Latest news with #Vance
New York Post
4 hours ago
- Business
- New York Post
Vance 'shoe-in' to win 2028 presidential election, according to new odds
They think Vance has a chance. Odds for the 2028 presidential election were revealed by Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market — and bettors are putting their money on the veep becoming the victor. JD Vance has a 27% chance of becoming the country's next commander in chief, according to the cryptocurrency-based prediction market. 3 JD Vance leads as the winner in the 2028 presidential election according to new odds released by Polymarket. Ron Sachs/CNP / Vance, 40, has already spoken about a possible 2028 run. 'When we get to that point, I'll talk to the president, we'll figure out what we want to do. But the way that I think about it is, if we do a good job, the politics take care of themselves,' he said on 'Fox & Friends' in April. 3 California Governor Gavin Newsom is currently in second place. / MEGA In a distant second place was California Gov. Gavin Newsom — who told the Wall Street Journal last month 'I'm not thinking about running, but it's a path that I could see unfold' — with 14%. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez was third, with 10%, followed by former Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg at 8%, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 6%. Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro, a front-runner to be Kamala Harris' running mate in 2024, was sixth with 5% 3 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the third spot. LP Media Harris and Florida Gov. tied for seventh with 4% Although he technically cannot run for a third term, President Trump came in eighthis in 8th place with 3%.
The Hill
a day ago
- Business
- The Hill
Some wild 2028 speculation about Vance and Donald Jr.
Among Republicans, Vice President JD Vance appears to be growing more powerful, popular and presidential. However, the overall RealClear poll average gives Vance just a 41 percent favorable rating, with 47 percent unfavorable. The high-profile vice president is seen in nearly every Oval Office meeting photo, signaling a close relationship with President Trump. Such proximity is deliberate, since the 'showman-in-chief' leverages optics more effectively than anyone as a powerful messaging tool. Although the 2028 presidential campaign is three years away — centuries in political dog years — the 40-year-old Vance is on a trajectory to win the Republican nomination. In a recent Emerson poll, he garnered 46 percent support among registered Republican primary voters for 2028. That same poll found Vance's closest Republican rivals were Secretary of State Marco Rubio, supported by 12 percent, and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, at 9 percent. Rubio in 2016 and DeSantis in 2024 both had disastrous presidential runs against Trump and, in the process, alienated the MAGA base. At the time, Rubio and DeSantis were warned by political strategists to wait for more political seasoning in a future presidential cycle. Both paid a price for their unbridled ambition. Vance knows that his 2028 prospects hinge on Republican success in the 2026 midterms, which will be linked to Trump's sinking job approval. Therefore, in addition to his demanding day job, the vice president has been in full campaign mode since March, when he was appointed finance chair of the Republican National Committee. That strategically brilliant early move by Team Trump positioned Vance as a presidential heir, facilitating frequent interactions with the party's most powerful donors and state party leaders. For Vance, raising money from wealthy Republicans is relatively easy, since he has around a 50 percent chance of becoming the next president and stands a heartbeat away from replacing the 79-year-old incumbent. But can millions of dollars translate into the millions of votes needed to keep the Republicans in control of the House and Senate when Trump is not on the ballot? For that task, Vance is Trump's point man, and he has the most to gain or lose. Political history favors Democrats winning back the House, but if Vance can work some magic and defy the odds, he could go on to win the early 2028 primaries and quickly claim the nomination. Some Republicans argue that the party will 'waste time and money' better spent fighting Democrats if Trump does not quickly anoint Vance. The operative word is 'if,' because Trump cares deeply about his legacy. A family dynasty would further solidify his place in history. Thus, a simmering rivalry between JD Vance and Donald Trump Jr. could develop during the midterm campaigns, foreshadowing a potential primary showdown. The president's firstborn is already a MAGA favorite and, more recently, an international power player. In May, Don Jr. slightly opened his window to the White House. Even though Vance owes his unexpected 2024 nomination to his close friend Donald Jr., their relationship could become contentious. Imagine the following: Junior emerges from the midterms as a star with presidential media buzz. He generates enormous energy, draws massive crowds and raises untold millions. Ballrooms are filled with supporters waving 'Junior 2028' signs and wearing 'Trump 45, 47, 48' ballcaps. Vance's problem is Daddy Trump's Machiavellian opportunity. Recent history proves that no rules or laws apply to Trump. He thrives on defying conventional norms and stomps on traditional presidential