Latest news with #TylerFreeman
New York Times
2 days ago
- Sport
- New York Times
Fantasy baseball cheat sheet: Add Tyler Freeman, Max Scherzer and more THE BAT X insights
Baseball season is well underway, and with a plethora of articles, statistics and metrics available, it can be challenging to know who to start, sit, fade and trade. Using Derek Carty's THE BAT X projection system, The Athletic has developed a weekly program that helps fantasy managers with difficult roster decisions. Advertisement THE BAT X has been the most accurate original projection system in fantasy for five consecutive years and provides estimates based on a wide range of metrics, including Statcast metrics like exit velocity and barrels, as well as ballpark effects, weather conditions, matchups and much more. Another important concept to understand is regression to the mean, which means players performing above their typical level of play are likely to decline, while those underperforming are likely to improve. This week's iteration suggests adding Tyler Freeman and Max Scherzer and streaming Gabe Speier. And there's more … so much more. Let's get to it. Projections are based on a 12-team, mixed-league roto format with 23-player rosters. For a more thorough explanation of THE BAT X, read Carty's explainer. For first-time readers, we compare players' year-to-date value (value to this point in the season) against their projected rest-of-season value (value for the remainder of the season and not including YTD value). Values are expressed as dollars, and $0 represents a starting caliber player in the aforementioned 12-team mixed roto league format. This gives you an idea of which players may be available on your waiver wire, their value for the remainder of the year and why you should grab them before anyone else can. The differential can tell you all you need to know, but because this is a model, you'll want to use the projections alongside knowledge of your league. For example, shortstop and outfielder Tyler Freeman has produced at a -$6.40 value thus far; however, THE BAT X projects that his value will be $13.50 over the remainder of the season. He's available in many leagues and is batting .316 in 114 at-bats, with nine stolen bases and a home run. While many of his Statcast metrics are not yet valid based on limited plate appearances, he's not chasing, striking out or whiffing much, and he has a 10.9% walk rate, while ranking in the 75th percentile in sprint speed. Also be advised that Zach Neto is day-to-day, and Luis Robert Jr. is on the 10-day injured list. We discussed RHP Max Scherzer (40 years old) last week ahead of his return to Toronto's rotation following time on the 60-day IL. In his second game of the season on June 25 against Cleveland, he gave up six hits and three runs in five innings, walking three batters and striking out four. He's only recorded eight innings pitched, but THE BAT X thinks he'll shake off the rust and improve going forward. Righty Will Warren is 5-4 with a 4.37 ERA, but his expected ERA is much lower at 3.46. He's walking too many batters and getting hit hard this season, but he's in the 89th percentile in strikeout rate. If you need Ks, the Yankees' righty is decent option. Like the waiver wire, fades are determined based on the year-to-date roster value compared to THE BAT X's projected rest-of-season value. It takes a little more discretion to evaluate fades and trades. For example, while THE BAT X projects that Cal Raleigh won't keep up his current pace, that doesn't mean any fantasy manager is dropping or trading him, especially at the catcher position. If you were shipping him, THE BAT X only has Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani, Bobby Witt Jr., Ronald Acuña Jr. and Juan Soto ranked above him in its rest-of-season projections on FanGraphs, so he's on here because of his differential. But you're probably only trading him for one of those five players in return or addressing multiple needs. And, even then, it probably only makes sense if you have a viable backup option behind the plate. Advertisement However, many players on this list could be great trade bait, like Brandon Lowe and Jacob Wilson. Both players are having excellent seasons, which helps when making offers, but they each have some weak spots in their advanced metrics. Lowe has the power but is in the 9th percentile in whiff percentage and strikes out 24.1% (36th percentile) of the time and walks at a rate of only 6.8% (31st percentile). Wilson is in the sixth(!) percentile or lower in Barrel%, Hard-Hit%, average exit velocity and bat speed. He's nearly opposite to Lowe in that he doesn't have the power metrics, but his K% is in the 99th percentile, as is his Whiff%. According to THE BAT X projection system, the