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Iran's ‘Trial & Error' Tactic ‘Forced' Israel To ‘Ration' Interceptors, ‘16% Missiles Hit Target'
Iran's ‘Trial & Error' Tactic ‘Forced' Israel To ‘Ration' Interceptors, ‘16% Missiles Hit Target'

News18

time5 days ago

  • Politics
  • News18

Iran's ‘Trial & Error' Tactic ‘Forced' Israel To ‘Ration' Interceptors, ‘16% Missiles Hit Target'

Iran is said to have employed a 'trial and error' tactic to identify gaps in Israel's famed air defence systems during the recent 12-day war with its arch-foe. This was reported by The Wall Street Journal on July 16, citing missile defence analysts who reviewed missile debris and open-source reportedly pierced Israel's defences with increasing success, showing that even the world's most advanced systems can be penetrated. The Islamic Republic began launching more advanced, longer-range missiles from a "wider range of locations deep inside Iran', the report said. The Iranian military also altered the timing and pattern of attacks and increased the geographic spread of targets, the analysts found, as per also pivoted from firing large overnight barrages to launching smaller waves during daylight hours and from a wider variety of locations. As the war progressed, Iran fired fewer missiles, but its success rate rose, as per the WSJ analysis of data from think tanks based in Israel and Washington. In the first half of the conflict, 8% of Iran's missiles slipped through Israel's defences, the data cited by the Journal showed. However, by the second half of the war, 16% got past Israel's interceptors, according to data by the Jewish Institute for National Security of America, or JINSA, most successful set of attacks came on June 22, two days before the end of the war, when 10 out of 27 missiles hit Israel, according to the JINSA data. n18oc_world n18oc_crux0:00 INTRODUCTION3:42 DID US FIRE AGM-158C ANTI-SHIP MISSILE AT IRAN'S ALLY?5:58 IRAN SEEKS BACKING FROM ALLIES CHINA & RUSSIA?

Iran-Israel war: How did Iranian missiles Iron Dome, Arrow-3 penetrate Israel's powerful air defense during the war, Explained
Iran-Israel war: How did Iranian missiles Iron Dome, Arrow-3 penetrate Israel's powerful air defense during the war, Explained

India.com

time5 days ago

  • Politics
  • India.com

Iran-Israel war: How did Iranian missiles Iron Dome, Arrow-3 penetrate Israel's powerful air defense during the war, Explained

Iran-Israel war: How did Iranian missiles Iron Dome, Arrow-3 penetrate Israel's powerful air defense during the war, Explained Iran surprised the whole world with its missile capability during last month's fierce military confrontation with Israel. The way Iran succeeded in penetrating Israel's air defenses by improving its performance during the 12-day war has forced defense analysts to think afresh. Missile defense analysts have now explained how Iran penetrated Israel's three-tier air defense system. Israeli and Washington-based think tanks believe that as the war progressed, the success rate of Iran's missiles increased. The Wall Street Journal report quoted experts as saying that Tehran began firing more advanced, long-range missiles from wider locations in Iran's interior. Iran timed its attacks better and spread its targets in Israel. Despite the fact that most missiles and drones were intercepted, a considerable number of Iranian missiles were successful in hitting Israeli targets. Systems like Israeli Iron Dome and Arrow-3 also proved inadequate. How many missiles fell in Israel in second week of war? The report said that only 8 percent of Iranian missiles hit Israeli air defenses in the first six days of the war, but that rate doubled to 16 percent by the second half of the conflict, according to the Washington-based Jewish Institute for National Security (JINSA). Mora Deitch, head of data analysis at Tel Aviv University's Institute for National Security Studies (INSS), said these figures do not include failed launches and interceptions outside Israeli airspace. How Iran carried out the most successful attack? According to JINSA's analysis, Iran 's most successful attack was on June 22, two days before the ceasefire, when 10 of the 27 missiles fired hit targets in Israel. 'The data show that Iran successfully chose 'how, when and what' to fire,' said Ari Sicurel, JINSA's associate director for foreign policy. Israel's air defense systems, developed in conjunction with the US, are among the world's most advanced, but even the best air defense systems are not impenetrable, the Wall Street Journal reported. During the war, the IDF reported intercepting 90-95 percent of its missiles. Data after the ceasefire showed an overall rate of 86 percent.

