Latest news with #VIX
Time of India
2 days ago
- Business
- Time of India
Stocks to buy today: Titan, Marico among 7 trading ideas for 1 July 2025
The Indian market is likely to trade higher on Tuesday, tracking positive global cues. The Nifty futures closed lower with losses of 0.53% at 25,615 on Monday. India VIX rose more than 3% to close at 12.78 in the previous session. On the options front, the maximum Call open interest (OI) is placed at the 25,600 and then the 26,000 strikes, while the maximum Put OI is placed at the 25,500 and then the 25,000 strikes. Call writing is seen at the 25,600 and 25,800 strikes, while Put writing is observed at the 25,200 and 24,900 strikes. 'Options data suggests a broader trading range between 25,000 and 26,000 zones, while the immediate range lies between 25,300 and 25,700 levels,' said Chandan Taparia, Analyst–Derivatives at Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited . Live Events 'Nifty50 formed a bearish candle similar to a Bearish Engulfing pattern on the daily frame on Monday and gave up its gains from the previous session,' he said. 'Now, if it manages to hold above 25,500, an up move could be seen towards the 25,650 and 25,750 zones, while supports can be seen at 25,400 and then 25,250,' Taparia recommended. We have collated stocks from various experts for traders with a short-term trading horizon: Expert: Ajit Mishra – SVP, Research, Religare Broking Ltd (told ET Bureau) Apollo Hospitals Ltd: Buy | Target Rs 7,650 | Stop Loss Rs 7,030 Divi's Laboratories Ltd: Buy | Target Rs 7,180 | Stop Loss Rs 6,600 Indian Bank : Buy | Target Rs 678 | Stop Loss Rs 625 Titan Company Ltd : Buy | Target Rs 3,980 | Stop Loss Rs 3,550 Expert: Sharan Lillaney, Independent SEBI Research Analyst Eicher Motors : Buy | Target Rs 5,760 | Stop Loss Rs 5,555 Cholamandalam Investment & Finance: Buy | Target Rs 1,670 | Stop Loss Rs 1,590 Marico : Buy | Target Rs 738 | Stop Loss Rs 707 ( Disclaimer : Recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)
Time of India
4 days ago
- Business
- Time of India
Breakout or Breakdown? June 30 could set Nifty's next big move, says Harshubh Shah
The Indian equity markets wrapped up the week on a strong footing, with the Nifty50 registering a 2% gain for the week ended June 27, 2025. Bullish sentiment dominated four out of the last five trading sessions, backed by a sharp intraday rally, resilient support zones, and strategic time-based inflection points that aligned well with recent market moves. One of the key supporting signals for the bulls was the continued decline in India VIX , which slipped by 1.6% to close at 12.39 on Friday. A lower VIX indicates reduced volatility expectations and bolsters investor confidence—an encouraging sign heading into the final trading sessions of the first half of FY25. Review: Time + Levels = Tactical Precision In our previous update, we had highlighted June 25 (±1 trading day) as a high-alert reversal window — and the Nifty responded in textbook fashion. Live Events June 24: Nifty opened with a sharp 225-point gap-up and showed high intraday volatility. This move set the stage for a 300+ point rally across the next two sessions. Our resistance level of 25,322 proved precise — Nifty made a day high exactly at this level before a sharp pullback. On June 25, support at 25,145 held strong, triggering a rebound. On June 26, both 25,322 and 25,434 acted as important swing zones, highlighting the strength of price-time confluence. Time-based forecasting once again proved its merit. Intraday reversals aligned remarkably well with pre-identified time windows: June 23: 10:30 AM slot matched day low at 10:15 AM; day high came at 1:30 PM. June 24: 9:20 AM low and 1:45 PM high aligned with projected time slots. June 25: Price action remained range-bound near the 11:40 AM slot; 1:30 PM marked the day high. June 26: 10:15 AM saw a swing high, and momentum returned just before the 12:25 PM slot. June 27: The market picked up pace at 10:45 AM and peaked exactly at 12:40 PM — both matching the forecasted windows. Week after week, the convergence of time and levels continues to deliver high-probability swing and intraday setups for tactical traders. Time-Cycle Alert: June 30, 2025 June 30 will be a crucial decision day. Watch for a breakout or breakdown from the high/low of the day — this could determine the next major directional leg for Nifty. A clear trend emerging from this session could set the tone for early July. Intraday