behavior, delighting conservative media and his loyal MAGA base. (But watch the Epstein story, which could have long-term repercussions.) Let's examine three highly speculative but completely plausible scenarios. First, suppose in 2026 Republicans retain control of Congress, with both Vance and Don Jr. receiving credit. Eyeing a family dynasty, the president strikes a deal. Early in 2027, he endorses Vance's presidential campaign with the secret caveat that Vance selects the younger Trump as his running mate well before the 2028 convention. The Vance-Trump ticket could be wildly popular with the base, but independent voters might be mixed. I dare not speculate about the Democratic ticket or the prospects of a Vance-Trump victory. But note that the last vice president to immediately succeed his boss was George H.W. Bush in 1988. Credit went to a weak Democratic opponent, a booming economy and President Ronald Reagan's popularity, which enabled Bush to win 'Reagan's third term' with 426 votes in the Electoral College. The second scenario unfolds around September 2028. Trump develops a 'serious' health issue (real or contrived), forcing him to resign. Naturally, the newly installed President Vance appoints his running mate, Donald Jr., as vice president. Now that incumbents are up for election, the 2028 campaign is a short, new, chaotic race. In the third scenario, the 2026 midterms are disastrous for the Republicans, and Vance emerges as a weak presidential candidate. Still, no Republican primary opponent has enough support to defeat the incumbent vice president. The only two people who could derail Vance's nomination are named Trump. Meanwhile, an angry president believes he must avenge the midterm losses that he insists were rigged and stolen. He partly blames Vance and demands that a Trump must top the 2028 Republican ballot. Moreover, the frustrated lame duck is enraged that Vance has begun separating himself from problematic Trump policies, campaigning on what he would do differently if elected. Consequently, Trump does not endorse Vance for president. Instead, Donald Jr. announces his presidential bid to defend his father's legacy and keep the MAGA movement alive. Will Vance rise or fall? These three scenarios are neither improbable nor impossible. Considering that Trump rose from the ashes of Jan. 6, 2021, to win the 2024 election, he proved that anything is possible — at least for someone named Trump.
Yahoo
a day ago
- Politics
- Yahoo
Senate tees up debate on package to claw back public broadcasting, foreign aid funds
Vice President Vance broke a tie Tuesday night to allow the Senate to begin debate on a bill to claw back billions of dollars in funding previously authorized by Congress for foreign aid and public broadcasting. The chamber voted 51-50 to begin debate on the package of cuts. Republican Sens. Lisa Murkowski (Alaska), Susan Collins (Maine) and Mitch McConnell (Ky.) joined all Democrats in voting against the motion. The vote came shortly after the trio also voted against discharging the rescissions package from the Appropriations Committee, forcing Vance to break that tie as well. Senators expect a marathon voting session on potential changes to the bill in the day ahead as Senate leaders look to pass the measure ahead of a looming Friday deadline. The bill, which passed the House last month, calls for about $8 billion in cuts to the United States Agency for International Development and other foreign aid, and more than $1 billion in cuts to the Corporation for Public Broadcasting (CPB). Murkowski and Collins both expressed concerns about the cuts to public broadcasting and the way the rescissions package had been presented to Congress. 'I don't want us to go from one reconciliation bill to a rescissions package to another rescissions package to a reconciliation package to a continuing resolution. We're lawmakers. We should be legislating,' Murkowski said on the Senate floor earlier Tuesday. Collins, in a statement, said, 'I recognize the need to reduce excessive spending and I have supported rescissions in our appropriations bills many times, including the 70 rescissions that were included in the year-long funding bill that we are currently operating under. But to carry out our Constitutional responsibility, we should know exactly what programs are affected and the consequences of rescissions.' The vote comes after the Trump administration worked with Republicans on potential changes to the package after some expressed concerns about the scope of cuts. White House budget chief Russell Vought told reporters Tuesday that the administration would be 'fine with' an amendment to the package that shields the President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) from proposed cuts in the package. Sen. Mike Rounds (R-S.D.), who had previously held off from backing the package due to concerns about how tribal stations would fare proposed public media cuts, also said he'd support the plan after striking a deal with the administration. Rounds said Tuesday he worked with OMB on a deal that would redirect some funding approved under the Biden administration as part of the Inflation Reduction Act. 