following pitchers are overperforming their rest-of-season projections and could be considered fades or trade bait. Andrew Abbott tops this list for the second week in a row, with a YTD value of $20.90 but a ROS value of -$9.90. Since last week, his current value has dropped nearly $3, and THE BAT X projects the regression will continue, suggesting you may want to consider trading him before any continued decline. Trade targets are similar to the waiver wire and fades, determined by current roster value versus THE BAT X's projected rest-of-season value. These are players you might want on your roster for the rest of the season. You can even compare this list to the 'Fade or Trade' list above, and see if there are deals to be made. Jackson Merrill has been on the IL a couple of times this year, registering only 197 at-bats. But when he has played, he's been excellent, batting .294 with an expected average of .304 (96th percentile) and an xwOBA of .379 (88th percentile). He's struggled with plate discipline but still has an .802 OPS. THE BAT X projects his rest-of-season value at $18, higher than Riley Greene and Eugenio Suárez on the 'Fade or Trade' list above. On the pitching side, there are many familiar names from last week, but Bryce Miller is new. However, he's on the 15-day IL without a timetable to return. Three weeks ago, it was reported he would be out 4-to-6 weeks, and Mariners General Manager Justin Hollander said Miller received a platelet-rich plasma injection in his right elbow after meeting with Dr. Keith Meister. So, he could come back soon after the All-Star break and give your team a boost, but be cautious. On Saturday, Ohtani threw the fastest pitch of his career against the Royals (101.7 mph). He gave up one hit, one walk and struck out one batter in two innings. THE BAT X projects Ohtani's pitching value at $8.60 for the remainder of the year. Here are hitters with favorable pitching matchups this week. Right fielder Ramón Laureano is barely rostered in Yahoo leagues and has a favorable matchup to start the week, if you need a deep-league flier to start. His Statcast metrics aren't great, but he's batting .273 and has 10 home runs and three stolen bases on the season, so he can help in a pinch but is a streamer. If you have Kyle Schwarber rostered, you could be in for a great Monday, and his Statcast metrics are all very red (except for his K% and Whiff%, which are in the 24th and 10th percentile, respectively). Advertisement Rookie Cam Smith (3B, OF) shows up on this list a few times, and he's batting .276 with an xBA of .280 and an xwOBA of .350 (71st percentile). His sprint speed is in the 92nd percentile, and he has four stolen bases on the season to go along with seven home runs. He was drafted 14th overall by the Cubs in 2024 before being acquired by the Astros in December. He played third base in college, but the Astros moved him to right field, as former scout and now general manager Dana Brown wasn't sure he was a fit at third, based on his current build. He entered Sunday with nine defensive runs saved in RF behind only Adolis García and Fernando Tatis, so he's likely to stay in the lineup. Here's a look at hitters who have been over- and underperforming using weighted on-base percentage (wOBA) and expected weighted on-base percentage (xwOBA). Batters with an xwOBA lower than their actual wOBA could fall to numbers closer to expected, while hitters with lower wOBAs could surge as the season continues. This list includes players who have overperformed in the past 30 days, according to wOBA and xwOBA. Raleigh's xwOBA of .368 is still impressive, as is Suarez's. Spencer Steer's (CIN, 1B) eight-game hitting streak might have come with a lot of luck. Despite hitting .315 in June, Steer isn't over the 35th percentile in any Statcast batting metrics except launch-angle sweet-spot percentage and chase percentage. The power's not there, and he strikes out too much, while walking too little. Buyer beware. Based on wOBA and xwOBA, the players on this list are the top underperformers in the past 30 days. New York Mets' catcher Luis Torrens was expected to take over as the starting catcher after Francisco Alvarez was sent down to Triple-A Syracuse, but Hayden Senger has been mixed into the lineup as well. Torrens is a great defensive catcher, but he's hitting .222 on the season. Still, Torrens has the advantage over Senger, who's hitting .162 in his first 37 MLB at-bats. Senger will have to improve offensively to continue to get time for the Mets, and Torrens may start improving with better luck. Jac Caglianone may have been dropped in shallower leagues after a slow start to his MLB career, which came with a lot of bad luck. He is the Royals' No. 1 prospect and No. 10 in MLB's Pipeline Rankings, so