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Global stocks rally on China-US trade hopes, dollar trades at multi-year lows
Global stocks rally on China-US trade hopes, dollar trades at multi-year lows

Gulf Today

time21 hours ago

  • Business
  • Gulf Today

Global stocks rally on China-US trade hopes, dollar trades at multi-year lows

Global shares reached a record high on Friday, helped by market optimism over signs of progress in US-China trade talks, while the dollar held close to its lowest levels in more than three years. The benchmark S&P 500 index and Nasdaq hit all-time highs, lifted partly by gains in megacap growth stocks including Nvidia and Amazon. The S&P 500 index and Nasdaq are headed for a weekly gain and are up about 5% this year overall, following a volatile first half of the year, dominated by US President Donald Trump's tariff announcement on April 2, which sent stocks plunging. The pan-European STOXX 600 index was up 0.66% on the day, set for a weekly gain. The MSCI World Equity index touched a record high and was set for a weekly gain of 3.2%. London's FTSE 100 rose 0.35%. Asian shares hit their highest in more than three years in early trading. "It's a continuation of this monster rally since early April," said James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Ocean Park Asset Management in Santa Monica, California. "It's been quite an improbable comeback and it continues, assuming that the tariff controversy is no longer a major issue in the psyche of the market." Investors saw a trade agreement between the United States and China on Thursday on how to expedite rare earth shipments to the United States as a positive sign, amid efforts to end the tariff war between the world's two biggest economies. Trump has set July 9 as the deadline for the European Union and other countries to reach a deal to reduce tariffs. Traders took confidence too from a ceasefire between Iran and Israel and markets stepped up bets for US rate cuts amid the possibility of Trump announcing a new, more dovish Federal Reserve chair ahead of the expiration of Jerome Powell's term next year. Data showed US consumer spending unexpectedly fell by 0.1% in May for the second time this year, while monthly inflation maintained a moderate pace of increase. "We're starting to see earnings estimates for the next 12 months on the rise again after taking a little bit of a dip and that's what the market is buying into," St. Aubin added. The dollar remained on the backfoot, hovering near its lowest level in 3-1/2 years against the euro and sterling. The dollar weakened 0.16% to 0.799 against the Swiss franc but was up 0.18% to 144.63 against the Japanese yen . The euro was at $1.1708, getting a lift after data showed French consumer prices rose more than expected in June. The dollar index was down 0.1% on the day at 97.269, holding near its lowest in more than three years. The dollar is having its worst start to a year since the era of free-floating currencies began in the early 1970s. Traders have stepped up their bets on US rate cuts, and are now pricing in 64 basis points (bps) of easing this year versus 46 bps expected on Friday. The yield on benchmark US 10-year notes rose 1.2 basis points to 4.265%. German 30-year government bond yields were on track for their biggest weekly increase in nearly four months after rising this week on expectations of increased borrowing by Germany's government. Oil prices meanwhile rose but were set for their steepest weekly decline since March 2023, as the absence of significant supply disruption from the Iran-Israel conflict saw any risk premium evaporate. Brent crude futures rose 0.66% to $68.18 a barrel while US West Texas Intermediate crude was up by 1% to $65.91 . Spot gold fell 1.72% to $3,270.50 an ounce. Oil prices rose on Friday but were set for their steepest weekly decline since March 2023, as the absence of significant supply disruption from the Iran-Israel conflict saw any risk premium evaporate. Brent crude futures were up 53 cents, or 0.78%, to $68.26 a barrel at 1457 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude was up 59 cents, or 0.9%, to $65.82. During the 12-day war that started after Israel targeted Iran's nuclear facilities on June 13, Brent prices rose briefly to above $80 a barrel before slumping to $67 a barrel after US President Donald Trump announced an Iran-Israel ceasefire. That put both contracts on course for a weekly fall of about 12%. "The market has almost entirely shrugged off the geopolitical risk premiums from almost a week ago as we return to a fundamentals-driven market," said Rystad analyst Janiv Shah. He said the market was also keeping an eye on the July 6 meeting of oil producers group OPEC+, where another output hike of 411,000 barrels per day is expected, while adding that summer demand indicators were key as well. Phil Flynn, senior analyst with the Price Futures Group, said expectations of higher demand in the coming months were also giving crude a boost on Friday. "We're getting a demand premium on oil," Flynn said. A possible end to the 19-month war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza and expected agreements between the US, Europe and China on trade were positive signs for the market, he added. "If we get a trade deal with China, we're going to be in pretty good shape," Flynn said. Prices were also supported by multiple oil inventory reports that showed strong draws in middle distillates, said Tamas Varga, a PVM Oil Associates analyst. Data from the US Energy Information Administration on Wednesday showed crude oil and fuel inventories fell a week earlier, with refining activity and demand rising. Meanwhile, data on Thursday showed that independently held gasoil stocks at the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) refining and storage hub fell to their lowest in over a year, while Singapore's middle distillates inventories declined as net exports climbed week on week. Additionally, China's Iranian oil imports surged in June as shipments accelerated before the Israel-Iran conflict and demand from independent refineries improved, analysts said. China is the world's top oil importer and biggest buyer of Iranian crude. It bought more than 1.8 million barrels per day of Iranian crude from June 1-20, according to ship-tracker Vortexa, a record high based on the firm's data. (Reporting by Erwin Seba in Houston, Siyi Liu in Singapore and Nicole Jao in New York Agencies

