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The Independent
21 hours ago
- General
- The Independent
UK-wide 2021 census data published for first time
A full set of UK-wide data collected for the 2021 census has been made available for the first time. Many details from the census have already been released, revealing a wealth of population information about the country's nations, regions and local areas. But a complete picture for the whole of the UK has only now been published. The delay in producing a set of UK-wide statistics is due to the unusual circumstances in which the 2021 survey took place. A census of the population has been held regularly since 1801, typically every 10 years and on the same day across the UK. The 2021 survey was disrupted by the Covid-19 pandemic, however. In England, Wales and Northern Ireland, the census occurred as planned on March 21 2021. But in Scotland it was postponed for 12 months because of the impact of the pandemic, eventually taking place on March 20 2022. This meant that, unlike for previous censuses, data had not been collected on the same date across the whole of the UK – and therefore Scotland's data was not directly comparable with that for the other nations. To solve this problem, the UK's statistical agencies have come together to create a full set of census numbers with a shared point in time of March 21 2021. Scotland's 2022 census data has been adjusted to create notional estimates for 2021, which have then been combined with the actual 2021 totals for England, Wales and Northern Ireland. The three agencies involved – the Office for National Statistics, National Records of Scotland and the Northern Ireland Statistics & Research Agency – describe it as 'a solution that is conceptually simple, pragmatic, and creates numbers for a consistent time point'. The new figures show for the first time how key population trends such as religion, ethnicity and marital status compare in the four parts of the UK. For example, while 80% of the population of Northern Ireland on census day identified as Christian, the equivalent figures for the rest of the country are much lower, at 46% in England, 44% in Wales and 40% in Scotland. Some 17% of people in Northern Ireland said they had no religion, rising to 37% in England, 47% in Wales and 50% in Scotland. The proportion of people identifying as white was highest in Northern Ireland (97%), followed by Wales (94%), Scotland (93%) and England (81%). England has the highest proportion of people identifying as Asian (10%), then Scotland (4%), Wales (3%) and Northern Ireland (2%), while the figures for people identifying as black were 4% for England and 1% for the other three countries. There is less variation in the proportion of people who were married or in a civil partnership on census day, with 44% for Scotland and Wales, 45% for England and 46% for Northern Ireland. The figures for people who are divorced or who have had a civil partnership dissolved range from 6% in Northern Ireland to 10% in Wales, with 8% for Scotland and 9% for England. Census results are used by a variety of organisations including governments, councils and businesses, and underpin everything from the calculation of economic growth and unemployment to helping plan schools, health services and transport links. Planning is already under way for the next UK census, which is due to take place in 2031.
Yahoo
