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Refi Rates Dip Since Last Week: Mortgage Refinance Rates for July 3, 2025

Refi Rates Dip Since Last Week: Mortgage Refinance Rates for July 3, 2025

CNET6 hours ago
For the vast majority of homeowners, there's currently little financial incentive to refinance their mortgages. So far in 2025, average mortgage rates have remained elevated, consistently hovering between 6.5% and 7% due to ongoing economic uncertainty.
"If rates fall below 6%, we could see a big jump in refinance activity," said Jeb Smith, licensed real estate agent and member of CNET Money's expert review board. Yet economists and housing market experts aren't expecting a dramatic drop-off in rates in the immediate future.
Mortgage refinance rates fluctuate daily based on a range of economic and political factors. For more insights on where rates might be headed, check out our weekly mortgage rate forecast.
When mortgage rates start to fall, be ready to take advantage. Experts recommend shopping around and comparing multiple offers to get the lowest rate. Enter your information here to get a custom quote from one of CNET's partner lenders.
About these rates: Bankrate's tool features rates from partner lenders that you can use when comparing multiple mortgage rates.
Today's refinance rate trends
At the start of 2025, many expected inflation to keep cooling down and the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, which would have gradually lowered mortgage refinance rates.
However, after cutting interest rates three times last year, the Fed has held rates steady in 2025 to observe how President Trump's policies on trade, immigration and government spending will affect the economy.
The central bank is expected to resume cutting rates as early as September, but this will not immediately result in lower mortgage rates.
While the Fed's policy decisions guide borrowing costs across the economy, they don't have a 1:1 relationship with mortgage rates, which are set in the bond market.
As of now, the Fed is expected to make two 0.25% rate reductions this year. If inflation increases due to tariffs, policymakers may hold off on easing borrowing costs until later, which would keep upward pressure on mortgage refinance rates.
What to expect from refinance rates next year
Most housing forecasts still call for a modest decline in mortgage rates, with average 30-year fixed rates expected to end the year around below 6.5%. For refinancing to become significantly more affordable, though, we need to see multiple interest rate cuts and weaker economic data.
Overall, it's unlikely we'll see another refinancing boom like the one in 2020-21 when mortgage rates were exceptionally low around 3%. Nevertheless, refinancing might be beneficial for other reasons, like changing the type of home loan, term length or taking someone off the mortgage.
What to know about refinancing
When you refinance your mortgage, you take out another home loan that pays off your initial mortgage. With a traditional refinance, your new home loan will have a different term and/or interest rate. With a cash-out refinance, you'll tap into your equity with a new loan that's bigger than your existing mortgage balance, allowing you to pocket the difference in cash.
Refinancing can be a great financial move if you score a low rate or can pay off your home loan in less time, but consider whether it's the right choice for you. Reducing your interest rate by 1% or more is an incentive to refinance, allowing you to cut your monthly payment significantly.
But refinancing your mortgage isn't free. Since you're taking out a whole new home loan, you'll need to pay another set of closing costs. If you fall into that pool of homeowners who purchased property when rates were high, consider reaching out to your lender and running the numbers to see whether a mortgage refinance makes sense for your budget, said Logan Mohtashami, lead analyst at HousingWire.
How to select the right refinance type and term
The rates advertised online often require specific conditions for eligibility. Your personal interest rate will be influenced by market conditions as well as your specific credit history, financial profile and application. Having a high credit score, a low credit utilization ratio and a history of consistent and on-time payments will generally help you get the best interest rates.
30-year fixed-rate refinance
The average rate for a 30-year fixed refinance loan is currently 6.82%, a decrease of 2 basis points over this time last week. (A basis point is equivalent to 0.01%.) A 30-year fixed refinance will typically have lower monthly payments than a 15-year or 10-year refinance, but it will take you longer to pay off and typically cost you more in interest over the long term.
15-year fixed-rate refinance
The average rate for a 15-year fixed refinance loan is currently 6.05%, a decrease of 3 basis points over last week. Though a 15-year fixed refinance will most likely raise your monthly payment compared to a 30-year loan, you'll save more money over time because you're paying off your loan quicker. Also, 15-year refinance rates are typically lower than 30-year refinance rates, which will help you save more in the long run.
10-year fixed-rate refinance
The average 10-year fixed refinance rate right now is 6.01%, an increase of 1 basis point from what we saw the previous week. A 10-year refinance typically has the lowest interest rate but the highest monthly payment of all refinance terms. A 10-year refinance can help you pay off your house much quicker and save on interest, but make sure you can afford the steeper monthly payment.
To get the best refinance rates, make your application as strong as possible by getting your finances in order, using credit responsibly and monitoring your credit regularly. And don't forget to speak with multiple lenders and shop around.
Does refinancing make sense?
Homeowners usually refinance to save money, but there are other reasons to do so. Here are the most common reasons homeowners refinance:
To get a lower interest rate: If you can secure a rate that's at least 1% lower than the one on your current mortgage, it could make sense to refinance.
If you can secure a rate that's at least 1% lower than the one on your current mortgage, it could make sense to refinance. To switch the type of mortgage: If you have an adjustable-rate mortgage and want greater security, you could refinance to a fixed-rate mortgage.
If you have an adjustable-rate mortgage and want greater security, you could refinance to a fixed-rate mortgage. To eliminate mortgage insurance: If you have an FHA loan that requires mortgage insurance, you can refinance to a conventional loan once you have 20% equity.
If you have an FHA loan that requires mortgage insurance, you can refinance to a conventional loan once you have 20% equity. To change the length of a loan term: Refinancing to a longer loan term could lower your monthly payment. Refinancing to a shorter term will save you interest in the long run.
Refinancing to a longer loan term could lower your monthly payment. Refinancing to a shorter term will save you interest in the long run. To tap into your equity through a cash-out refinance: If you replace your mortgage with a larger loan, you can receive the difference in cash to cover a large expense.
If you replace your mortgage with a larger loan, you can receive the difference in cash to cover a large expense. To take someone off the mortgage: In case of divorce, you can apply for a new home loan in just your name and use the funds to pay off your existing mortgage.
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Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq climb after better-than-expected jobs report
Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq climb after better-than-expected jobs report

