10-Year Treasury Notes Are Firing Up. How Much Higher Can They Go?
See on the daily bar chart for September U.S. Treasury note futures that prices are now trending up and have just hit a two-month high. See, too, at the bottom of the chart that the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator is in a bullish posture as the red MACD line is above the blue trigger line and both lines are trending up. Bulls have the near-term technical advantage, which means the path of least resistance for prices is presently sideways to higher.
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Fundamentally, there are growing notions in the marketplace that U.S. interest rates will come down yet this year. Recent weaker U.S. economic numbers and tamer U.S. inflation data suggest such. Also, President Donald Trump's administration is putting heavy pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.
A move in September T-Note futures prices above chart resistance at Tuesday's high of 112.125 would become a buying opportunity. The upside price objective would be 115-000, or above. Technical support, for which to place a protective sell stop just below, is located at 111-120.
IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It is my goal to point out to you potential trading opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when and if you want to initiate any trades and (2) determine the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I discuss are hypothetical in nature.
Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):
Trading commodity futures and options is not for everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS. Before you invest any money in futures or options contracts, you should consider your financial experience, goals and financial resources, and know how much you can afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a broker. You should understand commodity futures and options contracts and your obligations in entering into those contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.
On the date of publication, Jim Wyckoff did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. This article was originally published on Barchart.com
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