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Stock markets fall as trade relief fades, eyes on data and earnings
Stock markets fall as trade relief fades, eyes on data and earnings

Yahoo

time13 hours ago

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Stock markets fall as trade relief fades, eyes on data and earnings

Stocks fell Tuesday as the positivity sparked by recent US trade deals dissipated, with investors now focused on the release of key data and earnings, and the Federal Reserve's next policy meeting. While Donald Trump's agreement with the European Union on Sunday was seen as better than a tariff standoff, observers pointed out that the US president's 15 percent levies -- with none on American goods -- were still much higher than before. The pact, which followed a similar one with Japan last week, still left many worried about the economic consequences, with auto companies particularly worried. "The 15 percent blanket levy on EU and Japanese imports may have helped markets sidestep a cliff, but it's no free pass," said Stephen Innes at SPI Asset Management. "With the average effective US tariff rate now sitting at 18.2 percent... the barrier to global trade remains significant. The higher tail risk didn't detonate, but its potential impact on the global economy hasn't disappeared either." And National Australia Bank's Ray Attrill added: "It hasn't taken long for markets to conclude that this relatively good news is still, in absolute terms, bad news as far as the near term (through 2025) implications for eurozone growth are concerned." Traders are also keeping an eye on US talks with other major economies, including India and South Korea. After a tepid day on Wall Street -- which still saw the S&P and Nasdaq hit records -- Asia turned negative. Tokyo, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Sydney, Singapore, Wellington, Taipei, Manila and Jakarta were all in the red. The euro held its losses from Monday, having taken a hit from worries about the effects of the trade deal on the eurozone. The first of two days of negotiations between top US and Chinese officials in Stockholm concluded Monday with no details released, though there are hopes they will agree to extend a 90-day truce that ends on August 12. The two imposed triple-digit tariffs on each other earlier this year in a tit-for-tat escalation, but then walked them back under the temporary agreement reached in May. Investors are also looking ahead to a busy few days that includes earnings from tech titans Apple, Microsoft, Meta and Amazon, as well as data on US economic growth and jobs creation. That all comes as the Fed concludes its policy meeting amid increasing pressure from Trump to slash rates, even with inflation staying stubbornly high. While it is expected to stand pat on borrowing costs, its post-meeting statement and comments from boss Jerome Powell will be pored over for clues about its plans for the second half of the year in light of the tariffs. Oil prices extended Monday's rally after Trump shortened a deadline for Russia to end its war in Ukraine to August 7 or 9, following which he vowed to sanction countries buying its crude. - Key figures at around 0230 GMT - Tokyo - Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.9 percent at 40,623.32 (break) Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: DOWN 1.1 percent at 25,290.03 Shanghai - Composite: DOWN 0.1 percent at 3,595.46 Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1592 from $1.1597 on Monday Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3354 from $1.3356 Dollar/yen: UP at 148.61 yen from 148.52 yen Euro/pound: UP at 86.81 pence from 86.80 pence West Texas Intermediate: FLAT at $66.72 per barrel Brent North Sea Crude: UP 0.1 percent at $70.11 per barrel New York - Dow: DOWN 0.1 percent at 44,837.56 (close) London - FTSE 100: DOWN 0.4 percent at 9,081.44 (close) dan/lb

Stock markets fall as trade relief fades, eyes on data and earnings
Stock markets fall as trade relief fades, eyes on data and earnings

Yahoo

time16 hours ago

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Stock markets fall as trade relief fades, eyes on data and earnings

