Top NBA free-agent power forwards: Julius Randle cashes in after fine postseason
Minnesota Timberwolves All-Star Julius Randle isn't hitting the market. The potential top power forward available agreed to a three-year, $100 million contract to remain with the back-to-back Western Conference finalists.
Still, the power forward market offers an interesting mix of proven players and young talent carving out their place in the league.
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Let's break down the potential top power forwards in this year's free-agent market, with the negotiating window opening at 6 p.m. ET Monday.
(Note: Positions are being determined off Basketball-Reference's positional breakdowns, meaning a player will be listed at the position in which he played the most minutes.)
Free-agent position rankings: Point guards | Shooting guards | Small forwards | Centers
1. Julius Randle, Minnesota Timberwolves
Status: Agreed to 3-year, $100 deal
It was genuinely nice to see Randle break his pattern of poor playoff performance and raise his value.
His timing couldn't have been better, as he reached a new deal, knowing full well how much the Timberwolves need his all-around offensive game and how well he seems to mesh with Anthony Edwards.
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Things should keep rolling along in Minnesota.
2. Jonathan Kuminga, Golden State Warriors
Status: Restricted free agent
Oh boy. Kuminga and the Warriors will need to figure this one out together, even if it looks like the two sides desperately want to split. Kuminga's contract status makes it difficult for the Warriors to explore sign-and-trades, and losing him for nothing would be a significant hit.
Kuminga's athleticism, overall scoring prowess and raw upside are intriguing, so his camp will undoubtedly hope the Nets take a kind eye to him and hand over an expensive offer sheet.
What makes sense: If no offer sheet comes, Kuminga should sign a short-term deal with the Warriors, with the shared understanding they'll try to move him before the 2026 trade deadline.
3. John Collins, Utah Jazz
Status: Exercised $26,580,000 player option
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Collins has enjoyed two good years in Utah, finally showing his decline in Atlanta was due to situational factors outside of his control.
That said, Collins is who he is: a high-scoring power forward who can rebound the heck out of the ball, and that's … mostly it. This isn't to say he doesn't have value, but interested teams have to be aware of the kind of player he is and not expect him to do much more.
What makes sense: While Collins has spent two years reshaping the narrative around him, there just isn't a lot of money out there this summer. Picking up the player option and kicking the decision down the road for a year is a wise decision.
4. Al Horford, Boston Celtics
Status: Unrestricted free agent
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The 39-year-old big man remains as fundamentally solid as ever, but his athleticism has taken a hit, and it's clear Father Time is hastily tracking his steps.
Horford, though, is a thinker — and a damn good one — who has a knack for finding solutions to the limitations attached to his own game. He should have at least one more year in him, if he so chooses.
What makes sense: Horford and Boston go well together. The system allows him to be the best possible version of himself, and the Celtics still need big-man depth. A one-year deal seems logical.
5. Santi Aldama, Memphis Grizzlies
Status: Restricted free agent
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Aldama, 24, is just getting started. The 6-11 big man has the touch of a wing, is capable of making 3-point shots and still does a lot of the big-man stuff in which he utilizes his size.
It's not great timing for Aldama to reach the free-agent market, given the lack of available money, but that doesn't mean there won't be interest.
What makes sense: Aldama shouldn't settle for a highly discounted deal. He's simply too good and too young to end up on a long-term deal that's too team-friendly. If anything, he can offer Memphis a short-term solution, which allows him the flexibility to become an unrestricted free agent sooner and for Memphis to possibly shop him later and get something in return.
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Best of the rest
Khris Middleton, Washington Wizards
Status: Exercised $34,012,345 player option
There's no denying the current version of Middleton is a far cry from the prime version. Injuries and age have turned him into a role player as opposed to a two-way star. But that doesn't mean he can't be effective. He's broadly seen as a leader.
Bobby Portis, Milwaukee Bucks
Status: Player option
Value of option: $13,445,754
From a production perspective, Portis should probably be in a higher salary bracket, albeit not aggressively higher. The Bucks should unquestionably be interested in getting Portis back, even if they have to pay him more on a new deal.
Dorian Finney-Smith, Los Angeles Lakers
Status: Declined $15,378,480 player option
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Defensively versatile combo forwards who can play a bit of center should have a market.