Yahoo

time11 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq climb after better-than-expected jobs report

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(DDOG) stock jumped 11% before the bell on Thursday after it was announced it would be joining the S&P 500. Datadog, which makes monitoring and analytic programs, will join the S&P 500 on July 9, replacing Juniper Networks, which was acquired by Hewlett Packard Enterprise. Robinhood (HOOD) stock fell over 1% in premarket trading following OpenAI's statement that Robinhood's sale of 'OpenAI tokens' will not give everyday consumers equity — or stock — in OpenAI, the company said in a post from its official newsroom account on X. Tripadvisor (TRIP) stock rose 6% before the bell following a report that activist investor Starboard Value has taken a stake of more than 9% in the travel review group. UK stocks and bonds bounced back from Wednesday's sharp selloff as Keir Starmer said Rachel Reeves will retain her role as finance minister for many years to come. 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After that, the remaining holidays in 2025 observed by the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq are: Read more here about the 10 stock market holidays in 2025. Software companies Synopsys (SNPS) and Cadence (CDNS) rose in premarket trading by over 5% after the US removed export restrictions on chip design software shipments to China, easing trade tensions between the two countries. China recently made concessions over its rare earth export controls. Synopsys, Cadence and Siemens said they will now restore access for their Chinese customers. These firms develop important electronic design automation tools used in chipmaking. The US also lifted licensing rules for ethane producers. Earlier restrictions were part of Trump's response to China blocking rare earth exports, which had disrupted supply chains for cars, aerospace and defence industries. Reuters reports: Read more here. Oil prices slipped after posting their strongest gain in nearly two weeks, as investors monitored ongoing US trade negotiations and an upcoming OPEC+ meeting this weekend. Bloomberg reports: Brent (BZ=F) traded near $69 a barrel after surging by 3% on Wednesday, with West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) above $67. President Donald Trump said he had struck a trade deal with Vietnam, which would be just the third announced following agreements with the UK and China, before a July 9 deadline to reach accords. Crude has been buffeted in recent weeks, surging and collapsing along with perceived geopolitical risk in the Middle East, although volatility and volumes have fallen in recent days before Friday's US holiday. Focus is returning to trade talks, and the associated tariffs that threaten oil demand, as well as to Sunday's OPEC+ meeting, where the group is widely expected to agree on another bumper increase in supply quotas. 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The US labor market continues to surprise and the unemployment rate, against the odds, is falling
The US labor market continues to surprise and the unemployment rate, against the odds, is falling

