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Newsweek
2 days ago
- Politics
- Newsweek
Trump Hits Record Low Approval Rating on Immigration for Second Term: Poll
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. President Donald Trump has hit a new record low approval rating on immigration amid his second term, a new poll by CNN shows. Newsweek spoke to two experts about the decline. Why It Matters Immigration remains a cornerstone of Trump's second term in the White House and a defining issue of his administration. President Trump campaigned forcefully on the promise of mass deportations and expanded border infrastructure. The administration's actions, which include a marked increase in Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) raids and substantial emphasis in detention facilities, have underscored this focus. When Trump returned to the White House in January, he coasted in with high approval figures. But the president saw his numbers dip after months marked by economic strife and criticism over other policies like the president's handling of immigration and his recently passed tax bill. The up-and-down nature of approval polls can paint a picture of the landscape heading into the 2026 elections, where Democrats hope to regain control of the House and the Senate. What To Know In the Sunday poll from CNN conducted by SSRS, the president has a 42 percent approval rating on immigration and a 58 percent disapproval rating. The survey was taken from July 10 to July 13 among 1,057 U.S. adults with a margin of error of 3.5 percent. In a survey taken from April 17 to April 24, the president had a 45 percent approval rating with a 54 percent disapproval rating on immigration. In a March poll, the president had a 51 percent approval rating on the issue in a poll by CNN and SSRS, with a 48 percent disapproval rating. The survey also shows that 55 percent of U.S. adults believe the president has gone too far in deporting immigrants living in the country illegally. This is an uptick from an April poll showing 52 percent believed he had gone too far and 45 percent in a February poll. A recent poll by CBS News/YouGov over the weekend also shows the president losing ground on immigration. President Donald Trump can be seen speaking to the media as he departs the White House on July 15, 2025, in Washington, D.C. (Photo by) President Donald Trump can be seen speaking to the media as he departs the White House on July 15, 2025, in Washington, D.C. (Photo by) What People Are Saying Political analyst Craig Agranoff to Newsweek via text message Monday: "The decline underscores a notable erosion of support on what has long been one of his defining issues. This shift likely stems from increasing public discomfort with the administration's aggressive deportation policies and proposals for massive new detention centers, which polls show a majority of Americans oppose as going too far. It is indeed concerning, as sustained low approval here could weaken his leverage on other priorities and signal vulnerabilities for Republicans in future races." Agranoff concluded, "Regarding whether Trump cares about this drop, his history suggests he tends to downplay polls that contradict his narrative, prioritizing the enthusiasm of his base over chasing broader consensus on immigration." Robert Y. Shapiro, political science professor at Columbia University, to Newsweek via email Monday: "It has to do with the raid everywhere in which ICE agents are picking up law abiding immigrants and not just those who are dangerous and wanted for violent crimes, or have had previous arrests and convictions. They have picked up people who have been in the US for years, who have worked, and led peaceful family lives, and who are known and liked in their communities, and whom others in their community do not think should be deported. Trump's support fell off because he has gone too far beyond what even his supporters have wanted -- to secure the southern border and deport the bad guys." Trump on Truth Social on Monday: "One of the Great Success Stories in the History of Borders, and I'm including Borders from anywhere in the World. Congratulations to Kristi Noem, Tom Homan, Rodney Scott, Pam Bondi, and Pete Hegseth, but a special CONGRATULATIONS to Border Patrol and ICE. These are all absolutely amazing people!" What Happens Next As the administration advances its agenda, immigration will likely remain a divisive issue, shaping both the domestic political landscape and the broader debate on America's identity and values. Further polling and legal developments are expected in the months ahead as public scrutiny and advocacy responses evolve.