Stocks fell Tuesday as the positivity sparked by recent US trade deals dissipated, with investors now focused on the release of key data and earnings, and the Federal Reserve's next policy meeting. While Donald Trump's agreement with the European Union on Sunday was seen as better than a tariff standoff, observers pointed out that the US president's 15 percent levies -- with none on American goods -- were still much higher than before. The pact, which followed a similar one with Japan last week, still left many worried about the economic consequences, with auto companies particularly worried. "The 15 percent blanket levy on EU and Japanese imports may have helped markets sidestep a cliff, but it's no free pass," said Stephen Innes at SPI Asset Management. "With the average effective US tariff rate now sitting at 18.2 percent... the barrier to global trade remains significant. The higher tail risk didn't detonate, but its potential impact on the global economy hasn't disappeared either." And National Australia Bank's Ray Attrill added: "It hasn't taken long for markets to conclude that this relatively good news is still, in absolute terms, bad news as far as the near term (through 2025) implications for eurozone growth are concerned." Traders are also keeping an eye on US talks with other major economies, including India and South Korea. After a tepid day on Wall Street -- which still saw the S&P and Nasdaq hit records -- Asia turned negative. Tokyo, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Sydney, Singapore, Wellington, Taipei, Manila and Jakarta were all in the red. The euro held its losses from Monday, having taken a hit from worries about the effects of the trade deal on the eurozone. The first of two days of negotiations between top US and Chinese officials in Stockholm concluded Monday with no details released, though there are hopes they will agree to extend a 90-day truce that ends on August 12. The two imposed triple-digit tariffs on each other earlier this year in a tit-for-tat escalation, but then walked them back under the temporary agreement reached in May. Investors are also looking ahead to a busy few days that includes earnings from tech titans Apple, Microsoft, Meta and Amazon, as well as data on US economic growth and jobs creation. That all comes as the Fed concludes its policy meeting amid increasing pressure from Trump to slash rates, even with inflation staying stubbornly high. While it is expected to stand pat on borrowing costs, its post-meeting statement and comments from boss Jerome Powell will be pored over for clues about its plans for the second half of the year in light of the tariffs. Oil prices extended Monday's rally after Trump shortened a deadline for Russia to end its war in Ukraine to August 7 or 9, following which he vowed to sanction countries buying its crude. - Key figures at around 0230 GMT - Tokyo - Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.9 percent at 40,623.32 (break) Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: DOWN 1.1 percent at 25,290.03 Shanghai - Composite: DOWN 0.1 percent at 3,595.46 Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1592 from $1.1597 on Monday Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3354 from $1.3356 Dollar/yen: UP at 148.61 yen from 148.52 yen Euro/pound: UP at 86.81 pence from 86.80 pence West Texas Intermediate: FLAT at $66.72 per barrel Brent North Sea Crude: UP 0.1 percent at $70.11 per barrel New York - Dow: DOWN 0.1 percent at 44,837.56 (close) London - FTSE 100: DOWN 0.4 percent at 9,081.44 (close) dan/lb Sign in to access your portfolio

Zacks.com featured highlights include Vital Farms, Acushnet, Texas Capital Bancshares and Commerce Bancshares
Zacks.com featured highlights include Vital Farms, Acushnet, Texas Capital Bancshares and Commerce Bancshares

Yahoo

timea day ago

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Zacks.com featured highlights include Vital Farms, Acushnet, Texas Capital Bancshares and Commerce Bancshares

