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Medicaid cuts in Trump's 'big beautiful' bill will leave millions uninsured, threaten rural hospitals

Medicaid cuts in Trump's 'big beautiful' bill will leave millions uninsured, threaten rural hospitals

CNBC01-07-2025
President Donald Trump's "big, beautiful bill" would make sweeping changes to U.S. health care, leaving millions of vulnerable Americans without health insurance and threatening the hospitals and centers that provide care to them.
The Senate on Tuesday voted 51-50 to pass the controversial spending measure after a marathon overnight voting session on amendments. But the bill will face another major test in the House, where Republicans have a razor-thin majority and some members have already raised objections to the legislation.
Recent changes to the bill would cut roughly $1.1 trillion in health-care spending over the next decade, according to new estimates from the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office. More than $1 trillion of those cuts would come from Medicaid, a joint federal and state health insurance program for disabled and low-income Americans. The funding cuts go beyond coverage: the loss of that funding could gut many rural hospitals that disproportionately rely on federal spending.
The CBO estimates that the current version of the bill would result in 11.8 million people losing health insurance by 2034, with the majority of those people losing Medicaid coverage.
But the implications could be even bigger. Trump's bill combined with separate policy changes could result in an estimated 17 million people losing health insurance, said Robin Rudowitz, director of the program on Medicaid and the uninsured at health policy research organization KFF, in an interview. She said those other changes include new regulations that would dramatically limit access to Affordable Care Act Marketplace coverage and expiring enhanced ACA tax credits.
"If all of this comes to pass, it would represent the biggest roll back of health insurance coverage ever due to federal policy changes," Cynthia Cox, KFF's director of the program on the ACA, said in an analysis published on Tuesday.
Approximately 72 million Americans are currently enrolled in Medicaid, about one-fifth of the total U.S. population, according to government data. Medicaid is the primary payer for the majority of nursing home residents, and pays for around 40% of all births.
The Trump administration and its allies insist the cuts in the bill aim to eliminate waste, fraud and abuse. Democrats have said they break the president's repeated promises not to touch the Medicaid program. Medicaid has been one of the most divisive issues throughout negotiations in both chambers, and some House Republicans have expressed reservations about how deep the cuts are.
"I get that they want to cut fraud, but taking a swipe across the top is not going to solve the issue," Jennifer Mensik Kennedy, president of the American Nurses Association, said in an interview.
She said the cuts could shutter hospitals and health centers in rural areas and lead to job losses for health-care staff like nurses.
The cuts in the bill come from several different provisions, but the lion's share of Medicare savings will come from two changes.
One would establish a new, strict national work requirement for certain Medicaid beneficiaries ages 19 to 64. It would require childless adults without disabilities and parents of children older than 14 to work, volunteer or attend school for at least 80 hours a month to keep their insurance coverage, unless they qualify for an exception.
Current law prohibits basing Medicaid eligibility on work requirements or work reporting rules, according to KFF.
The new work requirement in the bill won't kick in until 2026. It is projected to save about $325 billion over a decade, the CBO said.
An analysis published last week by the UC Berkeley Labor Center said that the work requirement would cause the most people to lose insurance and "poses an especially draconian barrier to older adults." The center said there is a steady drop-off in employment after age 50 due to factors "outside [people's] control," including deteriorating health, age discrimination and increasing responsibility to provide care for aging family members.
"These same factors make older adults particularly vulnerable to coverage loss under Medicaid work requirements," the analysis said.
People living in rural communities, such as seasonal farmers, may also struggle to find employment for parts of the year, said Mensik Kennedy of the American Nurses Association.
AARP, an advocacy group focusing on issues affecting those 50 and older in the U.S., sent a letter over the weekend to Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., opposing another provision that would disqualify people who fail to meet Medicaid work requirements from receiving premium tax credits to purchase coverage through the ACA Marketplaces.
"This creates a steep coverage cliff for those in their 50s and early 60s – particularly for those nearing retirement or working part-time – who may be left with no affordable coverage option at all," the group said.
Another driving source of Medicaid savings will come from a provision that will cap and gradually reduce the tax that states can impose on hospitals, health plans and other medical providers. Those provider taxes are designed to help fund state Medicaid programs, with the federal government matching a portion of the state's spending.
Some members of the Trump administration and conservative lawmakers argue that it is a loophole for states to receive disproportionately more federal funds than they contribute.
The bill's restrictions on provider taxes and another strategy called state-directed payments would cut spending by a combined $375 billion, according to the CBO report.
But some GOP senators and experts raised concerns that capping provider taxes would threaten a critical funding stream for rural hospitals, which could force them and other health centers to close. Mensik Kennedy said health-care providers in rural reas, particularly critical access hospitals, rely more on Medicaid funding to support them compared to those in urban areas.
"You're going to see closures of rural hospitals that are the backbone of their community and were already struggling financially. You're going to see half a million job losses," Mensik Kennedy said.