San Francisco Chronicle​

time11 minutes ago

  • San Francisco Chronicle​

The US labor market continues to surprise and the unemployment rate, against the odds, is falling

U.S. employers added 147,000 jobs in June as the American labor market continues to show surprising resilience despite uncertainty over President Donald Trump's economic policies. The unemployment rate ticked down to 4.1% from 4.2% in May, the Labor Department said Thursday. Hiring rose modestly from a revised 144,000 in May and beat economists expectations of fewer than 118,000 new jobs and a rise in the unemployment rate The U.S. job market has cooled considerably from red-hot days of 2021-2023 when the economy bounced back with unexpected strength from COVID-19 lockdowns and companies were desperate for workers. So far this year, employers have added an average 130,000 jobs a month, down from 168,000 in 2024 and an average 400,000 from 2021 through 2023. And, according to the data released Thursday, it's getting harder to find a new job if you lose one. But the June numbers were surprisingly strong. Healthcare jobs increased by 39,000. State governments added 47,000 workers and local governments 33,000. But the federal government lost 7,000, probably reflecting Trump's hiring freeze. Manufacturers shed 7,000 jobs. Labor Department revisions added 16,000 jobs to April and June payrolls. The number of unemployed people fell by 222,000. Average hourly wages came in cooler than forecasters expected, rising 0.2% from May and 3.7% from a year earlier. The year-over-year number is inching closer to the 3.5% year-over-year number considered consistent with the Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target. The U.S. labor force — the count of those working and looking for work — fell by 130,000 last month following a 625,000 drop in May. Economists expect Trump's immigration deportations — and the fear of them — to push foreign workers out of the labor force. Hiring decelerated after the Fed raised its benchmark interest rate 11 times in 2022 and 2023. But the economy did not collapse, defying widespread predictions that the higher borrowing costs would cause a recession. Companies kept hiring, just at a more modest pace. Employers are now contending with fallout from Trump's policies, especially his aggressive use of import taxes – tariffs. Mainstream economists say that tariffs raise prices for businesses and consumers alike and make the economy less efficient by reducing competition. They also invite retaliatory tariffs from other countries, hurting U.S. exporters. The erratic way that Trump has rolled out his tariffs — announcing and then suspending them, then coming up with new ones — has left businesses bewildered. The upside surprise in June payrolls likely will encourage the Fed to continue its wait-and-see policy of leaving rates unchanged until it has a better idea of how Trump's tariffs and other policies will affect inflation and the job market. The Fed cut rates three times last year after inflation cooled but has turned cautious in 2025. "Today's results are more than positive enough to reduce expectations for Fed rate cuts in the wake of tariffs and policy chaos, at least for now,'' Carl B. Weinberg, chief economist at High Frequency Economics, wrote in a commentary. With unemployment low, most Americans enjoy job security. But as hiring has cooled over the past couple of years it's become harder for young people or those re-entering the workforce to find jobs, leading to longer job searches or longer spells of unemployment. The Labor Department said the number of discouraged workers, who believe no jobs are available for them, rose by 256,000 last month to 637,000. When he was laid off earlier this year from his job as a communications manager for a city government in the Seattle area, Derek Wing braced for the worst. 'The word I would use is: 'terrifying''' to describe the experience, he said. Lots of big local employers like Microsoft continue to cut jobs. And he'd heard horror stories of people applying for jobs and then – crickets. 'I had a couple of experiences where I would apply for a job and just feel like it was going out into the ether and never hearing back,'' he said. But Wing's fortunes turned quickly. He applied for an opening with Gesa Credit Union. 'When I saw the job, it immediately felt right,'' he said. 'I actually told my wife: 'This is the job I want.'' Six weeks later – 'superfast in this economy'' -- he had a job as a communications strategist for Gesa. The Richland, Washington, credit union had revamped its hiring process to be easier and more transparent for applicants when it was tough to find workers in the hiring boom that followed the COVID-19 pandemic. 'It was really an employee's market for a while,'' said Cheryl Adamson, Gesa's chief risk officer. 'Then the winds have shifted a little bit more in favor of the employer.''