For Immediate Release Chicago, IL – July 28, 2025 – Stocks in this week's article are Vital Farms VITL, Acushnet GOLF, Texas Capital Bancshares TCBI and Commerce Bancshares CBSH. 4 Must-Buy Efficient Stocks for Solid Gains Amid Volatility The efficiency ratio is an indication of a company's financial health. It analyzes how efficiently a company uses its assets and liabilities internally. However, at times, it becomes difficult to measure the efficiency level of a company. This is why one must consider the popular efficiency ratios listed below while selecting stocks. To that end, Vital Farms, Acushnet,Texas Capital Bancshares andCommerce Bancshares have made it through the screen process: Efficiency Ratios – To be Considered Receivables Turnover: This is the ratio of 12-month sales to four-quarter average receivables. It shows a company's potential to extend its credit and collect debt in terms of that credit. A high receivables turnover ratio or the "accounts receivable turnover ratio" or "debtor's turnover ratio" is desirable as it shows that the company is capable of collecting its accounts receivables or that it has quality customers. Asset Utilization: This ratio indicates a company's capability to convert assets into output and is thus a widely known measure of efficiency level. It is calculated by dividing total sales over the past 12 months by the last four-quarter average of total assets. Like the above ratios, high asset utilization may indicate that a company is efficient. Inventory Turnover: The ratio of the 12-month cost of goods sold (COGS) to a four-quarter average inventory is considered one of the most popular efficiency ratios. It indicates a company's ability to maintain a suitable inventory position. While a high value indicates that the company has a relatively low level of inventory compared to COGS, a low value indicates that the company is facing declining sales, which has resulted in excess inventory. Operating Margin: This efficiency measure is the ratio of operating income over the past 12 months to sales over the same period. It measures a company's ability to control operating expenses. Hence, a high value of the ratio may indicate that the company manages its operating expenses more efficiently than its peers. Here are the top four stocks that made it through the screen: Vital Farms Vital Farms offers a range of produced pasture-raised foods. VITL has an average four-quarter positive earnings surprise of 45.3%. Acushnet Acushnet designs, develops, manufactures and distributes golf products. GOLF has an average four-quarter positive earnings surprise of 45.3%. Texas Capital Bancshares Texas Capital Bancshares focuses on leveraging local business and community ties to the five major metropolitan areas of Texas — Dallas, Houston, Fort Worth, Austin and San Antonio. TCBI has an average four-quarter positive earnings surprise of 30.2%. Commerce Bancshares Commerce Bancshares engages in the general banking business, providing a wide range of retail, corporate, investment, trust and asset management products as well as services to individuals and businesses. CBSH has an average four-quarter positive earnings surprise of 7.9%. You can get the rest of the stocks on this list by signing up now for your 2-week free trial to the Research Wizard and start using this screen in your own trading. Further, you can also create your own strategies and test them first before taking the investment plunge. The Research Wizard is a great place to begin. It's easy to use. Everything is in plain language. And it's very intuitive. Start your Research Wizard trial today. And the next time you read an economic report, open up the Research Wizard, plug your finds in, and see what gems come out. Click here to sign up for a free trial to the Research Wizard today. For the rest of this Screen of the Week article please visit at: Disclosure: Officers, directors and/or employees of Zacks Investment Research may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material. An affiliated investment advisory firm may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material. About Screen of the Week created the first and best screening system on the web earning the distinction as the "#1 site for screening stocks" by Money Magazine. But powerful screening tools is just the start. That is why Zacks created the Screen of the Week to highlight profitable stock picking strategies that investors can actively use. Strong Stocks that Should Be in the News Many are little publicized and fly under the Wall Street radar. They're virtually unknown to the general public. Yet today's 220 Zacks Rank #1 "Strong Buys" were generated by the stock-picking system that has more than doubled the market from 1988 through 2016. Its average gain has been a stellar +25% per year. See these high-potential stocks free >>. Follow us on Twitter: Join us on Facebook: Zacks Investment Research is under common control with affiliated entities (including a broker-dealer and an investment adviser), which may engage in transactions involving the foregoing securities for the clients of such affiliates. Contact: Jim Giaquinto Company: Phone: 312-265-9268 Email: pr@ Visit: provides investment resources and informs you of these resources, which you may choose to use in making your own investment decisions. Zacks is providing information on this resource to you subject to the Zacks "Terms and Conditions of Service" disclaimer. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) : Free Stock Analysis Report Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (CBSH) : Free Stock Analysis Report Acushnet (GOLF) : Free Stock Analysis Report Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research ( Zacks Investment Research

Signs of stock market 'euphoria' on the rise as markets cap 5-day streak of record highs
Signs of stock market 'euphoria' on the rise as markets cap 5-day streak of record highs

Yahoo

time2 days ago

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Signs of stock market 'euphoria' on the rise as markets cap 5-day streak of record highs