he's the real deal and should start improving. Imagine if his wOBA were .340 instead of .223, as expected. Consider taking advantage of impatient managers, particularly in keeper and dynasty leagues (though surely no one's let him go there). Finally, we get to the top-scoring offenses of the week. As always, the Dodgers are no surprise at the top, but what about Colorado at No. 3? Facing the Chicago White Sox surely helps with their expected runs per game. Regardless, this could be a good week for Hunter Goodman (C), the aforementioned Freeman (RF), Jordan Beck (LF) and maybe even Ryan McMahon (3B). We're still rolling with the changes made two weeks ago to our one- and two-start pitcher sections. Instead of including the top one-start pitchers for the week, we have limited it to those players who are rostered at 50% or less. Two-start pitchers are now ranked based on THE BAT X's projection system, excluding those who have a projected negative value. Advertisement THE BAT X projects that Shane Baz will have the best week of all pitchers meeting the above qualifications. He's 8-3 with a 4.37 ERA. THE BAT X's projected 3.82 ERA aligns with Baz's season-long xERA of 3.90. If he gets six or more Ks, as projected, he could have a good outing against the A's. Michael Soroka's YTD xERA of 3.04 is much more encouraging than his actual 4.70 ERA. He's also 75th-percentile or better in K%, BB% and Barrel%. THE BAT X projects six Ks for him too and an ERA that splits the difference between his real and expected season-long performance. At the top of the two-start pitchers list is George Kirby. Even though he's 1-4 with a 5.40 ERA, THE BAT X projects much better numbers against the Royals and Pirates. Lower down, waiver target Max Scherzer also makes the list, and he could be a spectacular add this week. For many of these pitchers, you'll want to consult the data. Righty Emerson Hancock is right below Scherzer, but his 5.30 ERA is nearly identical to his xERA of 5.23, and his Statcast metrics are blue, blue, blue. If you wander too far down, you're looking at single-week streamers to fill a hole. Based on matchups, THE BAT X thinks Seattle's bullpen could have an excellent week with a combined ERA under 4.00. Gabe Speier is 2-0 with eight holds this season. His 2.50 xERA (2.93 ERA) is in the 95th percentile, and he's above the 86th percentile in Whiff%, BB%, K% (95th) and Chase% (97th). He's also widely available. The closer on this team is the incredible Andrés Muñoz (1.16 ERA, 18 saves), but he's 97% rostered. THE BAT X projections powered by EV Analytics. (Photo of Tyler Freeman: Matthew Stockman / Getty Images)
Daily Mail
2 days ago
- Sport
- Daily Mail
MLB star and his manager ejected in quick succession after heated showdown with umpire
Umpire Ramon de Jesus appeared to have zero interest in hearing arguments on balls and strikes in a Sunday afternoon game between the Colorado Rockies and the Milwaukee Brewers. In the top of the third in the game played in Wisconsin, Rockies batter Tyler Freeman passed on the chance to swing on an 0-2 pitch from Brewers starter Chad Patrick. The ball appeared to clip the lower part of the zone, but mostly stayed below the established rectangle and bounced out of catcher William Contreras' glove. Nevertheless, de Jesus rang up Freeman on a called third strike and sent the right fielder into a state. Freeman slumped in disbelief before turning and angrily yelling at de Jesus for a brief second before turning to walk back to the dugout. Having seemingly heard enough, de Jesus almost instantly tossed Freeman from the game - causing the outfielder to have another shocked reaction. Tyler Freeman ejected and... Warren Schaeffer — Bobby (@welcomeMLB) June 29, 2025 Schaeffer even got down on his knees to show de Jesus how low his third strike call was Out of the dugout came a sprinting manager Warren Schaeffer, who angrily took out his chewing gum and threw it on the ground before continuing on with his rant at de Jesus. When Schaeffer slammed his hat to the dirt, the umpire tossed him as well. A still red-hot Schaeffer then got on his knees to seemingly show de Jesus how low the pitch was. After a seemingly more composed conversation, both Schaeffer and Freeman headed back to the dugout and down the tunnel to the clubhouse. According to the umpire tracking website UmpScorecards, de Jesus is relatively average when it comes to call accuracy and a metric determining the difference between actual correct calls and expected correct calls. The struggling Rockies, who have yet to hit 20 wins on the season as the calendar flips to July, won their 19th of the season in a 4-3 victory in eleven innings. The win helped prevent a sweep in the series after losing 10-6 and 5-0 earlier in the weekend.