3 days ago
- Business
- Yahoo
Map shows how much your local area will grow in population by 2032
Population growth in the UK is believed to be slowing down due to a drop in migration, figures suggest. According to figures released in January by the Office for National Statistics (ONS), the population was projected to increase by 7.3% between mid-2022 and mid-2032. However, this has now been revised to the new figure of 5.9%, after the ONS said its short-term projections were 'running too high' due to a lack of net migration data. With migration being the main driver of population growth, the ONS has now adjusted its initial projection to the new figure of 5.9%. Areas like Ipswich in Suffolk and Gosport in Hampshire are projected to see drops in population – but some local areas in London will see an increase of 20%, or even up to 50%. James Robards, ONS head of population and household projections, said the latest changes reflect 'the challenge in projecting the path from unprecedented levels of international migration seen over recent years to a lower long-term average figure and the uncertainty over the speed of decrease'. The City of London is the area projected to have the fastest grown, with a projected population increase of 48.6% from mid-2022 to mid-2032. However, this reflects its small base population, growing from 11,457 to 17,023. Tower Hamlets in London follows closely, with an expected 20.4% rise. South Derbyshire is another high-growth areas, with a projected 19.2% increase, while Stratford-upon-Avon in Warwickshire is projected to see a 17.4% surge. Some 47 local authorities are projected to grow by at least 10% over the decade, according to the ONS. Use the interactive map below to tap on your area and find out more about its population. As of mid-2023, the UK's population stood at an estimated 68.3 million, according to the ONS. This represents an increase of 1% from the previous year. By mid-2027 – five year after the last estimates from the ONS – the population is projected to reach approximately 70.2 million, a rise of 2.6 million (3.8%). By mid-2032 it's expected to hit 72.5 million, an increase of 4.9 million (7.3%) from 2022. This growth is driven almost entirely by net migration, estimated at 4.9 million over the 10-year period, as natural change – births minus deaths – is projected to be close to zero, with a similar number of births and deaths in the UK. England is expected to see the fastest growth at 7.8%, followed by Wales (5.9%), Scotland (4.4%), and Northern Ireland (2.1%). The figures assume net migration stabilises at 340,000 per year from mid-2028, though the ONS cautions that actual migration levels may vary due to policy changes or unforeseen trends. City of London 48.6% (mid-2022 11,457; mid-2032 17,023) Tower Hamlets 20.4% (mid-2022 323,854; mid-2032 389,845) South Derbyshire 19.2% (mid-2022 111,145; mid-2032 132,463) Stratford-on-Avon 17.4% (mid-2022 138,573; mid-2032 162,678) North West Leicestershire 15.8% (mid-2022 107,666; mid-2032 124,628) South Norfolk 15.5% (mid-2022 144,617; mid-2032 166,982) Salford 15.2% (mid-2022 278,867; mid-2032 321,347) Tewkesbury 15.0% (mid-2022 97,032; mid-2032 111,619) Vale of White Horse 14.9% (mid-2022 142,335; mid-2032 163,566) Harborough 14.4% (mid-2022 100,550; mid-2032 115,004)
The Independent
4 days ago
- General
- The Independent
Full list of projected change in population for local areas in England