She said pregnant women in rural areas could be forced to drive 30, 40 or 60 miles to deliver a baby, while emergency medical services could have to drive an hour to reach a patient having a heart attack.
Patients in rural communities already have higher rates of chronic illnesses and mortality since they have limited access to care, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Senate Republicans have added a $25 billion fund to the bill to help rural hospitals stay open in the face of Medicaid cuts.
But Mensik Kennedy said that fund is "putting a bucket of water on the house fire," adding that it is not enough to offset the cuts from the cap on provider taxes and other provisions.
Cuts in overall Medicaid funding for rural hospitals would exceed 20% in more than half of states, according to a report from the the National Rural Health Association.
Senate Republicans handed a win to drugmakers after they added back a provision into the bill that would exempt more medicines from the Inflation Reduction Act's Medicare drug price negotiations.
Under the bill, medicines used to treat multiple rare diseases will be exempt from those price talks between Medicare and manufacturers. The Senate initially left out that provision, called the ORPHAN Cures Act, in its first draft of the bill last month.
The pharmaceutical industry argues that excluding those drugs from the negotiations will encourage more investments in treatments for rare conditions. Currently, only drugs that treat a single rare disease or condition can be exempted from price talks.
"The ORPHAN Cures Act will enable more options for Americans living with rare disease," the trade group Biotechnology Innovation Organization wrote in a post on X last week. The group also said only 5% of rare diseases have an approved treatment, while the economic toll of rare conditions in the U.S. surpassed $997 billion in 2019.
But on Tuesday, drug pricing group Patients For Affordable Drugs Now called on the House to remove the ORPHAN Cures Act from the bill and allow Medicare drug price negotiations to deliver more savings to patients.
The decision to include it in the legislation "moves us in the wrong direction, undermining hard-fought progress to lower drug prices," Merith Basey, executive director of the group, said in a statement.
"Pharma lobbyists will stop at nothing to maintain industry profits, and when a majority of the Senate caves to their interests, it's a reminder to Americans why they're paying the highest drug prices in the world. Simply put: it's because Congress allows it," Basey said.
She called it a "completely unnecessary $5 billion giveaway" to the pharmaceutical industry, referring to CBO estimates for how much the ORPHAN Cures Act would cost taxpayers over the next decade.
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"We think we can manage absorbing any of the impacts with the various levers that we have at our disposal. It's always a local decision as to how to utilize those levers, but right now, it's something that we factored into our rest of year guidance." Yahoo Finance's Brooke DiPalma reports that Coca-Cola reported earnings for its second quarter that topped forecasts. Read more here. Bessent says he will meet Chinese officials, discuss tariff deadline extension US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Fox Business on Tuesday that he plans to meet his Chinese counterpart next week and discuss an extension of an August 12 deadline for higher tariffs. Both China and the US reached a trade truce in London last month to prevent escalating tariffs. Reuters reports: Read more here. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Fox Business on Tuesday that he plans to meet his Chinese counterpart next week and discuss an extension of an August 12 deadline for higher tariffs. Both China and the US reached a trade truce in London last month to prevent escalating tariffs. Reuters reports: Read more here. RTX cuts 2025 profit forecast as tariff costs weigh US aerospace and defense giant RTX (RTX) cut its 2025 profit forecast on Tuesday, citing President Trump's trade war as the major reason. Shares of the company fell 3% in premarket trading. Reuters reports: Read more here. US aerospace and defense giant RTX (RTX) cut its 2025 profit forecast on Tuesday, citing President Trump's trade war as the major reason. Shares of the company fell 3% in premarket trading. Reuters reports: Read more here. GM's core profit slides in second quarter as Trump's tariffs bite Tariffs have started to hit US automaker General Motors (GM), who reported a fall in second quarter core profit of 32% to $3 billion on Tuesday. The automaker said tariffs have sapped $1.1 billion from results as it continues to grapple with President Trump's challenging trade war. Reuters reports: Read more here. Tariffs have started to hit US automaker General Motors (GM), who reported a fall in second quarter core profit of 32% to $3 billion on Tuesday. The automaker said tariffs have sapped $1.1 billion from results as it continues to grapple with President Trump's challenging trade war. Reuters reports: Read more here. Canadian boycott of US spirits hurts broader alcohol sales: Trade group American imports to Canada have dropped sharply due to Canadian provinces' boycott of US spirits amid the ongoing trade war with the United States, according to a Canadian liquor trade group. Reuters reports: Read more here. American imports to Canada have dropped sharply due to Canadian provinces' boycott of US spirits amid the ongoing trade war with the United States, according to a Canadian liquor trade group. Reuters reports: Read more here. AstraZeneca announces $50B US manufacturing investment, matching its big pharma peers Pharmaceutical giant, AstraZeneca (AZN) announced it plans to invest $50 billion in US manufacturing by 2030, in the hopes it will avoid steep tariffs on imported components manufactured abroad. Yahoo Finance's senior reporter Anjalee Khemlani looks at how AstraZeneca's latest US investment keeps pace with its big pharma rivals. Read more here Pharmaceutical giant, AstraZeneca (AZN) announced it plans to invest $50 billion in US manufacturing by 2030, in the hopes it will avoid steep tariffs on imported components manufactured abroad. Yahoo Finance's senior reporter Anjalee Khemlani looks at how AstraZeneca's latest US investment keeps pace with its big pharma rivals. Read more here