Trump: Fed's Powell 'should resign immediately'
Trump: Fed's Powell 'should resign immediately'

Yahoo

time11 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Trump: Fed's Powell 'should resign immediately'

President Trump said Jerome Powell "should resign immediately" in a Truth Social post Wednesday night, increasing a White House pressure campaign on the Federal Reserve chairman that has been intensifying this week. Trump started the week by publicly criticizing the Fed and Powell for not lowering rates. He posted a note he sent to Powell telling the Fed chair, "Jerome—You are, as usual, 'Too Late,'" and arguing that he has "cost the USA a fortune." His press secretary held up the note at the White House on Monday so reporters could see it. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent then, in separate TV interviews, compared the Fed to an old person who is afraid of falling after having stumbled once and said, "I guess this tariff derangement syndrome happens even over at the Fed," referring to concerns Powell and other Fed officials have voiced about inflation from Trump's tariffs. When Trump used Truth Social Wednesday night to urge Powell's resignation, referring to him again with the nickname "Too Late," he linked to a news story that detailed calls made by yet another member of his administration, Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Bill Pulte, for Congress to investigate Powell over statements made to Senate lawmakers about renovations to the Fed's headquarters. Pulte has also called on Powell to resign. "I am asking Congress to investigate Chairman Jerome Powell, his political bias, and his deceptive Senate testimony, which is enough to be removed 'for cause,'" Pulte said Wednesday in a post on X. Read more: How much control does the president have over the Fed and interest rates? When Powell testified before Senate lawmakers last month, Republican senators asked him about media reports that described the expenses and features of the Fed renovation project in Washington, D.C. Powell said the reports were "misleading and inaccurate in many, many respects." Republican Sen. Cynthia Lummis said in a statement to Yahoo Finance, "This is the Federal Reserve, not a modern-day Palace of Versailles, and it's clear his inability to set aside his own biases in favor of sound policies proves it's time for new leadership at the Fed," echoing a statement she also posted on X. "I am happy President Trump is considering new leadership at the Fed." There is now a short list of people who could succeed Powell as the next Federal Reserve chair when his term expires next May, according to people close to the administration. They include former Fed governor Kevin Warsh, National Economic Council director Kevin Hassett, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, former World Bank president David Malpass, and current Fed governor Christopher Waller. Trump told reporters Tuesday, "I have two or three top choices," roughly a week after saying, "I know within three or four people who I'm going to pick." Read more: How jobs, inflation, and the Fed are all related One option being contemplated by the administration, Bessent said this week, is that Trump appoints a new person to the Fed's board of governors to fill a new 14-year seat that opens up with the scheduled departure of Fed governor Adriana Kugler on Jan. 31, and "that person will go on to be chair when Powell leaves in May." "Or we could appoint the new chair in May. Unfortunately, that's just a two-year seat,' he added in an interview with Bloomberg. That second scenario implies that Powell would also step down from the Fed's board of governors. His term as a member of the board of governors does not expire until 2028. Powell has not said whether he intends to remain as a member of the board of governors through the end of his term. Bessent raised that same scenario in an interview on Thursday with Fox. "We get to hopefully fill two seats next year," he said. Powell has said that his removal from the job before his term ends next May is not permitted by law and that he intends to serve out the full term as chair. This week, he declined again to say if he would serve out his term as a Fed governor until 2028, telling a moderator of a monetary policy panel in Portugal, "I have nothing for you on that today." Trump has delivered mixed messages about whether he would try to remove Powell before his term ends, saying in an April 17 post, "Powell's termination cannot come fast enough!" before saying April 22 that he had "no intention of firing him." When asked Tuesday if Trump's attacks made it more difficult for Powell to do his job, the Fed chairman said, "I'm very focused on just doing my job." He added that "the things that matter are using our tools to achieve the goals that Congress has given us — maximum employment, price stability, financial stability — and that's what we focus on 100%." Powell's response was met with applause from other participants on the panel and the audience in the room. He also said on Tuesday, "I want to hand over to my successor an economy in good shape. That's what keeps me awake at night." Powell didn't rule out an interest rate reduction at the Fed's next meeting on July 28-29, but he noted the central bank would have cut rates by now if not for the tariffs introduced by the Trump administration. "We went on hold when we saw the size of the tariffs, and essentially all inflation forecasts for the United States went up materially as a consequence of the tariffs," he said. The Fed lowered rates by a full percentage point in 2024 but has held rates steady so far in 2025 as it waits to see if inflation will pick up this summer due to the tariffs. "I wouldn't take any meeting off the table or put it directly on the table," Powell said when asked about the possibility of a cut in July. "It's going to depend on how the data evolved." Click here for in-depth analysis of the latest stock market news and events moving stock prices Sign in to access your portfolio

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