Here is a full list of the projected change in population for local areas in England between mid-2022 and mid-2032. The projections have been published by the Office for National Statistics. The list is for 309 areas in England, based on 2021 local authority boundaries. It reads, from left to right: name of local authority; projected percentage change in population between mid-2022 and mid-2032; estimated size of population in mid-2022 and projected size in mid-2032. The list is ordered by the size of the percentage change, beginning with the largest. City of London 48.6% (mid-2022 11,457; mid-2032 17,023)Tower Hamlets 20.4% (mid-2022 323,854; mid-2032 389,845)South Derbyshire 19.2% (mid-2022 111,145; mid-2032 132,463)Stratford-on-Avon 17.4% (mid-2022 138,573; mid-2032 162,678)North West Leicestershire 15.8% (mid-2022 107,666; mid-2032 124,628)South Norfolk 15.5% (mid-2022 144,617; mid-2032 166,982)Salford 15.2% (mid-2022 278,867; mid-2032 321,347)Tewkesbury 15.0% (mid-2022 97,032; mid-2032 111,619)Vale of White Horse 14.9% (mid-2022 142,335; mid-2032 163,566)Harborough 14.4% (mid-2022 100,550; mid-2032 115,004)Central Bedfordshire 14.3% (mid-2022 301,820; mid-2032 345,063)Preston 13.9% (mid-2022 151,869; mid-2032 172,921)Coventry 13.8% (mid-2022 352,889; mid-2032 401,655)East Devon 13.5% (mid-2022 154,374; mid-2032 175,154)Dartford 13.4% (mid-2022 118,810; mid-2032 134,718)Maidstone 13.4% (mid-2022 180,569; mid-2032 204,706)Islington 13.3% (mid-2022 219,594; mid-2032 248,818)Uttlesford 13.2% (mid-2022 92,675; mid-2032 104,867)Camden 13.0% (mid-2022 217,365; mid-2032 245,651)South Gloucestershire 13.0% (mid-2022 295,307; mid-2032 333,598)Cherwell 12.9% (mid-2022 164,189; mid-2032 185,337)Wychavon 12.5% (mid-2022 134,544; mid-2032 151,343)Eastleigh 12.5% (mid-2022 139,056; mid-2032 156,397) Cambridge 12.3% (mid-2022 147,813; mid-2032 165,929)Rugby 12.2% (mid-2022 116,461; mid-2032 130,712)Wokingham 12.2% (mid-2022 181,383; mid-2032 203,488) Ribble Valley 12.1% (mid-2022 63,140; mid-2032 70,790)Mid Suffolk 12.1% (mid-2022 105,726; mid-2032 118,492)Selby 11.9% (mid-2022 93,613; mid-2032 104,720)Rushcliffe 11.6% (mid-2022 121,765; mid-2032 135,855)Manchester 11.0% (mid-2022 566,778; mid-2032 629,326)South Cambridgeshire 11.0% (mid-2022 165,709; mid-2032 183,906)Bedford 11.0% (mid-2022 187,503; mid-2032 208,073)Welwyn Hatfield 10.9% (mid-2022 120,420; mid-2032 133,553)South Oxfordshire 10.8% (mid-2022 151,845; mid-2032 168,232)Westminster 10.7% (mid-2022 209,866; mid-2032 232,354)Tendring 10.6% (mid-2022 151,400; mid-2032 167,509)Horsham 10.6% (mid-2022 148,769; mid-2032 164,513)Colchester 10.5% (mid-2022 194,648; mid-2032 215,166)Cheshire East 10.4% (mid-2022 406,587; mid-2032 448,884)Wyre 10.4% (mid-2022 114,924; mid-2032 126,854)East Hampshire 10.3% (mid-2022 127,285; mid-2032 140,409)Fylde 10.3% (mid-2022 82,990; mid-2032 91,510)Charnwood 10.2% (mid-2022 185,266; mid-2032 204,246)South Holland 10.1% (mid-2022 96,964; mid-2032 106,724)Telford & Wrekin 10.0% (mid-2022 189,000; mid-2032 207,956)Bristol 10.0% (mid-2022 478,636; mid-2032 526,594)Newham 9.9% (mid-2022 357,147; mid-2032 392,601)Cotswold 9.9% (mid-2022 91,360; mid-2032 100,374)Ashford 9.8% (mid-2022 135,741; mid-2032 149,094)Liverpool 9.8% (mid-2022 495,849; mid-2032 544,336)Southwark 9.8% (mid-2022 311,492; mid-2032 341,900)Knowsley 9.8% (mid-2022 157,107; mid-2032 172,423)Test Valley 9.7% (mid-2022 132,924; mid-2032 