
We're in the market to buy a house, but there's one huge disadvantage that is making it almost impossible
Ashleigh Pullin, 28, and her partner James Mashiter, 37, have put in four offers for homes in Melbourne since April.
The couple were pre-approved for a $760,000 home loan with a five per cent deposit under the federal government's First Home Guarantee Scheme after years of saving.
The First Home Guarantee Scheme allows eligible Australians to use just a five per cent deposit and avoid paying lenders' mortgage insurance.
Under the scheme, they are subject to an $800,000 property price cap, which the couple say is making it difficult for them to compete with older buyers.
'We've put in four offers in total since that time and all of them have been unsuccessful,' Ms Pullin told Yahoo News.
'You get very disappointed because you see the house you put an offer in then goes for another $30,000, $40,000 over, and you're not even competitive.'
The couple revealed they, and many other Millennial buyers, are feeling the pressure to enter the market, anticipating further interest rate cuts.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday voted to keep interest rates steady at 3.85 per cent, after a series of rate cuts renewed interest in the property market.
Mr Mashiter said the market was reacting quickly.
'We were looking at places that were four-bedroom, two-bathroom and two garages and that was comfortable within what we could afford, it was going for $760,000 to $790,000,' he said.
Now, the couple are struggling to find a home with three bedrooms and two bathrooms inviting offers under $800,000.
They have been forced to pivot away from their dream area and are now searching for homes toward Yarra and Dandenong, further away from the city.
PropTrack's latest Home Price Index said the values of homes had climbed by 0.3 per cent over June. It took Melbourne's annual property growth to one per cent.
The median home value is now $10,600 more than it was last year, at $818,000.
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Daily Mail
41 minutes ago
- Daily Mail
TARRIC BROOKER: How AI will affect YOUR job - whether you're a tradie or an office worker - and the ripple effects it will have on the property market and the careers of a generation
As the promise of a future defined by AI increasingly fills the airwaves and the debates within the halls of power around the globe, it is striking how different the perspectives are on what this future will look like, even just a few short years from now. At one end of the spectrum, there is the hopeful view that AI will help to dramatically improve productivity and act to kickstart broad-based growth in living standards. At the other, there is concern that AI could be the catalyst for one of the most challenging shifts for societies and economies in modern history. One of the figures taking the latter view is Ford CEO Jim Farley. 'AI is going to replace literally half of all white collar workers,' Mr Farley said in a recent conference address. 'I believe that AI and new technology have an asymmetric impact on our economy. That means a lot of things are helped a lot, and a lot of things are hurt,' Farley said. However, the Albanese government has spoken in positive terms about the potential impact of AI on the economy. In an address to the 'Australia's Economic Outlook 2025' conference in Sydney last week, the Prime Minister said artificial intelligence will deliver 'secure and fulfilling jobs' - not threaten them. That follows comments by Treasurer Jim Chalmers backing the minimal regulation of AI, arguing that the Albanese government's focus was on how technological progress can boost productivity, rather than implementing limits on its use. Aussie industries exposed to AI When it comes to the impact of AI by industry, it can vary considerably. According to an analysis by investment bank Goldman Sachs, over the next decade, 46 per cent of jobs in office and administrative support are exposed to AI. At the other end of the spectrum, in one of Australia's largest industries, the construction and resource extraction sector, just six per cent of jobs are exposed to AI. The rest of industries fall somewhere in the middle, with hands-on, blue collar roles significantly less likely to be impacted by the rise of AI. Overall, Goldman Sachs estimates that 300 million jobs could be diminished or lost over the next decade. Comparison with the Industrial Revolution As concern continues to build over the impact of AI on jobs and our society more broadly, parallels have been drawn with the impact of the Industrial Revolution - considered the period from the 19th century onwards where technologies such as mass production brought massive growth. Unfortunately, when one assesses the history of the Industrial Revolution and contrasts it with the promise of AI, it is clear they are two very different developments. The major difference between the Industrial Revolution and the promise of the AI is that one is hardware, the other is software. During that era, replacing a human with a machine was an expensive and time-consuming process. For example, to replace the farm workers separating grain from the husks and stems of crops with a steam powered threshing machine in the mid-19th century, it cost the equivalent of between five and ten times an average farmer's annual wage. Given the availability of loans and business finance more broadly in that era, the capital-intensive nature of the shift towards mechanised operations was gradual. This is illustrated in the relatively gradual shift in the proportion