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Gold holds gains amid US fiscal outlook and trade policy fears
Gold holds gains amid US fiscal outlook and trade policy fears

Yahoo

time02-07-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Gold holds gains amid US fiscal outlook and trade policy fears

Gold prices held steady in early European trading on Wednesday, consolidating gains from earlier in the week as concerns over the US fiscal outlook and trade policy underpinned demand for safe-haven assets. Gold futures slipped 0.4% to $3,338.10 an ounce, while spot gold was just above the flatline at $3,329.43 per ounce. Bullion has climbed more than 2% so far this week, rebounding from losses triggered by last week's Israel-Iran ceasefire, which had briefly eased geopolitical tensions. The latest upward momentum came after the US Senate narrowly passed president Donald Trump's sweeping tax-and-spending package, legislation expected to add $3.3tn to the national debt. Fears over a widening fiscal deficit have reignited investor appetite for gold. Read more: 'Too soon' to see price effects from tariffs, says Bank of England's Bailey "We anticipate a wide and volatile trading range of $3,600–3,100/oz for the rest of the year and year-end prices of $3,175/oz for 2025 and $3,025/oz for 2026,' the bank said in a note. It raised its 2025 average price forecast to $3,215 an ounce, up from $3,015, and its 2026 outlook to $3,125 from $2,915. Adding to market jitters is the fast-approaching July 9 deadline for Trump's proposed tariffs. The US president has reiterated there would be no extension, warning trading partners of pending tariff notifications, a move that has pushed investors to seek safe-havens. Oil prices were little changed on Wednesday as traders balanced expectations of increased supply from major producers next month against a softer US dollar and mixed economic signals from the United States, the world's largest oil consumer. Brent crude rose was just above the flatline at $67.16 a barrel, while the West Texas Intermediate hovered at $65.44 in early trading. Weighing on the market were fresh inventory figures from the American Petroleum Institute, which showed US crude stockpiles rose by 680,000 barrels last week. The build surprised some traders, as inventories typically decline during the peak summer demand season. "Today's oil price moves are being pushed by the interplay of potentially rising OPEC+ supply, confusing US inventory signals, uncertain geopolitical outlook, and macro-policy ambiguity," said Phillip Nova senior market analyst Priyanka Sachdeva. While the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, including Russia — known collectively as OPEC+ — are expected to raise output in the coming weeks, Sachdeva noted that such increases 'appear already priced in by investors and are unlikely to catch markets off-guard again imminently.' The pound edged lower against the dollar on Wednesday morning, slipping 0.3% to $1.3712, as the greenback strengthened following an unexpected surge in US job openings. The GBP/USD rally stalled after touching a three-and-a-half-year high around $1.3800 on Tuesday, with investors recalibrating positions in response to robust data from the US labour market. Figures released on Tuesday showed that US employers posted 7.769 million job openings in May, up from 7.395 million in April and significantly above economists' expectations of 7.3 million. The data, part of the US Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), suggested continued strength in the US employment market. The US Dollar Index ( which tracks the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, rose 0.1% to 96.70. Stocks: Create your watchlist and portfolio However, despite the dollar's near-term gains, analysts warned that broader pressure on the currency persists. The dollar has come under strain amid concerns over Trump's attacks on the Federal Reserve's independence, uncertainty surrounding the July 9 tariff deadline, and his proposed ''Big Beautiful Bill'. Analysts at National Australia Bank (NAB) said: "The confirmation that Trump's bill is an increase in issuance, an increase in government spending well beyond its means, is not necessarily good news for the Treasury market, and it's arguably one of the reasons the US dollar's going down." In other currency moves, the pound was muted against the euro, at €1.1640 at the time of writing. In equities, the UK's FTSE 100 (^FTSE) was higher, up 0.2% to trade at 8,796 in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

Gold holds gains amid US fiscal outlook and trade policy fears
Gold holds gains amid US fiscal outlook and trade policy fears

Yahoo

time02-07-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Gold holds gains amid US fiscal outlook and trade policy fears

