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Colorado State University issues updated 2025 hurricane season forecast
Colorado State University issues updated 2025 hurricane season forecast

Yahoo

time09-07-2025

  • Climate
  • Yahoo

Colorado State University issues updated 2025 hurricane season forecast

A leading hurricane forecast reduced its prediction for the number of named storms and hurricanes this season but still expects above-normal activity. Colorado State University's regular July update to its original forecast trims one named storm from its initial prediction of 17, reducing the number of hurricanes to eight from nine and major hurricanes to three from four. The new forecast numbers include the three tropical storms that have already formed — Andrea, Barry, and Chantal — meaning there could be 13 remaining storms through the season, which officially ends Nov. 30. An average hurricane season has 14 named storms and seven hurricanes, including three major hurricanes. The report, released July 9, says the reason for dropping a storm from the forecast is strong cyclone-shredding wind shear in the Caribbean that is predicted to continue this month. 'High levels of Caribbean shear in June and July are typically associated with less active hurricane seasons,' the report notes. 'However, we also anticipate the tropical Pacific to be characterized by ENSO neutral conditions.' ENSO is the El Niño Southern Oscillation, which includes the climate patterns El Niño and La Niña. El Niño is typically associated with less active storm seasons, while La Niña can mean more active seasons. More: 2025 hurricane season could see degraded forecasts because of weather service cuts When the climate is in a neutral pattern, storm season can lean either way, but it averages two to three more named storms than a normal season. Also, sea surface temperatures in the eastern and central Atlantic Ocean are slightly warmer than normal. The report says the warmer temperatures combined with the neutral pattern provides a friendly environment for hurricane formation and intensification. Most forecasts for the 2025 season have predicted above-normal activity, including the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The administration, which will provide an update to its forecast in August, predicts 13 to 19 named storms, including six to 10 hurricanes, and three to five major hurricanes. Andrea, Barry and Chantel were short-lived tropical storms. More: Hurricane hunters save lives, but NOAA plane breakdowns, staffing shortages put them at risk But the remnants of Barry, heavy with tropical moisture, contributed to torrential rains that caused the devastating flash-flooding in Texas. Moisture carried inland by a fizzled Chantal also caused significant flooding in North Carolina. As of July 9, the National Hurricane Center had no areas of concern it was watching, and some meteorologists said storms may struggle to form for the next couple of weeks. By late July, the Madden-Julian Oscillation, or MJO, is forecast to be in the Atlantic. The MJO is a traveling pulse of storms that can incite tropical cyclones. 'Compared to recent hurricane seasons, 2025 has been anything but smooth sailing for fledgling storms,' said Michael Lowry, a hurricane expert with South Florida ABC-TV affiliate WPLG-Channel 10 in his 'Eye on the Tropics column. 'Atlantic waters have seen a substantial cooldown, wind shear has been noticeably high across the main tropical belt, and the global circulation pattern has favored lots of dry, sinking air through the basin." Kimberly Miller is a journalist for The Palm Beach Post, part of the USA Today Network of Florida. She covers real estate, weather, and the environment. Subscribe to The Dirt for a weekly real estate roundup. If you have news tips, please send them to kmiller@ Help support our local journalism, subscribe today. This article originally appeared on Palm Beach Post: Colorado State University updates its 2025 hurricane season forecast

Florida's already fragile condo market faces devastating final blow
Florida's already fragile condo market faces devastating final blow

Daily Mail​

time18-06-2025

  • Business
  • Daily Mail​

Florida's already fragile condo market faces devastating final blow

Florida 's already faltering condo market is about to get hit again — quite literally —with hurricane season headed the state's way. As hurricane season ramps up, forecasters are warning of an 'above normal' number of storms — threatening to push an already fragile sector to the brink. Condo communities across the Sunshine State are still reeling from skyrocketing HOA fees, steep maintenance costs, and tough new building laws passed in the wake of the Surfside collapse. Now, experts say a major storm could deliver a knockout punch. 'As a Florida resident, I certainly hope we are spared a direct hit this hurricane season,' Alessandra Stivelman, partner at Eisinger Law, told 'But from a legal and structural perspective, Florida condominiums are currently facing what I would describe as a perfect storm of vulnerability — both physical and financial.' 'After several relatively quiet hurricane seasons on the east coast, any significant storm now has the potential to inflict far more than just wind or water damage. 'It could expose and magnify deep-seated issues that have been building for years, including deferred maintenance, underfunded reserves, insurance gaps and a lack of readiness for new legal requirements.' Many of Florida's condos were built decades ago — long before modern hurricane codes. That means no storm-rated windows, no reinforced roofs, and poor waterproofing. But even newer buildings aren't necessarily safer. Some suffer from poor upkeep or are ill-equipped to handle storm surge and prolonged flooding. 'Condominiums, especially those located in coastal and flood-prone regions like Florida, are inherently vulnerable to hurricanes due to their high-density, multi-story construction and shared infrastructure,' Stivelman says. Heavy rains, even outside of hurricane season, can overwhelm existing infrastructure and lead to water seepage, flooding and mold—problems that are difficult and expensive to fix. Over 8 million homes in Florida are at risk of suffering moderate or greater risk of hurricane wind damage this year, while over 2 million are at risk of significant storm damage, says a new report by Cotality. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicts a dangerous hurricane season, which officially began on June 1 and will continue until November 30. They project 13 to 19 heavy storms, 6 to 10 hurricanes and 3 to 5 major hurricanes. With predictions of up to 19 named storms and five major hurricanes, residents of the Sunshine State – many already paying the highest home insurance premiums in the nation – are petrified. Over the last five years, several major natural disaster insurance providers have pulled out of Florida entirely or have slashed their coverage options, citing unsustainable catastrophe exposure. While many homeowners have watched their premiums triple, NerdWallet reports the annual cost of home insurance in Florida is now $2,625, which is 24 percent above the national average. Champlain Towers was in the midst of its 40-year structural review when it collapsed without warning in the early morning hours of June 24, 2021, killing 98 people Florida's condo owners are facing even more challenges, many of them tied to sweeping legislation introduced in the aftermath of the tragic 2021 Surfside condo collapse. The new building safety law, which includes mandatory inspections and strict reserve funding rules, has had a major effect on HOAs and reserve funds. 'With the recent implementation of Florida's Milestone Inspection and Structural Integrity Reserve Study (SIRS) laws, associations are under immense pressure to fund repairs and reserves simultaneously,' Stivelman says. 'A hurricane event could trigger emergency structural assessments, accelerate statutory deadlines, and force boards to make immediate financial decisions, often without sufficient insurance proceeds or reserve funds in the bank.' Stivelman adds that In some cases, associations may find themselves unable to meet both the regulatory obligations and the financial burden of post-storm recovery. 'The impact is not just property damage; rather, it's about legal compliance, market stability, and the long-term viability of aging buildings across the state,' she says. Florida condominiums are undeniably more vulnerable today than in prior years, not solely due to physical aging or deterioration, but as a result of a complex convergence of financial, regulatory, and environmental pressures layered atop existing structural risks, according to Stivelman. 'Many of the state's condominium buildings include aging structures that are increasingly susceptible to significant damage under storms and post-storm conditions,' she says. The aftermath of Hurricane Helene in 2024 leaves buildings demolished 'Additionally, continued urban development without commensurate investment in stormwater infrastructure has increased the flood risk across the state—even in the absence of hurricanes.' With all of the problems at hand, many are choosing to sell—but the flood of listings has left the market oversaturated and buyer interest has been sluggish. There are a few things condo owners can do to prepare for hurricane season. First of all, condo owners should understand that living in a condominium means sharing financial responsibility for the upkeep of the entire building, not just their individual unit. A multi-residential housing model, and major repairs like roof replacements, structural work, or waterproofing must be planned and funded collectively. 'If you are an owner and you are not consistently contributing to reserves through your dues, then when a major repair is needed, the cost will come due all at once, whether through a special assessment, a personal loan/refinance, or even being forced to sell,' says Stivelman. 'Owners should expect these expenses and plan accordingly.' She adds that in addition, active participation in condominium meetings and staying informed are essential. Florida condominium owners may qualify for assistance through several state and local programs designed to ease the financial burden of storm-resilient upgrades 'Understanding the building's financial health, upcoming repair needs, and the legal obligations of both the owners and the association is critical,' Stivelman says. 'Florida law now requires more transparency and financial responsibility from associations, but it's up to the owners to remain engaged, ask questions, and hold boards accountable. 'Knowledge and involvement are key to avoiding unnecessary surprises and ensuring the long-term stability and value of your property.' Florida condominium owners may qualify for assistance through several state and local programs designed to ease the financial burden of storm-resilient upgrades and regulatory compliance. For instance, the My Safe Florida Home Program offers matching grants for improvements such as impact-resistant windows and doors, while Miami-Dade County's Condominium Special Assessment Program provides low-interest loans to eligible owner-occupants facing significant assessments related to building repairs and recertification.

