% this week after last week's near 1% rally. Markets continue to hold net short positions on the U.S. dollar, and an unwinding of those short dollar positions could provide support for the U.S. currency, MUFG Bank noted. ** One-month non-deliverable rupee forward at 86.08; onshore one-month forward premium at 10 paise ** Dollar index down at 98.41 ** Brent crude futures down 0.1% at $69.5 per barrel ** Ten-year U.S. note yield at 4.44 ** As per NSDL data, foreign investors sold a net $121.3 million worth of Indian shares on July 16 ** NSDL data shows foreign investors bought a net $3.5 million worth of Indian bonds on July 16 (Reporting by Nimesh Vora; Editing by Sumana Nandy)
Yahoo
4 days ago
- Business
- Yahoo
Rupee remains trapped in narrow band with more exporter than importer interest
By Nimesh Vora MUMBAI (Reuters) - The Indian rupee stayed confined to a narrow trading band on Thursday, supported by modest exporter dollar sales, while weaker Asian peers and lack of major importer demand kept it largely directionless. The local unit opened marginally higher and extended its advance briefly before running into resistance at 85.80. It was last quoted at 85.8525 at 11:08 a.m. IST, up 0.1% from Wednesday. The rupee's confinement mirrors its behaviour throughout the week, with the currency largely meandering within the 85.70–86 band. The dollar/rupee pair is stuck in a tight range with "no real impulse to break either way," said a FX salesperson at a private bank. "On our side, exporters are more active than importers today. That could shift if we see a dip toward 85.70, considering how the pair has behaved in recent days." The rupee's tight range comes amid a choppy dollar index. The dollar index initially dropped on Wednesday on a report that U.S. President Donald Trump could fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, before bouncing after Trump denied it. However, he renewed his criticism of the Fed Chair for not cutting rates and confirmed he had discussed Powell's removal with Republican lawmakers. "The potential dismissal of Fed Chair Powell, or attempts to undermine the Fed's independence, could lead to a more severe flare-up in markets," MUFG Bank said in a note. Such moves by Trump have introduced a serious downside risk that markets will be watching closely, it said Meanwhile, U.S. producer prices were unchanged in June, boosting expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates at its September meeting. Despite this, Asian currencies were mostly weaker on the day. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