After setback to Iran's nuclear program, Trump expected to leverage military support in Netanyahu meeting
After setback to Iran's nuclear program, Trump expected to leverage military support in Netanyahu meeting

Fox News

time07-07-2025

  • Politics
  • Fox News

After setback to Iran's nuclear program, Trump expected to leverage military support in Netanyahu meeting

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is expected to meet with President Donald Trump Monday, just over two weeks after Washington levied strikes against Iran's nuclear program in support of a previous military operation carried out by Jerusalem. But even as the pair appear to be relishing the reported success of the missions — which the Pentagon last week said had set back Tehran's nuclear program by up to two years — several security issues remain on the table. Here's what to expect from the talks Monday: "We've entered a new era of the U.S.-Israel strategic partnership as a result of this conflict," John Hannah, Senior Fellow at the Jewish Institute for National Security of America (JINSA) specializing in defense and strategy, said during a press briefing in reference to the strikes against Iran ahead of the Monday meeting. "For the first time in history, the United States and Israel have gone to war together jointly in offensive operations against the military capabilities of a primary common adversary," he added. "That's a very big deal." Experts agree that Trump and Netanyahu are expected to address the future of U.S.-Israeli relations, not only as it relates to deterring Iran's nuclear program, but because the Jewish leader will look to cement this level of U.S. support. "I think he's going to try to make that case with President Trump about what a critical ally Israel could be for the rest of his term," JINSA President and CEO, Michael Makovsky, told reporters. But when asked by Fox News Digital if the security experts expected the president to provide Israel with additional military aid, like B-2 bombers as some reporting has recently suggested, they were both skeptical given the sophisticated nature of the arms. While Netanyahu will look to cement U.S. support for Israel, Trump will also be looking to leverage the aid that Washington has already provided to secure political wins at home. Trump has repeatedly said he wants the war in the Gaza Strip to end and to see the return of all 50 hostages, including the two remaining Americans still held by the Hamas terrorist network, Omer Neutra and Itay Chen. But his special envoy, Steve Witkoff, has been unable to secure a deal that both Hamas and Israel can agree to — the hiccup largely centering around the inability to find a solution that ends Israeli military operations as well as establishes a 'day after' plan for Gaza. Witkoff was expected to visit Egypt for additional negotiations in the coming days, though no official travel plans have yet been announced. Neither the White House nor the State Department confirmed with Fox News Digital whether a date would be set after Trump's meeting with Netanyahu. But Trump is expected to pressure his Israeli counterpart to finally end the more than 20-month-long war. "Trump feels like, 'I did you a solid, I participated, I bombed these sites with my B-2s — now you need to help me, and we need to finish this Gaza war already,''" Makovsky told Fox News Digital. "I think there's obviously leverage there." Makovsky said that despite the U.S.'s recent decision not to send some previously pledged aid to Ukraine, Trump is unlikely to back off aid to Israel. "They've got to replenish a lot of interceptors on the air defense and a lot of munitions," Makovsky pointed out. "I don't see Trump holding back on that, but it does give him leverage." The creation of the Abraham Accords during his first term became a cornerstone of his presidency and a win he would like to once again advance by normalizing diplomatic ties between Israel and other Arab nations. Some of the U.S.'s chief allies in the Middle East, like Saudi Arabia, have made clear they are uninterested in establishing ties with Jerusalem — even though they share a common foe in Iran — until Israel stops its war in Gaza. But it will likely take more than a ceasefire to expand diplomatic ties between Jerusalem and Riyadh, which has long been critical of what it views as oppressive actions taken by Israel against Palestinians. The experts explained that Trump will have to walk a fine line in pressuring Netanyahu to find a solution that appeals to Arab nations, but that also appeases the Israeli president's conservative base at home. "It's not just pressure on the prime minister, but the president also works with our Arab partners to make sure there's some incentives and some rewards to the prime minister in terms of the larger region," Hannah said. "If [Netanyahu] decides to take some bold risks in Gaza in bringing this war to a conclusion, getting back those hostages, with the full support of President Trump … then the prospect opens quite quickly, of renewed negotiations and a track for normalization with Saudi Arabia and other key states in the region."