145,794)Stroud 9.6% (mid-2022 123,225; mid-2032 135,033)West Oxfordshire 9.5% (mid-2022 116,978; mid-2032 128,137)North Devon 9.5% (mid-2022 100,455; mid-2032 110,027)Broadland 9.5% (mid-2022 133,885; mid-2032 146,627)Mid Devon 9.4% (mid-2022 83,812; mid-2032 91,713)Hackney 9.4% (mid-2022 261,632; mid-2032 286,214)Maldon 9.4% (mid-2022 67,568; mid-2032 73,903)Breckland 9.3% (mid-2022 143,459; mid-2032 156,779)South Hams 9.3% (mid-2022 89,808; mid-2032 98,156)Malvern Hills 9.3% (mid-2022 81,070; mid-2032 88,585)Sheffield 9.3% (mid-2022 564,702; mid-2032 617,015)East Cambridgeshire 9.3% (mid-2022 89,438; mid-2032 97,707)Newcastle upon Tyne 9.2% (mid-2022 306,402; mid-2032 334,700)Wealden 9.2% (mid-2022 163,122; mid-2032 178,108)Wakefield 9.1% (mid-2022 357,698; mid-2032 390,301)Warwick 9.1% (mid-2022 151,233; mid-2032 165,009)Blaby 9.1% (mid-2022 104,283; mid-2032 113,732)Swale 9.0% (mid-2022 154,598; mid-2032 168,458)Kensington & Chelsea 8.9% (mid-2022 146,392; mid-2032 159,403)Cornwall 8.8% (mid-2022 575,532; mid-2032 626,317)Lichfield 8.8% (mid-2022 108,337; mid-2032 117,842)Babergh 8.7% (mid-2022 94,287; mid-2032 102,522)Exeter 8.7% (mid-2022 134,811; mid-2032 146,558)Wandsworth 8.6% (mid-2022 329,358; mid-2032 357,770)Mid Sussex 8.6% (mid-2022 155,010; mid-2032 168,298)East Staffordshire 8.5% (mid-2022 125,692; mid-2032 136,395)Greenwich 8.5% (mid-2022 291,879; mid-2032 316,549)Teignbridge 8.5% (mid-2022 135,972; mid-2032 147,462)Bath & North East Somerset 8.4% (mid-2022 195,988; mid-2032 212,527)Bolsover 8.4% (mid-2022 81,541; mid-2032 88,416)Shropshire 8.4% (mid-2022 327,479; mid-2032 354,847)Stafford 8.3% (mid-2022 138,644; mid-2032 150,149)North Warwickshire 8.2% (mid-2022 65,947; mid-2032 71,349)Newark & Sherwood 8.2% (mid-2022 125,056; mid-2032 135,243)Southampton 8.2% (mid-2022 252,151; mid-2032 272,709)Hammersmith & Fulham 8.1% (mid-2022 185,506; mid-2032 200,590)Cheshire West & Chester 8.1% (mid-2022 361,799; mid-2032 391,136)Huntingdonshire 8.0% (mid-2022 184,096; mid-2032 198,906)Leeds 8.0% (mid-2022 820,802; mid-2032 886,763)Winchester 8.0% (mid-2022 130,597; mid-2032 141,012)Canterbury 7.9% (mid-2022 158,282; mid-2032 170,730)Milton Keynes 7.9% (mid-2022 292,517; mid-2032 315,470)Bassetlaw 7.8% (mid-2022 119,985; mid-2032 129,344)West Devon 7.8% (mid-2022 58,212; mid-2032 62,724)Bracknell Forest 7.7% (mid-2022 127,030; mid-2032 136,828)North East Derbyshire 7.7% (mid-2022 103,797; mid-2032 111,781)Chichester 7.6% (mid-2022 126,200; mid-2032 135,792)Arun 7.6% (mid-2022 166,381; mid-2032 179,004)Ryedale 7.6% (mid-2022 55,326; mid-2032 59,501)Reigate & Banstead 7.5% (mid-2022 153,674; mid-2032 165,213)East Hertfordshire 7.5% (mid-2022 151,717; mid-2032 163,069)Hillingdon 7.4% (mid-2022 310,894; mid-2032 333,958)Chelmsford 7.4% (mid-2022 183,414; mid-2032 197,011)Runnymede 7.4% (mid-2022 89,069; mid-2032 95,662)Chorley 7.3% (mid-2022 118,623; mid-2032 127,235)West Lindsey 7.2% (mid-2022 96,788; mid-2032 103,782)Cannock Chase 7.2% (mid-2022 101,144; mid-2032 108,413)Eden 7.1% (mid-2022 55,473; mid-2032 59,427)Somerset West & Taunton 7.1% (mid-2022 159,359; mid-2032 170,670)Lancaster 7.1% (mid-2022 144,561; mid-2032 154,797)Barnet 7.1% (mid-2022 390,346; mid-2032 417,948)Hinckley & Bosworth 7.0% (mid-2022 114,315; mid-2032 122,350)Hambleton 7.0% (mid-2022 92,076; mid-2032 98,519)Bromsgrove 7.0% (mid-2022 100,155; mid-2032 107,119)Basingstoke & Deane 