Time Slots: July 1–5, 2025 Traders can use the following key time windows to identify potential intraday trend shifts, reversals, or high-probability entry/exit points: Monday, June 30: 9:25 AM | 11:10 AM | 12:35 PM | 2:40 PM Tuesday, July 1: 9:15 AM | 10:20 AM | 11:20 AM Wednesday, July 2: 11:20 AM | 12:45 PM Thursday, July 3: 9:25 AM | 12:15 PM Friday, July 4: 12:20 PM | 1:35 PM | 2:30 PM These are critical times where intraday volatility, breakout attempts, or trend reversals are most likely to occur. Use lower timeframes for confirmation. Nifty Levels to Watch Supports: 25,566 | 25,434 | 25,320 | 25,120 | 24,978 | 24,856 Resistances: 25,600 | 25,910 | 26,234 A sustained move above 25,910 could open the gates for a test of 26,234, while a breach below the 25,120–25,320 zone may attract selling pressure and trigger a corrective move. Trading Outlook With time clusters and support-resistance levels tightly aligned, tactical traders should remain alert, especially on June 30, a key inflection day. Stick to disciplined setups, use time-level alignment, and let price action confirm your trades. Precision continues to be the edge in this market. (The author is Director, Wealthview Analytics Pvt Ltd)
Economic Times
4 days ago
- Business
- Economic Times
Breakout or Breakdown? June 30 could set Nifty's next big move, says Harshubh Shah
The Indian equity markets wrapped up the week on a strong footing, with the Nifty50 registering a 2% gain for the week ended June 27, 2025. Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads Review: Time + Levels = Tactical Precision Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads Time-based forecasting once again proved its merit. Intraday reversals aligned remarkably well with pre-identified time windows: Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads Time-Cycle Alert: June 30, 2025 Intraday Time Slots: July 1–5, 2025 Nifty Levels to Watch Trading Outlook (Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this column are that of the writer. The facts and opinions expressed here do not reflect the views of .) The Indian equity markets wrapped up the week on a strong footing, with the Nifty50 registering a 2% gain for the week ended June 27, sentiment dominated four out of the last five trading sessions, backed by a sharp intraday rally, resilient support zones, and strategic time-based inflection points that aligned well with recent market of the key supporting signals for the bulls was the continued decline in India VIX , which slipped by 1.6% to close at 12.39 on Friday.A lower VIX indicates reduced volatility expectations and bolsters investor confidence—an encouraging sign heading into the final trading sessions of the first half of our previous update, we had highlighted June 25 (±1 trading day) as a high-alert reversal window — and the Nifty responded in textbook 24: Nifty opened with a sharp 225-point gap-up and showed high intraday volatility. This move set the stage for a 300+ point rally across the next two resistance level of 25,322 proved precise — Nifty made a day high exactly at this level before a sharp June 25, support at 25,145 held strong, triggering a June 26, both 25,322 and 25,434 acted as important swing zones, highlighting the strength of price-time 23: 10:30 AM slot matched day low at 10:15 AM; day high came at 1:30 24: 9:20 AM low and 1:45 PM high aligned with projected time 25: Price action remained range-bound near the 11:40 AM slot; 1:30 PM marked the day 26: 10:15 AM saw a swing high, and momentum returned just before the 12:25 PM 27: The market picked up pace at 10:45 AM and peaked exactly at 12:40 PM — both matching the forecasted after week, the convergence of time and levels continues to deliver high-probability swing and intraday setups for tactical 30 will be a crucial decision day. Watch for a breakout or breakdown from the high/low of the day — this could determine the next major directional leg for Nifty. A clear trend emerging from this session could set the tone for early can use the following key time windows to identify potential intraday trend shifts, reversals, or high-probability entry/exit points:Monday, June 30: 9:25 AM | 11:10 AM | 12:35 PM | 2:40 PMTuesday, July 1: 9:15 AM | 10:20 AM | 11:20 AMWednesday, July 2: 11:20 AM | 12:45 PMThursday, July 3: 9:25 AM | 12:15 PMFriday, July 4: 12:20 PM | 1:35 PM | 2:30 PMThese are critical times where intraday volatility, breakout attempts, or trend reversals are most likely to occur. Use lower timeframes for | 25,434 | 25,320 | 25,120 | 24,978 | 24,856Resistances:25,600 | 25,910 | 26,234A sustained move above 25,910 could open the gates for a test of 26,234, while a breach below the 25,120–25,320 zone may attract selling pressure and trigger a corrective time clusters and support-resistance levels tightly aligned, tactical traders should remain alert, especially on June 30, a key inflection day. Stick to disciplined setups, use time-level alignment, and let price action confirm your trades. Precision continues to be the edge in this market.