Markets rally on China-US trade hope, Iran peace deal
Markets rally on China-US trade hope, Iran peace deal

The Advertiser

timea day ago

  • Business
  • The Advertiser

Markets rally on China-US trade hope, Iran peace deal

Global shares have rallied helped by signs of progress in US-China trade talks, while the dollar held close to its lowest levels in more than three years. World stock markets have rallied to record highs this week, as traders took confidence from a ceasefire between Iran and Israel and markets stepped up bets for US rate cuts. A trade agreement between the US and China on Thursday on how to expedite rare earth shipments to the US was also seen by markets as a positive sign, amid efforts to end the tariff war between the world's two biggest economies. Asian shares hit their highest in more than three years in early trading, and US stock futures pointed to a firm start for Wall Street shares. The pan-European STOXX 600 index was up 0.8 per cent on the day, set for a 1.1 per cent weekly gain - its best week since mid-May. London's FTSE 100 was up 0.5 per cent and Germany's DAX gained 0.6 per cent. The MSCI World Equity Index touched a fresh record high and was set for a weekly gain of 2.8 per cent. The S&P 500 index is up just 4.4 per cent this year overall, following a volatile first half of the year, dominated by US President Donald Trump's "Liberation Day" tariff announcement on April 2, which sent stocks plunging. "What we are having right now is potentially some optimism about some trade deals," said Vasileios Gkionakis, senior economist and strategist at Aviva Investors. "We have... come from quite low levels in the aftermath of the Liberation Day in April. To a certain extent we have also had some mini-selloff on the back of the events in the Middle East, and in that sense we're rebounding." Trump has set July 9 as the deadline for the European Union and other countries to reach a deal to reduce tariffs. Mark Haefele, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Global Wealth Management said that in the near-term, the firm saw greater upside potential in US and emerging markets than in Europe. The dollar remained on the backfoot, hovering near its lowest level in three-and-a-half years against the euro and sterling. The dollar index was down a touch on the day at 97.269 , holding near its lowest in more than three years. The euro was at $US1.1708 ($A1.7867), getting a lift after data showed French consumer prices rose more than expected in June. It held near multi-year peaks hit a day earlier. "We see the US dollar as unattractive," said Haefele at UBS Wealth Management. Markets are focused on US monetary policy, as traders weigh up the possibility of Trump announcing a new, more dovish chair of the Federal Reserve. Traders have stepped up their bets on US rate cuts, and are now pricing in 64 basis points (bps) of easing this year versus 46 bps expected on Friday. The dollar is having its worst start to a year since the era of free-floating currencies began in the early 1970s. "I don't think it's just the repricing of the Fed, I think there is a broader issue here of some tarnishing of US exceptionalism," Aviva Investors' Gkionakis said. Core PCE price data, the US central bank's preferred measure of inflation, is due later in the session. German 30-year government bond yields were on track for their biggest weekly increase in nearly four months after rising this week on expectations of increased borrowing by Germany's government. Oil prices meanwhile rose but were set for their steepest weekly decline since March 2023, as the absence of significant supply disruption from the Iran-Israel conflict saw any risk premium evaporate. Brent crude futures rose 0.5 per cent to $US68.06 ($A103.86) a barrel while US West Texas Intermediate crude was up by the same amount to $US65.54 ($A100.01). Global shares have rallied helped by signs of progress in US-China trade talks, while the dollar held close to its lowest levels in more than three years. World stock markets have rallied to record highs this week, as traders took confidence from a ceasefire between Iran and Israel and markets stepped up bets for US rate cuts. A trade agreement between the US and China on Thursday on how to expedite rare earth shipments to the US was also seen by markets as a positive sign, amid efforts to end the tariff war between the world's two biggest economies. Asian shares hit their highest in more than three years in early trading, and US stock futures pointed to a firm start for Wall Street shares. The pan-European STOXX 600 index was up 0.8 per cent on the day, set for a 1.1 per cent weekly gain - its best week since mid-May. London's FTSE 100 was up 0.5 per cent and Germany's DAX gained 0.6 per cent. The MSCI World Equity Index touched a fresh record high and was set for a weekly gain of 2.8 per cent. The S&P 500 index is up just 4.4 per cent this year