Investor euphoria is back. Stocks hit a record high each day last week, bitcoin is surging, and meme stocks are once again back in vogue. And while Wall Street isn't sounding the alarm just yet, some are watching the data with growing unease. Citi's Levkovich Index, which tracks market sentiment based on hard data like margin levels, short interest, and options pricing, hit 0.65 on Friday, above the 0.49 seen the week prior and well above the 0.38 threshold that signals "euphoria," or an overstretched position. Historically, readings at or above this level have preceded weaker returns. As the chart below shows, markets can often trade at these levels for an extended period of time, but that doesn't mean the risks to the downside disappear. "Every incremental uptick in sentiment just increases the downside risk if the positive story breaks," Drew Pettit, director of US equity strategy at Citi, told Yahoo Finance in an interview. In other words, elevated sentiment can leave markets more vulnerable to disappointment. "Bull markets don't die of old age," he said, "There has to be a catalyst." Recent price action is raising eyebrows. Meme stocks have seen a resurgence in trading volume, coinciding with what Pettit described as a broader decline in hedging activity — a trend that's captured directly in the Levkovich Index. Potential triggers to reverse the recent run-up could include a global slowdown, trade tensions, weaker consumer spending, or an AI letdown, all of which could challenge the bullish narrative that's propelled stocks in recent months. "Where it gets unhealthy is when people forget there's downside," he said. "You just throw risk out the window." Speculative growth names, particularly unprofitable tech companies, have surged since the April market bottom. Goldman Sachs' Non-Profitable Tech Index, which tracks US-listed tech firms that haven't yet generated positive GAAP earnings, is up about 65% from its spring lows and now sits at its highest level since 2022, according to Bloomberg data. And the firm's Speculative Trading Indicator has also risen sharply in recent months, which, as Goldman's Ben Snider wrote Friday, "signals near-term upside risk for the broad equity market but also increases the risk of an eventual downturn." Still, the current market setup differs meaningfully from past periods of excess like the dot-com boom or the post-pandemic melt-up, according to Citi's Pettit. Both of those periods have widely been viewed in hindsight as "bubbles," stretches when asset prices soared well beyond their intrinsic value, driven by speculation, momentum trading, and investor exuberance disconnected from underlying fundamentals. "We're not extremely disconnected from fair value yet," he said. "The disconnect back then was way wider." Allie Canal is a Senior Reporter at Yahoo Finance. Follow her on X @allie_canal, LinkedIn, and email her at

Signs of stock market 'euphoria' on the rise as markets cap 5-day streak of record highs
Signs of stock market 'euphoria' on the rise as markets cap 5-day streak of record highs

Yahoo

time2 days ago

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Signs of stock market 'euphoria' on the rise as markets cap 5-day streak of record highs

Investor euphoria is back. Stocks hit a record high each day last week, bitcoin is surging, and meme stocks are once again back in vogue. And while Wall Street isn't sounding the alarm just yet, some are watching the data with growing unease. Citi's Levkovich Index, which tracks market sentiment based on hard data like margin levels, short interest, and options pricing, hit 0.65 on Friday, above the 0.49 seen the week prior and well above the 0.38 threshold that signals "euphoria," or an overstretched position. Historically, readings at or above this level have preceded weaker returns. As the chart below shows, markets can often trade at these levels for an extended period of time, but that doesn't mean the risks to the downside disappear. "Every incremental uptick in sentiment just increases the downside risk if the positive story breaks," Drew Pettit, director of US equity strategy at Citi, told Yahoo Finance in an interview. In other words, elevated sentiment can leave markets more vulnerable to disappointment. "Bull markets don't die of old age," he said, "There has to be a catalyst." Recent price action is raising eyebrows. Meme stocks have seen a resurgence in trading volume, coinciding with what Pettit described as a broader decline in hedging activity — a trend that's captured directly in the Levkovich Index. Potential triggers to reverse the recent run-up could include a global slowdown, trade tensions, weaker consumer spending, or an AI letdown, all of which could challenge the bullish narrative that's propelled stocks in recent months. "Where it gets unhealthy is when people forget there's downside," he said. "You just throw risk out the window." Speculative growth names, particularly unprofitable tech companies, have surged since the April market bottom. Goldman Sachs' Non-Profitable Tech Index, which tracks US-listed tech firms that haven't yet generated positive GAAP earnings, is up about 65% from its spring lows and now sits at its highest level since 2022, according to Bloomberg data. And the firm's Speculative Trading Indicator has also risen sharply in recent months, which, as Goldman's Ben Snider wrote Friday, "signals near-term upside risk for the broad equity market but also increases the risk of an eventual downturn." Still, the current market setup differs meaningfully from past periods of excess like the dot-com boom or the post-pandemic melt-up, according to Citi's Pettit. Both of those periods have widely been viewed in hindsight as "bubbles," stretches when asset prices soared well beyond their intrinsic value, driven by speculation, momentum trading, and investor exuberance disconnected from underlying fundamentals. "We're not extremely disconnected from fair value yet," he said. "The disconnect back then was way wider." Allie Canal is a Senior Reporter at Yahoo Finance. Follow her on X @allie_canal, LinkedIn, and email her at

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