6.9% (mid-2022 187,870; mid-2032 200,875)North Northamptonshire 6.9% (mid-2022 363,244; mid-2032 388,392)Wigan 6.9% (mid-2022 334,014; mid-2032 357,111)Tonbridge & Malling 6.9% (mid-2022 133,664; mid-2032 142,898)Nuneaton & Bedworth 6.9% (mid-2022 135,499; mid-2032 144,798)West Suffolk 6.8% (mid-2022 182,328; mid-2032 194,698)West Northamptonshire 6.8% (mid-2022 429,511; mid-2032 458,565)East Riding of Yorkshire 6.7% (mid-2022 346,316; mid-2032 369,673)Oadby & Wigston 6.7% (mid-2022 58,456; mid-2032 62,348)Rother 6.6% (mid-2022 94,221; mid-2032 100,462)North Somerset 6.5% (mid-2022 219,165; mid-2032 233,467)Havering 6.5% (mid-2022 264,675; mid-2032 281,854)Wolverhampton 6.5% (mid-2022 267,888; mid-2032 285,277)Buckinghamshire 6.4% (mid-2022 560,688; mid-2032 596,751)Amber Valley 6.4% (mid-2022 126,934; mid-2032 135,020)Rochford 6.3% (mid-2022 87,194; mid-2032 92,697)Northumberland 6.3% (mid-2022 324,286; mid-2032 344,717)North Tyneside 6.3% (mid-2022 210,512; mid-2032 223,735)North Kesteven 6.2% (mid-2022 119,689; mid-2032 127,155)Waverley 6.2% (mid-2022 130,329; mid-2032 138,426)Middlesbrough 6.2% (mid-2022 148,583; mid-2032 157,800)Braintree 6.1% (mid-2022 157,605; mid-2032 167,213)Dover 6.1% (mid-2022 117,546; mid-2032 124,720)Stockport 6.1% (mid-2022 297,191; mid-2032 315,310)Torridge 6.1% (mid-2022 68,664; mid-2032 72,852)Sedgemoor 6.1% (mid-2022 126,502; mid-2032 134,210)Rochdale 6.1% (mid-2022 226,950; mid-2032 240,756)County Durham 6.0% (mid-2022 527,704; mid-2032 559,573)Wiltshire 6.0% (mid-2022 516,107; mid-2032 547,220)Forest of Dean 6.0% (mid-2022 87,934; mid-2032 93,232)Harrogate 6.0% (mid-2022 165,906; mid-2032 175,892)South Somerset 6.0% (mid-2022 174,306; mid-2032 184,794)Thurrock 6.0% (mid-2022 176,788; mid-2032 187,436)North Norfolk 6.0% (mid-2022 103,223; mid-2032 109,392)Folkestone & Hythe 6.0% (mid-2022 110,356; mid-2032 116,921)Leicester 5.9% (mid-2022 372,495; mid-2032 394,638)East Lindsey 5.9% (mid-2022 144,400; mid-2032 152,966)Mendip 5.8% (mid-2022 116,924; mid-2032 123,646)Waltham Forest 5.8% (mid-2022 276,312; mid-2032 292,198)Craven 5.7% (mid-2022 57,812; mid-2032 61,124)Guildford 5.7% (mid-2022 146,378; mid-2032 154,739)Hart 5.6% (mid-2022 100,912; mid-2032 106,594)Dorset 5.6% (mid-2022 383,373; mid-2032 404,842)Worthing 5.6% (mid-2022 112,022; mid-2032 118,291)Oxford 5.5% (mid-2022 162,448; mid-2032 171,425)Lambeth 5.5% (mid-2022 316,700; mid-2032 334,170)Darlington 5.5% (mid-2022 109,413; mid-2032 115,436)Boston 5.4% (mid-2022 70,831; mid-2032 74,675)Kingston upon Thames 5.4% (mid-2022 169,082; mid-2032 178,237)East Suffolk 5.4% (mid-2022 247,083; mid-2032 260,436)Nottingham 5.4% (mid-2022 327,424; mid-2032 344,928)Barnsley 5.3% (mid-2022 246,448; mid-2032 259,520)Lewes 5.2% (mid-2022 100,679; mid-2032 105,936)Brighton & Hove 5.2% (mid-2022 278,370; mid-2032 292,790)Melton 5.2% (mid-2022 52,404; mid-2032 55,115)Tunbridge Wells 5.2% (mid-2022 116,175; mid-2032 122,174)Swindon 5.1% (mid-2022 235,652; mid-2032 247,716)Crawley 5.1% (mid-2022 119,700; mid-2032 125,763)Harlow 5.1% (mid-2022 94,444; mid-2032 99,227)Herefordshire 5.1% (mid-2022 188,696; mid-2032 198,232)Broxtowe 5.0% (mid-2022 112,395; mid-2032 118,005)Sutton 4.9% (mid-2022 210,293; mid-2032 220,550)Lewisham 4.9% (mid-2022 299,023; mid-2032 313,514)Harrow 4.8% (mid-2022 261,933; mid-2032 274,599)South Kesteven 4.8% (mid-2022 144,228; mid-2032 151,205)Tamworth 4.7% (mid-2022 79,639; mid-2032 