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British American Tobacco (BTI) Leverages 6.1% Yield to Extend Railly
British American Tobacco (BTI) Leverages 6.1% Yield to Extend Railly

Yahoo

time25-06-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

British American Tobacco (BTI) Leverages 6.1% Yield to Extend Railly

Over the past year, British American Tobacco (BTI) has gained 51%, driven in part by investor demand for reliable dividend income amid growing expectations of lower interest rates. High-quality dividend payers, such as BTI, which has boasted 29 consecutive years of dividend increases, tend to perform well in such environments. Easily unpack a company's performance with TipRanks' new KPI Data for smart investment decisions Receive undervalued, market resilient stocks right to your inbox with TipRanks' Smart Value Newsletter While the yield has decreased from a peak of 10% to 6.1%, primarily due to the share price rally, BTI's strong fundamentals suggest further upside potential. Here's a closer look at what continues to support the company's momentum and why I remain bullish on the tobacco giant. British American Tobacco's core combustible business, which includes brands like Camel and Lucky Strike, remains a powerhouse. In this month's 2025 half-year pre-close trading update, management reported a return to growth in the U.S., a critical market, driven by stronger delivery in combustibles. Organic sales for combustibles nudged up 0.1% at constant rates, with a 5.3% price/mix improvement offsetting a 5.2% volume decline. This resilience is a remarkable achievement for a 'struggling' tobacco major, as combustibles still account for over 80% of revenue. Despite global smoking rates dropping at a rate of mid-single digits annually, BTI's ability to raise prices and maintain margins showcases its pricing power. Additionally, CEO Tadeu Marroco highlighted cost savings of £402 million in 2024, which will help counter inflationary pressures, such as higher leaf prices, making the strong sales seem all the more impressive. Overall, with the U.S. market showing signs of stabilization, combustibles continue to fund BTI's transformation while delivering steady cash flows for dividends and buybacks. BTI's pivot to 'new categories', including vaping, heated tobacco, and oral nicotine products, is also gaining traction. The latest trading update highlighted an 8.9% organic revenue jump in these segments, with Velo Plus nicotine pouches leading the charge in the U.S. Management noted strong customer retention for Velo, which is closing the gap with Philip Morris's Zyn. Meanwhile, Glo Hilo, an upgraded heated tobacco device, is expanding into new markets, boosting competitiveness. Though new categories contribute less than 15% of revenue compared to Philip Morris's (PM) 40%, BTI's innovation is paying off, in my view. In fact, the company raised its 2025 revenue growth guidance to 1%-2% from 1%, citing better-than-expected first-half performance in modern oral products. The CEO's confidence in achieving 3-5% revenue growth by 2026 suggests that BTI's smokeless portfolio is no longer a side hustle, or a bet, as many would argue, but a meaningful growth driver. And while it is fair to criticize that vaping volumes dipped 9% in the first half, Vuse remains a U.S. market leader. BTI's focus on premiumization and innovation, such as synthetic nicotine in Velo Plus, positions it to capture market share in a rapidly evolving nicotine market. This segment's momentum suggests BTI is building a future beyond cigarettes. After a 57% rally, one might expect British American Tobacco (BTI) to look expensive—but it still trades at a forward P/E just under 11 while the sector median hovers at ~16, an attractive valuation even for a so-called 'sin' stock. On a trailing twelve-month basis, BTI's P/E ratio is currently 28, while the sector average is 22, indicating that although the market may view BTI as slightly overvalued today, the next twelve months appear promising. Moreover, the company continues to generate strong cash flow and has raised its dividend for 29 consecutive years. While the yield has declined from around 10% to 6.6%, this is a result of share price appreciation, not a dividend cut. In fact, if interest rates decline as expected, BTI's dependable yield could draw even more investor interest, potentially driving the stock higher. The company's $1 billion share buyback last year, while modest relative to its $108 billion market cap, enhances the total shareholder return. Factoring in the buyback, the blended yield rises to about 7.5%, offering even more appeal. Altogether, BTI's low valuation, strong income profile, and capital return strategy provide a compelling case for continued upside—with a margin of safety—even as the stock pushes toward new 52-week highs. Wall Street's stance on British American Tobacco is bearish, although with only a handful of analysts covering the stock. As things stand, BTI carries a Moderate Sell consensus based on one Sell rating in the past three months. BTI's average 12-month price target of $35.50 implies a potential downside of about 28%, suggesting that many analysts believe the stock may have already priced in much of its recent strength. Despite its 57% rally, BTI remains a strong investment option. With a 6.1% dividend yield, a valuation of less than 11x forward earnings, and solid cash flow supporting both dividends and share buybacks, BTI stands out among income-focused opportunities. Its core combustibles business remains resilient, while growth in smokeless products, such as Velo, signals a forward-looking pivot. While regulatory headwinds and the transition to next-gen products pose challenges, BTI's global footprint and disciplined capital strategy position it well for investors seeking reliable yield and potential upside, especially in a rate-cutting environment. Disclaimer & DisclosureReport an Issue Sign in to access your portfolio