Hurricane supplies selling swiftly at hardware stores as 2025 season begins
Hurricane supplies selling swiftly at hardware stores as 2025 season begins

Yahoo

time12-06-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Hurricane supplies selling swiftly at hardware stores as 2025 season begins

The Brief Hardware stores across Florida report a surge in hurricane supply sales just 11 days into the season. Popular items like caulk, generators, and backwater valves are flying off shelves, doubling or even tripling in sales compared to past years. Some stores are already facing supply chain issues and struggling to keep up with demand. ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. - Florida hardware stores are seeing an unprecedented early-season rush as customers stock up on hurricane supplies. Local perspective Brian Culp, owner of a Pinellas Ace Hardware store, says shoppers began clearing shelves as soon as the calendar turned to June 1. Sales of storm prep items—particularly sealant caulk—have doubled, and in some cases, quadrupled compared to previous years. READ: Peaches the famed Hurricane Idalia flamingo turns up in Mexico after disappearing from Bay Area "Last year we sold 2,000 tubes of caulk," said Culp. "This season, it's looking more like 4,000." Generators, hydraulic cement, and backwater valves are also seeing dramatic increases in demand. Many customers are buying supplies in bulk before any storm appears in the Gulf. READ:Sarasota County residents concerned about clogged drainage ditches: 'Everybody is getting a little panicked' Why you should care The early-season demand highlights just how seriously Floridians are taking hurricane preparedness after last year's active season. Store owners say it's a positive sign that people are planning ahead instead of waiting for a storm to appear on the radar. The Source This story was written based on FOX 13's Evyn Moon's interview with a local Ace hardware store owner outlining sales of products. STAY CONNECTED WITH FOX 13 TAMPA: Download the FOX Local app for your smart TV Download FOX Local mobile app: Apple | Android Download the FOX 13 News app for breaking news alerts, latest headlines Download the SkyTower Radar app Sign up for FOX 13's daily newsletter Follow FOX 13 on YouTube

NOAA Warns of an 'Above-normal Hurricane' Season This Year With 19 Projected Storms—What Travelers Should Know
NOAA Warns of an 'Above-normal Hurricane' Season This Year With 19 Projected Storms—What Travelers Should Know

Travel + Leisure

time09-06-2025

  • Climate
  • Travel + Leisure

NOAA Warns of an 'Above-normal Hurricane' Season This Year With 19 Projected Storms—What Travelers Should Know

