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Taiwan Dollar Rises Past 29 Per Greenback for the First Time Since 2022
Taiwan Dollar Rises Past 29 Per Greenback for the First Time Since 2022

Bloomberg

time27-06-2025

  • Business
  • Bloomberg

Taiwan Dollar Rises Past 29 Per Greenback for the First Time Since 2022

The Taiwan dollar climbed to the strongest in more than three years against the greenback, pressuring the island's export reliant economy and life insurers with large foreign-exchange exposures. The currency climbed about 0.5% to 28.978 US dollar on Friday, its strongest against the greenback since April 2022. The move pushes the Taiwan dollar's rally this year to 13%, Asia's best performer.

Japan Approves Plan to Cut Super-Long Bond Sales by $22 Bln
Japan Approves Plan to Cut Super-Long Bond Sales by $22 Bln

Yahoo

time23-06-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Japan Approves Plan to Cut Super-Long Bond Sales by $22 Bln

(Bloomberg) -- Japan will reduce its issuance of super-long bonds starting in July, taking a step to calm a bond market rattled by recent surges in yields. Bezos Wedding Draws Protests, Soul-Searching Over Tourism in Venice One Architect's Quest to Save Mumbai's Heritage From Disappearing NYC Congestion Toll Cuts Manhattan Gridlock by 25%, RPA Reports The Finance Ministry will trim the volume of 20-, 30- and 40-year bonds sold in regular auctions by a combined ¥3.2 trillion ($21.7 billion) through the end of March 2026, according to a debt issuance plan approved Monday. The changes, which include a ¥200 billion reduction per auction in 20-year bonds and a ¥100 billion cut for longer tenors, are in line with a draft authorities showed primary dealers on Friday. To offset the decrease in long-term funding, the ministry will increase issuance of shorter-term securities, including 2-year notes and six-month Treasury bills. The changes will be reflected from auctions next month. The changes to issuance come after an imbalance between supply and demand for long tenors in Japan's government bond market led to surges in yields to record highs in recent weeks. The Bank of Japan has been trimming its purchases of bonds since last summer as it seeks to shrink its footprint in the market, and life insurers haven't stepped up purchases to fill the gap in buying. The move by the Finance Ministry to tweak the supply-side of the market represents the first mid-year adjustment to its bond issuance plans for reasons unrelated to budgetary developments since 2009. As a result of the plan, annual market issuance via auctions will decrease slightly to ¥171.8 trillion from the current ¥172.3 trillion, though the overall issuance volume for the fiscal year will remain unchanged in principle. The plan was finalized after the ministry's consultations with primary dealers and investors. The ministry's move, which comes ahead of auctions this week, may help ease upward pressure on long-term yields. A poorly received 20-year auction last month triggered a sharp rise in super-long yields that ultimately rippled across global bond markets. The next 20-year auction is scheduled for June 24, followed by a 30-year sale on July 3. The ministry surprised the market Friday when it proposed steeper cuts than those outlined in earlier draft documents seen by Bloomberg and other media. In the initial iteration of the plan, the ministry had proposed a uniform ¥100 billion cut to each of the three super-long maturities, aiming for a total reduction of ¥2.3 trillion in the current fiscal year. Most investors were in favor with MOF's proposed issuance plan while some called for continued flexibility in future issuance as needed, according to a ministry official at a briefing for reporters. Some investors at the meeting on Monday asked the ministry to keep considering the possibility of buying back super-long bonds, the official said. An official said last week that the ministry is not currently working on carrying out buybacks. Market participants generally welcomed the larger-than-expected reductions as a stabilizing move when the draft was released on Friday. Still, some warn the shift in supply toward shorter maturities could create new imbalances. The revised plan also doesn't insulate the ministry from emerging risks. The US airstrike on Iranian nuclear sites over the weekend has raised geopolitical tensions, potentially pushing up oil prices and inflation, both of which could drive long-term yields higher. Additionally, an upper house election expected to be held next month, set against a backdrop of persistent inflation, may prompt promises for increased fiscal stimulus by politicians seeking to appease discontented voters. More details of the bond-issuance changes: 40-year bond issuance will be cut by ¥0.5 trillion to ¥2.5 trillion 30-year bond issuance will be cut by ¥0.9 trillion to ¥8.7 trillion 20-year bond issuance will be reduced by ¥1.8 trillion to ¥10.2 trillion 2-year bond issuance will be increased by ¥0.6 trillion to ¥31.8 trillion 1-year issuance will be increased by ¥0.3 trillion to ¥38.7 trillion 6-month issuance will be increased by ¥1.8 trillion to ¥4.2 trillion Overall issuance of bonds to the market will edge down by ¥500 billion to ¥171.8 trillion for the year (Adds comments from ministry briefer.) Luxury Counterfeiters Keep Outsmarting the Makers of $10,000 Handbags Is Mark Cuban the Loudmouth Billionaire that Democrats Need for 2028? Ken Griffin on Trump, Harvard and Why Novice Investors Won't Beat the Pros The US Has More Copper Than China But No Way to Refine All of It Can 'MAMUWT' Be to Musk What 'TACO' Is to Trump? ©2025 Bloomberg L.P. Sign in to access your portfolio

Japanese life insurers cut bullish yen hedges to 14-year low
Japanese life insurers cut bullish yen hedges to 14-year low