Finney-Smith is no exception. That said, will that market pay him more than his option? If he's given long-term money, probably, but then it'd have to be worth it.
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New York Times
11 minutes ago
- New York Times
How Jalen Green and Devin Booker can co-exist in a Suns backcourt and reversal
PHOENIX — As the Phoenix Suns rebuild their roster, adding size, length and toughness, their success next season likely will come down to a key question: How will players wired to score like Devin Booker and Jalen Green co-exist in the same backcourt? Booker, 28, is an organizational pillar, eligible this summer for a two-year extension worth $150 million that will keep him in place through the 2030-31 season. He is Phoenix's career scoring leader and arguably a top-15 player in the league. Problem is, Booker last season was not at his best. Although he put up strong numbers, his shooting percentages were among the worst of his career. He needs to rebound. Advertisement Green, 23, is the centerpiece of a recent trade that sent superstar Kevin Durant to the Houston Rockets. Once one of America's top high school prospects, the athletic 6-foot-4 guard skipped college and played a season for the G League Ignite before the Rockets selected him with the No. 2 pick of the 2021 draft. Green played in Houston for four seasons, averaging 20.1 points and 3.4 assists. To help better understand how this might work, The Athletic talked with four coaches who have worked with Green at the pro level, and a 10-year NBA veteran who works as a television analyst for the Rockets. Their experiences with Green reveal his path to this point, and it might provide a glimpse of his future. Rasheed Hazzard was an assistant coach with the Ignite. In Walnut Creek, Calif., he lived in the same apartment complex as Green during their season together in the G League. When Hazzard opened his door, Green lived to his left and Jonathan Kuminga, a forward the Golden State Warriors would select seventh in the 2021 draft, lived diagonally to his right. Hazzard often made the two future NBA players breakfast — eggs with olive oil, avocado and crushed red pepper. The first thing that jumped out to Hazzard was Green's athletic ability. The guard would throw down dunks in practice that would leave coaches shaking their heads. The second thing Hazzard noticed: Green's competitive drive. Hazzard said that, during an early Ignite workout, the coaching staff matched Green with a veteran and told them to play 1-on-1. Green made a move, drove baseline and dunked on the vet, wanting to prove a point. For the entire season, Hazzard doesn't even recall Green losing a team sprint. The jump shot needed work, but the right attitude was there. 'Had he gone to college, he would've gotten in those shooting drills that college coaches put you through, so he would've gotten his reps in,' Hazzard said. 'It would've really helped him. We didn't get to make the tweaks and changes we probably would've made had the circumstances been a little different. We spent more time just trying to make as many corrections as we could within the framework of what he was doing.' Will Weaver and John Lucas were assistant coaches with the Rockets. Weaver coached Green in the NBA Summer League not long after the 2021 draft. In their second game, the Rockets played the Detroit Pistons, which featured the draft's first overall pick in Cade Cunningham. Weaver noticed a rivalry between Green and Cunningham. Advertisement 'First play, we ran it for Jalen,' Weaver said. 'They trapped his pick-and-roll and instinctively he made a perfect pocket pass to the big, which is a very sophisticated, unselfish, veteran-type play to make in a vacuum, much less your (second) Summer League game against the guy that you're trying to prove yourself against. You would've forgiven him for just trying to split it and go dunk on somebody, which he surely has the capacity to do, but I thought that was a really salient indication of who he is at his core.' A 14-year NBA veteran and longtime coach, Lucas recalled thinking of Green as just a really talented AAU player. But the rookie proved to be a quick study. Whatever Lucas asked, Green did. Meet in the gym for extra work at 6 a.m.? Green was there. Lucas worked with Green on his jumper. He worked with him on his defense. 'We still got some work to do,' Lucas said of Green's defense. 'That's the last piece that comes for an NBA player because everybody wants to score. They don't realize until they've won a little how important the defensive side of the ball is.' Stephen Silas was Houston's head coach for Green's first NBA two seasons. These were difficult, rebuilding years for the Rockets. They won 20 games in Green's first season, 22 in his second. Green, a starter from his first game, had to grow under fire. 