Netanyahu and Trump to meet in DC as Gaza's fate without Hamas is debated
Netanyahu and Trump to meet in DC as Gaza's fate without Hamas is debated

Fox News

time06-07-2025

  • Politics
  • Fox News

Netanyahu and Trump to meet in DC as Gaza's fate without Hamas is debated

President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu are set to meet at the White House on Monday. One of the most difficult questions on the table is what Gaza might look like without Hamas. Experts tell Fox News Digital that while the need for an alternative is clear, almost every proposed solution comes with serious structural, political and security limitations. John Hannah, a senior fellow at the Jewish Institute for National Security of America (JINSA) and veteran of both Republican and Democratic administrations, said building an alternative to Hamas must happen in parallel with dismantling it. "Part of how you win is by showing there's a viable alternative," Hannah said. "People need to see there's a future beyond Hamas" That future, experts believe, lies in a non-Hamas technocratic government – comprised of Palestinians unaffiliated with either Hamas or the PLO – backed by a coalition of key Arab states, including Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan and the UAE. "While a new administration in Gaza should be independent, some symbolic link to the Palestinian Authority could enhance its legitimacy with the Arabs. Perhaps Ramallah could serve as a pass-through for paying salaries. But the PA won't call the shots," Hannah said. "The default right now, if Israel ends up leaving Gaza, is Hamas," said Ghaith al-Omari, senior fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. "There is no one on the ground who can challenge them. And there is no Arab involvement without the defeat of Hamas. Not just a ceasefire – actual disarmament." At best, said al-Omari who served as the former executive director of the American Task Force on Palestine, the PA might offer a "kosher stamp" to satisfy Arab states, which have made clear they will only intervene in Gaza under a Palestinian national umbrella. "Without that symbolic PA invitation, Egypt and others won't come in," said al-Omari. "But they still need a political framework – some commitment to a two-state solution. Without that, they have absolutely no incentive to play a role in Gaza." Securing Israeli approval for any new Gaza administration is another major hurdle. An Israeli security official told Fox News Digital that any deal would need to include guarantees that Israel retains counterterrorism access to prevent Hamas from reemerging. "Something like what exists in the West Bank – buffer zones, perimeter security, and the right of the IDF or Shin Bet to act on intelligence when needed," Hannah said. That framework, he noted, would require intensive American-led diplomacy with sustained presence and coordination. "I can't see anyone else but the United States doing it – there are too many inner-Arab rivalries," Hannah said, "No other actor has the relationships, resources or trust required to bridge the deep divides between Israel, Arab states and international players. Everyone's going to want the U.S. at the center of this. And there's no doubt President Trump wants to solve it." "Qatar is the elephant in the room," said Hannah, "They bring a lot of much-needed money, but they've had a deeply problematic relationship with Hamas. If they want a seat at the table, it has to be with strict conditions – money flowing through trusted, externally controlled channels. But they can't be a key player in this effort." The United Nations, meanwhile, is largely out. "UNRWA's days are over," said Hannah. "They can't run education or the economy in Gaza anymore. At most, the U.N. might endorse a U.S.-Arab-Israeli plan with a Security Council resolution – but they won't play an operational role." One proposal gaining quiet traction in Israeli and American circles is the idea of empowering local clans to establish self-governing enclaves. Joseph Braude, president of the Center for Peace Communications, has spoken extensively with activists on the ground and believes this model could mark the beginning of an alternative. "It may not be realistic to talk about one civil administration managing all of Gaza right now," Braude said, "But in discrete geographical enclaves within the strip, you can pilot non-Hamas self-rule. Local Gazans patrol internally while the IDF or another force secures the perimeter. " "There's a fiber of educated, civically minded individuals in Gaza – from engineers to teachers – who are not Islamists," he added, "If vetted properly, they can manage administration, education and basic services. But you have to start by identifying who they are and what they actually believe." Braude pointed to one such case: Yasser Abu Shabab, a local militia leader. "This is the first anti-Hamas militia to emerge in Gaza in a generation. He's a local fighter from a Bedouin clan with family ties to Egyptian forces battling ISIS in Sinai. He says he wants to invite civil servants to begin staffing an administration." But not everyone agrees this is feasible. "These groups are fragmented, displaced and lack the legitimacy or cohesion to govern," said al-Omari. "You might use these militias to secure aid deliveries in a specific area, but they can't form the basis of governance." Dr. Michael Milstein, head of the Forum for Palestinian Studies at Tel Aviv University, told Fox News Digital, "Since the war began, several attempts to promote clans as an alternative to Hamas have also failed, like the Doghmush clan, whose leaders were executed by Hamas in early 2024." "Even now, figures like Abu Shabab in Rafah or the Barbakh family in Khan Younis are fringe cases," Milstein added. "Hamas still controls most of the public space. Clans may offer localized solutions, but they are no cohesive or legitimate alternative. Many are openly loyal to Hamas." "Many say, until Palestinians teach their children to love themselves more than they hate Israel, there will never be peace," Braude said, "That's true. But who is actually working to foster a Palestinian leadership [that] does so? That's the challenge – and the opportunity – right now."

