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Time of India
14-06-2025
- Business
- Time of India
Learn With ETMarkets: Geopolitics vs. Portfolio - 7 smart investing moves in volatile times
Geopolitical tensions have increasingly influenced financial markets in recent years. From the prolonged conflict between Russia and Ukraine to the evolving trade dynamics between the United States and China, global developments have become a key concern for investors. Even domestically, events such as India's Operation Sindoor and trade-related tensions with neighbouring countries have remained in focus. These events prompt important questions: How will markets react? What are the potential implications for portfolios? And most importantly, how can investors navigate such uncertain environments? Why Geopolitics Matters to Investors In the current global landscape, geopolitical events are no longer peripheral — they directly influence market sentiment and economic fundamentals. Conflicts, elections, diplomatic standoffs, and sanctions impact global supply chains, commodity prices, interest rates, inflation, and cross-border capital flows. Live Events For example, the Russia–Ukraine conflict disrupted global energy supply chains, while US–China tensions have affected trade volumes and investment flows. For investors, understanding these linkages is crucial to managing risk and identifying opportunities. Market Response to Geopolitical Events While such events often trigger short-term volatility, historical trends suggest that equity markets, particularly in India, have shown resilience over the long term. Key Examples: India–Pakistan Standoff (2001–2002): The Sensex declined by nearly 3% during the standoff but recovered over the following year. Mumbai Attacks (2008): Markets dipped nearly 2% immediately but rebounded significantly, gaining ~92% over the next year. Surgical Strike (2016): The Sensex rose by ~26%, reflecting investor confidence. Pulwama Attack (2019): The market remained largely stable and closed the year with a ~15% gain. India–China Clash (2020): The Sensex dipped briefly but surged ~67% within 12 months. Russia–Ukraine War: Initial volatility gave way to recovery, with the Sensex delivering a cumulative return of ~51% as of June 6, 2025. US–China Trade War: Despite short-term fluctuations, markets posted a ~7% gain since the initial tariff announcements. COVID-19 Pandemic: After a sharp initial decline (~23%), the Sensex rebounded by ~100% within a year. While market corrections during such events are common, long-term investors have often been rewarded for staying invested. Strategies to Position Portfolios Amid Global Uncertainty While geopolitical events are beyond an investor's control, the ability to respond with a disciplined approach can significantly mitigate potential downside risks. 1. Maintain a Long-Term Perspective Investors are advised not to respond to geopolitical developments with impulsive decisions. Historically, the Nifty 50 has not posted negative returns over any rolling 10-year period since 1999, with average annualised returns of approximately 14.1%. Time in the market continues to outweigh timing the market. 2. Review and Realign Asset Allocation An investor's asset allocation should reflect their age, financial goals, and risk appetite. ● Younger investors (20s–40s) may consider higher equity exposure (80–100%). ● Near or post-retirement investors may benefit from increased allocations to fixed income or low-volatility instruments to preserve capital. An important self-check: Would a 10–15% correction impact your financial stability? If yes, a rebalancing may be warranted. 3. Diversify Across Asset Classes and Geographies Diversification remains the most effective tool for risk management. Investors should not only diversify across asset classes (equity, debt, gold) but also consider geographic exposure. In the past year, for instance, the Hang Seng Index delivered ~29% returns — outpacing both the Nifty (~10%) and Dow Jones (~9%). Despite ongoing global tensions, China's market has performed strongly on a year-to-date basis, reiterating the case for geographic diversification. 4. Incorporate Safe-Haven Assets In periods of heightened uncertainty, assets like gold, silver, and government bonds tend to perform relatively better. As of 2025 YTD: ● Gold has delivered ~26% returns ● Silver has returned ~23% ● Nifty 50, in comparison, has returned ~3% Government securities also serve as a hedge against volatility, especially for risk-averse investors. 5. Maintain SIP Discipline Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) allow investors to average costs over time and reduce the impact of market volatility. Continuity in SIPs during market corrections has historically proven beneficial, as it encourages disciplined investing and long-term wealth creation. 