overall, following a volatile first half of the year, dominated by US President Donald Trump's "Liberation Day" tariff announcement on April 2, which sent stocks plunging. "What we are having right now is potentially some optimism about some trade deals," said Vasileios Gkionakis, senior economist and strategist at Aviva Investors. "We have... come from quite low levels in the aftermath of the Liberation Day in April. To a certain extent we have also had some mini-selloff on the back of the events in the Middle East, and in that sense we're rebounding." Trump has set July 9 as the deadline for the European Union and other countries to reach a deal to reduce tariffs. Mark Haefele, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Global Wealth Management said that in the near-term, the firm saw greater upside potential in US and emerging markets than in Europe. The dollar remained on the backfoot, hovering near its lowest level in three-and-a-half years against the euro and sterling. The dollar index was down a touch on the day at 97.269 , holding near its lowest in more than three years. The euro was at $US1.1708 ($A1.7867), getting a lift after data showed French consumer prices rose more than expected in June. It held near multi-year peaks hit a day earlier. "We see the US dollar as unattractive," said Haefele at UBS Wealth Management. Markets are focused on US monetary policy, as traders weigh up the possibility of Trump announcing a new, more dovish chair of the Federal Reserve. Traders have stepped up their bets on US rate cuts, and are now pricing in 64 basis points (bps) of easing this year versus 46 bps expected on Friday. The dollar is having its worst start to a year since the era of free-floating currencies began in the early 1970s. "I don't think it's just the repricing of the Fed, I think there is a broader issue here of some tarnishing of US exceptionalism," Aviva Investors' Gkionakis said. Core PCE price data, the US central bank's preferred measure of inflation, is due later in the session. German 30-year government bond yields were on track for their biggest weekly increase in nearly four months after rising this week on expectations of increased borrowing by Germany's government. Oil prices meanwhile rose but were set for their steepest weekly decline since March 2023, as the absence of significant supply disruption from the Iran-Israel conflict saw any risk premium evaporate. Brent crude futures rose 0.5 per cent to $US68.06 ($A103.86) a barrel while US West Texas Intermediate crude was up by the same amount to $US65.54 ($A100.01). Global shares have rallied helped by signs of progress in US-China trade talks, while the dollar held close to its lowest levels in more than three years. World stock markets have rallied to record highs this week, as traders took confidence from a ceasefire between Iran and Israel and markets stepped up bets for US rate cuts. A trade agreement between the US and China on Thursday on how to expedite rare earth shipments to the US was also seen by markets as a positive sign, amid efforts to end the tariff war between the world's two biggest economies. Asian shares hit their highest in more than three years in early trading, and US stock futures pointed to a firm start for Wall Street shares. The pan-European STOXX 600 index was up 0.8 per cent on the day, set for a 1.1 per cent weekly gain - its best week since mid-May. London's FTSE 100 was up 0.5 per cent and Germany's DAX gained 0.6 per cent. The MSCI World Equity Index touched a fresh record high and was set for a weekly gain of 2.8 per cent. The S&P 500 index is up just 4.4 per cent this year overall, following a volatile first half of the year, dominated by US President Donald Trump's "Liberation Day" tariff announcement on April 2, which sent stocks plunging. "What we are having right now is potentially some optimism about some trade deals," said Vasileios Gkionakis, senior economist and strategist at Aviva Investors. "We have... come from quite low levels in the aftermath of the Liberation Day in April. To a certain extent we have also had some mini-selloff on the back of the events in the Middle East, and in that sense we're rebounding." Trump has set July 9 as the deadline for the European Union and other countries to reach a deal to reduce tariffs. Mark Haefele, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Global Wealth Management said that in the near-term, the firm saw greater upside potential in US and emerging markets than in Europe. The dollar remained on the backfoot, hovering near its lowest level in three-and-a-half years against the euro and sterling. The dollar index was down a touch on the day at 97.269 , holding near its lowest in more than three years. The euro was at $US1.1708 ($A1.7867), getting a lift after data showed French consumer prices rose more than expected in June. It held near multi-year peaks hit a day earlier. "We see the US dollar