83,416)Norwich 4.7% (mid-2022 144,957; mid-2032 151,793)Peterborough 4.7% (mid-2022 217,657; mid-2032 227,880)Burnley 4.7% (mid-2022 95,655; mid-2032 100,138)Tandridge 4.7% (mid-2022 88,884; mid-2032 93,030)St. Helens 4.6% (mid-2022 184,728; mid-2032 193,301)Brent 4.6% (mid-2022 341,183; mid-2032 356,957)Medway 4.6% (mid-2022 282,643; mid-2032 295,627)Redbridge 4.6% (mid-2022 311,515; mid-2032 325,803)Bexley 4.6% (mid-2022 247,754; mid-2032 259,053)South Staffordshire 4.5% (mid-2022 111,530; mid-2032 116,573)Tameside 4.5% (mid-2022 232,806; mid-2032 243,326)Carlisle 4.5% (mid-2022 111,350; mid-2032 116,328)Fenland 4.5% (mid-2022 103,002; mid-2032 107,604)Hounslow 4.5% (mid-2022 291,199; mid-2032 304,197)Hertsmere 4.3% (mid-2022 108,311; mid-2032 113,007)Dacorum 4.3% (mid-2022 156,167; mid-2032 162,920)Spelthorne 4.3% (mid-2022 103,658; mid-2032 108,126)Trafford 4.3% (mid-2022 236,651; mid-2032 246,832)Barking & Dagenham 4.3% (mid-2022 220,039; mid-2032 229,454)Bournemouth, Christchurch & Poole 4.3% (mid-2022 402,559; mid-2032 419,652)Derbyshire Dales 4.3% (mid-2022 71,755; mid-2032 74,806)Sevenoaks 4.2% (mid-2022 121,173; mid-2032 126,280)Walsall 4.2% (mid-2022 286,218; mid-2032 298,293)Doncaster 4.2% (mid-2022 310,964; mid-2032 324,016)Ashfield 4.2% (mid-2022 127,101; mid-2032 132,431)South Ribble 4.2% (mid-2022 112,201; mid-2032 116,903)Gedling 4.1% (mid-2022 117,682; mid-2032 122,550)Gloucester 4.1% (mid-2022 133,530; mid-2032 139,055)Croydon 4.1% (mid-2022 392,610; mid-2032 408,837)King's Lynn & West Norfolk 4.1% (mid-2022 155,720; mid-2032 162,143)Cheltenham 4.1% (mid-2022 119,585; mid-2032 124,498)Rutland 4.1% (mid-2022 41,225; mid-2032 42,908)West Lancashire 4.1% (mid-2022 119,360; mid-2032 124,232)Havant 4.1% (mid-2022 124,839; mid-2032 129,921)Eastbourne 4.0% (mid-2022 102,364; mid-2032 106,457)Kirklees 3.9% (mid-2022 437,794; mid-2032 454,763)Halton 3.9% (mid-2022 129,008; mid-2032 133,986)High Peak 3.9% (mid-2022 91,106; mid-2032 94,626)Ealing 3.8% (mid-2022 370,129; mid-2032 384,268)Epsom & Ewell 3.8% (mid-2022 81,349; mid-2032 84,444)Mansfield 3.8% (mid-2022 111,070; mid-2032 115,247)York 3.8% (mid-2022 204,115; mid-2032 211,775)Luton 3.7% (mid-2022 227,298; mid-2032 235,786)Sefton 3.7% (mid-2022 281,039; mid-2032 291,470)Surrey Heath 3.7% (mid-2022 91,266; mid-2032 94,646)Elmbridge 3.7% (mid-2022 140,299; mid-2032 145,451)Plymouth 3.7% (mid-2022 267,063; mid-2032 276,830)Solihull 3.6% (mid-2022 217,784; mid-2032 225,719)Epping Forest 3.6% (mid-2022 135,009; mid-2032 139,866)North Hertfordshire 3.5% (mid-2022 134,161; mid-2032 138,912)Bolton 3.5% (mid-2022 299,153; mid-2032 309,657)Torbay 3.5% (mid-2022 139,409; mid-2032 144,296)Reading 3.5% (mid-2022 175,742; mid-2032 181,884)Basildon 3.5% (mid-2022 188,810; mid-2032 195,318)Portsmouth 3.4% (mid-2022 208,949; mid-2032 215,966)Slough 3.4% (mid-2022 159,387; mid-2032 164,739)Merton 3.3% (mid-2022 215,121; mid-2032 222,285)Derby 3.3% (mid-2022 263,620; mid-2032 272,298)Haringey 3.3% (mid-2022 262,413; mid-2032 270,988)Bromley 3.3% (mid-2022 329,689; mid-2032 340,449)Dudley 3.3% (mid-2022 324,931; mid-2032 335,488)Oldham 3.3% (mid-2022 243,993; mid-2032 251,928)South Lakeland 3.2% (mid-2022 104,821; mid-2032 108,216)Birmingham 3.2% (mid-2022 1,154,221; mid-2032 1,191,154)Gravesham 3.2% (mid-2022 106,870; mid-2032 110,252)Bradford 3.1% (mid-2022 553,044; mid-2032 570,100)Watford 3.1% (mid-2022 103,043; mid-2032 