Fox News
3 days ago
- Sport
- Fox News
Rockies interim manager Warren Schaeffer goes ballistic after first career ejection
For the first time as interim manager of the Colorado Rockies, Warren Schaeffer was ejected, and he made the most out of that career moment. Home plate umpire Ramon De Jesus called strike three on Rockies outfielder Tyler Freeman, and he immediately got ejected after arguing the call. That's when Schaeffer came flying out of the dugout to get in between them, and he clearly had no thoughts of staying in the dugout after watching his reaction. Schaeffer spiked his gum and hat into the dirt after getting in between De Jesus and Freeman, which led to the umpire tossing the interim manager from the game. From there, Schaeffer got right in De Jesus's face, saying his piece while also showing him where he thought the pitch was. Schaeffer knelt in the right-handed batter's box and held his hand just above the ground, likely showing De Jesus where he thought that strike-three call was on Freeman. The Rockies relieved Bud Black of his managerial duties on May 11 despite a rare win for Colorado, the team owning MLB's worst record this season at 18-65. Since Schaeffer took over, the Rockies' results haven't been much better, going 11-32 since then. However, Schaeffer's fiery response to Freeman's strikeout clearly turned the tides in his dugout. The Rockies ended up beating the Brewers in extra innings, 4-3, at American Family Field. It was Brenton Doyle's RBI double in the eighth inning, as well as Orlando Arcia's game-tying home run in the ninth, that forced extras on the road. Then, Kyle Farmer came through with an RBI single in the 11th to give Colorado the lead they wouldn't relinquish in the bottom of the frame, as Tyler Kinley closed out the win. Follow Fox News Digital's sports coverage on X, and subscribe to the Fox News Sports Huddle newsletter.
Washington Post
3 days ago
- Sport
- Washington Post
Freeman, Schaeffer ejected in the third inning of Colorado's game at Milwaukee
MILWAUKEE — Colorado outfielder Tyler Freeman and interim manager Warren Schaeffer were ejected in the third inning of Sunday's game at Milwaukee. Freeman took a called third strike and appeared to say something to plate umpire Ramon De Jesus as he was leaving the batter's box. De Jesus promptly threw Freeman out of the game.
Yahoo
3 days ago
- Sport
- Yahoo
Freeman, Schaeffer ejected in the third inning of Colorado's game at Milwaukee
Colorado Rockies interim manager Warren Schaeffer, right, gets ejected by an umpire during the third inning of a baseball game against the Milwaukee Brewers, Sunday, June 29, 2025, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash) Colorado Rockies interim manager Warren Schaeffer, middle, gestures to an umpire after being ejected during the third inning of a baseball game against the Milwaukee Brewers, Sunday, June 29, 2025, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash) Colorado Rockies interim manager Warren Schaeffer, middle, gestures to an umpire after being ejected during the third inning of a baseball game against the Milwaukee Brewers, Sunday, June 29, 2025, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash) Colorado Rockies interim manager Warren Schaeffer, right, gets ejected by an umpire during the third inning of a baseball game against the Milwaukee Brewers, Sunday, June 29, 2025, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash) Colorado Rockies interim manager Warren Schaeffer, middle, gestures to an umpire after being ejected during the third inning of a baseball game against the Milwaukee Brewers, Sunday, June 29, 2025, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash) MILWAUKEE (AP) — Colorado outfielder Tyler Freeman and interim manager Warren Schaeffer were ejected in the third inning of Sunday's game at Milwaukee. Freeman took a called third strike and appeared to say something to plate umpire Ramon De Jesus as he was leaving the batter's box. De Jesus promptly threw Freeman out of the game. Advertisement Schaeffer came charging from the dugout and appeared to take something out of his mouth and throw it on the ground. Then he took his hat off and spiked that as well, at which point De Jesus ejected him. Schaeffer then got down on one knee in the batter's box and held his hand out over the plate, indicating that he felt the pitch was low. ___ AP MLB:
