Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Odds, Picks: Paul Heavily Favored

Newsweek

15 hours ago

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Jake Paul steps back into the ring on Saturday night for another showdown with a former boxing champ.
This time, the 28-year-old Paul is taking on 39-year-old former middleweight champ Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. in a 10-round, cruiserweight (max. 200 pounds) bout.
The son of boxing legend Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. is much younger than Paul's last opponent -- 58-year-old Mike Tyson -- but he has fought just three times since 2021.
Will Paul be able to improve his record to 12-1 (his only loss came against Tommy Fury in 2023), or will Chavez Jr. become the second fighter to take down the influencer-turned-boxer?
How To Watch Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.
Before we dive into how to bet on this fight, here's everything you need to know about how to watch Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.:
Date: Saturday, June 28
Time: Main card starts at 8 p.m. ET
TV: DAZN (PPV)*
*In the U.S., the PPV cost for this fight is $59.99.
Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Odds
Below are the odds for Saturday night's fight, with Paul heavily favored.
DK FD bet365 Jake Paul -575 -550 -650 Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. +400 +420 +425
Chavez Jr. has legit pedigree as a former champ, but he has struggled to make weight for his scheduled fights over the last four years, which has limited him to three bouts since 2021.
It's worth noting that at DraftKings, this fight is listed at -225 to go over 8.5 rounds and +160 to go under. This tells us that a full 10-round battle decided via decision is far more likely than an early knockout.
Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Analysis
Paul's status as the heavy favorite over a former champ like Chavez Jr. might be a head-scratcher at first glance, but it makes sense given what we've seen from Chavez Jr. the last few years.
In 2021, he lost to then-46-year-old former UFC fighter Anderson Silva. And in his last bout (July 20, 2024), he got the win by unanimous decision, but he was taken the distance by former UFCer Uriah Hall, who was making his boxing debut.
Paul should have a size/physique advantage over Chavez, as he is accustomed to fighting at around 200 pounds, which is the limit for tonight's bout. Chavez, on the other hand, has typically fought at middleweight (max. 175 pounds), where he held the title back in 2012.
Paul vs. Chavez Prediction, Best Bet
As crazy as it may sound to say about an influencer-turned-pro-boxer taking on a former world champ, Paul is the clear safe bet against a 39-year-old who has had a volatile last few years (Chavez has recently battled well-documented weight problems and addiction issues).
Oddsmakers agree, with Chavez listed as a heavy underdog across the board.
It's not exactly a massive compliment to say that Paul has proven that against fighters a decade removed from their peak, he's going to have the upper hand.
Until he lines up a bout with an active fighter close to his age and weight, I do recommend betting on Paul, though.
In this one, there's little value in taking him on the moneyline, but Jake Paul by Decision or Technical Decision is awfully tempting at -110.
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