6. Maintain Liquidity for Contingencies A reserve corpus equivalent to 3–6 months of essential expenses ensures that investors do not have to prematurely exit market positions during crises. Moreover, liquidity positions investors to take advantage of attractive valuations during market corrections. 7. Consider Defensive Sectors In phases of heightened risk, investors may consider shifting partial exposure toward low-beta, cash-rich, and resilient sectors such as FMCG, Healthcare, and Utilities . These sectors often provide stability and steady earnings during volatile phases. Wrapping Up While geopolitical events do introduce uncertainty, history has consistently demonstrated the Indian equity market's resilience. Whether during the pandemic, border tensions, or global trade conflicts, markets have eventually rebounded, rewarding investors who stayed the course. Delaying action until after a crisis unfolds often results in missed opportunities, as markets tend to price in developments rapidly. It is, therefore, imperative to adopt a proactive — not reactive — approach. Though geopolitical shocks cannot be anticipated or controlled, investors can mitigate their impact through prudent asset allocation, diversification, and long-term commitment to financial goals. Market volatility is temporary — but the benefits of strategic discipline are enduring. (The author is Vice President of Research, TejiMandi) The article is for information purposes only. This is not investment advice. ( Disclaimer : Recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by experts are their own. These do not represent the views of the Economic Times)
Indian Express
12-06-2025
- Entertainment
- Indian Express
‘Kapil Sharma was being exploited by Comedy Circus, he didn't have an identity': Navjot Singh Sidhu played central role in comedian's success
Former cricketer Navjot Singh Sidhu participated in the reality show Bigg Boss in 2012. He recently shared that the only reason he did the show was money. Sidhu shared that his career as politician wasn't lucrative enough for him to build his dream house in Amritsar. 'Bigg Boss gave a lucrative offer,' said Navjot Singh Sidhu. He will soon return on Kapil Sharma's show on Netflix. He shared a detailed vlog on his YouTube channel, where he also opened up about his Bigg Boss stint. 'People cannot go to Bigg Boss and comeback without spoiling their reputation. However, I took up that challenge because I needed money to build a house in Amritsar. I wouldn't have been able to build a house with what I earned from being a politician,' he said. He added, 'Bigg Boss was an opportunity for me to earn money. They had a very lucrative offer. I told them my charges for the first month, second month and third month. However, they could afford me just for a month. And I was out after the first month. In that one month's time I never said a word against anybody in the house. I managed to return from the house without harming my reputation in the society. This opened many doors for me.' ALSO READ | Thug Life box office collection day 7: Mani Ratnam delivers his first flop in 10 years, Kamal Haasan-starrer falls short of Baby John, Sikandar Post his stint in Bigg Boss, Navjot Singh Sidhu received offers from Star Sports and Colors. He said, 'Star Sports offered me commentator's job. Colors put a condition before Kapil Sharma to sponsor his independent show: 'Bring Navjot Singh Sidhu as your permanent guest'.' Navjot Singh Sidhu said he was the only reason behind Kapil Sharma getting an independent show after being exploited in Comedy Circus. He said, ''Kapil Sharma rose to fame after he appeared in the show Laughter Challenge. Later, he was exploited in Comedy Circus, he didn't have an identity of his own. Kapil Sharma came to me and said, 'Paaji, I have a request. If you will agree to be part of my show, they will give me an independent show.' I was like who, 'He said Raj Nayak sahab'. Raj Nayak was the head of Colors back then. He wanted me to be the judge of the show. He wanted me as he wanted to increase the channel's TRP. We met over breakfast and I agreed to do it.' A few days ago, the makers of The Great Indian Kapil Show took to the official Instagram handle of Netflix and shared the news about Navjot Singh Sidhu's return to the comedian's show after a gap of nearly six years. The news has created excitement in fans. The former cricketer was part of Kapil Sharma's shows on Colors and Sony Entertainment Television from 2012 to 2019. He quit the show after his controversial remark on the Pulwama Attack. The former cricketer will now return as the show's permanent guest alongside actress Archana Puran Singh. The Great Indian Kapil Show season 3 will premiere on June 21.