of people employed in agriculture over time. In 1820, 73 per cent of the American workforce was employed in agriculture. By 1855, the figure had fallen to 53 per cent of the workforce and to 40 per cent by the turn of the 20th century. Meanwhile, the cost of implementing an AI like ChatGPT in a business setting is as little as $46 per user per month. For a small fraction of an office's monthly budget for takeaway coffees, tools could be implemented that could have a transformative effect on the way we work and the way our labour is demanded. This could scarcely be more different to the world of the Industrial Revolution, where implementing new technologies was an extremely expensive and time consuming endeavour. The impact of AI on the nation's property market will likely be directly proportional to the impact on the labour market. If a sizeable proportion of people are left effectively unemployable by the rapid evolution of technology in the workplace, then it's challenging to see how property prices don't take a hit without some form of policymaker intervention. But it's not the early 1990s anymore. Back then, banks were far less forgiving of mortgage holders in difficulty and thousands of people lost their homes. During the pandemic the banks, government and RBA adopted a strategy called 'Extend and Pretend'. It allowed mortgage holders to defer their payments. The normal rules were effectively suspended, rather than the usual arrears process being pursued. It's therefore not hard to imagine an equally unprecedented strategy being pursued to prevent people from losing their homes and the housing market from crashing, if the downside scenarios for the labour market were to be realised. Joke proposals about policies such as YouTube personality Florian Heisse's 'Mortgage Keeper' - which entails the federal government paying your mortgage, similar to JobKeeper - may switch from the realm of the somewhat amusing to that of reality. To what degree an intervention could be successful depends very much on the scale of the impact of AI on the ranks of the nation's workers and how businesses collectively adapt to that. AI revolution's effect on Gen Z There are some signs that the impact on the labour market has already begun to be felt in the United States, as the unemployment rate for recent college graduates rises. A recent report from research firm Oxford Economics concluded: 'There are signs that entry-level positions are being displaced by artificial intelligence at higher rates.' Molly Kinder, a fellow at the Brookings Institution, which studies the impact of AI, said: 'Employers are saying, 'These tools are so good that I no longer need marketing analysts, finance analysts and research assistants'.' The early reports from within US industry suggest that the immediate impact will be felt by Gen Z, as employers seek to automate largely entry level tasks that don't require a great deal of in-depth training. If the downside scenario were to be realised, this leaves the impacted members of Gen Z at something of an impasse. If they can't get their foot in the door because businesses are focused on entry level jobs being performed by AI, how can they get the work experience needed in order to get a more senior level role? On the potential upside for Gen Z, of all the generations, they are the most accustomed to the usage of AI and may have an advantage in adapting to the new employment roles of managing, refining and directing AI software. The impact on other generations and even older members of Gen Z who are more established in their careers is more uncertain, with a great deal more variation depending on what sort of role they are employed in. The positive scenario for workers The upside scenario of the proliferation of AI in the workplace hinges on the idea that it will either have a minimal net impact on overall employment, or will end up creating more jobs than it eliminates in net terms. The theory is that the impact on the labour market will be a net positive, due to the combination of new jobs focused on the burgeoning AI sector and the productivity increases that are expected to come with the widespread adoption of AI. At an individual business level, it is hoped that this will allow workers to focus on higher value and more vital tasks, while routine work is largely automated and allowed to run in the background. Regardless, while the outlook for the impact of AI remains highly uncertain, the world may soon be finding itself at a major crossroads, the type of shift that only comes up maybe once a generation. If AI fulfils even half its promised capabilities, it will be a turning point in history, for better or for worse. If AI fulfils even half its promised capabilities, it will be a turning point in history, writes commentator Tarric Brooker (above) On the other hand, it's possible that AI's impact may be more limited than anticipated in the remaining years of this decade. Business owners will soon determine whether or not the level of capability and accuracy provided by these new tools is right for their businesses. Despite the parallels that have been drawn with all manner of other technological leaps in the modern history of humanity, this could mark a rapid evolution in our history. Steam engines, flight, the personal computer and the internet all found a place in our societies and our lives gradually over time, with each one seeing a faster adoption than the last. But this time is different. This time, the overwhelming majority of us already hold the necessary hardware to use an AI agent in the palm of our hands.