British American Tobacco (BTI) Leverages 6.1% Yield to Extend Railly
British American Tobacco (BTI) Leverages 6.1% Yield to Extend Railly

Business Insider

time24-06-2025

  • Business
  • Business Insider

British American Tobacco (BTI) Leverages 6.1% Yield to Extend Railly

Over the past year, British American Tobacco (BTI) has gained 51%, driven in part by investor demand for reliable dividend income amid growing expectations of lower interest rates. High-quality dividend payers, such as BTI, which has boasted 29 consecutive years of dividend increases, tend to perform well in such environments. Confident Investing Starts Here: While the yield has decreased from a peak of 10% to 6.1%, primarily due to the share price rally, BTI's strong fundamentals suggest further upside potential. Here's a closer look at what continues to support the company's momentum and why I remain bullish on the tobacco giant. Combustibles Represent Steady Cash Cow for BTI British American Tobacco's core combustible business, which includes brands like Camel and Lucky Strike, remains a powerhouse. In this month's 2025 half-year pre-close trading update, management reported a return to growth in the U.S., a critical market, driven by stronger delivery in combustibles. Organic sales for combustibles nudged up 0.1% at constant rates, with a 5.3% price/mix improvement offsetting a 5.2% volume decline. This resilience is a remarkable achievement for a 'struggling' tobacco major, as combustibles still account for over 80% of revenue. Despite global smoking rates dropping at a rate of mid-single digits annually, BTI's ability to raise prices and maintain margins showcases its pricing power. Additionally, CEO Tadeu Marroco highlighted cost savings of £402 million in 2024, which will help counter inflationary pressures, such as higher leaf prices, making the strong sales seem all the more impressive. Overall, with the U.S. market showing signs of stabilization, combustibles continue to fund BTI's transformation while delivering steady cash flows for dividends and buybacks. Smokeless Growth Accelerates to BTI's Advantage BTI's pivot to 'new categories', including vaping, heated tobacco, and oral nicotine products, is also gaining traction. The latest trading update highlighted an 8.9% organic revenue jump in these segments, with Velo Plus nicotine pouches leading the charge in the U.S. Management noted strong customer retention for Velo, which is closing the gap with Philip Morris's Zyn. Meanwhile, Glo Hilo, an upgraded heated tobacco device, is expanding into new markets, boosting competitiveness. Though new categories contribute less than 15% of revenue compared to Philip Morris's (PM) 40%, BTI's innovation is paying off, in my view. In fact, the company raised its 2025 revenue growth guidance to 1%-2% from 1%, citing better-than-expected first-half performance in modern oral products. The CEO's confidence in achieving 3-5% revenue growth by 2026 suggests that BTI's smokeless portfolio is no longer a side hustle, or a bet, as many would argue, but a meaningful growth driver. And while it is fair to criticize that vaping volumes dipped 9% in the first half, Vuse remains a U.S. market leader. BTI's focus on premiumization and innovation, such as synthetic nicotine in Velo Plus, positions it to capture market share in a rapidly evolving nicotine market. This segment's momentum suggests BTI is building a future beyond cigarettes. BTI Remains a Bargain Despite Its Recent Rally After a 57% rally, one might expect British American Tobacco (BTI) to look expensive—but it still trades at a forward P/E just under 11 while the sector median hovers at ~16, an attractive valuation even for a so-called 'sin' stock. On a trailing twelve-month basis, BTI's P/E ratio is currently 28, while the sector average is 22, indicating that although the market may view BTI as slightly overvalued today, the next twelve months appear promising. raised its dividend for 29 consecutive years. While the yield has declined from around 10% to 6.6%, this is a result of share price appreciation, not a dividend cut. In fact, if interest rates decline as expected, BTI's dependable yield could draw even more investor interest, potentially driving the stock higher. The company's $1 billion share buyback last year, while modest relative to its $108 billion market cap, enhances the total shareholder return. Factoring in the buyback, the blended yield rises to about 7.5%, offering even more appeal. Altogether, BTI's low valuation, strong income profile, and capital return strategy provide a compelling case for continued upside—with a margin of safety—even as the stock pushes toward new 52-week highs. What is the Price Target for BTI? Wall Street's stance on British American Tobacco is bearish, although with only a handful of analysts covering the stock. As things stand, BTI carries a Moderate Sell consensus based on one Sell rating in the past three months. BTI's average 12-month price target of $35.50 implies a potential downside of about 28%, suggesting that many analysts believe the stock may have already priced in much of its recent strength. BTI Offers Yield, Value, and Further Growth Potential Despite its 57% rally, BTI remains a strong investment option. With a 6.1% dividend yield, a valuation of less than 11x forward earnings, and solid cash flow supporting both dividends and share buybacks, BTI stands out among income-focused opportunities. Its core combustibles business remains resilient, while growth in smokeless products, such as Velo, signals a forward-looking pivot. While regulatory headwinds and the transition to next-gen products pose challenges, BTI's global footprint and disciplined capital strategy position it well for investors seeking reliable yield and potential upside, especially in a rate-cutting environment.