With the 2025 hurricane season officially kicking off, experts are sounding the alarm that this year could bring the "strongest" of potential storms. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) recently published its annual forecast for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, and the data shows a 60 percent chance of an above-normal season. As part of the forecast, the agency predicts as many as 19 named storms, including five major storms that are category three or higher, according to the report. 'This hurricane season also features the potential for a northward shift of the West African monsoon, producing tropical waves that seed some of the strongest and most long-lived Atlantic storms,' the NOAA report details. The good news is that as of June 5, the NOAA forecasters have not seen any potential tropical cyclone formation within the next seven days, however the situation could change at any time. NOAA also recently introduced the names for the 2025 season. Andrea, Barry, and Chantal will be the first three names of the season. Additional storm names include Dexter, Jerry, Karen, Van, and Wendy. "Season forecasts are hedging toward a slightly busier than average hurricane season,' Matt Sitkowski, The Weather Channel's science editor-in-chief, shared in a statement to Travel + Leisure. 'Atlantic Basin ocean temperatures are largely warmer than average and strong upper-level winds, which can limit tropical storm development, are not forecast to be significantly stronger than usual.' Sitkowski advises all residents in hurricane-prone areas to carefully prepare now, as it just takes one storm to have devastating results. Experts advise it is helpful to prepare a first aid kit and obtain backup medications in advance of any named storm. Most importantly, forecasters encourage people to stock up on fresh water, which can be used for drinking, cleaning, and medical needs such as washing a cut or injury. "One gallon, per person, per day, for as much as seven days," Weather Channel hurricane expert Rick Knabb previously shared in a hurricane preparation segment. The guidance also encourages people to stock up on medications, water, and food for pets as well. As for travelers, they should stay on top of hurricane news especially for destinations that are typically vulnerable and consider looking into travel insurance.

Hurricane season 2025: How to protect your home during a storm
Hurricane season 2025: How to protect your home during a storm

Yahoo

time08-06-2025

  • Climate
  • Yahoo

Hurricane season 2025: How to protect your home during a storm

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30 with the peak of the season on Sept. 10. The most activity happens between mid-August and mid-October, according to the National Hurricane Center. The key to getting through storm season is being prepared. Here are some important tips: Refill special medications. Get cash (ATMs may not work for days after). Don't charge credit cards to the limit; you might need extra cash after the storm. Get supplies (see Tips for starting a storm supply list) 🌀 2025 Hurricane Season Guide: Storm preparedness tips, supply list, evacuation zones Get supplies. Here is a checklist for food and water. Don't fill gasoline cans until right before the storm; they are a fire hazard. Fill vehicle fuel tank. Gas stations will run out and some will not have power to run pumps. Check your car's battery, water, oil. Make sure you have a spare tire and buy aerosol kits that fix and inflate flats. Check fire extinguishers. If you own a boat, make necessary preparations. Prepare your pool. Don't drain it. If you own a plane, have it flown out or secured. Get shutters, storm panels or plywood in place on windows. If you haven't installed sockets, attach with wood screws; they're better than nails and do less damage. Don't tape windows; tape can create daggers of glass and bake onto panes. Remove swings and tarps from swing sets. Tie down anything you can't bring in. Check for loose rain gutters, moldings. Move grills, patio furniture and potted plants into your house or garage. If you do any last-minute pruning, take clippings inside so they don't become missiles. Disconnect and remove satellite dish or antenna from your roof. Check your mailbox. If it's loose, secure or remove it. Remove roof turbines and cap holes with screw-on caps. Unsecured turbines can fly off and create a large hole for rain to pour through. Prepare patio screening. It usually is built to sustain tropical-force winds, but as it fills with wind, it can separate from the frame. Officials recommend you remove a 6-foot panel on each side to let wind pass through. Pull out the tubing that holds screening in frame to remove screen. Secure and brace external doors, especially the garage door and double doors. Move vehicles out of flood-prone areas and into garages if possible. If not, park cars away from trees and close to homes or buildings. Don't turn off your natural gas at the main meter. Only emergency or utility people should do that. This article originally appeared on Palm Beach Post: Hurricane season: Protecting your home in Palm Beach County, Florida

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