Baltimore Orioles at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions
Season series: First meeting; Orioles won 2-1 in 2024
The Orioles limp in with consecutive losses to the Texas Rangers Tuesday and Wednesday by a combined score of 16-2. The Orioles pitching staff has been banged around for 6 or more runs in 3 straight games and 7 of the previous 8 outings.
There weren't a ton of bright spots last time out, as the O's were held to just 5 total hits. SS Gunnar Henderson had a double in 4 at-bats, but he also struck out 3 times.
The Braves dropped an interleague series to the visiting Los Angeles Angels earlier this week, and Atlanta has lost or split each of the past 4 series since sweeping the New York Mets at home June 17-19. The Braves are just 2-6 in the past 8 games.
Braves 1B Matt Olson has hit safely in 10 consecutive games, including a grand slam in Wednesday's game against the Angels. He has raised his average from .250 to .267 as a result of the 10-game run just since June 22.
Orioles at Braves projected starters
RHP Charlie Morton vs. RHP Spencer Strider
Morton (4-7, 5.63 ERA) makes his 13th start and 19th appearance. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 72 innings.
Strider (3-6, 3.86 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 49 innings.
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Orioles at Braves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:01 p.m. ET.
Orioles at Braves picks and predictions
Braves 6, Orioles 2
Moneyline
The BRAVES (-185) are a little on the pricey side at home, but they're a decent play against old friend Morton. The right-handed veteran has struggled this season, and he surrendered 12 homers last season at Truist Park as a member of the Braves.
While Atlanta hasn't exactly lit the world afire lately, Baltimore has actually been a bit worse. With Strider on the hill, Atlanta has a good chance to get off on the right foot in this interleague set.
Run line/Against the spread
If you're less conservative, BRAVES -1.5 (+115) could offer better value at plus-money. The Orioles are, inexplicably, 5-1 in Morton's last 6 starts, so proceed with caution. However, he has been mostly a disaster on the road and was very giving at Truist Park last season as a member of the Braves. Look for Atlanta to get to him early. In fact, betting BRAVES -0.5 (-130) – FIRST 5 INNINGS is also a recommended play.
Over/Under
UNDER 8.5 (+100) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at best.
The O's have cashed the Under in 5 of the past 7 games on the road, while plating just 2 total runs in the past 2 games.
For the Braves, the Under is 4-1 in the past 5 games, while cashing low in each of Strider's past 3 starts at home.
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