Mint
13-05-2025
- Politics
- Mint
Operation Sindoor: BJP launches outreach events, Tiranga yatra to highlight ‘military success' against Pakistan
Operation Sindoor: The Bharatiya Janata Party has launched a pan-India outreach campaign on Operation Sindoor, India's military strike against terrorist camps in Pakistan, and the events that followed. Though the party had remained silent for many days since 07 May, when the operation begun, a formal outreach began soon after Prime Minister Narendra Modi's address to the nation on 12 May. State units of the party will organise public programmes such as a 10-day Tiranga Yatra, call on families of the personnel killed in action, and reach out to people with the details of how India decimated terrorist camps in Pakistan, a report in Hindustan Times said. 'Owing to the sensitivity of the operation the BJP did not make any comments or statements about the military action that was being executed by our armed forces. But the message from the very beginning was absolutely clear. The PM while addressing a rally in Bihar (on April 24) said the perpetrators (of the April 22 terror) attack in Pahalgam (in Kashmir) would be served punishment beyond their imagination and that has been fulfilled,' the report quoted a BJP leader as saying. Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Monday, 12 May asserted that India won't be bogged down by any 'nuclear blackmail' from Pakistan and that the country's military actions against terrorism have only been paused for now. In his first address to the nation after 'Operation Sindoor', Modi said that the future course of action would depend on Pakistan's behaviour. 'Operation Sindoor' is now India's new policy against terrorism and a new line has been drawn, Modi said. On May 7 morning, India conducted strikes on terrorist camps in Pakistan-occupied Kashmir and Pakistan, two weeks after the brutal killing of 26 civilians in Pahalgam, Jammu and Kashmir. The strikes by India since 7 May were coined 'Operation Sindoor.' The PM... said the perpetrators... would be served punishment beyond their imagination and that has been fulfilled. Operation Sindoor is now India's new policy against terrorism and a new line has been drawn. The decision about the outreach programme and the related details were discussed on Sunday evening in the meeting between party president JP Nadda and senior ministers including Rajnath Singh, Amit Shah, Bhupender Yadav, Kiren Rijiju and Ashwani Vaishnaw. A similar meeting was held at the party headquarters on Monday. Two party national general secretaries Vinod Tawde and Tarun Chugh were given charge of drawing up the details of the outreach in the meeting, according to Hindustan Times. A similar outreach was carried out after the surgical strikes across the border following the terror attacks in Uri in 2016 and the Pulwama Attack in 2019.
Time of India
12-05-2025
- Politics
- Time of India
India names top Pak officials who attended funerals of terrorists killed in Operation Sindoor
