
Most Americans think undocumented immigrants should stay
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Bloomberg
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For more than a decade, President Donald Trump has been scapegoating immigrants, decrying them as criminals and vermin and vowing to deport them by the millions.The American people, by and large, aren't buying it, nor should they.A new Pew Charitable Trust poll shows that 65% of Americans support having undocumented immigrants stay legally if certain requirements are met. About half of those say a green card should be possible, and the rest say a path to citizenship should be available. The poll also showed that majorities oppose suspending most asylum applications, curtailing the Temporary Protected Status program, and conducting workplace raids — all actions the Trump administration has taken.The reality is that Trump is out of step with Americans on this issue. After years of pounding away at immigrants, he has failed to persuade Americans that they are an invading force threatening their jobs and safety. When asked whether there should be a national effort to deport undocumented immigrants, only 31% of Americans replied yes.Naureen Shah, who leads the American Civil Liberties Union's immigration policy work, told me that 'people are questioning the disconnect between Trump's rhetoric on public safety and what's happening on the ground.''You're seeing ordinary communities subjected to these violent, scary ICE operations,' she said. 'This is not what people signed up for and it's starting to show up in poll numbers.' ACLU polling shows 56% of Americans oppose deploying troops to quell protests, as Trump has done in Los Angeles.And although Americans want strong border security, they have little taste for an indiscriminate approach that sweeps up legal immigrants and citizens alike.Under border czar Tom Homan, enforcement in the early months of Trump's second term focused heavily on immigrants with criminal records and pre-existing deportation orders. Homan, who had performed a similar duty for the Obama administration, knew that while the numbers would not be huge, the impact would meet with public support.Trump was openly dissatisfied with the results. There just aren't enough criminals to come anywhere close to the numbers Trump wants. For that, you need to go after everyday workers — the line cooks, construction workers, farmhands and landscapers that fill myriad jobs across the country.By late May, Stephen Miller, the architect of Trump's immigration policies, dressed down ICE's top field directors. One official told the Washington Examiner that 'Stephen Miller wants everybody arrested. 'Why aren't you at Home Depot? Why aren't you at 7-Eleven?'' the official said. Instead of the 660 arrests they'd been averaging daily, the new goal was 3,000.The broader, far more brutal enforcement that followed has exposed to Americans the ugly reality of mass deportations. They don't like what they see: A recent Fox News poll shows that 53% now disapprove of Trump's immigration policies.Miller's approach just doesn't work in an age of social media, which now is flooded daily with up-close videos of what on-the-street enforcement looks like. One recent video shows the middle-aged father of three Marines arrested at his landscaping job and beaten about the head and neck by masked agents. One of his sons, Marine veteran Alejandro Barranco, said his father, Narciso Barranco, 56, had lived in California since the '90s without legal status, but also without any criminal record. 'He always taught us to respect, to love our country, to always give back,' the younger Barranco said, adding that he feels 'betrayed.'Polls also have some tough realities for Democratic leaders. The number of voters who support a border wall has been ticking up, the Pew survey found. Trump introduced the notion of a border wall (that Mexico would pay for) in his first campaign and has continued to extol it. Now, 56% of Americans favor it — a 10 percentage point increase from 2019.Polls are not the same as votes and should not dictate public policy, but they can reveal some elements of a long-needed overhaul of immigration practices. That would require both sides to look past their talking points.Trump, having succeeded at dramatically lowering border crossings, should shift his focus back to criminal removals. It would also serve him well — particularly among his modest but growing support among Hispanic voters — to create a limited path to legal status for those who have worked in the US and stayed on the right side of the law.Democrats should acknowledge the legitimate strains imposed on border states and ports of entry during the Biden years, the public's growing desire for a wall, and the need to find effective ways of dealing with visa overstays, which are responsible for a significant share of those here illegally.Decades of failure to hammer out a functional immigration policy have led to where we are today: masked agents snatching anyone suspected of being here illegally, National Guard soldiers putting down protests, fields empty of workers, and raids that can leave lasting wounds in a community left wondering who will be taken next. That's bad enough; our elected leaders shouldn't wait to see what's next.