Coke's New Cane-Sweetened Soda Risks Upending Sugar Supplies
Coke's New Cane-Sweetened Soda Risks Upending Sugar Supplies

Yahoo

time15 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Coke's New Cane-Sweetened Soda Risks Upending Sugar Supplies

(Bloomberg) -- After four decades drinking Coca-Cola sweetened with corn syrup, Americans are going to get the chance to buy the soda made from domestic cane sugar. But whether US farmers can meet that demand is unclear. Trump Awards $1.26 Billion Contract to Build Biggest Immigrant Detention Center in US Why the Federal Reserve's Building Renovation Costs $2.5 Billion Salt Lake City Turns Winter Olympic Bid Into Statewide Bond Boom Milan Corruption Probe Casts Shadow Over Property Boom The High Costs of Trump's 'Big Beautiful' New Car Loan Deduction Coca-Cola Co. said Tuesday it will launch the new Coke variety this fall, a week after President Donald Trump said the company had agreed to start using the sweetener. The move is hardly an outlandish idea. In fact, Coke sold in other countries like Mexico is sweetened with cane sugar. And the company relied on cane sugar before switching to high fructose corn syrup around 1980. While the company will still be using corn syrup for original Coke, the addition of a domestic cane-based soda could help growers in Louisiana and Florida at a time when demand has been slow. However, a sustained bump in demand — especially if other companies follow Coca-Cola's lead — risks outstripping homegrown availability. US cane only makes up about 30% of overall domestic sugar supplies, according to the US Department of Agriculture. The rest comes from imports, which were about 2.2 million metric tons for the 2025-26 season, and American-grown sugar beets that perform better in colder climates. 'We have ways of trying to assist in new product launches, but mass usage — it would be very difficult for our industry to absorb that,' said Craig Ruffolo, a vice president at McKeany-Flavell, a broker of ingredients including sugar. A sugar supply shortfall would likely mean more cane imports from Mexico and Brazil, exposing American companies and consumers to higher prices just as they are facing market upheaval from Trump's tariffs. Cane sugar is more expensive than high-fructose corn syrup. On top of that, long-standing import tariffs mean US raw cane sugar futures are already more than double what the rest of the world pays. That price gap widened to a record on Tuesday. Foreign shipments can be costly, as decades-old US government policies limit how much sweetener can be cheaply shipped from other countries. That has long kept US sugar prices above that of the global market, even when lower-taxed imports under the US's limits and preferential shipments from Mexico were enough to keep the country amply supplied. In recent years though, the US has become even more reliant on record amounts of high-taxed imports after droughts impacted Mexican supplies. Trump's threat of a 50% tariff on Brazil also risks raising prices. If cane-sweetened Cokes are a success, higher demand would add to the pressure. Refined cane sugar cost more than 52 cents a pound in June, about 12% more than the high-fructose corn syrup used in Coke and nearly 50% more than beet sugar, according to the USDA. US refiners have some spare capacity to process more raw cane, but that will depend on imports and is still 'not going to be able to go on the scale of a mass distribution like a classic Coke,' said Ruffolo. Expansions to cane acreage are also limited. Louisiana's growth could be capped at 10%, while Florida doesn't have much more land for cane, he added. Coke has been working with cane sugar suppliers, and believes they will be able to bring enough supply to market if there is demand from consumers, Chief Executive Officer James Quincey said on Fox Business. RFK Jr.'s Push The new Coke product comes as Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has railed against the prevalence of ultra-processed foods, which are generally more likely to use high-fructose corn syrup. The company's move, while an incremental shift away from corn, could open the door for other companies to follow suit. PepsiCo Inc. Chief Executive Officer Ramon Laguarta said last week that it would follow consumer preferences on sugar and other natural ingredients. Coca-Cola uses cane in other US products like lemonades and teas, and is looking to use 'the whole toolkit of available sweetening options to some extent where there are consumer preferences,' Quincey said on a Tuesday earnings call. The new Coke with US cane sugar is expected to be 'an enduring option for consumers,' he added. It is still unclear how much sugar these new products will require, said Claudiu Covrig, the lead analyst at Covrig Analytics. It could end up being a tiny segment with 'more publicity than real volume,' he said. But if US beverage companies shift significantly toward cane instead of high-fructose corn syrup, additional imports could range from 300,000 to 800,000 metric tons. (Adds analyst quote beginning in fifth paragraph.) Elon Musk's Empire Is Creaking Under the Strain of Elon Musk Burning Man Is Burning Through Cash A Rebel Army Is Building a Rare-Earth Empire on China's Border What the Tough Job Market for New College Grads Says About the Economy How Starbucks' CEO Plans to Tame the Rush-Hour Free-for-All ©2025 Bloomberg L.P. Sign in to access your portfolio

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