Latest news with #Pydynowski
UPI
13-06-2025
- Climate
- UPI
New tropical storm forms in Pacific as Atlantic basin remains dormant
AccuWeather's Enhanced RealVue™ Satellite of Tropical Depression 4-E south of Mexico on Friday afternoon. (AccuWeather) The eastern Pacific Ocean has spawned a new tropical storm, Dalila, which will swipe southern Mexico with flooding downpours and gusty winds. Meanwhile, the Atlantic basin remains dormant for now, but AccuWeather hurricane experts say it may spring to life during the second half of the month. The East Pacific is quickly gaining momentum following a slow start to the season, which officially began on May 15. Four storms have been named since May 28 -- Alvin, Barbara, Cosme and now Dalila. Dalila, which AccuWeather identified as a tropical rainstorm ahead of all other known sources on Thursday, was designated Tropical Depression 4-E by the National Hurricane Center on Friday morning before quickly being upgraded to a tropical storm. "Rain and wind from Dalila is likely to skirt the western coast of Mexico through this weekend before the storm moves westward into the open waters of the Pacific," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski said. Most of the wind associated with the tropical storm will stay offshore, but gusts can occasionally reach 40-60 mph along the immediate southern coastline of Mexico. The most significant impact in the region will be in the form of rain, with a swath of 2-4 inches expected with an AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 8 inches. Flooding and mudslides can occur, especially since this zone recently got hit with tropical downpours from Barbara. Due to flooding rain and gusty winds, Tropical Storm Dalila is rated less than one on the AccuWeather RealImpact™ Scale for Hurricanes in Mexico. "Beyond Dalila, another area could develop between June 17 and 20. This area of concern would be farther to the east, likely just offshore of the far southern coast of Mexico or even just offshore of Guatemala, but would likely take a similar track," Pydynowski said. When will the Atlantic basin spring to life? Copious amounts of wind shear and dry, dusty air from the Sahara Desert have put a lid on tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean since the start of the basin's hurricane season on June 1. "There are some signs that tropical development could occur later in the month, however, just east of the Yucatan Peninsula or in the Bay of Campeche, between June 17 and 21," Pydynowski said. Even if a tropical depression or storm does not organize, tropical downpours are expected to frequent portions of Central America and southeastern Mexico into late June, which can enhance the risk of flooding and mudslides. "Any potential tropical depression or storm would likely be short-lived and remain mainly south of the United States, but some of its tropical moisture could be drawn northward into South Texas, even if there is no organized tropical development," Pydynowski said. AccuWeather is expecting a near- to above-historical-average Atlantic tropical storm and hurricane season for 2025. Between three and six named tropical cyclones are forecast to directly impact the U.S.
Yahoo
13-06-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
New tropical storm forms south of Mexico as Atlantic basin remains dormant
The eastern Pacific Ocean has spawned a new tropical storm, Dalila, which will swipe southern Mexico with flooding downpours and gusty winds. Meanwhile, the Atlantic basin remains dormant for now, but AccuWeather hurricane experts say it may spring to life during the second half of the month. The East Pacific is quickly gaining momentum following a slow start to the season, which officially began on May 15. Four storms have been named since May 28 -- Alvin, Barbara, Cosme and now Dalila. Dalila, which AccuWeather identified as a tropical rainstorm ahead of all other known sources on Thursday, was designated Tropical Depression 4-E by the National Hurricane Center on Friday morning before quickly being upgraded to a tropical storm. "Rain and wind from Dalila is likely to skirt the western coast of Mexico through this weekend before the storm moves westward into the open waters of the Pacific," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski said. Most of the wind associated with the tropical storm will stay offshore, but gusts can occasionally reach 40-60 mph along the immediate southern coastline of Mexico. The most significant impact in the region will be in the form of rain, with a swath of 2-4 inches expected with an AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 8 inches. Flooding and mudslides can occur, especially since this zone recently got hit with tropical downpours from the app? Unlock AccuWeather Alerts™ with Premium+ Due to flooding rain and gusty winds, Tropical Storm Dalila is rated less than one on the AccuWeather RealImpact™ Scale for Hurricanes in Mexico. "Beyond Dalila, another area could develop between June 17 and 20. This area of concern would be farther to the east, likely just offshore of the far southern coast of Mexico or even just offshore of Guatemala, but would likely take a similar track," Pydynowski said. When will the Atlantic basin spring to life? Copious amounts of wind shear and dry, dusty air from the Sahara Desert have put a lid on tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean since the start of the basin's hurricane season on June 1. "There are some signs that tropical development could occur later in the month, however, just east of the Yucatan Peninsula or in the Bay of Campeche, between June 17 and 21," Pydynowski said. Even if a tropical depression or storm does not organize, tropical downpours are expected to frequent portions of Central America and southeastern Mexico into late June, which can enhance the risk of flooding and mudslides. "Any potential tropical depression or storm would likely be short-lived and remain mainly south of the United States, but some of its tropical moisture could be drawn northward into South Texas, even if there is no organized tropical development," Pydynowski said. AccuWeather is expecting a near- to above-historical-average Atlantic tropical storm and hurricane season for 2025. Between three and six named tropical cyclones are forecast to directly impact the U.S. Want next-level safety, ad-free? Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when you subscribe to Premium+ on the AccuWeather app. AccuWeather Alerts™ are prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer.