Gold prices held steady in early European trading on Wednesday, consolidating gains from earlier in the week as concerns over the US fiscal outlook and trade policy underpinned demand for safe-haven assets. Gold futures slipped 0.4% to $3,338.10 an ounce, while spot gold was just above the flatline at $3,329.43 per ounce. Bullion has climbed more than 2% so far this week, rebounding from losses triggered by last week's Israel-Iran ceasefire, which had briefly eased geopolitical tensions. The latest upward momentum came after the US Senate narrowly passed president Donald Trump's sweeping tax-and-spending package, legislation expected to add $3.3tn to the national debt. Fears over a widening fiscal deficit have reignited investor appetite for gold. Read more: 'Too soon' to see price effects from tariffs, says Bank of England's Bailey "We anticipate a wide and volatile trading range of $3,600–3,100/oz for the rest of the year and year-end prices of $3,175/oz for 2025 and $3,025/oz for 2026,' the bank said in a note. It raised its 2025 average price forecast to $3,215 an ounce, up from $3,015, and its 2026 outlook to $3,125 from $2,915. Adding to market jitters is the fast-approaching July 9 deadline for Trump's proposed tariffs. The US president has reiterated there would be no extension, warning trading partners of pending tariff notifications, a move that has pushed investors to seek safe-havens. Oil prices were little changed on Wednesday as traders balanced expectations of increased supply from major producers next month against a softer US dollar and mixed economic signals from the United States, the world's largest oil consumer. Brent crude rose was just above the flatline at $67.16 a barrel, while the West Texas Intermediate hovered at $65.44 in early trading. Weighing on the market were fresh inventory figures from the American Petroleum Institute, which showed US crude stockpiles rose by 680,000 barrels last week. The build surprised some traders, as inventories typically decline during the peak summer demand season. "Today's oil price moves are being pushed by the interplay of potentially rising OPEC+ supply, confusing US inventory signals, uncertain geopolitical outlook, and macro-policy ambiguity," said Phillip Nova senior market analyst Priyanka Sachdeva. While the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, including Russia — known collectively as OPEC+ — are expected to raise output in the coming weeks, Sachdeva noted that such increases 'appear already priced in by investors and are unlikely to catch markets off-guard again imminently.' The pound edged lower against the dollar on Wednesday morning, slipping 0.3% to $1.3712, as the greenback strengthened following an unexpected surge in US job openings. The GBP/USD rally stalled after touching a three-and-a-half-year high around $1.3800 on Tuesday, with investors recalibrating positions in response to robust data from the US labour market. Figures released on Tuesday showed that US employers posted 7.769 million job openings in May, up from 7.395 million in April and significantly above economists' expectations of 7.3 million. The data, part of the US Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), suggested continued strength in the US employment market. The US Dollar Index ( which tracks the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, rose 0.1% to 96.70. Stocks: Create your watchlist and portfolio However, despite the dollar's near-term gains, analysts warned that broader pressure on the currency persists. The dollar has come under strain amid concerns over Trump's attacks on the Federal Reserve's independence, uncertainty surrounding the July 9 tariff deadline, and his proposed ''Big Beautiful Bill'. Analysts at National Australia Bank (NAB) said: "The confirmation that Trump's bill is an increase in issuance, an increase in government spending well beyond its means, is not necessarily good news for the Treasury market, and it's arguably one of the reasons the US dollar's going down." In other currency moves, the pound was muted against the euro, at €1.1640 at the time of writing. In equities, the UK's FTSE 100 (^FTSE) was higher, up 0.2% to trade at 8,796 points.

Gold holds gains amid US fiscal outlook and trade policy fears
Gold holds gains amid US fiscal outlook and trade policy fears

Yahoo

time02-07-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Gold holds gains amid US fiscal outlook and trade policy fears