'The way we were constructed wasn't necessarily to win, but it was for development for those guys,' Silas said. 'Jalen understood the big picture, but it didn't make it any less rough. He learned how to deal with adversity, learned how to be the leading scorer on the team and have a lot of responsibility that comes along with that. As a young kid, he was really just trying to figure it out.' The Rockets fired Silas after the 2022-23 season and hired Ime Udoka. They also added experience, trading for defensive ace Dillon Brooks (who will also come to Phoenix as part of the Durant deal) and signing veteran point guard Fred VanVleet. Over the next two seasons, as Houston turned into a Western Conference contender, Silas noticed Green's growth. Advertisement 'He is playing winning basketball, which is understanding you have to play hard on both ends,' he said. 'Every shot isn't your shot — he's grown to be a good shot taker. With experience and having the vets around him, showing him the right way to do things, it's really helped him grow. He's much more efficient. He's much more sure of what he wants to do.' Ryan Hollins is a 10-year NBA vet and the Rockets' television analyst. He watched Green struggle this spring in his first postseason action, a first-round series Houston lost in seven games to the Golden State Warriors. The Rockets' leading scorer during the regular season, Green averaged 8 points and shot 31 percent in their four losses. Much of the public blame for the series loss fell on his shoulders. Hollins doesn't think the criticism is fair. After Green scored 38 points in Houston's Game 2 win, the analyst said the Warriors adjusted. They trapped him. They picked him up sooner. They were determined to shut Green down. Hollins saw it more as the next step in the guard's development. 'He's going to have to add more strength because in the playoffs it was a different whistle,' he said. 'They put their hands on him. And for him, someone wanting to play in space, if someone who's stronger can grab and hold, it's going to be hard for him to get loose. He's still going to learn those tricks of how to draw those fouls or how to loosen up pressure. But, yeah, he was a focal point.' Hollins said if Green shows no improvement the rest of his career, he's at worst a great sixth man, a strong scorer off the bench. But if he stays on this path, learning how to win, feeding his competitive drive, he can boost his game to a higher level. 'Superstar,' Hollins said. Phoenix has an overflow of guards and wings, a group that includes three-time All-Star Bradley Beal. While the Suns are expected to keep Green, other moves are sure to follow. To start, Green's former coaches like the potential of a Green-Booker backcourt, no matter how it unfolds. 'First off, they're really good guys,' Silas said of Green and Booker. 'They're both selfless. They both want to win. They both have seen the goods and the bads and have a really good feel for team basketball and what it takes to help you get over the top and win. It remains to be seen, but I think when you start with the base that those two guys have, it could work.' Advertisement Weaver pointed out that it's 2025. The idea that a team needs to slot players into set positions is antiquated. Look at the Indiana Pacers and their run to the NBA Finals, he said. No one was concerned about redundancy with Andrew Nembhard, Tyrese Haliburton and T.J. McConnell. It will be the same with Phoenix, he said. Plus, Weaver has great respect for new Phoenix head coach Jordan Ott. 'It might surprise people how different the Phoenix Suns look next year,' Weaver said. Hollins said Green will learn from Booker. How to be efficient. How to deal with chippiness. How to perfect a one-dribble pull-up. A two-dribble pull-up. If Green can approach matching Booker in those areas, 'now we're jumping to a whole other hemisphere,' with his game, Hollins said. Hazzard didn't appreciate the question. He said it was disrespectful to Booker, who has molded his game around different teammates throughout his career. First Chris Paul. Then Durant and Beal. He said it also ignores the progress Green made in Houston, and the motivation he'll have upon arriving in the desert. 'Jalen Green, you put a chip on his shoulder,' Hazzard said of the Rockets trading him. 'You essentially said, 'We don't think you're good enough to take us to the mountaintop.' I have all the faith in the world as to how Jalen Green will respond. I can't say it because you can't write it. But you can imagine what I'm about to say. That's what (the Suns) are going to get from Jalen.' (Top photo of Devin Booker and Jalen Green during a Suns-Rockets game last March: Kenneth Richmond / Getty Images)


New York Times
27 minutes ago
- New York Times
Bucks free agency primer: After retaining Bobby Portis, what's next for Milwaukee?