as unattractive," said Haefele at UBS Wealth Management. Markets are focused on US monetary policy, as traders weigh up the possibility of Trump announcing a new, more dovish chair of the Federal Reserve. Traders have stepped up their bets on US rate cuts, and are now pricing in 64 basis points (bps) of easing this year versus 46 bps expected on Friday. The dollar is having its worst start to a year since the era of free-floating currencies began in the early 1970s. "I don't think it's just the repricing of the Fed, I think there is a broader issue here of some tarnishing of US exceptionalism," Aviva Investors' Gkionakis said. Core PCE price data, the US central bank's preferred measure of inflation, is due later in the session. German 30-year government bond yields were on track for their biggest weekly increase in nearly four months after rising this week on expectations of increased borrowing by Germany's government. Oil prices meanwhile rose but were set for their steepest weekly decline since March 2023, as the absence of significant supply disruption from the Iran-Israel conflict saw any risk premium evaporate. Brent crude futures rose 0.5 per cent to $US68.06 ($A103.86) a barrel while US West Texas Intermediate crude was up by the same amount to $US65.54 ($A100.01). Global shares have rallied helped by signs of progress in US-China trade talks, while the dollar held close to its lowest levels in more than three years. World stock markets have rallied to record highs this week, as traders took confidence from a ceasefire between Iran and Israel and markets stepped up bets for US rate cuts. A trade agreement between the US and China on Thursday on how to expedite rare earth shipments to the US was also seen by markets as a positive sign, amid efforts to end the tariff war between the world's two biggest economies. Asian shares hit their highest in more than three years in early trading, and US stock futures pointed to a firm start for Wall Street shares. The pan-European STOXX 600 index was up 0.8 per cent on the day, set for a 1.1 per cent weekly gain - its best week since mid-May. London's FTSE 100 was up 0.5 per cent and Germany's DAX gained 0.6 per cent. The MSCI World Equity Index touched a fresh record high and was set for a weekly gain of 2.8 per cent. The S&P 500 index is up just 4.4 per cent this year overall, following a volatile first half of the year, dominated by US President Donald Trump's "Liberation Day" tariff announcement on April 2, which sent stocks plunging. "What we are having right now is potentially some optimism about some trade deals," said Vasileios Gkionakis, senior economist and strategist at Aviva Investors. "We have... come from quite low levels in the aftermath of the Liberation Day in April. To a certain extent we have also had some mini-selloff on the back of the events in the Middle East, and in that sense we're rebounding." Trump has set July 9 as the deadline for the European Union and other countries to reach a deal to reduce tariffs. Mark Haefele, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Global Wealth Management said that in the near-term, the firm saw greater upside potential in US and emerging markets than in Europe. The dollar remained on the backfoot, hovering near its lowest level in three-and-a-half years against the euro and sterling. The dollar index was down a touch on the day at 97.269 , holding near its lowest in more than three years. The euro was at $US1.1708 ($A1.7867), getting a lift after data showed French consumer prices rose more than expected in June. It held near multi-year peaks hit a day earlier. "We see the US dollar as unattractive," said Haefele at UBS Wealth Management. Markets are focused on US monetary policy, as traders weigh up the possibility of Trump announcing a new, more dovish chair of the Federal Reserve. Traders have stepped up their bets on US rate cuts, and are now pricing in 64 basis points (bps) of easing this year versus 46 bps expected on Friday. The dollar is having its worst start to a year since the era of free-floating currencies began in the early 1970s. "I don't think it's just the repricing of the Fed, I think there is a broader issue here of some tarnishing of US exceptionalism," Aviva Investors' Gkionakis said. Core PCE price data, the US central bank's preferred measure of inflation, is due later in the session. German 30-year government bond yields were on track for their biggest weekly increase in nearly four months after rising this week on expectations of increased borrowing by Germany's government. Oil prices meanwhile rose but were set for their steepest weekly decline since March 2023, as the absence of significant supply disruption from the Iran-Israel conflict saw any risk premium evaporate. Brent crude futures rose 0.5 per cent to $US68.06 ($A103.86) a barrel while US West Texas Intermediate crude was up by the same amount to $US65.54 ($A100.01).