(The author is Director, Wealthview Analytics Pvt Ltd)(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times.)
CNBC
4 days ago
- Business
- CNBC
The global week ahead: A hectic half first heralds a volatile second
"Politics isn't wagging the tail – it's shaking the entire dog." These strong words from one wealth manager to CNBC last week capture a hectic first half of trading. They also set the stage for an uncertain second half, where "geoeconomics" looks set to remain a dominant market force. This week, expect attention to return to monetary policy, as central bankers from across the globe — who have kept their heads down amid political tensions — prepare to speak at the ECB Forum in Sintra, Portugal. A lot has happened in the last six months, with trade tensions and truces sending equity markets across the globe haywire. The VIX volatility index — also known as the Wall Street fear gauge — spiked in April as tariff threats, followed by tariff pauses, caused huge intraday swings across major indices. Meanwhile, "black swan" moments in the Middle East also kept investors on edge. Amid all the uncertainty, some stock markets showed remarkable resilience: Germany's Dax remains the outperformer in Europe, up over 18% so far this year, followed by London's FTSE 100 up around 9%, while the French CAC 40 lags with around 5% gains. But what does this all mean for trading in the second half of the year? Goldman Sachs warns that, "elevated policy uncertainty paired with a worsening macro backdrop are likely to support higher equity volatility in the next months."As Goldman's warning rings loudly in investors' ears, the stage is set for central banks to return to the limelight. This week, the town of Sintra in Portugal plays host to the annual ECB Forum, where European central bankers are joined by their international counterparts to exchange views on current policy issues. The sun may well be shining in Portugal — but President Donald Trump's recent comments will no doubt cast a shadow over the meeting, as he continues to put unprecedented pressure on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Just last week, Trump's name-calling of Powell ramped up, sparking talk of a so-called "shadow Fed chair," who could keep an eye on things until taking over as chair next year. Powell also put the pressure on his monetary policy peers, calling on central bankers to hold steady until they see the impact of trade tariffs: "We are well positioned to wait and learn more about the likely course of the economy before considering any adjustments to our policy stance." Europe will need to decide how much it lets the U.S. approach dictate its policy, with ECB President Christine Lagarde opening proceedings in Sintra with a speech on Monday evening. Expect a punchy tone; her recent op-ed in the Financial Times saw her call for the euro to take advantage of the current environment and "gain global prominence." Next Friday marks the first anniversary of the Labour Party taking power in the U.K., following 14 years of Conservative rule. A landslide victory saw a jubilant Labour return to Downing Street with the promise of change and growth. But the honeymoon period was short-lived. Fast-forward 12 months and Prime Minister Keir Starmer looks set to reach his first year in office with plummeting approval ratings which put him below his rival party leaders, including Reform's Nigel Farage, Liberal Democrat Sir Ed Davey and Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch. Starmer has faced a lot of external pressure, ranging from a public spat with Elon Musk to a slew of foreign policy challenges in Ukraine and the Middle East. Even three trade deals — with Europe, India and the very first U.S. agreement — did little to improve his popularity. But the economic challenges at home are causing the most discontent, with pressure even from within his own party to review certain reforms.