106,220)Isle of Wight 3.1% (mid-2022 140,779; mid-2032 145,083)Rotherham 2.9% (mid-2022 268,267; mid-2032 276,126)Brentwood 2.9% (mid-2022 77,348; mid-2032 79,567)Hartlepool 2.7% (mid-2022 93,847; mid-2032 96,386)Chesterfield 2.7% (mid-2022 104,104; mid-2032 106,912)Rossendale 2.7% (mid-2022 71,187; mid-2032 73,090)Pendle 2.6% (mid-2022 96,197; mid-2032 98,741)Mole Valley 2.6% (mid-2022 87,852; mid-2032 90,166)Wirral 2.6% (mid-2022 322,439; mid-2032 330,908)St Albans 2.6% (mid-2022 148,524; mid-2032 152,327)Great Yarmouth 2.6% (mid-2022 99,834; mid-2032 102,382)South Tyneside 2.5% (mid-2022 148,608; mid-2032 152,375)Sandwell 2.5% (mid-2022 344,582; mid-2032 353,269)Thanet 2.5% (mid-2022 140,683; mid-2032 144,179)Southend-on-Sea 2.5% (mid-2022 180,884; mid-2032 185,350)Hyndburn 2.4% (mid-2022 83,215; mid-2032 85,188)Wyre Forest 2.4% (mid-2022 102,306; mid-2032 104,735)Three Rivers 2.3% (mid-2022 94,179; mid-2032 96,373)Lincoln 2.3% (mid-2022 102,964; mid-2032 105,324)Sunderland 2.2% (mid-2022 277,512; mid-2032 283,728)Adur 2.2% (mid-2022 64,725; mid-2032 66,170)Bury 2.1% (mid-2022 194,590; mid-2032 198,669)Newcastle-under-Lyme 2.0% (mid-2022 125,404; mid-2032 127,922)Allerdale 1.9% (mid-2022 96,556; mid-2032 98,430)Scarborough 1.9% (mid-2022 109,055; mid-2032 111,159)Richmond upon Thames 1.9% (mid-2022 195,165; mid-2032 198,834)New Forest 1.8% (mid-2022 175,932; mid-2032 179,109)Stevenage 1.7% (mid-2022 89,616; mid-2032 91,169)Stockton-on-Tees 1.7% (mid-2022 200,112; mid-2032 203,515)Redcar & Cleveland 1.7% (mid-2022 137,168; mid-2032 139,447)Castle Point 1.6% (mid-2022 89,744; mid-2032 91,186)Windsor & Maidenhead 1.6% (mid-2022 154,869; mid-2032 157,280)Stoke-on-Trent 1.4% (mid-2022 260,008; mid-2032 263,647)Warrington 1.3% (mid-2022 211,797; mid-2032 214,642)Broxbourne 1.3% (mid-2022 98,999; mid-2032 100,315)Erewash 1.3% (mid-2022 113,073; mid-2032 114,574)Redditch 1.3% (mid-2022 87,129; mid-2032 88,279)West Berkshire 1.3% (mid-2022 162,397; mid-2032 164,506)Calderdale 1.3% (mid-2022 207,660; mid-2032 210,348)Hull 1.3% (mid-2022 268,677; mid-2032 272,124)Blackburn with Darwen 1.2% (mid-2022 155,823; mid-2032 157,734)Gateshead 1.2% (mid-2022 197,922; mid-2032 200,224)Rushmoor 1.1% (mid-2022 101,003; mid-2032 102,135)Worcester 1.0% (mid-2022 104,119; mid-2032 105,107)Blackpool 0.8% (mid-2022 141,648; mid-2032 142,706)Hastings 0.8% (mid-2022 90,621; mid-2032 91,303)Staffordshire Moorlands 0.4% (mid-2022 95,904; mid-2032 96,328)North Lincolnshire 0.3% (mid-2022 170,085; mid-2032 170,621)Woking 0.3% (mid-2022 104,290; mid-2032 104,577)Richmondshire 0.1% (mid-2022 50,108; mid-2032 50,141)Enfield 0.01% (mid-2022 327,426; mid-2032 327,472)Fareham -0.02% (mid-2022 114,562; mid-2032 114,536)North East Lincolnshire -0.5% (mid-2022 157,745; mid-2032 156,916)Ipswich -0.9% (mid-2022 139,295; mid-2032 138,113)Barrow-in-Furness -1.7% (mid-2022 67,354; mid-2032 66,197)Copeland -1.9% (mid-2022 67,425; mid-2032 66,174)Gosport -2.1% (mid-2022 82,277; mid-2032 80,533)Isles of Scilly -4.6% (mid-2022 2,281; mid-2032 2,177)
The Independent
4 days ago
- Business
- The Independent
UK population projected to grow at slower rate because of drop in migration