CNN
3 days ago
- Politics
- CNN
Democrats are far more motivated than Republicans for next year's midterms, CNN poll finds
Source: CNN Democrats are far more energized than Republicans about participating in next year's midterms, but deeply negative perceptions of the Democratic Party and its officeholders raise questions about the party's ability to capitalize on that energy. Overall, 72% of Democrats and Democratic-aligned registered voters say they are extremely motivated to vote in next year's congressional election, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS. That outpaces by 10 points deep motivation among the same group just weeks before the 2024 presidential election and stands 22 points above the share of Republican and Republican-leaning voters who feel the same way now. But just 28% of Americans view the Democratic Party favorably, the lowest mark for Democrats in the history of CNN's polling going back to 1992. Still, only 33% hold a favorable view of the Republican Party, which is the smallest share in CNN polling since just after the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the US Capitol. The poll suggests Democrats have a major opportunity next year – especially since midterms often favor the party out of power – but also a perception problem within their own ranks, particularly among younger voters. Among voters younger than 45 who align with the Democrats, just 52% say most Democratic members of Congress deserve reelection, and 48% say they do not. Older Democratic voters, by contrast, say these elected officials deserve another term by a wide margin, 76% to 24%. Nearly 6 in 10 Americans say most of the Democratic Party's members of Congress do not deserve reelection and Democrats themselves are 7 points less likely than Republicans to believe members of Congress of their own party deserve reelection. Those historic lows on favorability are partly driven by Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents being less likely to have a favorable view of their own side (76% of Republican-aligned adults have a favorable view of the GOP, while just 58% on the Democratic side feel that way about their party). The American public largely agrees that full Republican control of the White House and Congress is bad for the country (57% feel that way), with negative views of both President Donald Trump and his party persistent since spring. Sixty percent say most GOP members of Congress do not deserve to be reelected. And the Democratic Party may hold an advantage among political independents. Nearly two-thirds of independents say full GOP control of the federal government is bad for the country, and slightly more independents say most Democratic members of Congress deserve reelection (38%) than say the same about most Republican members of Congress (33%). That gap grows to double digits among independent voters who are deeply motivated to vote next year (39% say most Democrats deserve reelection vs. 27% who say the same about most Republicans), though this is driven at least in part by the stronger motivation to vote among independents who lean Democratic. Trump won't be on the ballot in next year's election, but his presence is likely to loom large for both his supporters and opponents. While roughly 3 in 10 Americans call themselves Republicans, in a separate question, 37% of US adults say they're political supporters specifically of Trump. A smaller share has backed his commercial ventures: 11% have purchased the president's products or stayed in his hotels. That small group is particularly loyal: They are more motivated to vote than other Trump supporters (62% compared with 45% among Trump backers who haven't done so) and are more apt to say that Republican members of Congress largely deserve reelection (89% vs. 77%). The president's self-described supporters are demographically and politically similar regardless of whether they have spent money on a Trump-branded item or hotel stay. They are largely Republican, more male than female, mainly White, and less likely to have a college degree than those who do not consider themselves supporters. But having spent money on the Trump brand seems connected to a deeper political commitment to the president: 73% in that group say they strongly approve of his handling of the presidency, compared with 44% among those who say they support him politically but haven't purchased a product or stayed in one of his hotels. At the other end of the political spectrum, roughly a tenth of Americans say they've participated in some form of protest against Trump since his inauguration, with 8% saying they've shown up to a protest in person. With perceptions of both major parties broadly and persistently negative, Americans continue to express interest in a third political party. Overall, 63% say they would favor having a new third political party to run candidates against Republicans and Democrats for major offices. That's consistent with the appetite for a third party found in other recent public polls and about the same level of support for a third party found in CNN polling in early 2010. But interest dropped off significantly when voters were asked about the idea of a new party founded by Elon Musk, the Tesla