Yahoo
04-06-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Heat records in jeopardy as season's first 90-degree readings expected in Northwest
Mother Nature is about to turn up the thermostat in the Pacific Northwest, with record high temperatures in the forecast for a few days beginning this weekend, say AccuWeather meteorologists. For some areas away from the coast and in valleys, it will be the first time venturing into the 90s this year, while many other communities will make it into the 80s, well above historical averages for early June. "Those with outdoor plans this weekend will want to schedule their activities in the morning or evenings to avoid the peak heating hours during the day," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski said. "If you must be outside, drink plenty of water and take as many breaks in the shade and indoors in air conditioning as possible." The increase in temperature will be driven by a building area of high pressure across the West, replacing an area of low pressure which was leading to locally heavy showers and thunderstorms into midweek, especially across the Southwest and Rockies. After another rather typical early-June day temperature-wise on Wednesday, the warmth will begin to ratchet up on Thursday and Friday before records begin to be challenged on Saturday. "The first 90-degree readings of the year thus far are expected in Portland, Oregon, this weekend," said Pydynowski. "Both Saturday and Sunday's forecast high temperatures will challenge or even break daily records." The record high temperature in Portland on Saturday of 93 from 1948 may be safe, but it appears the daily record of 94 from 1955 on Sunday is in jeopardy of tumbling, with AccuWeather forecasters expecting a high temperature well into the the app? Unlock AccuWeather Alerts™ with Premium+ Typically, Portland experiences its first 90-degree reading of the year in mid- to late June, so the intrusion of warmth expected this weekend is a couple of weeks ahead of the historical average. "The historical average first date for 95-degree heat in Portland is July 21," pointed out AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Chad Merrill. Seattle, while not expected to venture into the 90s, will not be exempt from the warmth. High temperatures well into the 80s are on tap for Sunday and Monday, with Sunday's forecast high close to the daily record of 87 set a decade ago. Smaller towns east of the Cascades will also be roasting beginning this weekend. "Spokane, Washington, will flirt with daily records Saturday, Sunday and Monday with highs in the lower 90s expected," added Pydynowski. "Meanwhile, Omak, Washington, will challenge a long-standing record by next Monday, as the high tops out near 99, which is a mark that has stood for over 100 years, since 1918." While heat waves of this magnitude are not unusual in the Pacific Northwest, especially during midsummer, they can be impactful and potentially deadly. Only 53 percent of buildings in Washington state have air conditioning equipment, the second-lowest percentage in the U.S. behind Alaska, according to data from the Haas School of Business at the University of California in Berkeley. In Oregon, only about three-quarters of buildings have such cooling capabilities. "In the wake of a deadly heat wave in June 2021, a study by the National Weather Service indicated homes without air conditioning were warmest between 9 p.m. and 11 p.m.," said Merrill. "For those without air conditioning, staying at a friend's or relative's home with air conditioning overnights this weekend is advised." For those looking for a reprieve from the early-season heat, it is forecast to fade by the middle of next week, as the area of high pressure moves east. Temperatures will return to more typical readings in the 60s and 70s. Want next-level safety, ad-free? Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when you subscribe to Premium+ on the AccuWeather app. AccuWeather Alerts™ are prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer.
Yahoo
09-05-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Will the Northeast catch a rain break in time for Mother's Day?
A storm clearing out of the Northeast this weekend will pave the way for sunshine and seasonable spring temperatures just in time to celebrate moms and mother figures alike on Sunday. "A zone of high pressure over the Northeast will set the stage for a sunny and comfortable Mother's Day," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski said. Rain will linger across New England on Saturday as drier air noses southward into the mid-Atlantic. By Sunday, the entire region will be largely free of cloud cover and wet conditions. "Many areas across the interior of New England, New York state and northern Pennsylvania will start off chilly on Sunday morning with temperatures in the 30s F, so Mom may need a jacket if you are taking her out to breakfast," Pydynowski said. Sensitive plants or flowers may need to be covered or brought indoors on Saturday and Sunday nights to prevent possible damage. "By Sunday afternoon, plenty of sunshine will boost temperatures into the 60s and 70s across much of the Northeast, making for great conditions for an afternoon cookout or picnic," Pydynowski the app? Unlock AccuWeather Alerts™ with Premium+ Washington, D.C., Pittsburgh, Philadelphia and New York City are expected to string together three consecutive dry days from Saturday through Monday, a welcome reprieve following the daily bouts of rain during the first full week of May. The weather observation site in Central Park has recorded 2.10 inches of rain as of May 8, which is 208% of the month-to-date historical average rainfall. "The consecutive dry days in these areas will give plenty of flexibility for catching up on lawn maintenance, outdoor exercise, yard sales, college graduations and sports-related activities," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski said. Changes will be on the horizon heading into the middle of next week as a storm drenching the Southeast through the weekend crawls northward Tuesday into Wednesday. "Moisture will move across parts of the Midwest, mid-Atlantic and Northeast, resulting in increased rain chances," Pydynowski said. The slow-moving nature of the storm and light winds in the atmosphere can result in downpours that sit over the same area for several hours, increasing the risk of localized flooding. A few stronger thunderstorms are also possible along the Southeast coast, perhaps as far north as the Delmarva Peninsula. Want next-level safety, ad-free? Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when you subscribe to Premium+ on the AccuWeather app. AccuWeather Alerts™ are prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer.