Demand for oral nicotine pouches growing fast, British American Tobacco says
Demand for oral nicotine pouches growing fast, British American Tobacco says

North Wales Chronicle

time03-06-2025

  • Business
  • North Wales Chronicle

Demand for oral nicotine pouches growing fast, British American Tobacco says

The Velo brand is growing the fastest within its so-called 'new category', which includes non-tobacco products like vapes, the business said. The pouches come in a variety of flavours and strengths and are designed to be placed between the gum and lip so nicotine can be absorbed through the mouth. Tadeu Marroco, BAT's chief executive, said he was 'excited' by the launch of loyalty scheme Velo Plus in the US. 'Globally, Velo continues to gain volume share in this fast-growing category, driven by the US and our continued leadership position in AME (Americas & Europe),' he said, highlighting a strong performance in the UK, Scandinavia and Poland. BAT said it was expecting full-year revenues to grow between 1% and 2% following a stronger-than-expected half-year performance. It had previously forecast growth of 1%. The company continues to make the bulk of its sales from traditional cigarettes, which include the Pall Mall and Camel brands. It said the segment remained 'under pressure' with the volume of sales about 9% lower across the industry over the year to date, but that it was gaining market share for brands including Lucky Strike. Mr Marroco said BAT's vape sales were being affected by 'illicit' products in the US and Canada, which were driving down sales of legal devices. BAT has previously warned that customers turning to illegal disposable vapes was hurting sales of its own vape product, Vuse, and urged a government crackdown on the market.

Demand for oral nicotine pouches growing fast, British American Tobacco says
Demand for oral nicotine pouches growing fast, British American Tobacco says

Leader Live

time03-06-2025

  • Business
  • Leader Live

Demand for oral nicotine pouches growing fast, British American Tobacco says

The Velo brand is growing the fastest within its so-called 'new category', which includes non-tobacco products like vapes, the business said. The pouches come in a variety of flavours and strengths and are designed to be placed between the gum and lip so nicotine can be absorbed through the mouth. Tadeu Marroco, BAT's chief executive, said he was 'excited' by the launch of loyalty scheme Velo Plus in the US. 'Globally, Velo continues to gain volume share in this fast-growing category, driven by the US and our continued leadership position in AME (Americas & Europe),' he said, highlighting a strong performance in the UK, Scandinavia and Poland. BAT said it was expecting full-year revenues to grow between 1% and 2% following a stronger-than-expected half-year performance. It had previously forecast growth of 1%. The company continues to make the bulk of its sales from traditional cigarettes, which include the Pall Mall and Camel brands. It said the segment remained 'under pressure' with the volume of sales about 9% lower across the industry over the year to date, but that it was gaining market share for brands including Lucky Strike. Mr Marroco said BAT's vape sales were being affected by 'illicit' products in the US and Canada, which were driving down sales of legal devices. BAT has previously warned that customers turning to illegal disposable vapes was hurting sales of its own vape product, Vuse, and urged a government crackdown on the market.

Demand for oral nicotine pouches growing fast, British American Tobacco says
Demand for oral nicotine pouches growing fast, British American Tobacco says

Powys County Times

time03-06-2025

  • Business
  • Powys County Times

Demand for oral nicotine pouches growing fast, British American Tobacco says

Rising global demand for oral nicotine pouches are helping boost sales for cigarette maker British American Tobacco (BAT), which has nudged up its full-year forecast. The Velo brand is growing the fastest within its so-called 'new category', which includes non-tobacco products like vapes, the business said. The pouches come in a variety of flavours and strengths and are designed to be placed between the gum and lip so nicotine can be absorbed through the mouth. Tadeu Marroco, BAT's chief executive, said he was 'excited' by the launch of loyalty scheme Velo Plus in the US. 'Globally, Velo continues to gain volume share in this fast-growing category, driven by the US and our continued leadership position in AME (Americas & Europe),' he said, highlighting a strong performance in the UK, Scandinavia and Poland. BAT said it was expecting full-year revenues to grow between 1% and 2% following a stronger-than-expected half-year performance. It had previously forecast growth of 1%. The company continues to make the bulk of its sales from traditional cigarettes, which include the Pall Mall and Camel brands. It said the segment remained 'under pressure' with the volume of sales about 9% lower across the industry over the year to date, but that it was gaining market share for brands including Lucky Strike. Mr Marroco said BAT's vape sales were being affected by 'illicit' products in the US and Canada, which were driving down sales of legal devices. BAT has previously warned that customers turning to illegal disposable vapes was hurting sales of its own vape product, Vuse, and urged a government crackdown on the market.

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