While this last week has been full of player movement and teams working out new deals with their own free agents, the NBA free agency period, in which teams can officially begin negotiating free agency deals with eligible players, gets started on Monday at 5 p.m. CT. Over the last few years, this time of year has been straightforward for the Milwaukee Bucks as the team has been over the luxury tax and thus somewhat limited in the moves they could make. Now out from underneath the restrictions of the second apron, Bucks general manager Jon Horst and his staff will have more avenues to attempt to improve the team, but still be severely restricted because of Damian Lillard's torn left Achilles tendon, which will sideline the Bucks star point guard for much of the 2025-26 season. Advertisement Nevertheless, the Bucks' front office will need to do what they have always tried to do over the last eight years and put the best possible team on the floor around two-time NBA MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo in order to make a deep playoff run. That will be more difficult this season because of Lillard's injury, but with injuries throughout the Eastern Conference, the Bucks still have a chance to be a playoff team next season if they make the right moves in the next few weeks. With that ultimate goal in mind, let's take a closer look at where the Bucks stand before free agency gets underway on Monday. Heading into free agency, after Bobby Portis' decision on Sunday night, the Bucks have six players with guaranteed contracts for the 2025-26 season: Their combined salaries take up $156.1 million, which already exceeds the projected $154.6 million salary cap for the 2025-26 season. On top of those guaranteed salaries, the Bucks also have three players with non-guaranteed contracts that guarantee after the start of free agency: Those non-guaranteed salaries add up to roughly $6.7 million, but because each contract does not guarantee until those specific dates, there is some flexibility to start the offseason. Green will return next season and the Bucks will discuss a long-term extension with him this offseason. Jackson played nearly 1,000 minutes last season and showed he could have value moving forward. It will be interesting to see if the Bucks think they can do better than Livingston in free agency and considering he has the latest guarantee date, they can get a long look at the free agent market before being forced to make that decision. Following the 2025 NBA Draft, Milwaukee Bucks assistant general manager Milt Newton told reporters that the team was still deciding whether they were going to roster Bogi Marković this season or have the No. 47 pick keep playing overseas for another season. The Athletic has learned, per a league source, that Marković's preference is joining the Bucks for the 2025-26 season as a player on the 15-man roster. Marković joining the Bucks' NBA roster would take up a roster spot, but it would open the possibility of signing the Serbian forward on a minimum contract, which is $1,272,869 for players selected in the second round of this year's draft. Advertisement Adding a minimum salary for Marković and the salaries of Green and Jackson to the guaranteed salaries above would take the Bucks' cap sheet close to $161.9 million. That is roughly $26 million from the projected luxury tax line of $187,895,400 and roughly $34 million from the projected first apron line of $195,945,200. Note: When doing the math, unlikely bonuses — like the $2.4 million contained in Kuzma's contract — count toward calculations in space under an apron, but not in space under the tax. So, the space to the first apron line is closer to roughly $31.6 million for the Bucks. The information above helps set the scene for what the Bucks can do to retain their own free agents, if they so choose, and then attempt to build next season's roster. Because the Bucks moved themselves under the prohibitive second apron at the trade deadline by moving Khris Middleton and AJ Johnson to the Wizards for Kyle Kuzma, they will have a full set of salary cap exceptions at their disposal this offseason. That will be undeniably helpful as the Bucks have a large group of their own free agents that they would like to retain, but in another way, it will also limit what they can ultimately spend. If a team uses the non-taxpayer midlevel exception ($14.1 million) and spends more of it than the taxpayer midlevel exception ($5.7 million), that team is hard-capped at the first apron, which means they cannot exceed the first apron at any point in the 2025-26 season. So, as we go through the Bucks' free agents, it is important to note that using the non-taxpayer midlevel exception would put a cap on how much the Bucks can spend. But that might not end up being the only cap put on the Bucks' spending this offseason. Per league sources, there is some belief around the NBA that the Bucks would like to avoid the luxury tax this upcoming season. As we