B-2 stealth bombers appear to be on the move hours before Trump expected at White House
B-2 stealth bombers appear to be on the move hours before Trump expected at White House

Fox News

time21-06-2025

  • Politics
  • Fox News

B-2 stealth bombers appear to be on the move hours before Trump expected at White House

Six B-2 stealth bombers from Whiteman Air Force Base in Missouri appear to be en route to a U.S. Air Force base in Guam, according to flight tracking data and voice communications with air traffic control. The bombers apparently refueled after launching from Missouri, suggesting they launched without full fuel tanks due to a heavy onboard payload, which could be bunker-buster bombs. The B-2 can carry a two-ton bunker-buster bomb—something only the U.S. possesses—which experts say could be critical to targeting Iran's most heavily fortified nuclear site: Fordow. Mark Dubowitz, CEO of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, told Fox News Digital that "destroying [Fordow] from the air is a job only the U.S. can do." According to Jonathan Ruhe, Director of Foreign Policy for JINSA, the bunker-busters are designed to use the force of gravity to "penetrate through any mixture of earth, rock, and concrete before the bomb itself then explodes" underground. The explosion that ensues could take out the target fully or "collapse the structure" around the target "without necessarily obliterating it," he explained. President Donald Trump, who has said he will make a decision on U.S. involvement in the Israel-Iran conflict, is expected to return to the White House on Saturday afternoon. The president is expected to receive intelligence briefings with the National Security Council on Saturday and Sunday as he considers possible actions against Iran. Recently, the president appeared to publicly disagree with Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, stating she was "wrong" when she testified in March that there is "no evidence" Iran is building a nuclear weapon. Gabbard later responded to the apparent controversy, saying that "the dishonest media is intentionally taking my testimony out of context and spreading fake news as a way to manufacture division." "America has intelligence that Iran is at the point that it can produce a nuclear weapon within weeks to months, if they decide to finalize the assembly. President Trump has been clear that can't happen, and I agree," Gabbard added in her post on X. While the U.S. has not taken direct action in the conflict, the State Department on Friday announced sanctions on Tehran despite Secretary of State Marco Rubio initially putting distance between Jerusalem and Iran. The sanctions were imposed on eight entities and one individual "for their involvement in the procurement and shipment of proliferation-sensitive machinery from China for Iran's defense industry."

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