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SAP shares drop after it maintains outlook despite strong quarter
SAP shares drop after it maintains outlook despite strong quarter

Reuters

time6 days ago

  • Business
  • Reuters

SAP shares drop after it maintains outlook despite strong quarter

BERLIN, July 23 (Reuters) - Shares in SAP ( opens new tab fell on Wednesday after the German software maker reported higher quarterly sales and earnings but held off on increasing full-year targets, which some investors had expected. SAP shares were down by 3.9% at 0730 GMT, after the company late on Tuesday reported higher sales, profitability and free cash flow in the second quarter, but maintained its outlook, citing "elevated levels of uncertainty and reduced visibility". "As we move into the second half, we remain cautiously optimistic, keeping a close eye on geopolitical developments and public sector trends," finance chief Dominik Asam said in the quarterly report. SAP still forecasts full-year operating profit in the range of 10.3 billion to 10.6 billion euros ($12.44 billion), compared to 8.15 billion a year ago. Deutsche Bank analysts said the reiterated targets left a margin for error as uncertainty surrounding Washington's tariffs slows decision-making among U.S. customers. For the second quarter, SAP reported an 83% year-on-year jump in its free cash flow, used to determine dividends to investors, to 2.36 billion euros, exceeding market expectations by about a billion. Operating profit rose by around a third to 2.57 billion euros, boosted by the company's 2024 restructuring programme, which it concluded in the first quarter. SAP announced the 2-billion-euro pivot towards artificial intelligence last year, either retraining employees or replacing them through voluntary redundancies. But some traders said results were still driven by SAP's old licences business. "The future cloud biz lagged expectations, giving the report a sour tone. Also, the outlook was just confirmed sending a somewhat cautious note," one local trader said.

Piper Sandler starts at SAP at Buy, highlights 'multiple tailwinds beyond 2030'
Piper Sandler starts at SAP at Buy, highlights 'multiple tailwinds beyond 2030'

Yahoo

time17-06-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Piper Sandler starts at SAP at Buy, highlights 'multiple tailwinds beyond 2030'

-- Piper Sandler initiated coverage on SAP (NYSE:SAP) (ETR:SAPG) stock with an Overweight rating and a price target of €350, citing "multiple tailwinds [that] extend beyond 2030.' The brokerage sees SAP's ongoing cloud transformation as the primary catalyst for both earnings and valuation multiple expansion. According to Piper Sandler, SAP's Cloud Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) business has grown into a €17 billion run-rate with 34% year-over-year growth and is on track to surpass 50% of total revenue mix for the first time this year. "This cloud mix shift positions SAP to sustain double-digit revenue growth alongside improving margins that could compound free cash flow (FCF) at 15-20% annually through 2030+," analysts led by Brent A. Bracelin wrote. They highlight several growth drivers behind the bullish stance. The first is the large opportunity from ERP customers still running on older on-premise systems. About 60% of SAP's installed ERP base has yet to convert to cloud-based ERP software suite S/4HANA, representing a potential €28 billion uplift to the existing Cloud ERP segment. The analysts note that the end of ERP Central Component (ECC) support in 2027, extended to 2030 in some cases, combined with AI-driven data needs, is encouraging enterprises to transition their core back-office systems to the cloud. The team also sees significant upside from SAP's ability to cross-sell additional products across its customer base. "Customers with 4+ products more than doubled to 23% from 9% in 2021," they said, adding that roughly 77% of the installed base still uses fewer than four cloud solutions, providing ample room for further expansion. SAP's push into smaller enterprises offers another avenue for growth. New go-to-market initiatives in 2025 are expected to open access to 400,000 partner-assigned accounts in the mid-market segment. Furthermore, Piper Sandler points out SAP's progress in data and AI monetization through its Business Data Cloud (BDC), supported by partnerships with Databricks, Palantir (NASDAQ:PLTR), and others. The broker estimates BDC could "quickly grow into an incremental €1B data/AI unlock within two years, helping boost top-line growth by 1% point." Despite having underperformed the broader software sector over the past two decades, SAP has outperformed in the last two years, driven by the Cloud ERP shift. Piper Sandler believes there is still room for valuation multiple expansion. The software giant's next twelve months enterprise value-to-sales (EV/S) multiple has expanded to 8.2 times (compared to 4.7 times), 'but still has room to run, in our view, relative to what occurred at its two closest peers.' Related articles Piper Sandler starts at SAP at Buy, highlights 'multiple tailwinds beyond 2030' Wolfe stays defensive but sees AI spending supporting growth stocks Roku upgraded as ad tie-up with Amazon to boost its 2026 earnings Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

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