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Dollar runs out of steam as Israel-Iran truce boosts risk appetite
Dollar runs out of steam as Israel-Iran truce boosts risk appetite

Zawya

time25-06-2025

  • Business
  • Zawya

Dollar runs out of steam as Israel-Iran truce boosts risk appetite

The dollar struggled to regain lost ground on Wednesday as investors decided to take on more risk following a fragile truce between Israel and Iran. Markets were jubilant and an index of global shares hit a record high overnight as a shaky ceasefire brokered by U.S. President Donald Trump took hold between Iran and Israel. The two countries signalled the air war between them had ended, at least for now, after Trump publicly scolded them for violating a ceasefire he announced. Investors heavily sold the dollar following the news, having piled into the U.S. currency after pouring into the safe-haven currency during the 12 days of war between Israel and Iran that also saw the U.S. attack Iran's uranium-enrichment facilities. The euro edged down 0.1% on the day, but at $1.1597, was still near its highest since October 2021, while sterling was unchanged at $1.3616, near its highest since January 2022. While the truce between Israel and Iran appeared precarious, investors for now seemed to welcome any reprieve. "The market is complacent about some of the downside risks," said Joseph Capurso, head of international and sustainable economics at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. "The thing I get is this issue is not over, which means it could come back to be a driver of commodity prices and currency markets again." In other currencies, the Swiss franc, which scaled a 10-1/2-year high on Tuesday, steadied at 0.8051 per dollar. The yen lagged the rest of the major currencies, weakening on the day to leave the dollar up 0.37% at 145.4. Some Bank of Japan policymakers called for keeping interest rates steady for the time being due to uncertainty over the impact of U.S. tariffs on Japan's economy, a summary of opinions at the bank's June policy meeting showed on Wednesday. Against a basket of currencies, the dollar was up marginally at 98.1. On Tuesday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stuck to his cautious approach and reiterated that the central bank was in no rush to ease rates at his semi-annual testimony to Congress, but this did little to shift market expectations of an 18% chance that the Fed could cut in July, according to the CME FedWatch tool. A number of Fed officials have spoken in the last week and their views show there is divergence among policymakers. Both Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller seemed to lean in favour of a summer rate cut, while others, such as Fed Governor Michael Barr have signalled they believe the economy is holding up well enough not to require any for now. Commerzbank strategist Michael Pfister said it was "increasingly clear" policymakers were no longer united on future monetary policy and discussions over rate cuts could surface as early as July. "In such a scenario, expectations of interest rate cuts are likely to gather pace again," he said. "If the consensus within the FOMC continues to crumble in the coming weeks, this figure is likely to rise. This is not a good sign for the U.S. dollar," he said. A raft of weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data in recent weeks have also supported expectations for Fed cuts this year, with futures pointing to nearly 60 basis points worth of easing by December. Data on Tuesday showed U.S. consumer confidence unexpectedly deteriorated in June as households grew increasingly worried about job availability, another indication that labour market conditions were softening. (Reporting by Rae Wee; Editing by Jamie Freed, Sonali Paul and Kim Coghill)

Oil futures rise after US strikes Iran nuclear sites
Oil futures rise after US strikes Iran nuclear sites

NHK

time23-06-2025

  • Business
  • NHK

Oil futures rise after US strikes Iran nuclear sites

Global financial markets start the week digesting the implications of the US attacks on Iranian nuclear sites over the weekend. Fears of a disruption to global oil supply drove up New York benchmark WTI crude oil futures more than 4 percent on Sunday to the mid 78 dollars a barrel range. That's the highest in about five months. The trend continued in Tokyo on Monday with traders buying Dubai crude futures for November delivery. The contract rose more than 3 percent to 66,390 yen, or about 456 dollars a kiloliter. In currency markets, the Japanese yen weakened to the 146 level against the dollar. Analysts say investors are moving into safe-haven assets, such as the dollar, as they assess how the escalation in the conflict will affect the global economy.

US Equity Market to 'Stay Exceptional,' Amundi Says
US Equity Market to 'Stay Exceptional,' Amundi Says

Bloomberg

time07-05-2025

  • Business
  • Bloomberg

US Equity Market to 'Stay Exceptional,' Amundi Says

Monica Defend, Amundi Investment Institute head, discusses the situation in equity and currency markets in Europe and in the United States. "The US equity market will stay exceptional just because they have this pretty thing that is called technology, and technology will be the long-term win for the US economy and the stock market," she says. "When you go to fixed income, probably is more clear that the European market is more appetible than the US market," Defend tells Bloomberg Television. (Source: Bloomberg)

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