
Texas Flood Live Updates: Officials Blame NWS Forecasts As Death Toll Climbs To 24
Flooding caused by a flash flood at the Guadalupe River in Kerrville, Texas. Photo by RONALDO SCHEMIDT/AFP via Getty Images
Rescue teams are continuing to search for a group of around 25 people who were attending an all-girls Christian summer camp on the banks of the Guadalupe River.
This is a developing story. Check back for updates.
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Texas Officials Slam Trump's National Weather Service for Botched Forecast
Officials in Texas are casting blame on the National Weather Service (NWS) for failing to forecast catastrophic flooding that has killed at least 27 people. NWS was among the government agencies targeted by the Department of Government Efficiency in its effort to gut the federal bureaucracy, losing approximately 600 staffers. After the cuts, the agency—which was already understaffed—began to prepare to offer 'degraded' forecasting services, facing 'severe shortages' of meteorologists, according to an internal document obtained by The New York Times in April. 'The original forecast that we received Wednesday from the National Weather Service predicted 3-6 inches of rain in the Concho Valley and 4-8 inches in the Hill Country,' said Texas Emergency Management Chief W. Nim Kidd at a press conference Friday. 'The amount of rain that fell at this specific location was never in any of those forecasts.' Sudden thunderstorms dumped more than 10 inches of rain on the area, causing heavy flooding from the Guadalupe River. Dalton Rice, the city manager for Kerrville, Texas—who also spoke at the press conference—said that the catastrophic flash flooding happened because the skies 'dumped more rain than what was forecasted' on two of the river's forks. The flooding has killed at least 43 people so far, including 15 children. More than 25 young girls from Camp Mystic, a Christian summer camp that sits near the river, are still missing. Speaking to reporters on Air Force One Friday, Trump called the catastrophe 'shocking' and 'terrible.' 'They don't know the answer yet as to how many people, but it looks like some young people have died,' he said. In May, all five living directors of the NWS issued a letter warning that Trump's cuts 'leave the nation's official weather forecasting entity at a significant deficit ... just as we head into the busiest time for severe storm predictions like tornadoes and hurricanes,' the directors wrote. 'Our worst nightmare is that weather forecast offices will be so understaffed that there will be needless loss of life.' In a statement to the Daily Beast, a spokesperson for the NWS said: 'The National Weather Service is heartbroken by the tragic loss of life in Kerr County. On July 3, the NWS office in Austin/San Antonio, Texas, conducted forecast briefings for emergency management in the morning and issued a Flood Watch in the early afternoon. Flash Flood Warnings were also issued on the night of July 3 and in the early morning of July 4, giving preliminary lead times of more than three hours before flash flooding conditions occurred.' The Times reported in June that, just months after the Trump administration had forced out hundreds of staffers, the National Weather Service was granted a waiver to the administration's government-wide hiring freeze. A spokesperson told the Times that the 126 staffers it planned to add—about a fifth of the number cut—were intended to 'stabilize' the agency.


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A boy saved by barbed wire, a 'destroyed' camp and missed warning signs in Texas floods
The warning signs were already flashing as hundreds of young people celebrated the Fourth of July public holiday at Camp Mystic, an all-girls' Christian summer retreat, nestled on the banks of the Guadalupe River in Texas. There had not been a drop of rain in the area recently until the inundation, when the river rose 26ft (8m) in less than an hour, according to state officials. By Saturday evening, at least 51 people were dead, including 15 children. Search for missing continues Texas flood victims: Girl 'living her best life' and 'heart and soul' of camp The first hint of the devastation to come appeared on Thursday morning as rain and thunderstorms soaked a number of central Texas counties. The National Weather Service (NWS) issued a common warning called a flood watch at 13:18 that afternoon for parts of the region, including Kerr County. In the early hours of Friday, the outlook became more dire as the NWS issued a series of upgraded warnings. The San Saba river, the Concho River and the Colorado River were rising. At 04:03, the NWS sent a "particularly dangerous situation" alert, reserved for the most urgent and potentially deadly scenarios such as wildfires. Another "particularly dangerous situation" warning was issued for the city of Kerrville at 05:34, before dawn on Friday. "Residents and campers should SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW! Life threatening flash flooding along the river is expected," forecasters said. "Automated rain gauges indicate a large and deadly flood wave is moving down the Guadalupe River. Flash flooding is already occurring." Such alerts are shared on NWS social media accounts and by broadcast news outlets, but most people were asleep. Elinor Lester, 13, said younger campers at Camp Mystic were bunked in cabins closer to the riverbank and those were the first to flood. "The camp was completely destroyed," Elinor, who was evacuated by helicopter, told the Associated Press news agency. "It was really scary." Just outside Kerrville, the BBC met Jonathan and Brittany Rojas as they came to see what was left of a relative's home. Only the foundations remain. Five people were in the house the night of the deluge - the mother and her baby are still missing. The teenage son, Leo, survived after he became snared in barbed wire, preventing him from being swept away. The boy is recovering in hospital. As the BBC was interviewing the Rojas couple, a neighbour walked up to present them with an item salvaged from the house. It was the teenager's money jar. The label on it read, "Leo's survival kit". Desperate Camp Mystic parents took to social media looking for news of their children. One Facebook group - Kerrville Breaking News - turned into a missing persons page. Some parents have since updated their social media pleas to say their missing family members did not survive. Kerr County is in the heart of the Texas Hill Country, a getaway destination because of its scenic rolling hills, countless rivers and lakes and abundance of wineries. But the region is also known as "Flash Flood Alley", because of the recurring threat that has devastated local communities over the years. When asked why the riverside summer camp was not evacuated, officials said the sudden scale of the deluge caught them unawares. "No-one knew this kind of flood was coming," Kerr County Judge Rob Kelly said.