Daily Mail
8 hours ago
- Daily Mail
The one question about Australia's plans for China that Trump wants answered - as Anthony Albanese touches down in Shanghai
Anthony Albanese 's trip to China could be derailed by the Trump administration, who have issued a demand to know how he would respond to an invasion of Taiwan. Prime Minister Albanese and fiancé Jodie Haydon touched down in the Chinese financial hub of Shanghai on Saturday, ahead of a week-long visit that includes a meeting with Chinese Communist Party leader President Xi Jinping. While the Australian leader is set to discuss lighter topics, like trade and tourism campaigns, US President Donald Trump 's team on Saturday demanded answers on whether Australia would back America in a war against China. The US has been largely ambiguous about what its response would be to a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, which China has long claimed territorial rights over. Nevertheless, a report by the Financial Times on Saturday claimed US defence undersecretary Elbridge Colby had questioned Japan and Australia over its positions. The outlet cited five sources who all recalled the topic of the countries' response to a conflict in the Indo-Pacific being raised during meetings. Colby responded to the report on X, formerly Twitter, on Sunday, Australian time. 'As the department has made abundantly and consistently clear, we at Department of Defence are focused on implementing the President's 'America First', common sense agenda of restoring deterrence and achieving peace through strength,' he said. The senior defence official claimed the America First approach was already working. 'This has been a hallmark of President Trump's strategy - in Asia as in Europe where it has already been tremendously successful.' He also suggested several American allies were seeing the 'urgent need to step up' and 'are doing so'. 'President Trump has shown the approach and the formula - and we will not be deterred from advancing his agenda,' he said. In response to questions about Australia's hypothetical response to conflict in the Indo-Pacific, Albanese said 'we have our AUKUS arrangements in place'. 'We'll continue to work through all of these issues,' he said. 'Our alliance with the United States is a very important one for Australia so we'll continue to engage constructively in a coherent, stable, orderly way. 'That's the way I conduct this government.' As for his position on Taiwan, Albanese simply said Australia supports the 'status quo'. 'I think it's important that we have a consistent position, which Australia has had for a long period of time,' he said. 'We support the status quo when it comes to Taiwan. We don't support any unilateral action there. We have a clear position and we have been consistent about that.' Reports on Thursday claimed the US believed Australia should voice its direct support of the US by stating it would use American-made nuclear submarines should a conflict with China arise. However, the production of those submarines was called into question earlier this year by Colby himself, who is leading a review into the AUKUS pact under which the submarine deal was made. Albanese also addressed pressure to make a public statement on Sunday, noting tactical conversations between it and Australia would remain 'private'. 'You don't take private comments to a media conference. By definition, that's in private,' he said. 'We engage in a mature way. That's the way that we deal with our relationships.' Defence Industry Minister Pat Conroy on Sunday was more blunt in telling the US it would not dictate Australia's military decisions. 'The sole power to commit Australia to war, or to allow our territory to be used for conflict, is the elected government of the day,' he told the ABC. 'That is our position. Sovereignty will always be prioritised and that will continue to be our position.' Albanese's upcoming sit-down with Xi will be the second time he's met with the Chinese leader, following his excursion to China in November 2023. He is yet to meet with Trump after the president left Canada's G7 summit early in June citing urgent developments in the Middle East. Albanese has faced criticism for meeting with Xi before the leader of one of Australia's biggest allies. However, it's not the first time an Australian leader has met with Xi before the US president. Tony Abbott pulled the same move by meeting with Xi in the weeks after taking office in 2013, before he met with Barack Obama. Tensions between Australia and China have grown since the Asian superpower began ramping up efforts to grow influence over the Indo-Pacific since the 2010s. That included the creation of armed artificial islands in the South China Sea. The Chinese Communist Party's intent to shift from a diplomatic player to a strategist became clear in 2019 with Kiribati and the Solomon Islands both switching its policies regarding Taiwan to side with China. Since then the Chinese People's Liberation Army has extended its presence in international waters, including an excursion down Australia's east coast by three Chinese People's Liberation Army Navy ships.