and SpaceX CEO who has floated the 'America Party' amid his public falling-out with Trump. His idea for a third party has just 25% support, with 74% opposed. The poll finds impressions of Musk himself deeply negative – 60% of Americans have an unfavorable view of him, while just 23% see him favorably. That's worsened since March, when he was a prominent part of Trump's efforts to slash spending and jobs in the federal government. That shift is almost entirely due to lost goodwill among the president's partisans: While 75% of Republicans had a positive view of him in March, that stands at just 42% now. His favorability ratings among Democrats and independents remain largely unchanged and deeply negative. Americans have long been receptive to the idea of a third party, but when specific ideas and agendas are attached to that new party, support tends to drop dramatically, and candidates from existing third parties rarely win meaningful support in American elections. In 2010, the Obama-era conservative movement known as the Tea Party sparked similar conversations about a third party spin-off from the GOP, as challengers from the right inspired by the Tea Party took on establishment Republicans leading in to that year's midterm elections. Later in 2010, though, only about half of Americans (48%) said they would favor the Tea Party movement becoming such a third party. The CNN poll was conducted by SSRS from July 10-13 among a random national sample of 1,057 US adults drawn from a probability-based panel. Surveys were either conducted online or by telephone with a live interviewer. Results among all adults have a margin of sampling error of ±3.5 percentage points. See Full Web Article
The Hill
6 days ago
- Politics
- The Hill
72 percent of Democratic voters ‘extremely motivated' ahead of midterms
Nearly three-quarters of Democratic voters are feeling motivated to vote in the next election cycle, according to the latest CNN/SSRS poll. The survey, conducted this past weekend, shows 72 percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters are 'extremely motivated' to vote ahead of the midterms, compared to 50 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning voters. Among Democrats, motivation to vote his increased in the early months of President Trump's term in office — up 10 points from October, when 62 percent of Democratic voters said they were eager to vote in the 2024 presidential elections. Republican enthusiasm, meanwhile, has declined by 17 points from October, when 67 percent said they were extremely motivated to vote in the election. In September of last year, 68 percent of voters from both parties said they were excited about voting in the 2024 election. The latest data could be good news for Democratic Party, which saw nearly half as much enthusiasm in a poll taken in the October ahead of the 2022 midterm elections. 2024 Election Coverage In that poll, 44 percent of Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters were excited to vote in the midterms—close to the 48 percent of Republican and Republican-leaners who were eager to vote at the time. In the 2022 election, Democrats kept the Senate but lost the House to GOP control. In the 2024 election, Republicans won the majority of both chambers of Congress. The poll was conducted on July 10-13 and included 1,057 respondents. The margin of error is 3.5 percentage points.
Newsweek
7 days ago
- Politics
- Newsweek
Donald Trump's Approval Rating Flips With Gen X
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. President Donald Trump's approval rating has flipped among voters from Generation X, a poll has revealed. According to a CNN/SSRS survey, Trump's popularity has increased by 23 points since April with voters aged 50 to 64. The polling shows that this age group—who fall under Gen X, born 1965-1980—is the only demographic where Trump is enjoying a net positive approval rating. Why It Matters Trump's popularity has fluctuated throughout his presidency and recent polls have suggested he has an overall negative approval rating. News of Gen X support may help Trump bolster the support of his allies as he tries to unite the Republican Party ahead of the November 2026 midterm elections. Trump's net approval rating among those aged 50 to 64 has increased by 23 points in just under three months. Trump's net approval rating among those aged 50 to 64 has increased by 23 points in just under three months. Photo-illustration by Newsweek/Associated Press/Canva/Getty What To Know Some 55 percent of Gen X voters approve of Trump while 45 percent disapprove, according to the CNN/SSRS poll. This means he has a net approval rating among this group of +10. The survey of 1,057 voters, sampled across different age groups, was conducted between July 10 and July 13, 2025. It has a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points. A previous CNN/SSRS poll, conducted between April 17 and April 24, found that 43 percent of voters in this age range approved of Trump and 56 percent disapproved, leaving him with a net approval rating of -13. That means Trump's popularity among Gen X voters has increased by 23 points in just under three months. Trump is doing well with other groups, too. According to polling by