European shares climb as US-China trade tensions ease
European shares climb as US-China trade tensions ease

The Sun

timea day ago

  • Automotive
  • The Sun

European shares climb as US-China trade tensions ease

EUROPEAN shares rose on Friday as investors assessed signs of easing trade tensions between the United States and China, lifting hopes of further trade deals before the deadline for U.S. tariff pause is lifted in July. The pan-European STOXX 600 index advanced 0.6% at 540.67 points, as of 0707 GMT. The index was on track to log its first weekly gain in three weeks. Other major regional indexes also traded higher. A White House official said on Thursday that the U.S. reached an agreement with China on how to expedite rare earths shipments to the United States. With worries about tensions in the Middle East taking a backseat for now, investor focus is on signs of progress on new trade deals before a respite on higher tariffs threatened by U.S. President Donald Trump expires in early July. EU leaders discussed new proposals from the U.S. on a trade deal at a summit in Brussels on Thursday. Commission President Ursula von der Leyen did not ruling out the likelihood of tariff talks failing, saying 'all options remain on the table'. European auto stocks led sectoral gains with a 1.5% climb. Media shares advanced 1.2%. German sportswear makers Puma and Adidas gained 4.3% and 2.9% respectively, after U.S. peer Nike's first-quarter revenue outlook exceeded market expectations. In U.S., investors await the release of the core PCE price index due later in the day.

European shares rise on easing US-China trade tensions
European shares rise on easing US-China trade tensions

Economic Times

timea day ago

  • Automotive
  • Economic Times

European shares rise on easing US-China trade tensions

European stocks surged on Friday, fueled by optimism surrounding potential easing of trade tensions between the U.S. and China. Automakers led the gains, with the STOXX 600 index climbing 0.9%. Positive sentiment was further boosted by discussions on new U.S. trade proposals and encouraging revenue forecasts from Nike, lifting sportswear stocks like Puma and Adidas. Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads European stocks rose on Friday, led by automakers , as signs of easing trade tensions between Beijing and Washington raised hopes of a de-escalation in the U.S.-led tariff pan-European STOXX 600 index advanced 0.9% at 542.27 points, as of 0825 GMT. The index was on track to log its first weekly gain in three weeks. Other major regional indexes also traded higher.A White House official said on Thursday that Washington has reached an agreement with China on how to expedite rare earths shipments to the worries about tensions in the Middle East easing for now, investors are focused on signs of progress on new trade deals before a respite on higher tariffs threatened by U.S. President Donald Trump expires in early leaders discussed new proposals from the U.S. on a trade deal at a summit in Brussels on Thursday. Commission President Ursula von der Leyen did not rule out the likelihood of tariff talks failing, saying "all options remain on the table"."There's lots of negotiation going on and it takes any sign that tensions are not going to re-escalate, would be taken positively," said Richard Flax, chief investment officer at Moneyfarm."A deal will take longer...I think both sides will try and be able to declare enough progress to be able to extend the process without seeing tariffs rise again."European automobile stocks led sectoral gains with a 1.8% climb, followed by media shares that rose 1.6%.UK's JD Sports advanced 7.6%, while German sportswear makers Puma and Adidas gained 4.1% and 3.9%, respectively, after U.S. peer Nike's first-quarter revenue outlook exceeded market expectations. Indra gained 4.8% after Morgan Stanley upgraded the Spanish defence company to "overweight" from "equal-weight".Shares in the Knorr Bremse fell 4.7% after JP Morgan and Citi downgraded the German truck manufacturer to "neutral" from "overweight" and "buy", the U.S., investors await the release of the core PCE price index due later in the day, which could offer additional clues on the Federal Reserve's rate adding to tailwinds, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Thursday asked Republicans in Congress to remove the "retaliatory tax" proposal that would let Trump impose up to 20% taxes on foreign investors from countries with "unfair" taxes on U.S. firms.

European shares rise on easing US-China trade tensions
European shares rise on easing US-China trade tensions

Business Recorder

timea day ago

  • Automotive
  • Business Recorder

European shares rise on easing US-China trade tensions

European shares rose on Friday as investors assessed signs of easing trade tensions between the United States and China, lifting hopes of further trade deals before the deadline for U.S. tariff pause is lifted in July. The pan-European STOXX 600 index advanced 0.6% at 540.67 points, as of 0707 GMT. The index was on track to log its first weekly gain in three weeks. Other major regional indexes also traded higher. A White House official said on Thursday that the U.S. reached an agreement with China on how to expedite rare earths shipments to the United States. With worries about tensions in the Middle East taking a backseat for now, investor focus is on signs of progress on new trade deals before a respite on higher tariffs threatened by U.S. President Donald Trump expires in early July. EU leaders discussed new proposals from the U.S. on a trade deal at a summit in Brussels on Thursday. Commission President Ursula von der Leyen did not ruling out the likelihood of tariff talks failing, saying 'all options remain on the table'. European shares edge higher as Israel-Iran ceasefire holds; Fed independence in focus European auto stocks led sectoral gains with a 1.5% climb. Media shares advanced 1.2%. German sportswear makers Puma and Adidas gained 4.3% and 2.9% respectively, after U.S. peer Nike's first-quarter revenue outlook exceeded market expectations. In U.S., investors await the release of the core PCE price index due later in the day.

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