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First Post
40 minutes ago
- First Post
Lessons Israel-Iran war has for India's Operation Sindoor
India has to learn from Israel the contours of future war, where the enemy could be already well within the gates, wreaking havoc when it is given the signal read more It may be too early to learn lessons from the Israel-Iran war, but there are certainly some quick takeaways for India. Because Operation Sindoor is not over, and terrorism from Pakistan is unlikely to end as long as the army is in control there. Don't forget also that everyone is watching the war calibration carefully. Lessons will be learnt by all sides in this for their own purposes. And that's where we need to think and analyse and plan for the future. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Deep Intelligence The first aspect of the war is that Israel had access to precise intelligence on the ground in terms of a continuous feed. Fodrow, Natanz and others were static bases and needed no great intelligence capability. But the targeting of some 14 scientists is a different game altogether. Reports indicate that the majority were killed by explosive-laden drones, indicating a very high level of internal penetration into Iran. Israel has always had a formidable intelligence capability. But this was something else, and it's an open question what kind of deep assets it used when the 'go' command was given. For depend upon this. Such assets are not built overnight. That is worrying in terms of future wars. That means India has to not just up its technical intelligence for the future but also use technology to guard against such locally launched attacks – which could be on intel agencies, on high officials, and on personnel of sensitive installations. So far, the thrust of defence expenditure has been in securing the country's borders. Time to look inwards. Sindoor as Template The second aspect is rather the reverse. In many ways, the US operation, 'Midnight Hammer', was a textbook copy of 'Operation Sindoor'. Trump's announcement of having targeted 'only' nuclear sites, clear signs of talking to Iranians, and most of all, a series of moves to end the war quickly, something that the US is not known for. Those moves included allowing China to continue to buy oil – though sanctions remain – thus ensuring that outside powers did not take a hand. Iran was mollified by leaving open the possibility of sanctions relief. Then was his weighing heavily on Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, to end his continuing strikes. Since the US could at any time stop its missile interception assistance for Israel, this arm-twisting was likely to have had a telling effect. The Standoff War Another takeaway from both operations is the 'stand-off' wars. Prior to US entry into Iran, Washington made sure that Israel had managed complete air superiority with bombing and missile raids. Even then it used a formidable array of aircraft that included the famed Stealth B-2's, practically invisible to radar, and fighter aircraft from its many bases in West Asia. And to make trebly sure, some 'two dozen' land-attack cruise missiles were fired from a submarine which was entirely undetected, at Isfahan. All attacks were at the extreme west of Iran, indicating that aircraft had no intention of doing a flyby and 'loitering' in the war zone. The blueprint of overwhelming force is used since even one aircraft lost would have been the political end for President Trump. No cities were hit, and US intel would have known full well that the major sites had been evacuated. But the lesson is that when there are no serious casualties, escalation is unlikely. This was also the case in Sindoor, where casualties were few. India did not have such a luxury of a package of aircraft (not to mention bases from where fighters could take off and provide protective cover), nor did it even enter Pakistan. But both provide a lesson in 'stand-off' wars. That means a line of technology development that includes, vitally, the ability of continuous satellite monitoring. India's own space programmes need to take note, and quickly. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Control of the Narrative Another issue to assess is control of the narrative. Even today, the imagery that is being discussed all over the internet is that of Iran. The damages to Israel were kept under wraps, with even the last missile strike by Iran, which mowed down three buildings at Beersheba, with casualties estimated at 4, which seems incredible given the clearly apparent destruction. But Israelis have long been used to violence and have safe rooms, standard procedures for quick evacuation and bunkers. What was hidden even more was the cost that Israel had to take on, with one estimate putting this at $3 billion in immediate costs, while tax authorities estimate costs at more than double the sum of claims stemming from the October 7 attack plus all 615 days since. And that's just claims for damages to property. Apart from this is the loss of man hours and its effect on gross domestic product. But the point is that none of this was apparent in an independent media, with the opposition swiftly putting aside rivalry in a show of national solidarity. It was only after a truce was declared that the Opposition lambasted Trump for interfering in the criminal charges against Netanyahu, which began in 2020 for fraud and breach of trust. Israel, like India, enjoyed widespread support after the first Hamas attack, which, however, rapidly deteriorated as its war entered its 629th day. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Even the recent meeting of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation saw a split – as did the G-7 meeting – over the question of the Iran war. In the end, the general consensus is that Iran can still make the bomb, perhaps in months. The takeaway of this lesson is probably that warmaking seldom wins friends and, in today's world, may not even deliver desired objectives. Far better to build up a narrative, as Defence Minister Rajnath Singh did recently when he refused to sign on to a joint statement of the Shanghai Organisation Cooperation while calling out the double standards on terrorism. But overall, here's the sum of it all. Internally, India has managed Kashmir without inordinate use of force; in fact, with 'one hand tied behind its back'. That, together with the manifold changes after the revocation of Article 370, had integrated Kashmir to the rest of India even more, not the other way around. That's something Tel Aviv should learn. But India has to, in turn, learn from Israel the contours of future war, where the enemy could be already well within the gates, wreaking havoc when it is given the signal. In this, both Pakistan and China are better placed than India. Time to reverse that, either with human assets – which are difficult for obvious reasons – and with technology. Future iterations of Operation Sindoor need to keep this clearly in the forefront. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD The author is Director (R&A) at the Centre for Land Warfare Studies. She tweets @kartha_tara. Views expressed in the above piece are personal and solely those of the author. They do not necessarily reflect Firstpost's views.