Japan Times

time30-05-2025

  • Business
  • Japan Times

Japanese life insurers cut bullish yen hedges to 14-year low

Japanese life insurers cut protection for their foreign assets against a stronger yen to a fresh 14-year low, signaling subdued expectations of a sustained rally in the nation's currency. Nine of Japan's biggest life insurers collectively lowered bullish yen wagers tied to their foreign investment holdings to 44.4% at the end of the fiscal half in March, compared with 45.2% six months earlier, according to an analysis of their earnings reports. While U.S. President Donald Trump's administration's unpredictable policymaking has stoked foreign exchange market volatility, that wasn't enough to stop a three-year decline in yen hedging. The Bank of Japan's policy interest rate is still 3 percentage points lower than the nation's inflation rate, with the next potential hike seen further delayed. The continued decline in hedging suggests "life insurers see a lower likelihood of the yen showing the kind of strength it did in the past, and feel a need to hold unhedged overseas bonds to maintain exposure to foreign exchange risks,' said Ayako Sera, a market strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank in Tokyo. "The yen's real interest rates are just too low.' Still-high currency hedging costs are also weighing on life insurers' demand for overseas debt. Japan's 10-year notes yield more than 150 basis points on a compounded basis, much more than counterparts in the United States, United Kingdom, Germany and Australia once foreign exchange protection costs are taken into account, data shows. Life insurers offloaded a net ¥756 billion ($5.3 billion) worth of foreign bonds in the six months through March 31, Finance Ministry data showed. That marks the seventh consecutive such period of sales. Insurers dumped a net ¥21.2 billion of overseas stocks in the October-March period after buying ¥1.06 trillion in the six months through Sept. 30. A gauge that measures the yen's strength against currencies of Japan's major trading partners rose to a six-month high at the time amid broad weakness in the greenback. But the currency failed to hold gains and finished the second half of the fiscal year 1.6% lower as the BOJ added a reference to trade policies to its list of risks to the outlook for the economy and inflation. The likelihood of an interest-rate hike shrank further as the central bank this month delayed the expected timeline for reaching its inflation target. Overnight-indexed swaps signal a 64% chance of the central bank raising interest rates by 25 basis points by the end of the year. At the end of January, markets were fully expecting a quarter point hike or more by December. The yen's nominal effective exchange rate has edged up 0.8% since March 31. Asset managers and leveraged funds collectively boosted net yen longs to a record via futures and options earlier this month amid speculation the Trump administration's tariff policy will hit the global economy and fuel demand for haven assets. Unhedged positions risk causing losses should a drop in foreign currencies wipe out capital and income gains from overseas assets. That may prompt life insurers to rush for currency hedging, in turn exacerbating the slump in foreign currencies against the yen. Swaps, meanwhile, indicate an 83% chance of the U.S. Federal Reserve resuming rate cuts as early as September. Lower U.S. interest rates typically help reduce dollar hedge costs for Japanese investors, which are largely driven by the rate gap between the two economies. For this reason, "I see a rebound in demand for currency hedges going forward,' said Tsuyoshi Ueno, executive research fellow at NLI Research Institute in Tokyo.

Super-long JGB yields extend climb from multi-week lows after weak auction
Super-long JGB yields extend climb from multi-week lows after weak auction

CNA

time28-05-2025

  • Business
  • CNA

Super-long JGB yields extend climb from multi-week lows after weak auction

TOKYO :Long-dated Japanese government bond yields rose further from three-week lows on Wednesday, after demand at a closely watched 40-year bond auction dropped to its lowest level since July. The 40-year JGB yield jumped 9 basis points (bps) to 3.375 per cent, as of 0514 GMT, rebounding sharply from 3.285 per cent on Tuesday, its lowest point since May 7. The 30-year JGB yield advanced 10 bps to 2.93 per cent, from 2.83 per cent on Tuesday, which was the lowest level since May 2. The 20-year yield bounced 8 bps to 2.415 per cent, after tumbling to a three-week low of 2.31 per cent in the prior session. The bid-to-cover ratio, which measures total bids relative to the amount of securities offered, fell to 2.21 from 2.92 at the previous 40-year bond auction in March. The auction was closely watched for signs of a recovery in demand after an aggressive selloff last week saw super-long JGB yields spike to record highs, with support from traditional buyers of long-dated securities absent as life insurers and pension funds trim purchases this year. Analysts said the sharp drop in yields on Tuesday, after a Reuters report that the Ministry of Finance was considering cutting super-long bond issuance to ease market pressure, made the bonds overpriced, deterring buyers at the auction on Wednesday. "The soft auction result and market reaction likely fan expectations for the MOF to further tweak the sizes of super-long-end auctions," with increased issuance of 2-year or 5-year paper as a likely result, said Frances Cheung, head of FX and rates strategy at OCBC. The Bank of Japan is unlikely to alter its quantitative tightening plans to support the bond market at this stage, "but should long-end yields increase more rapidly, some shifts ... cannot be ruled out," he said. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Wednesday that the central bank will watch whether swings in super-long yields have a knock-on effect for shorter maturities, which have a larger impact on economic activity. Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato reiterated on Wednesday that he is closely monitoring developments in the bond market, echoing similar remarks made the previous day. Last week, 30- and 40-year JGB yields hit record peaks at 3.185 per cent and 3.675 per cent, respectively, while the 20-year yield hit a multi-decade high of 2.60 per cent. Yields had been rising steadily for weeks, but selling pressure intensified abruptly amid growing concerns over debt levels in major developed economies, particularly Japan and the United States. The 10-year JGB yield gained 6.5 bps to 1.525 per cent on Wednesday, after dipping to 1.455 per cent for the first time since May 16 in the previous session. The five-year yield rose 4.5 bps to 1.045 per cent, while the two-year yield added 2 bps to 0.75 per cent. Benchmark 10-year JGB futures fell 0.66 yen to 138.79 yen.

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