Yahoo
26-04-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Dynamic weather pattern to bring rain for some in Northeast, but increase fire risk for others
A changeable weather pattern will bring rounds of rain and temperature swings to the Northeast for the final days of April and the first few of May. The series of storms and cold fronts making for the topsy-turvy weather will not be equal opportunity, however, as parts of the region will miss out on meaningful rain and experience a continued risk for wildfires, warn AccuWeather meteorologists. The first round of rain in association with this dynamic pattern was moving through the Northeast this weekend. While localized downpours and even gusty winds can occur into Saturday night, the rain is much-needed, not just because it has been about two weeks since the last meaningful rain in parts of the area but because pollen has been building up much to the chagrin of allergy sufferers. A cold front moving through behind this area of rain will usher in a drier second half of the weekend, but it will also bring an enhanced risk for fires due in part to gusty winds. This cycle will repeat itself at least once more in the coming week, and it will come in the wake of recent major wildfires in the region. Gusty winds to lead to an elevated risk for fires into Monday A drier, cooler air mass will allow the masses to resume outdoor activities during the second half of the weekend in the Northeast, but it will bring its own problems, warn AccuWeather meteorologists. "Despite the rain Saturday, a fire threat will quickly return to parts of the Northeast and mid-Atlantic on Sunday," said AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski. "This includes much of New Jersey and Pennsylvania, where there have been large fires recently." The Jones Road Fire, which has scorched over 15,000 acres in Ocean County, New Jersey, and is 60 percent contained, as of early this weekend, was one of those fires. Other large blazes occurred in central Pennsylvania. "Afternoon relative humidity values across much of the region can drop to around 30 percent Sunday," warned Pydynowski. "This lowering of the humidity, coupled with northwesterly wind gusts of 35 to 40 mph and plenty of sun will quickly dry out brush, grass, leaves, pine needles and other fine fuels which can cause any small fire to quickly spread out of control." Because of the enhanced risk, outdoor burning is not advised from eastern West Virginia and Virginia north to southern New England to end the weekend. Even something as benign as mowing the lawn or string trimming near metal edging can create sparks that can turn into infernos. While winds will be lighter by Monday, continued dry conditions will still keep the risk for fires elevated. More opportunities for rain, but also fires later in the week Following that round of dry weather that will last into the start of Tuesday for many, another front in association with rain and thunderstorms will arrive by Tuesday night and early Wednesday, say AccuWeather meteorologists. While this front can again bring locally heavy rain, and even a threat of severe weather for some, it will tend to lose energy and moisture as it approaches the Atlantic coast. Behind the front later Wednesday, another round of gusty winds and lower humidity levels can once again increase the risk for fires, especially in southern New England. Depending on the progress of another storm and front late in the week, it's possible there can be a third opportunity for fire danger in the region during the first weekend in the app? Unlock AccuWeather Alerts™ with Premium+ Despite the rounds of dry, gusty winds in the wake of storms and fronts, there will be some opportunities for much-needed rain in the region. According to the latest Drought Monitor released Thursday morning, severe drought conditions were still present in portions of Maryland, New Jersey, Pennsylvania and West Virginia, despite improvements seen in March and early April. Temperature swings and even a risk of frost for some this week? Accompanying the rounds of rain and then drier weather will be wild temperature swings, which will see the mercury rise into the 80s some days and then dive into the 60s the next in parts of the Northeast and mid-Atlantic. An initial cooldown to end the weekend will be replaced by a surge in temperature Tuesday afternoon, with the mercury rising well into the 80s as far north as New York City. As quickly as it warms, it will cool back down for the middle and end of the week. In addition, a late-season frost will be possible over the course of a couple of nights in the normally cooler enclaves of the interior Northeast, Sunday night, Wednesday night and perhaps again late in the upcoming weekend. Want next-level safety, ad-free? Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when you subscribe to Premium+ on the AccuWeather app. AccuWeather Alerts™ are prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer.