showed above, that would mean roughly $5.6 million less in spending power for the team this offseason. As we will show below, the Bucks' real feelings on this issue will likely be tested quickly because their free agent spending power is somewhat limited, now that they've agreed with Portis. Advertisement Portis' longtime frontcourt partner, Brook Lopez, is the next biggest name on the Bucks' free agent list, but let's focus on the rest of the roster before getting back to Lopez. Last July, with a few small- to mid-sized deals handed out last offseason, the Bucks eventually secured Gary Trent Jr. on a minimum contract a few weeks into free agency. It was a great deal at the time and Trent provided surplus value at that contract level by averaging 11.1 points in 25.6 minutes per game, primarily off the bench and knocking down 41.6 percent of his 5.9 3-point attempts per game. While the limited market for Trent meant a great deal last offseason, it left the Bucks with limited avenues to retain Trent this offseason. While the Bucks own the Bird rights on Portis and Lopez, which allows them to offer each player their maximum salary, the same is not true for Trent. The Bucks have two avenues for retaining Trent: either give him a 120 percent raise off of his minimum contract for last season or use an exception to give him a sizable raise. League sources had projected Trent's first-year contract value to come in somewhere between $8 and $10 million this offseason, but the federal investigation into free-agent guard Malik Beasley related to gambling may cause a bit of instability in the shooting guard market. If Trent's market remains at that level though, the Bucks would need to use part of the non-taxpayer midlevel exception, which can be split among multiple players, to retain Trent. That would leave a portion of the non-taxpayer midlevel exception available for the Bucks to use and there could be a natural fit there with Kevin Porter Jr. needing a new contract, after the 25-year-old point guard informed the Bucks he would be opting for free agency on Saturday. League sources believe that Porter's first-year contract value could fall between $4 and $6 million. Despite a bounce-back season of sorts with the Los Angeles Clippers and Bucks, there is still hesitance among some teams to offer a long-term contract for Porter's services. Now, back to Lopez. In a hypothetical world in which the Bucks use the full midlevel exception — either on Trent and Porter or another combination of two players — the team's spending power decreases to roughly $11.9 million to the luxury tax line and $17.6 million to the first apron, where the Bucks would be hard-capped because they used the midlevel exception, with 11 players on the roster. Advertisement From there, the Bucks would need to start thinking about how they might fill two spots on the roster cheaply with veteran minimums. This might be a spot for Ryan Rollins, who the Bucks tendered to a qualifying offer on Sunday to make a restricted free agent, or Jericho Sims, Taurean Prince or free agents from other teams. Using two of those open roster spots on veteran minimums — worth $2,296,271 against the cap — would shrink the Bucks' spending power to roughly $7.3 million to the luxury tax line and $12.9 million to the first apron with Lopez remaining to be signed to get to the minimum of 14 players on the roster. And therein lies a possible pressure point for the Bucks this offseason. Amid interest from the Houston Rockets in the summer of 2023, Lopez returned to the Bucks with a two-year, $48 million deal. Now, two years later, at 37 years old, there will still be interest in his services around the league, but likely at a much lower salary cap figure. Next season will be Lopez's 18th, but his combination of shot blocking and 3-point shooting remains a unique package in the NBA, so how will other NBA teams value it? Teams around the league might love adding Lopez, but is anyone willing to give him more than the taxpayer midlevel exception of $5.6 million? If the Bucks do not retain Lopez and the cap space above remains, they could still use the bi-annual exception worth $5.1 million to sign a free agent. Or, they could trade for a player using the $7.2 million trade exception. Because the Bucks are under the second apron, there are more options this summer, but having more choices doesn't necessarily make it any easier to select the right path. This section will highlight three options the Bucks could target with different portions of the non-taxpayer midlevel, as they can split it among players. Full non-taxpayer, midlevel exception ($14.1 million): Nickeil Alexander-Walker With new contracts for Naz Reid and Julius Randle, the Timberwolves have essentially pushed Nickeil Alexander-Walker out the door in Minnesota. If the Bucks want to use the entirety of the midlevel exception on one free agent, maybe Alexander-Walker could be their play. On Sunday night, The Athletic's Jon Krawczynski reported