Royals vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks
The Kansas City Royals and Vinnie Pasquantino will square off against Nick Gonzales and the Pittsburgh Pirates at Kauffman Stadium on Monday, with the first pitch at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Royals are listed as -156 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Pirates (+130). Kansas City is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The contest's total is set at 8.5 runs.
Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Royals-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Check out the best moments between the Kansas City Royals and Arizona Diamondbacks. Royals vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds When: Monday, July 7, 2025 at 7:40 p.m. ET
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
How to watch on TV: FDSKC and SportsNet PT Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds Royals -156 +130 8.5 -110 -110 -1.5 +135 -161 Royals vs. Pirates Prediction Score Prediction: Royals 5, Pirates 4
Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Royals 52%, Pirates 48% Royals vs. Pirates Betting Insights This season, the Royals have won 15 out of the 32 games, or 46.9%, in which they've been favored.
Kansas City is 7-5 this season when entering a game favored by -156 or more on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Royals, based on the moneyline, is 60.9%.
The Pirates have come away with 25 wins in the 62 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This year, Pittsburgh has won nine of 34 games when listed as at least +130 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 43.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Royals Recent Betting Performance The Royals have not been the moneyline favorite over the last 10 games.
In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Royals and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.
The Royals are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games. Royals Recent Stats Stat Avg/Total Record 4-6 Runs Per Game 3.7 HR 5 ERA 4.45 K/9 8.1 Royals Player Insights Bobby Witt Jr. is hitting .293 with 30 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 28 walks.
Of all hitters in baseball, Witt's home run total ranks him 81st, and his RBI tally puts him 47th.
Witt has collected a hit in nine straight games. In his last 10 outings he is batting .372 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and eight RBIs.
Maikel Garcia's .303 batting average leads his team.
Garcia is 143rd in home runs and 88th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
Garcia enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
Pasquantino has a team-high 14 home runs and 55 runs batted in.
Jonathan India is hitting .246 with 18 doubles, four home runs and 33 walks.
India brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .235 with two doubles and three walks. Pirates Recent Betting Performance The Pirates have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
The Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Pirates are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games. Pirates Recent Stats Stat Avg/Total Record 6-4 Runs Per Game 4.8 HR 7 ERA 2.20 K/9 7.7 Pirates Player Insights Oneil Cruz paces the Pirates with 15 long balls.
Among all hitters in the majors, Cruz's home run total is 38th and his RBI tally ranks 115th.
Bryan Reynolds has racked up 45 runs batted in to pace his team.
Reynolds ranks 104th overall in homers and 58th in RBI this year.
Andrew McCutchen has a team-best batting average of .262.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa is batting .272 with 10 doubles, two triples, a home run and 13 walks.
Check out the best moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Seattle Mariners.
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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