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Tariff clock ticks away: Indian exporters dread what Trump might bring two days from now

Tariff clock ticks away: Indian exporters dread what Trump might bring two days from now

Economic Times4 days ago
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With Trump 's tariff deadline almost at hand, Indian exporters are facing a greatly uncertain landscape. Orders are being held back as businesses await clarity on the US President's next steps, the Times of India reported on July 30. According to Sudhir Sekhri, chairman of the Apparel Export Promotion Council, the situation remains quite unpredictable.American store shelves are running low, but many buyers are delaying production until the tariff situation becomes clearer, Sekhri told ToI's Sidhartha.As the deadline for tariffs draws near, the focus remains on how the unfolding developments will shape the future of Indian exports. With discussions set to resume on August 25, there remains a glimmer of hope for a last-minute resolution. However, for now, uncertainty reigns, leaving exporters in a precarious position as they navigate the complexities of international trade.Kirit Bhansali, the chairman of the Gem & Jewellery Export Promotion Council, shared a similar sentiment. While he remains hopeful for a favourable outcome for India, he acknowledged that the current tariff uncertainty has already affected order volumes.While some shipments are being processed at a 10% duty, many buyers are holding off, having stocked up during a shipping rush in April.These concerns extend beyond the apparel and jewellery sectors. Satish Wagh, chairman of Chemexcil, noted that the marginal growth of just 0.1% in exports to the US during the April to June 2025 period indicates stagnation, likely due to the looming tariff announcements.There has been a notable decline in shipments of agrochemicals and dye intermediates, suggesting that buyers may be reconsidering their inventory needs or renegotiating contracts in light of potential price increases.Despite the challenges, trade officials remain cautiously optimistic. Ajai Sahay, director general of Fieo, pointed out that while the delay in the India-US Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) is concerning, it is unlikely to hinder long-term trade prospects.Both exporters and importers recognise that a deal will eventually be reached and are willing to absorb short-term costs in anticipation of better conditions, Sahay said.The garment sector is particularly strained. China has ramped up its exports to Europe, capitalising on the tariffs imposed by the US, which has made it harder for Indian exporters to compete.Sekhri informed that during this lean season from May to August, Indian exporters typically operate at around 70% capacity. However, the current situation has reduced this to about 50%, further complicating matters.
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Meet Arvinder ‘Arvi' Bahal, Agra-born man to fly to edge of space today on Blue Origin NS-34 mission
Meet Arvinder ‘Arvi' Bahal, Agra-born man to fly to edge of space today on Blue Origin NS-34 mission

Hindustan Times

time13 minutes ago

  • Hindustan Times

Meet Arvinder ‘Arvi' Bahal, Agra-born man to fly to edge of space today on Blue Origin NS-34 mission

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It's Trump's economy now. The latest financial numbers offer some warning signs
It's Trump's economy now. The latest financial numbers offer some warning signs

Indian Express

time13 minutes ago

  • Indian Express

It's Trump's economy now. The latest financial numbers offer some warning signs

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When Friday's jobs report turned out to be decidedly bleak, Trump ignored the warnings in the data and fired the head of the agency that produces the monthly jobs figures. 'Important numbers like this must be fair and accurate, they can't be manipulated for political purposes,' Trump said on Truth Social, without offering evidence for his claim. 'The Economy is BOOMING.' It's possible that the disappointing numbers are growing pains from the rapid transformation caused by Trump and that stronger growth will return — or they may be a preview of even more disruption to come. Trump's aggressive use of tariffs, executive actions, spending cuts and tax code changes carries significant political risk if he is unable to deliver middle-class prosperity. The effects of his new tariffs are still several months away from rippling through the economy, right as many Trump allies in Congress will be campaigning in the midterm elections. 'Considering how early we are in his term, Trump's had an unusually big impact on the economy already,' said Alex Conant, a Republican strategist at Firehouse Strategies. 'The full inflationary impact of the tariffs won't be felt until 2026. Unfortunately for Republicans, that's also an election year.' The White House portrayed the blitz of trade frameworks leading up to Thursday's tariff announcement as proof of his negotiating prowess. The European Union, Japan, South Korea, the Philippines, Indonesia and other nations that the White House declined to name agreed that the US could increase its tariffs on their goods without doing the same to American products. Trump simply set rates on other countries that lacked settlements. The costs of those tariffs — taxes paid on imports to the US — will be most felt by many Americans in the form of higher prices, but to what extent remains uncertain. 'For the White House and their allies, a key part of managing the expectations and politics of the Trump economy is maintaining vigilance when it comes to public perceptions,' said Kevin Madden, a Republican strategist. Just 38% of adults approve of Trump's handling of the economy, according to a July poll by The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs. That's down from the end of Trump's first term when half of adults approved of his economic leadership. The White House paints a rosier image, seeing the economy emerging from a period of uncertainty after Trump's restructuring and repeating the economic gains seen in his first term before the pandemic struck. 'President Trump is implementing the very same policy mix of deregulation, fairer trade, and pro-growth tax cuts at an even bigger scale – as these policies take effect, the best is yet to come,' White House spokesman Kush Desai said. The economic numbers over the past week show the difficulties that Trump might face if the numbers continue on their current path: — Friday's jobs report showed that US employers have shed 37,000 manufacturing jobs since Trump's tariff launch in April, undermining prior White House claims of a factory revival. — Net hiring has plummeted over the past three months with job gains of just 73,000 in July, 14,000 in June and 19,000 in May — a combined 258,000 jobs lower than previously indicated. On average last year, the economy added 168,000 jobs a month. — A Thursday inflation report showed that prices have risen 2.6% over the year that ended in June, an increase in the personal consumption expenditures price index from 2.2% in April. Prices of heavily imported items, such as appliances, furniture, and toys and games, jumped from May to June. — On Wednesday, a report on gross domestic product — the broadest measure of the US economy — showed that it grew at an annual rate of less than 1.3% during the first half of the year, down sharply from 2.8% growth last year. 'The economy's just kind of slogging forward,' said Guy Berger, senior fellow at the Burning Glass Institute, which studies employment trends. 'Yes, the unemployment rate's not going up, but we're adding very few jobs. The economy's been growing very slowly. It just looks like a 'meh' economy is continuing.' Trump has sought to pin the blame for any economic troubles on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, saying the Fed should cut its benchmark interest rates even though doing so could generate more inflation. Trump has publicly backed two Fed governors, Christoper Waller and Michelle Bowman, for voting for rate cuts at Wednesday's meeting. 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'He seems determined to impose steep, universal tariffs on all imported goods brought into this country on the mistaken belief that foreign countries will bear the cost of those tariffs rather than the American consumer,' Biden said. 'I believe this approach is a major mistake.'