that the Bucks are among the teams to watch in the pursuit of the newly in-demand shooting guard. Advertisement The 26-year-old shooting guard appeared in all 82 games in each of the last two seasons and remained a regular fixture in the playoff rotation of Chris Finch as Minnesota has advanced to the Western Conference Finals in back-to-back seasons. In the last two seasons, Alexander-Walker averaged 8.7 points, 2.6 rebounds and 2.6 assists in 24.4 minutes per game and knocked down 38.6 percent on 4.3 3-point attempts per game. Defensively, he proved to be a disruptive defender, both on the ball and as a help defender. Most of non-taxpayer, midlevel exception ($7-10 million): Luke Kennard If the Bucks can't find a way to bring back Trent, Luke Kennard could be an interesting option for the Bucks at shooting guard. Kennard appeared in 65 games for the Grizzlies this season and averaged 8.9 points and 3.3 assists in 22.6 minutes per game. While Kennard struggled with injuries in the two seasons before this past year, he has knocked down 43.8 percent from 3 in his eight NBA seasons. He may not be a great defensive player, but he has become better at holding up over the years and could be a knockdown shooter when Green is not on the floor. Part of non-taxpayer, midlevel exception ($3-5 million): Nicolas Batum On Saturday, the 36-year-old forward declined his $4.9 million player option with the Los Angeles Clippers for the 2025-26 season. After the season, he told reporters that he had interest in returning to Los Angeles next season, but declining the option at least gives other teams a chance to sign Batum. Like Lopez, Batum has completed 17 NBA seasons, so he wouldn't necessarily help in the future, but he could provide a strong veteran presence and a different look for the Bucks next season. In the last five seasons, Batum has knocked down 40.3 percent of his 1,247 3-point attempts and been a versatile defender across multiple positions. Amir Coffey — At 6-foot-7 and 210 pounds, Coffey would bring more size to the wing in Milwaukee and he knocked down 40.9 percent on 3.4 3-point attempts per game. He appeared in 72 games and averaged 9.7 points in 24.3 minutes per game, but fell out of the rotation at the end of the regular season as Kawhi Leonard took on a larger role, and then Coffey did not play in the postseason. The 28-year-old forward contributed on a 50-win team in the first 70 games of the season, but it's tough to know how many people noticed. Al Horford — We don't know what Horford's market will be at 39 years old, but playing for a good team will likely be part of his expectations. Last season, Horford started 42 games and played 27.7 minutes per game in 60 total games. After two seasons shooting better than 41 percent from 3, Horford's 3-point shooting dipped to 36.3 percent, but he still averaged 9.0 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game. Advertisement Thomas Bryant — Bryant wasn't always in Rick Carlisle's rotation in the Pacers' run to the NBA Finals this season, but he did have playoff moments and that would be a unique player to get on a minimum contract. The 6-foot-10 center will only be 28 years old next season and has flashed a quality 3-point shot at times to go with his strength and athleticism. He could be an interesting option as a backup big in Milwaukee. (Photo of Bobby Portis and Brook Lopez: Jeff Hanisch / Imagn Images)
Yahoo
43 minutes ago
- Yahoo
NFL offseason power rankings: No. 22 Jacksonville Jaguars start bold new era with Travis Hunter pick
Other NFL team previews: 32. Titans | 31. Saints | 30. Browns | 29. Panthers | 28. Jets | 27. Giants | 26. Raiders | 25. Patriots | 24. Colts | 23. Dolphins The trade value chart said the Jacksonville Jaguars were crazy. Advertisement Jacksonville traded the fifth pick of the NFL Draft, a second- and fourth-round pick in 2025 and a 2026 first-round pick to the Cleveland Browns for the second overall pick, a fourth- and sixth-round pick. It was a severe overpay by any chart you can find. However, the Jaguars saw Travis Hunter as a unique, game-changing prospect. So they got him, no matter the cost. Maybe that's a good thing. The Jaguars might benefit from not following the same charts as everyone else. Jacksonville has zero Super Bowl appearances, only two playoff berths since the 2007 season and many years of being practically anonymous in the NFL. It hasn't gotten very far by following the book. The Jaguars shocked the NFL with the trade. New GM James Gladstone, just 34 years old and from the aggressive Los Angeles Rams' front office, boldly told Jaguars fans about the move: "Don't be scared. This is something I'm uniquely positioned to navigate." The move might turn out to be less about Hunter himself and more about a changing mentality in a sad-sack franchise. "It's a statement for how we plan to move, who we are," Gladstone said, via the team's site. Advertisement It has been a hard few years for the Jaguars. In 2020, they had