The Guardian
12 hours ago
- The Guardian
Australia won't commit in advance to joining hypothetical US-China conflict, Pat Conroy says
Australia will refuse any US request to join a 'hypothetical' conflict with China over Taiwan and won't make any advance commitment, the defence industry minister, Pat Conroy, has said, amid reports Washington is seeking such promises in discussions over the Aukus submarines. Conroy called on China to be more transparent about its military buildup, but said any commitment to war would be the sole power of the Australian government of the day. It came after multiple reports this week that the Pentagon was seeking guarantees from Australia and other allies about how they would respond in the event of a conflict in the Indo-Pacific. The Financial Times reported on Saturday that Elbridge Colby – the US under-secretary of defence for policy, who is also undertaking a review of the Aukus pact which would see America share nuclear-powered submarines with Australia – was asking Japan and Australia to reveal how they would act in a potential US-China war over Taiwan. The Sydney Morning Herald separately quoted a senior US defence official, who reportedly said Washington was seeking 'a clear sense of what we can expect from Australia'. Sign up for Guardian Australia's breaking news email The Pentagon was contacted for comment. Colby shared a post on X on Sunday (AEST) which referenced the FT article. In his post, he wrote that the US policy position included 'urging allies to step up their defense spending and other efforts related to our collective defense'. 'This has been a hallmark of President Trump's strategy - in Asia as in Europe where it has already been tremendously successful. 'Of course, some among our allies might not welcome frank conversations. But many, now led by NATO after the historic Hague Summit, are seeing the urgent need to step up and are doing so.' Conroy, a cabinet minister whose portfolio deals heavily with preparing to build the Aukus submarines, rebuked the idea Australia would commit in advance to any conflict. 'The sole power to commit Australia to war, or to allow our territory to be used for a conflict, is the elected government of the day. That is our position. Sovereignty will always be prioritised and that will continue to be our position,' Conroy told the ABC's Insiders program. Conroy said he would not comment on the nature of confidential discussions with the US over Aukus, but said the government would not 'discuss hypotheticals' around what Australia could do in the event of a potential future military engagement. 'The decision to commit Australian troops to a conflict will be made by the government of the day, not in advance but by the government of the day,' he stressed. Sign up to Breaking News Australia Get the most important news as it breaks after newsletter promotion The prime minister, Anthony Albanese, arrived in China on Saturday night for a six-day visit, which includes meetings with president Xi Jinping and premier Li Qiang, with the government saying the trip was about advancing Australia's security and economic interests. On Sky News on Sunday, the treasurer, Jim Chalmers, described the Australia-China relationship as 'full of opportunity but not short of complexity either'. It is unclear when the US may give any further public clarity on Colby's review of Aukus, which was initially described as a 30-day process. The start date of the review is unclear, but it is now 30 days since it was publicly announced. On Insiders, Conroy also declined to respond to reports that Trump may seek further costs from Canberra to fulfil the Aukus submarine deal, which would see the US sell several older ships to Canberra before new assets are constructed onshore in Australia. 'Let's see what the review finds. I'm confident it will support Aukus, just as our review of Aukus found, just as the UK review of Aukus found that. It's in the national interest of all three countries. It will contribute to deterrence as well as grow 20,000 jobs in Australia. Let's see what the US review comes forward with, then we'll react accordingly,' he said. Guardian Australia reported this week that Labor sources don't expect the review to be completed for months, while a Pentagon spokesperson said last week there was no public timeline for the work. Conroy said he didn't believe the report had been completed. The foreign affairs minister, Penny Wong, met her Chinese counterpart Wang Yi at the Asean summit in Malaysia on Friday. Government sources said she raised a number of Australian concerns with Beijing, including the circumnavigation of Australia by a Chinese naval taskforce and live-fire exercises, as well as unsafe actions in the South China Sea. Wong also raised concerns about the detention of Dr Yang Hengjun, Australia's opposition to the death penalty, and human rights in Xinjiang, Tibet and Hong Kong.