YouGov/The Economist, the president has a net approval rating of +80 from conservatives. This is similar to the levels it was at during the start of his second term. He is also gaining more traction with Hispanic voters, a crucial demographic who traditionally support Democratic candidates, a poll has shown. Other polls paint a bleaker picture. A Tyson Group poll, conducted June 25-26 among 1,027 U.S. adults, showed Trump at 45 percent approval and 51 percent disapproval overall. The latest CNN/SSRS poll showed Trump's overall approval rating at net -16, suggesting that the president is still struggling to command unanimous support. President Donald Trump waves as he walks from Marine One after arriving on the South Lawn of the White House on July 15, 2025, in Washington, D.C. President Donald Trump waves as he walks from Marine One after arriving on the South Lawn of the White House on July 15, 2025, in Washington, D.C. AP Photo/Alex Brandon What People Are Saying Thomas Whalen, an associate professor who teaches U.S. politics at Boston University, told Newsweek: "Trump has a strong foothold on middle-aged voters approaching the back nine of their lives. And this age group is the one that traditionally is more likely to go to the polls to vote at election-time. "Of course, the big question is whether the support is sustainable in the long term given the dramatic cuts Trump's Big, Beautiful Bill to social safety programs this groups usually enjoys, namely Medicaid. "Also, rising inflation due to tariffs will eat away at their retirement savings and standard of living. Should be interesting to see what the same poll will say next year." What Happens Next Trump's approval rating among different demographics will likely fluctuate throughout the course of his presidency as voters respond to his policy offering as well as international events.
USA Today
16-07-2025
- Business
- USA Today
'Big, fat tax break': Vance starts push to sell signature Trump law amid polling concerns
After narrowly pushing President Donald Trump's signature second-term legislation across the finish line earlier this month, Republicans are now faced with the challenge of selling the new law. Vice President JD Vance began that process July 16 with a trip to a blue-collar enclave in swing state Pennsylvania, where he touted the measure as a win for working families, even as some in his party opposed it because of big cuts to health care for lower-income individuals. 'If you're building here, if you're making here, if you're working in the United States of America, we just gave you a big, fat tax break,' Vance said during a speech at a machine shop in West Pittston. Vance highlighted a new tax break for overtime pay and a program establishing $1,000 investment accounts for newborns, among other aspects of the new law. Polling shows Vance and his GOP colleagues have work to do, though, in trying to convince many Americans that Trump's new law is good policy. The law extends tax breaks on individuals and corporations that Trump passed in 2017, while adding new tax cuts. It also boosts spending on immigration enforcement and the military and makes deep cuts to the Medicaid health care program for the poor. The Medicaid cuts generated opposition from some Republicans, and three voted against the bill in the Senate, requiring Vance to break a 50-50 tie. The bill then passed the House 218-214 with two Republicans opposed. Multiple polls leading up to the vote showed the legislation was unpopular. A SSRS survey conducted for CNN after Trump signed the measure on July 4 found 61% of adults opposed the new law. A Harvard CAPS/Harris poll conducted from July 6 through 8 found voters evenly split on the legislation, with 44% in favor and 44% opposed, but opposition increased to 48% among those who had heard of the measure. A majority of respondents to the CNN/SSRS survey said the tax measures in the law were a reason to support it. Meanwhile, a plurality of those surveyed said the law's changes to social safety net provisions, including Medicaid, were a reason to oppose it. Republican lawmakers largely shrugged off concerns about the legislation as it advanced, saying it would prove out over time. Democrats have vowed to make the new law a major campaign issue, saying it disproportionately benefits the rich and hurts lower income people. The messaging battle over the law will play out ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. Democrats believe backlash to the law could help them pick up seats. 'Republicans are celebrating after they gutted healthcare in their deeply unpopular bill,' House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries wrote on social media the day after Trump signed the measure. 'The American people will remember the cruelty of it all next November.' Vance's first trip to sell the legislation was to the northeastern Pennsylvania district held by Republican Rep. Rob Bresnahan, who is a prime target for Democrats after he flipped a blue seat in 2024. Both Vance and Trump spoke on July 16 about doing more to pitch the new law. 'We'll start talking about it, but, once we do, I think we're going to have the greatest midterm that you've ever seen,' Trump said during a White House event.