Time of India
43 minutes ago
- Time of India
Trump slams $30 billion Iran deal report as 'sick hoax' while supreme court hands him sweeping powers
It was a Friday of fire for Donald Trump, first came explosive headlines accusing him of planning a $30 billion civil nuclear deal with Iran, and then came a Supreme Court ruling handing him a game-changing expansion of presidential power. And, true to form, Trump was not in the mood for calm responses. Donald Trump demands prosecution over Iran Intel leak | Credit: X Trump explodes over 'ridiculous' $30 billion Iran deal report US media outlet CNN claimed that Trump's administration was considering offering Iran up to $30 billion in economic aid to develop a non-military nuclear programme, in exchange for halting uranium enrichment. That would be a massive pivot for the former president, who famously torched Obama's Iran nuclear deal back in 2018. But Trump is having none of it. Taking to Truth Social in his signature all-caps fury, the former president blasted the reports as 'FAKE NEWS' and 'just another HOAX.' He questioned which so-called journalist was behind the claim and doubled down on calling the media 'sick' for pushing what he said is a fabricated narrative. US President Donald Trump | Credit: X Sources claim the alleged deal included help from regional players to build nuclear facilities, but Trump insisted he had 'never heard' of such a plan. If true, the pivot would be monumental, coming just days after US strikes on Iranian nuclear sites and a surprise ceasefire deal brokered by Trump amid heightened Middle East tensions. Supreme court gives Trump a legal superpower While Trump was on the warpath online, the US Supreme Court handed him what he called a 'big, amazing decision' in his favour. The justices ruled that lower courts would face more limitations when blocking executive orders, a legal shift that significantly strengthens Trump's authority. Calling it a 'monumental victory for the Constitution,' Trump beamed at reporters from the White House podium. Legal experts now say this ruling could allow Trump to push through key elements of his second-term agenda with fewer judicial roadblocks. Donald Trump demands prosecution over Iran Intel leak | Credit: X Birthright citizenship: Next battle incoming? One of the first big policy moves expected is an attack on birthright citizenship. Trump's controversial executive order ending automatic citizenship for all babies born on US soil is now set to go into effect within a month. While the Supreme Court has not fully shut the door on legal challenges, it has given Trump a crucial head start.


Hindustan Times
an hour ago
- Hindustan Times
After Israel-Iran ceasefire, mediators try to grab ‘opportunity' for a Gaza truce
Gaza mediators are engaging with Israel and Hamas to build on momentum from this week's ceasefire with Iran and work towards a truce in the Palestinian territory, Qatar foreign ministry spokesman Majed al-Ansari said. A two-month truce between Israel and Hamas collapsed in March, with Jerusalem intensifying military operations in Gaza afterwards.(AFP) Israel and Iran on Tuesday agreed to a ceasefire brokered by the United States and Qatar just hours after the Islamic republic launched a salvo of missiles towards the wealthy Gulf state, targeting the American military base hosted there. The unprecedented attack on Qatari soil followed Washington's intervention into a days-long war between Israel and Iran which saw US warplanes strike Iranian nuclear facilities, prompting promises of retaliation from Tehran. In an interview with AFP on Friday, Ansari said Doha -- with fellow Gaza mediators in Washington and Cairo -- was now "trying to use the momentum that was created by the ceasefire between Iran and Israel to restart the talks over Gaza". "If we don't utilise this window of opportunity and this momentum, it's an opportunity lost amongst many in the near past. We don't want to see that again," the spokesman, who is also an adviser to Qatar's prime minister, said. US President Donald Trump voiced optimism on Friday about a new ceasefire in Gaza saying an agreement involving Israel and Hamas could come as early as next week. Mediators have been engaged in months of back-and-forth negotiations with the warring parties aimed at ending 20 months of war in Gaza, with Ansari explaining there were no current talks between the sides but that Qatar was "heavily involved in talking to every side separately". 'The right pressure' A two-month truce, which was agreed as Trump came into office in January, collapsed in March with Israel intensifying military operations in Gaza afterwards. "We have seen US pressure and what it can accomplish," Ansari said referring to the January truce which saw dozens of hostages held by Hamas released in exchange for hundreds of Palestinian prisoners. The Qatari official said particularly in the context of US enforcement of the Israel-Iran truce, it was "not a far-fetched idea" that pressure from Washington would achieve a fresh truce in Gaza. "We are working with them very, very closely to make sure that the right pressure is applied from the international community as a whole, especially from the US, to see both parties at the negotiating table," Ansari said. There were no casualties on Monday when Iran targeted Al Udeid, the Middle East's biggest US base and headquarters of its regional command. Ansari said that as leaders were weighing their response to the attack, a call came from the US president to Qatar's emir, saying "there is a possibility for regional stability... and that Israel has agreed to a ceasefire". "Qatar could have taken the decision to escalate," Ansari said. "But because there was a chance for peace... we opted for that," he said.