India names top Pak officials who attended funerals of terrorists killed in Operation Sindoor (ANI photo) NEW DELHI: India on Sunday released the names of top Pakistani officials who attended the funeral of LeT terrorist Abdul Rauf , who lost his life during the May 7 ' Operation Sindoor .' Senior Pakistani military officials and the Punjab Inspector General of Police were present at the service, according to the ANI news agency. Attendees included Lt Gen Fayyaz Hussain, Major General Rao Imran, Brigadier Mohd Furqan from Administration, Usman Anwar Pakistan Punjab Legislator and Malik Sohaib Ahmed. Operation Sindoor struck nine terror facilities across PoK and Pakistan. Operation Sindoor 'Our job is to hit target, not to count body bags': Air Marshal Bharti on Op Sindoor Precautionary blackout imposed across parts of Rajasthan, Punjab 'Indian Navy was in position to strike Karachi': Vice Admiral on Operation Sindoor The PoK targets included Sawal Nala, Syedna Bilal, Gulpur, Barnala, and Abbas. In Pakistan proper, strikes occurred at Bhawalpur, Muridke, Sarjal, and Mehmoona Joya. The defence ministry has identified 21 terrorist installations in Pakistan-Occupied Kashmir and Pakistan: Sawal Nala, Syed na Bilal, Maskar-e-Aqsa, Chelabandi, Abdullah bin Masood, Dulai, Garhi Habibullah, Batrasi, Balakot, Oghi, Boi, Sensa, Gulpur, Kotli, Barali, Dungi, Barnala, Mehmoona Joya, Sarjal, Mudrike and Bahawalpur. Indian forces eliminated terrorists in Muridke, Bahawalpur Khalid Abu Akasha, eliminated on May 7, facilitated arms trafficking from Afghanistan to Pakistan while operating from Peshawar. This trained LeT operative had previously operated in J&K before returning to Pakistan. He had recently relocated to LeT headquarters in Muridke and served on the organisation's Central Committee. The defence ministry reported his close collaboration with central LeT/JuD figures: Yahya Mujahid, Qari Yakub Sheikh, Abdul Rehman, Khalid Waleed, Engineer Haris Dar and Abdul Rehman Abid. Mudassir Khadian Khas, a LeT operative who managed the Muridke camp, worked alongside Hafiz Abdul Rauf, the Al Khidmat Committee Chairman, as his security chief. He also collaborated with PMML General Secretary Hafiz Khalid Waleed in Lahore. He is Hafiz Mohammad Saeed's son-in-law. Mohammad Hassan Khan, another target of Operation Sindoor, was the son of JeM Operational Commander Mufti Asghar Khan Kashmiri. He operated from the Syedna Bilal camp with Mufti Asghar Khan Kashmiri and Ashiq Negroo, and participated in the 2019 Pulwama Attack. He accompanied Asghar Khan Kashmiri to Shura Meetings in Islamabad and coordinated with Shakargarh-based JeM operatives Mohammad Adnan Ali, Ali Kashif Jaan and Mohammad Yasir. Hafiz Muhammed Jameel, JeM Chief Maulana Masood Azhar's eldest brother-in-law and advisor, oversaw JeM headquarters operations in Bahawalpur. As a Shura member and close associate of Masood Azhar, Jameel supervised terrorist activities from Bahawalpur. The defence ministry stated he visited PoK to recruit youth for jihad against India and raise funds for JeM. While India conducted precise strikes during Operation Sindoor, Pakistan damaged a Gurudwara and Madarasa in Poonch. The defence ministry presented evidence of destroyed Pakistani drones at Ramnagar, Naushera and Miran Sahib. India maintained its position on direct DGMO communication, declining third-party mediation or back-channel talks, showing its preference for established military channels for conflict resolution. Tensions escalated after Pakistan's drone attacks on Indian locations prompted a robust Indian response. On May 8, foreign secretary Vikram Misri stated that the Pahalgam terror attack constituted Pakistan's "original escalation," to which India responded with "controlled, precise, measured, considered and non-escalatory" strikes on terror infrastructure.