Economic Times
4 days ago
- Business
- Economic Times
Global developments, FII activity among 7 cues to drive Dalal Street action this week
Markets ended their five-week-long consolidation phase, buoyed by improving global cues, receding geopolitical risks, and a noticeable pickup in foreign institutional investor (FII) buying during the latter half of the week. After a hesitant start, momentum built during midweek as overall sentiment turned more constructive. ADVERTISEMENT With tensions between Iran and Israel showing signs of easing, global risk appetite improved, driving indices higher. Consequently, benchmark indices closed the week near their highs, with the Nifty settling at 25,637.80 and the Sensex at 84,058.90. Sectorally, the market breadth tilted positive with most NSE indices in the green. Nifty Oil & Gas outshone peers with a 1.19% uptick, followed by Nifty Infrastructure and Nifty Energy, which climbed 1.07% and 1%, respectively. PSU Banks, Pharma, Metals, and Media also posted moderate gains, rising between 0.4% and 0.7%. Financial heavyweights saw mild traction, with Nifty Bank and Nifty Private Bank edging up 0.41% and 0.32%, respectively. On the flip side, Nifty Realty emerged as the biggest drag, slipping 1.55%, while IT and Consumer Durables sectors witnessed mild profit-taking. Meanwhile, market volatility cooled further, with India VIX declining 1.9% to 12.36, signaling a more stable undertone. 'Index has formed a sizable bull candle with a higher high and higher low signaling continuation of the up move. Index in the process on expected lines closed firmly above the last 6 weeks range (25,200-24,500), signaling extension of the positive momentum,' said a note by Bajaj Broking. 'Going ahead, index to maintain overall positive bias and head towards 25,900-26,000 levels in the coming week, being the measuring implication of the last week's range (25,200-24,500). The upper band of the recent consolidation range, 25,100-25,200 is likely to reverse its role and act as key support in coming weeks,' the note added. ADVERTISEMENT Here are the key factors that will likely impact the D-Street action this week: Looking ahead, global cues will continue to drive market direction. Despite improved sentiment, caution persists regarding potential tariff escalations, with U.S. tariffs scheduled to resume from July 9 and updates on trade agreements will remain in focus. ADVERTISEMENT The U.S. President recently announced on a social media platform the signing of a deal with China and indicated a potential deal with India, although details remain scant. Further clarity on these developments will be closely monitored by the high-frequency data such as IIP and PMI figures will be in focus, along with the monsoon progress. ADVERTISEMENT The trend in foreign institutional investor (FII) flows will also be closely monitored. On Friday, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were net buyers at Rs 1,504.93 crore, while the domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net sellers at Rs 765.82 crore. Brent and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude prices fell on Friday, reversing gains after a report that OPEC+ was planning to hike production in August following an increase planned for July. ADVERTISEMENT The Indian rupee had its best week since January 2023, as an Iran-Israel ceasefire cooled oil prices and sapped safe-haven dollar demand, while worries over the Federal Reserve's future independence added pressure on the rupee gained 1.3% on the week, its best performance in two and a half years, to close at 85.4750 per U.S. dollar on Friday."The Nifty continued to move higher as investor confidence remained strong. With no major resistance seen before 25,750–25,800, the index may continue its upward trajectory. However, the rally might not be sharp, and it could take time to reach the 25,800 mark.'A buy-on-dips strategy appears more appropriate at current levels, following the sharp rise over the past few days. On the downside, support is placed at 25,500; a break below this level could lead to consolidation,' said Rupak De, Senior Technical Analyst at LKP Securities. (Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)
