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BOJ sees trade deal as raising chance of meeting inflation goal
BOJ sees trade deal as raising chance of meeting inflation goal

Business Times

time18 hours ago

  • Business
  • Business Times

BOJ sees trade deal as raising chance of meeting inflation goal

[TOKYO] Japan's trade deal with the US has reduced uncertainty surrounding the economy, the central bank's deputy governor Shinichi Uchida said, signalling optimism that conditions for resuming interest rate hikes may start to fall in place. Uchida's remark came hours after US President Donald Trump announced a trade deal with Tokyo that cuts tariffs on Japan's mainstay automobile imports and spares Tokyo punishing new levies on some other goods. 'It's a very big progress that reduces uncertainty for Japan's economy,' Uchida said on Wednesday (Jul 23), adding that the BOJ will incorporate the deal in its quarterly growth and price projections due at the next policy meeting on July 30-31. 'Given the receding uncertainty, by definition it can be said that the likelihood of Japan durably achieving 2 per cent inflation has heightened,' Uchida told a news conference. BOJ policymakers have repeatedly said they need to be more convinced that inflation will sustainably hit its 2 per cent target before raising interest rates further. While there was still some uncertainty on how the tariffs could affect domestic and overseas economies, the BOJ was looking at both upside and downside risks to economic activity and prices, Uchida said. BT in your inbox Start and end each day with the latest news stories and analyses delivered straight to your inbox. Sign Up Sign Up 'The BOJ needs to adjust monetary policy to best balance upside and downside risks from the perspective of maintaining economic and price stability,' Uchida said in an earlier speech to business leaders in the southern west city of Kochi. He reiterated the BOJ's resolve to continue raising interest rates if the economy and prices move in line with its forecasts. Sources have told Reuters the BOJ's next quarterly report will warn of uncertainty over the impact of US tariffs, but may offer a less gloomy view on the near-term hit to the economy than three months ago, when market volatility was at its peak. Uchida said the trade deal would hugely reduce uncertainty for companies and, coupled with intensifying labour shortages, prod them to continue to hike wages. The BOJ expects underlying inflation, or price rises driven by strength in domestic demand, to reach its 2 per cent target around the latter half of fiscal 2026 through 2027, he added. While media reports that Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba may step down could add to political uncertainty, receding worries about a US-Japan trade deal led some analysts to predict the chance of another rate hike by the end of this year. 'The trade deal with the US announced today removes a key downside risk to Japan's economy,' said Marcel Thieliant, head of Asia-Pacific at Capital Economics. 'And while the potential resignation of Ishiba creates political risks, our conviction that the Bank of Japan will resume its tightening cycle before the end of the year has risen,' Thieliant said. A Reuters poll showed a majority of economists expect the BOJ to raise its key interest rate again by year-end, though most expect the bank to stand pat at this month's meeting. REUTERS

Japanese, Overseas Economies at Critical Juncture: BOJ Uchida

time18 hours ago

  • Business

Japanese, Overseas Economies at Critical Juncture: BOJ Uchida

News from Japan Economy Jul 23, 2025 16:06 (JST) Kochi, July 23 (Jiji Press)--Japanese and overseas economies seem to be at a critical juncture, Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida said Wednesday, citing extremely high uncertainty over U.S. tariff measures. In a speech in the western city of Kochi, he also said, "Profits in the corporate sector overall will continue to be at a high level" on the assumption that U.S. tariff talks with trade partners will progress to some extent. On monetary policy, he stated that the BOJ "will continue to raise the policy interest rate and adjust the degree of monetary accommodation" in accordance with improvement in economic activity and prices. Still, as the outlook for economic activity and prices entails high uncertainty, Uchida said that the central bank "needs to adjust monetary policy to best balance the upside and downside risks." He also emphasized the need for "a certain degree of flexibility to prepare for unexpected developments" over the reduction in the BOJ's purchases of Japanese government bonds that has been implemented since last August as part of its monetary policy normalization. [Copyright The Jiji Press, Ltd.] Jiji Press

BOJ deputy chief signals further rate hikes
BOJ deputy chief signals further rate hikes

Japan Today

time19 hours ago

  • Business
  • Japan Today

BOJ deputy chief signals further rate hikes

The two buildings hosting the Bank of Japan. One of the Bank of Japan's deputy chiefs on Wednesday reiterated the bank's readiness to pursue a path toward monetary normalization if the Japanese economy and inflation move in line with expectations, while noting uncertainties regarding U.S. tariffs. "Given that real interest rates are at significantly low bank, in accordance with improvement in economic activity and prices, will continue to raise the policy interest rate," BOJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida said in a speech in Kochi, western Japan. Saying it is not yet clear how economic activity and prices at home and abroad will develop, Uchida said he will pay close attention to the economic data "as there are extremely high uncertainties and as domestic and overseas economies seem to be at a critical juncture." Uchida's remarks came hours after U.S. President Donald Trump said that he has struck a "massive" trade deal with Japan, under which Tokyo has agreed to a "reciprocal tariff" of 15 percent, lower than earlier proposed. In his speech, Uchida did not directly address the newly announced deal. Expressing concern about the potential downward pressure on prices in Japan from U.S. trade policy, Uchida also noted upward pressure from cost-push factors, particularly in food prices. "My attention will therefore be on how such upward and downward pressure may affect the outlook for prices through, for example, firms' wage- and price-setting behavior." The BOJ has shifted from a decade of unorthodox easing, lifting its key rate three times since March last year. But the central bank kept its benchmark rate unchanged at 0.5 percent at its June policy meeting, the third straight gathering without a policy adjustment, with Trump's tariffs clouding the outlook for Japan's export-oriented economy. The BOJ will hold a two-day policy meeting from July 30, during which it is set to issue its updated quarterly outlook for growth and inflation. © KYODO

BOJ deputy chief signals further rate hikes
BOJ deputy chief signals further rate hikes

The Mainichi

time20 hours ago

  • Business
  • The Mainichi

BOJ deputy chief signals further rate hikes

KOCHI (Kyodo) -- One of the Bank of Japan's deputy chiefs on Wednesday reiterated the bank's readiness to pursue a path toward monetary normalization if the Japanese economy and inflation move in line with expectations, while noting uncertainties regarding U.S. tariffs. "Given that real interest rates are at significantly low bank, in accordance with improvement in economic activity and prices, will continue to raise the policy interest rate," BOJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida said in a speech in Kochi, western Japan. Saying it is not yet clear how economic activity and prices at home and abroad will develop, Uchida said he will pay close attention to the economic data "as there are extremely high uncertainties and as domestic and overseas economies seem to be at a critical juncture." Uchida's remarks came hours after U.S. President Donald Trump said that he has struck a "massive" trade deal with Japan, under which Tokyo has agreed to a "reciprocal tariff" of 15 percent, lower than earlier proposed. In his speech, Uchida did not directly address the newly announced deal. Expressing concern about the potential downward pressure on prices in Japan from U.S. trade policy, Uchida also noted upward pressure from cost-push factors, particularly in food prices. "My attention will therefore be on how such upward and downward pressure may affect the outlook for prices through, for example, firms' wage- and price-setting behavior." The BOJ has shifted from a decade of unorthodox easing, lifting its key rate three times since March last year. But the central bank kept its benchmark rate unchanged at 0.5 percent at its June policy meeting, the third straight gathering without a policy adjustment, with Trump's tariffs clouding the outlook for Japan's export-oriented economy. The BOJ will hold a two-day policy meeting from July 30, during which it is set to issue its updated quarterly outlook for growth and inflation.

Bank of Japan deputy chief signals further rate hikes
Bank of Japan deputy chief signals further rate hikes

Straits Times

time21 hours ago

  • Business
  • Straits Times

Bank of Japan deputy chief signals further rate hikes

Mr Shinichi Uchida's remarks came hours after US President Donald Trump said that he has struck a 'massive' trade deal with Japan. TOKYO - One of the Bank of Japan's deputy chiefs on July 23 reiterated the bank's readiness to pursue a path toward monetary normalisation if the Japanese economy and inflation move in line with expectations, while noting uncertainties regarding US tariffs. 'Given that real interest rates are at significantly low bank, in accordance with improvement in economic activity and prices, will continue to raise the policy interest rate,' the bank's deputy governor Shinichi Uchida said in a speech in Kochi, western Japan. Saying it is not yet clear how economic activity and prices at home and abroad will develop, Mr Uchida said he will pay close attention to the economic data 'as there are extremely high uncertainties and as domestic and overseas economies seem to be at a critical juncture.' Mr Uchida's remarks came hours after US President Donald Trump said that he has struck a 'massive' trade deal with Japan , under which Tokyo has agreed to a 'reciprocal tariff' of 15 per cent, compared with the 25 per cent initially proposed. Expressing concern about the potential downward pressure on prices in Japan from US trade policy, Mr Uchida also noted upward pressure from cost-push factors, particularly in food prices. 'My attention will therefore be on how such upward and downward pressure may affect the outlook for prices through, for example, firms' wage- and price-setting behavior.' The bank has shifted from a decade of unorthodox easing, lifting its key rate three times since March last year. Top stories Swipe. Select. Stay informed. Singapore S'pore's domestic recycling rate drops to all time low of 11% Singapore HDB launches 10,209 BTO and balance flats, as priority scheme for singles kicks in Business Singapore's digital banks finding their niche in areas like SMEs as they narrow losses in 2024 Asia Japan Prime Minister Ishiba to resign by August, Mainichi newspaper reports World Trump says US will charge 19% tariff on goods from Philippines, down from 20% Asia New Pokemon theme park to open in Japan in early 2026 Singapore Two found dead after fire in Toa Payoh flat Singapore 2 foreigners arrested for shop theft at Changi Airport But the central bank kept its benchmark rate unchanged at 0.5 per cent at its June policy meeting, the third straight gathering without a policy adjustment, with Mr Trump's tariffs clouding the outlook for Japan's export-oriented economy. KYODO NEWS

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