The UK population is projected to grow at a slower rate than previously stated, because of a sharp drop in the estimated level of migration. Initial figures published in January by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) suggested the population was projected to increase by 7.3% between mid-2022 and mid-2032. This has been revised to the new figure of 5.9%, after the ONS said its short-term projections were 'running too high'. Net migration to the UK – the difference between the number of people moving long term to the country and the number leaving – is estimated to have halved from 860,000 in 2023 to 431,000 in 2024, the ONS said in May. But this data was not available when the ONS made its first population projections at the start of this year. As migration is the main driver of population growth, the ONS has now adjusted its principal projection. The population of England is also projected to grow at a slower rate than previously stated, rising by 6.4% between mid-2022 and mid-2032, compared with the previous projection of 7.8%. The ONS said the new figures are 'a better reflection of short-term population change'. Projections are not forecasts or predictions and do not take into account what may or may not happen in the future. They are instead based on current and past trends, and as those trends change, the projections are adjusted accordingly. James Robards, ONS head of population and household projections, said the latest changes reflect 'the challenge in projecting the path from unprecedented levels of international migration seen over recent years to a lower long-term average figure and the uncertainty over the speed of decrease. 'Although in the long term we project annual UK net migration will settle around the 340,000 mark, in the short term our national projections were running too high.' The new figures also include population projections for local areas in England. They show the population is projected to rise between mid-2022 and mid-2032 in 302 of 309 local authorities. The fastest growing areas include Tower Hamlets in London (up 20.4%), South Derbyshire (up 19.2%), Stratford-upon-Avon in Warwickshire (up 17.4%) and North West Leicestershire (up 15.8%). Some 47 local authorities are projected to see a population increase of at least 10%. The City of London is projected to grow by 48.6%, but the size of change reflects the very low population in this area, at just 11,457 in mid-2022 and 17,023 in mid-2032. Seven areas are projected to see a fall in population over the period, including Gosport in Hampshire (down 2.1%), Copeland in Cumbria (down 1.9%) and Barrow-in-Furness in Cumbria (down 1.7%). The ONS local area projections are based on local authority boundaries in 2021. Copeland is now part of the larger local authority of Cumberland, while Barrow-in-Furness is part of Westmorland & Furness. 'The drivers behind the projected population increase vary significantly by area,' James Robards added. 'In many local authorities, growth is mainly driven by internal migration. 'Internal migration of young people would furthermore contribute to the number of projected births. 'However, in many urban areas growth is driven by net international migration.'
Bloomberg
4 days ago
- Business
- Bloomberg
London Population Set to Jump 600,000 Putting Strain on Housing
London's population is expected to jump by a further 600,000 by 2032, according to official projections that suggest a ratcheting up of pressure on the capital's constrained housing market. The city's population is expected to rise by 6.7% to over 9 million between 2022 and 2032, the Office for National Statistics said on Tuesday.