Time of India
12-05-2025
- Politics
- Time of India
Top brass of Pak Army, police offer prayers at LeT terrorists' 'funeral' slain in Op Sindoor
India released the names of Pakistan officials present at the funeral of LeT terrorist Abdul Rauf, who was killed in Operation Sindoor . #Operation Sindoor India responds to Pak's ceasefire violation; All that happened India-Pakistan ceasefire reactions: Who said what Punjab's hopes for normalcy dimmed by fresh violations Funeral of killed terrorists in Muridke, like LeT Commander Abdul Rauf, a Specially Designated Global Terrorist by US Treasury, was carried out in Pakistan, according to the Ministry of Defence. The top brass of Pakistan Army and Inspector General of Police in Pakistan's Punjab were seen attending the funeral and offering prayers. It was attended by- Lt Gen Fayyaz Hussain, Major General Rao Imran, Brigadier Mohd Furqan from Administration, Usman Anwar Pakistan Punjab Legislator and Malik Sohaib Ahmed. Operation Sindoor targeted a total of nine terror camps in PoJK and Pakistan. In PoJK, Sawal Nala, Syedna Bilal, Gulpur, Barnala, and Abbas were targeted. In Pakistan, Bhawalpur, Muridke, Sarjal, Mehmoona Joya were targeted. As per the Ministry of Defence, there are 21 terrorist camps identified in Pakistan-Occupied Jammu and Kashmir and Pakistan- Sawal Nala, Syed na Bilal, Maskar-e-Aqsa, Chelabandi, Abdullah bin Masood, Dulai, Garhi Habibullah, Batrasi, Balakot, Oghi, Boi, Sensa, Gulpur, Kotli, Barali, Dungi, Barnala, Mehmoona Joya, Sarjal, Mudrike and Bahawalpur. Live Events India neutralized terrorists in Muridke in Bahawalpur. Khalid Abu Akasha, a terrorist killed on May 7 was involved in smuggling of arms, ammunition from Afghanistan to Pakistan while based in Peshawar. Trained LeT terrorist who operated in J&K and exfiltrated back. He recently shifted to LeT headquarters in Muridke and was part of Central Committee of LeT. He worked closely with Central LeT/ JuD entities: Yahya Mujahid, Qari Yakub Sheikh, Abdul Rehman, Khalid Waleed, Engineer Haris Dar and Abdul Rehman Abid, the Ministry of Defence stated. Mudassir Khadian Khas, another terrorist LeT Operative and in-charge of Muridke Terrorist Camp worked with Hafiz Abdul Rauf, the Chairman of the Al Khidmat Committee, as his Security in Charge. He also worked with Hafiz Khalid Waleed, the General Secretary PMML, Lahore. He is the son-in-law of Hafiz Mohammad Saeed. Khas was a close associate of Saifullah Khalid Kasuri (LeT Deputy Chief), who had recruited him. Mohammad Hassan Khan, another terrorist targeted during Operation Sindoor, was the son of Mufti Asghar Khan Kashmiri (JeM Operational Commander, Amir, POJK). He used to operate from Syedna Bilal terrorist camp with Mufti Asghar Khan Kashmiri (Amir, JeM PoJK) and Ashiq Negroo (JeM Indian Fugitive) and was involved in Pulwama Attack of 2019. He used to accompany Asghar Khan Kashmiri to Islamabad to attend Shura Meetings. He also coordinated with Shakargarh-based JeM operative, viz Mohammad Adnan Ali, Ali Kashif Jaan and Mohammad Yasir. Hafiz Muhammed Jameel, another terrorist was the eldest brother-in-law and advisor of JeM Chief Maulana Masood Azhar. He was the overall in-charge of JeM headquarters at Bahawalpur. Jameel was a Shura member of JeM and a close confidante, or family member of Masood Azhar. Used to oversee terrorist operations organised from Bahawalpur. He visited PoJK to motivate youth to join Jihad against India and raising funds for JeM, said the Ministry of Defence. As India targeted the terror groups during Operation Sindoor in precise operations, Pakistan damaged a Gurudwara and Madarasa at Poonch. The Operation displayed India's air defence preparedness. The defence ministry showed destroyed Pakistani drones at Ramnagar, Naushera and Miran Sahib. Meanwhile, India insisted on direct communication between the Director General of Military Operations (DGMOs), rejecting any third-party assurances or back-channel negotiations, reflecting its commitment to resolving conflicts through established military channels, according to the sources. The escalation between India and Pakistan intensified after Pakistan launched drone attacks targeting Indian sites, prompting a swift and forceful response from India. India's Operation Sindoor is seen as a "new normal" in counter-terrorism, signalling that any hostile action from Pakistan would be met with a decisive and precise response. Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri said on May 8 that Pahalgam terror attack was "original escalation" by Pakistan and India responded in "controlled, precise, measured, considered and non-escalatory" manner through precise strikes on terror infrastructure early on Wednesday. Economic Times WhatsApp channel )