a 1-15 season and fired Doug Marrone. It didn't seem like it could get any worse than that, but then the Jaguars made the laughable decision to hire Urban Meyer, who is now on a short list of the worst coaches in NFL history. Doug Pederson was brought in, and while the Jaguars weren't a complete laughingstock like they were with Meyer, Pederson looked like a tired retread by the end. Then the Jaguars had another embarrassing episode this offseason, keeping around general manager Trent Baalke when everyone said he needed to go, then firing him a few weeks later in the middle of a coaching search. Jaguars owner Shad Khan has been terrible at running the team, but he made two hires that seem inspired. Gladstone is young but he had nine seasons with the Rams before he was hired as Jaguars GM. New Jaguars head coach Liam Coen might not be good at a "Duval" chant, but he had an excellent season as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive coordinator and perhaps can get Trevor Lawrence to the level everyone was hoping he'd be at already. Advertisement "I really like it," Lawrence said of the Jaguars' offense, via Jaguars Wire. "It has a lot of answers. It's great. It puts a lot on the players, you have to know your stuff, but it gives you all the answers." The Jaguars have talent. Brian Thomas Jr. is coming off an excellent rookie season and was an egregious Pro Bowl snub. Not many teams have a better pass-rush duo than Josh Hines-Allen and Travon Walker. Devin Lloyd and Foyesade Oluokun are two of the best linebackers in the NFL. Tyson Campbell is a pretty good cornerback and former Cowboys corner Jourdan Lewis was a strong addition to the secondary. Lawrence was one of the best quarterback draft prospects ever, and he has shown a few flashes. And Hunter could end up being a special, historic player. Maybe Gladstone's approach will work, or perhaps he'll flame out fast. But after years of failure, at least the Jaguars are trying something different. Offseason grade The Travis Hunter trade will be debated for a long time. Hunter has a Hall of Fame ceiling in the NFL and he might have to hit that to justify what the Jaguars gave up to get him. But the Jaguars had conviction. While that move was daring, the rest of the offseason wasn't too crazy. Offensive linemen Patrick Mekari and Robert Hainsey, cornerback Jourdan Lewis, safety Eric Murray and receiver Dyami Brown were the main free agent additions, and none of them cost more than $12.5 million per season. The big loss was tight end Evan Engram, but the team should feel that Brenton Strange can replace most of his production. The rest of the Jaguars draft was solid, and keep an eye on running back Bhayshul Tuten, a fourth-round pick who could be a big factor by season's end. Overall, the Jaguars seemed to get better. Advertisement Grade: B+ The Jacksonville Jaguars traded up to draft wide receiver/cornerback Travis Hunter with the second pick of the NFL Draft. (Photo by David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) (Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) Quarterback report If Trevor Lawrence wasn't viewed as a chosen one before the draft, and was picked later in the first round or beyond the first round, would he have a five-year, $275 million contract? Would he even be an unquestioned starter in the NFL? Lawrence has a career rating of 85, which isn't far ahead of Daniel Jones' mark of 84.3. Over his last two seasons, Lawrence has 32 touchdowns and 21 interceptions. The Jaguars are 20 games under .500 in Lawrence's starts, and while a team's record isn't a quarterback stat, Lawrence hasn't lifted the Jaguars. The Jaguars are still chasing what they thought Lawrence would be coming out of Clemson. Advertisement The reasons for optimism are Lawrence's draft pedigree, a very good stretch in the second half of the 2022 season, the thought that the Jaguars' utter dysfunction has held Lawrence back and Lawrence being just 25 years old. This season, Lawrence will have Brian Thomas Jr. and Travis Hunter to throw to, and a new offensive-minded head coach in Liam Coen. If he doesn't have a big season, it's probably never going to happen. BetMGM odds breakdown From Yahoo's Ben Fawkes: 'It's a big year for Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars under new head coach Liam Coen. Jacksonville pulled off a stunning draft-day trade, moving up to No. 2 to take Colorado WR/CB Travis Hunter. Hunter will bring excitement to a team with a win total of 7.5 at BetMGM, and one that has gone under its total in six of the past seven seasons. The Jaguars are favorites in only six games this season, but I think this team is a bit undervalued. I'd look to play the over 7.5 wins." Stat to remember The Jaguars didn't have much luck in close games last season. They were 3-10 in games decided by seven points or less and 1-4 when they were decided by three points or less. Taking on 10 losses in close games isn't normal. It wasn't all bad luck. Coaching