'We have an agreement with OMB to resource the funds from other already allocated funding through what had been [former President] Biden's Green New Deal program, and we'll take that money and we'll reallocate it back into the tribes to take care of these radio stations that have been granted this money for the next two years,' Rounds told reporters Tuesday. While the CPB provides some funding to National Public Radio and the Public Broadcasting Service, which have come under heavy GOP scrutiny as the party has leveled allegations of bias against the media organizations, Republicans in both chambers have raised concerns the cuts could have a disproportionate effect on rural and tribal stations. Top Republicans are ramping up work to lock down support for Trump's package to claw back previously congressionally approved funds. The party's 53-47 majority means it can afford to lose three votes in the Senate, with the help of Vance's as the tiebreaker. Congress has until July 18 to pass the legislation under the special rescissions process initiated by the White House last month that allows the Senate to approve the funding cuts with a simple majority vote, bypassing expected Democratic opposition. Copyright 2025 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
Yahoo
2 days ago
- Politics
- Yahoo
Talking ‘Trump accounts' and mocking Democrats, Vance offers preview of how GOP will message the 'big, beautiful bill'
WEST PITTSTON, Pennsylvania — President Donald Trump's 'One Big Beautiful Bill' is all about supporting the children — American children. That was Vice President JD Vance's message Wednesday as he rallied at a family-owned machine shop in this purple Pennsylvania manufacturing town, kicking off what is expected to be a summer of intense Republican efforts to sell the party's domestic legislation ahead of the midterms. 'We couldn't get a single Democrat to vote for $1,000 for every newborn baby in the United States of America,' Vance said, referring to a provision in the law that establishes 'Trump Accounts' for babies with Social Security numbers born between 2025 and 2028. 'I realized the problem: If we had made that $1,000 accessible not to newborn American babies but to illegal aliens, I think we could have got the Democrats' vote.' The line drew a laugh from many in the roughly 100-person crowd. Vance's message has echoes of the 2024 Trump campaign attack on former Vice President Kamala Harris, which suggested that she was for 'they/them,' a reference to her support for transgender rights, while Trump was 'for you.' And it comes as Democrats seek to portray the law's cuts to Medicaid as a betrayal of the working-class voters Vance was speaking to Wednesday, the voters who both parties believe are crucial to their success next November. Vance, who cast the bill's tie-breaking vote in the Senate earlier this month, once said everything else in the bill was 'immaterial' compared to the money it allotted to bolstering the Trump administration's sweeping mass deportation agenda. But in West Pittston, the vice president combined his zeal for deportations with his family-first agenda. Throughout his short political career, Vance has promoted policies that he believes support women having more babies and frequently discussed prioritizing his family, which he has taken on multiple official and personal trips (last weekend the second family vacationed at Disneyland). The vice president has long been an ardent critic of illegal immigration, and one of the White House's most forceful supporters of ending birthright citizenship. So during Vance's brief trip to Northeastern Pennsylvania, he framed the OBBB as saying no to immigrants and yes to American families. Vance highlighted how the law's expansion of short-term job training programs would 'give young people more options.' He touted the law's government savings because 'I don't want to pass on to my kids and grandkids this giant debt volume.' And he celebrated that the law 'stops taxpayer benefits from going to illegal aliens.' The Congressional Budget Office projects the law to boost the deficit by $3.4 trillion, though most Republicans disagree with that assessment. 'Whether you're working at Don's Machine [Shop] or you're the vice president of the United States … it's all in the service of giving our kids the incredible opportunities that we've had,' the vice president said. 'It's about believing that the next generation is going to have a better life than we had because we worked our tails off to give it to them. That's the American dream, my friends. That's what it's all about.'
New York Post
2 days ago
- Politics
- New York Post
JD Vance eviscerates NYT for article on ‘fixing' immigration written by Biden official
Vice President JD Vance gleefully ridiculed the New York Times over a recent New York Times opinion piece from an ex-Biden administration official — who pitched a plan to fix the US immigration system. While delivering remarks in West Pittston, Pa., Wednesday, Vance read the headline of the op-ed, 'I Was One of Biden's Border Advisers. Here's How to Fix Our Immigration System,' drawing laughter from the crowd. 'What would he know about fixing our immigration system? It was the Biden administration that broke our immigration system,' Vance chided with a grin. 'So we've been having a little fun around the office.' Vice President J.D. Vance ripped the New York Times for a recent opinion piece titled, 'I Was One of Biden's Border Advisers. Here's How to Fix Our Immigration System.' AFP via Getty Images The VP spoofed the headline, quipping, 'I was Humpty Dumpty. Here's how to sit on a wall.' The vice president then read off a spoof headline. 'The Department of Homeland Security their take on this was 'I was Humpty Dumpty. Here's how to sit on a wall,'' he quipped.