India's US crude oil imports surge over 50% in first half of 2025; LNG, LPG trade also expands: Report
India's US crude oil imports surge over 50% in first half of 2025; LNG, LPG trade also expands: Report

Time of India

time23 minutes ago

  • Time of India

India's US crude oil imports surge over 50% in first half of 2025; LNG, LPG trade also expands: Report

AI-image India has significantly ramped up its crude oil imports from the United States during President Donald Trump's second term, marking a major shift in its energy sourcing strategy, according to official trade data, reported ANI- quoting sources. Imports of US crude rose over 50 per cent in the first half of 2025 compared to the same period last year. From January to June 25, India imported an average of 0.271 million barrels per day (mb/d), up from 0.18 mb/d during the same timeframe in 2024. The uptick has been especially sharp in recent months. Imports during the April-June 2025 quarter soared 114 per cent year-on-year, with the value rising from $1.73 billion in Q1 of FY24-25 to $3.7 billion in Q1 of FY25-26. 'So, in July 2025, India imported 23 per cent more crude oil from the US compared to June 2025. In India's overall crude imports, while the US share was only 3 per cent, it increased to 8 per cent in July. Furthermore, in the financial year (2025-2026), Indian companies would increase their crude oil import by 150 per cent,' the ANI sources said. The energy trade expansion is not limited to crude. Imports of liquefied natural gas (LNG) from the US nearly doubled — rising from $1.41 billion in FY2023-24 to $2.46 billion in FY2024-25. by Taboola by Taboola Sponsored Links Sponsored Links Promoted Links Promoted Links You May Like Villas Prices In Dubai Might Be More Affordable Than You Think Villas In Dubai | Search Ads Get Quote Undo Liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) imports have also grown significantly. Negotiations are reportedly underway for a multi-billion dollar long-term LNG supply agreement. The growth in bilateral energy trade comes amid continued affirmations of strong diplomatic ties between the two nations. Ministry of External Affairs on Friday, reiterated its confidence in the strength of the Indo-US partnership. 'India and the United States share a comprehensive global strategic partnership anchored in shared interests, democratic values, and robust people-to-people ties. This partnership has weathered several transitions and challenges. We remain focused on the substantive agenda that our two countries have committed to and are confident that the relationship will continue to move forward,' MEA spokesperson Randhir Jaiswal said at a scheduled press conference. However, this trade relation faced a setback when Trump announced 25 per cent tariffs on India. He said that India would face a 25 per cent tariff, "plus a penalty for the above, starting on August 1"; later changed to August 7. The White House justified the move by citing India's 'obnoxious non-monetary trade barriers,' persistent trade imbalances, and strong energy and defence ties with Russia. In another remark posted on Truth Social, Trump said, "I don't care what India does with Russia. They can take their dead economies down together, for all I care. We have done very little business with India, their Tariffs are too high, among the highest in the World. Likewise, Russia and the USA do almost no business together. Let's keep it that way..." Also read: India continuing to buy oil from Russia- Report rebuts Donald Trump's 'good steps' claim Stay informed with the latest business news, updates on bank holidays and public holidays . Discover stories of India's leading eco-innovators at Ecopreneur Honours 2025

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