matters in close games and the Jaguars weren't getting much of that. Quarterback play is a big factor too, and Trevor Lawrence missed seven games due to a shoulder injury and a concussion. Lawrence didn't play that well when he was healthy either. The 2024 Jaguars weren't very good, but their season would have looked a lot better with a neutral record in close games instead of having the NFL's most losses in one-score games. It's a reason to believe the Jaguars could rebound in 2025. Burning question What will Travis Hunter's career look like? Not many players have played both ways in the NFL over the last 60 years. It's also fair to note the modern college game hasn't experienced anyone like Hunter, who won a Heisman Trophy by playing nearly full time at receiver and cornerback at Colorado. Maybe he's just different than everyone else, truly the Shohei Ohtani of football. Advertisement What impact will Hunter have in the NFL? It's hard to say because there's practically nobody to compare him to. "There are players who have the capacity to alter a game. There are players who have the capacity to alter the trajectory of a team. There are very few players who have the capacity to alter the trajectory of the sport itself," Jaguars general manager James Gladstone said. "Travis, while he has a lot to still earn in our eyes, has the potential to do just that." The Jaguars are starting Hunter off primarily as a receiver, but they have plans to use him on defense too. Given what they paid to move up to draft Hunter, he better be playing both ways. It didn't take long for the Jaguars to see Hunter's exceptional ball skills on offense and defense. The urge to push his limits will be there all season. "'Milo' [secondary coach Ron Milus] came up to me after practice and said, 'Can we have him more?''' Liam Coen said after an OTA practice, via the team's site. "That's a good thing." Hunter will probably play more snaps than any other player this season and if it goes well, he'll lead the league in that category for many years to come. Best-case scenario Half of the last eight NFL Coach of the Year winners were first-year coaches who took their teams to unexpected playoff berths (Sean McVay, Matt Nagy, Kevin Stefanski, Brian Daboll). Why can't that be Liam Coen this year? Coen did a fantastic job with the Buccaneers' offense last season. The previous regime for the Jaguars was going through the motions. There will be a new energy this season, and Travis Hunter has a lot to do with that as well. Baker Mayfield had 41 touchdown passes in Coen's offense last season and while that's a lofty goal, Travis Lawrence can cruise past his career best of 25 touchdowns with improved coaching and strong weapons around him. Coen isn't in Jacksonville solely to fix the passing game; he can do wonders for a rushing offense that was often disjointed last season. The Jaguars can absolutely take a huge leap, like the 2024 Commanders, 2023 Texans or any other out-of-nowhere team to make the playoffs. It's not like the AFC South is that daunting. The Jaguars being one of the NFL's most exciting teams, Trevor Lawrence breaking out, Travis Hunter winning an Offensive Rookie of the Year award and Jacksonville winning the division while Coen is the latest rookie to win Coach of the Year is all on the table. Nightmare scenario If Trevor Lawrence isn't a top 10 quarterback this season, where does that leave the Jaguars? Given that $200 million of Lawrence's contract was guaranteed and he has a no-trade clause, the Jaguars are probably married to Lawrence through at least the 2028 season, for better or worse. Through four seasons, Lawrence has rarely looked like one of the league's best quarterbacks. If a new coach and two exciting receivers can't unlock anything new, it will be hard to buy that it'll happen later on. Maybe the Jaguars will continue to perpetually be a bottom-end franchise. Liam Coen had just one season running a top-end NFL offense and we also don't know if he can handle being a head coach. The Jaguars' 4-13 record last season wasn't just bad luck; there are holes on the roster. It's possible Jacksonville will be stuck in its rut for a lot longer. The crystal ball says The ranking might not reflect it — the Jaguars come into this season with a lot to prove — but this is a team that has a lot of breakout potential. Often, NFL teams that improve suddenly are led by first-time head coaches taking over from a previous staff that wasn't getting much out of its players. Liam Coen might be a massive upgrade for the Jaguars, though he'll have to show he can be an NFL head coach. There's enough talent to have a very productive passing game. The defense has a long way to go, but there are talented players on that side. The AFC South isn't that tough, unless the Texans rebound to what they were in 2023. I'm quite optimistic for this Jaguars team and think they can be a surprise division winner. They might move far up the power rankings very early this season.