Gold prices held steady in early European trading on Wednesday, consolidating gains from earlier in the week as concerns over the US fiscal outlook and trade policy underpinned demand for safe-haven assets. Gold futures slipped 0.4% to $3,338.10 an ounce, while spot gold was just above the flatline at $3,329.43 per ounce. Bullion has climbed more than 2% so far this week, rebounding from losses triggered by last week's Israel-Iran ceasefire, which had briefly eased geopolitical tensions. The latest upward momentum came after the US Senate narrowly passed president Donald Trump's sweeping tax-and-spending package, legislation expected to add $3.3tn to the national debt. Fears over a widening fiscal deficit have reignited investor appetite for gold. Read more: 'Too soon' to see price effects from tariffs, says Bank of England's Bailey "We anticipate a wide and volatile trading range of $3,600–3,100/oz for the rest of the year and year-end prices of $3,175/oz for 2025 and $3,025/oz for 2026,' the bank said in a note. It raised its 2025 average price forecast to $3,215 an ounce, up from $3,015, and its 2026 outlook to $3,125 from $2,915. Adding to market jitters is the fast-approaching July 9 deadline for Trump's proposed tariffs. The US president has reiterated there would be no extension, warning trading partners of pending tariff notifications, a move that has pushed investors to seek safe-havens. Oil prices were little changed on Wednesday as traders balanced expectations of increased supply from major producers next month against a softer US dollar and mixed economic signals from the United States, the world's largest oil consumer. Brent crude rose was just above the flatline at $67.16 a barrel, while the West Texas Intermediate hovered at $65.44 in early trading. Weighing on the market were fresh inventory figures from the American Petroleum Institute, which showed US crude stockpiles rose by 680,000 barrels last week. The build surprised some traders, as inventories typically decline during the peak summer demand season. "Today's oil price moves are being pushed by the interplay of potentially rising OPEC+ supply, confusing US inventory signals, uncertain geopolitical outlook, and macro-policy ambiguity," said Phillip Nova senior market analyst Priyanka Sachdeva. While the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, including Russia — known collectively as OPEC+ — are expected to raise output in the coming weeks, Sachdeva noted that such increases 'appear already priced in by investors and are unlikely to catch markets off-guard again imminently.' The pound edged lower against the dollar on Wednesday morning, slipping 0.3% to $1.3712, as the greenback strengthened following an unexpected surge in US job openings. The GBP/USD rally stalled after touching a three-and-a-half-year high around $1.3800 on Tuesday, with investors recalibrating positions in response to robust data from the US labour market. Figures released on Tuesday showed that US employers posted 7.769 million job openings in May, up from 7.395 million in April and significantly above economists' expectations of 7.3 million. The data, part of the US Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), suggested continued strength in the US employment market. The US Dollar Index ( which tracks the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, rose 0.1% to 96.70. Stocks: Create your watchlist and portfolio However, despite the dollar's near-term gains, analysts warned that broader pressure on the currency persists. The dollar has come under strain amid concerns over Trump's attacks on the Federal Reserve's independence, uncertainty surrounding the July 9 tariff deadline, and his proposed ''Big Beautiful Bill'. Analysts at National Australia Bank (NAB) said: "The confirmation that Trump's bill is an increase in issuance, an increase in government spending well beyond its means, is not necessarily good news for the Treasury market, and it's arguably one of the reasons the US dollar's going down." In other currency moves, the pound was muted against the euro, at €1.1640 at the time of writing. In equities, the UK's FTSE 100 (^FTSE) was higher, up 0.2% to trade at 8,796 in to access your portfolio

Gold Futures Rise on Rate-Cut Hopes, Weaker U.S. Dollar
Gold Futures Rise on Rate-Cut Hopes, Weaker U.S. Dollar

Wall Street Journal

time01-07-2025

  • Business
  • Wall Street Journal

Gold Futures Rise on Rate-Cut Hopes, Weaker U.S. Dollar

0801 GMT – Gold futures rise on increasing hopes of a U.S. interest rate cut and a weaker U.S. dollar. Futures are up 1.3% at $3,350.20 a troy ounce, and sit up 0.5% on week. The precious metal is rallying for the second day, as expectations grow that the Fed might resume loosening monetary policy later this year, MUFG analysts say in a note. Lower interest rates typically benefit non-interest bearing bullion. The market is now pricing in at least two cuts in 2025, with an upcoming U.S. jobs report seen as the key trigger, MUFG says. At the same time, trade uncertainty persists under President Trump's administration and the dollar has had its worst first-half performance since 1973, MUFG says. Both factors have supported gold's safe-haven demand. ( 2343 GMT — Gold edges higher in the early Asian session, underpinned by Fed rate-cut hopes. 'The metal could find support amid subdued yields and dovish expectations,' Kudotrade's Konstantinos Chrysikos says in an email. 'Markets expect three rate cuts in the U.S. during the second half of the year, which could support non-yielding assets like gold,' the head of Customer Relationship Management says. Worries over the Fed's independence might also drive investors toward the precious metal, Chrysikos adds. Spot gold is 0.2% higher at $3,310.66/oz. (

Oil futures rise after US strikes Iran nuclear sites
Oil futures rise after US strikes Iran nuclear sites

NHK

time23-06-2025

  • Business
  • NHK

Oil futures rise after US strikes Iran nuclear sites

Global financial markets start the week digesting the implications of the US attacks on Iranian nuclear sites over the weekend. Fears of a disruption to global oil supply drove up New York benchmark WTI crude oil futures more than 4 percent on Sunday to the mid 78 dollars a barrel range. That's the highest in about five months. The trend continued in Tokyo on Monday with traders buying Dubai crude futures for November delivery. The contract rose more than 3 percent to 66,390 yen, or about 456 dollars a kiloliter. In currency markets, the Japanese yen weakened to the 146 level against the dollar. Analysts say investors are moving into safe-haven assets, such as the dollar, as they assess how the escalation in the conflict will affect the global economy.

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