Expanding missile threats and airspace closures are straining airlines
Airlines are racking up costs and losing market share from cancelled flights and expensive re-routings, often at short notice. The aviation industry, which prides itself on its safety performance, is investing more in data and security planning.
'Flight planning in this kind of environment is extremely difficult ... The airline industry thrives on predictability, and the absence of this will always drive greater cost,' said Guy Murray, who leads aviation security at European carrier TUI Airline.
With increasing airspace closures around Russia and Ukraine, throughout the Middle East, between India and Pakistan and in parts of Africa, airlines are left with fewer route options.
'Compared to five years ago, more than half of the countries being overflown on a typical Europe-Asia flight would now need to be carefully reviewed before each flight,' said Mark Zee, founder of Opsgroup, a membership-based organisation that shares flight risk information.
The Israeli-Palestinian conflict in the Middle East since October 2023 led to commercial aviation sharing the skies with short-notice barrages of drones and missiles across major flight paths — some of which were reportedly close enough to be seen by pilots and passengers.
Russian airports, including in Moscow, are now regularly shut down for brief periods due to drone activity, while interference with navigation systems, known as GPS spoofing or jamming, is surging around political faultlines worldwide.
When hostilities broke out between India and Pakistan last month, the neighbours blocked each other's aircraft from their respective airspace.
'Airspace should not be used as a retaliatory tool, but it is,' Nick Careen, International Air Transport Association (Iata) senior vice-president for operations, safety and security, told reporters at the airline body's annual meeting in New Delhi on Tuesday.
Isidre Porqueras, COO at Indian carrier IndiGo, said the recent diversions were undoing efforts to reduce emissions and increase airline efficiencies.
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