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Australian shares dip as Trump's tariffs target copper

Australian shares dip as Trump's tariffs target copper

Perth Now09-07-2025
The Australia share market has lost ground as Donald Trump expands his trade war with steep new tariffs on copper and pharmaceuticals.
At midday on Wednesday, the benchmark S&P/ASX200 index was down 27.2 points, or 0.32 per cent, to 8,565.3, while the broader All Ordinaries lost 25.5 points, or 0.29 per cent, to 8,803.2.
Overnight, the US president said drug manufacturers would be given a year or so to move manufacturing to the US, otherwise they would "tariffed at a very, very high rate, like 200 per cent".
Mr Trump also flagged the White House would be imposing 50 per cent tariffs on copper, which Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said could begin at the end of July or start of August.
Copper prices surged after the comments, ending the trading day up 13.1 per cent for their strongest one-day gain since 1989.
Australia is a major copper producer but exports very little to the United States, with most going to China and other Asian-Pacific countries. The US gets most of its copper from Chile.
"The idea is to bring copper home, bring copper production home," Mr Lutnick said later on CNBC.
IG analyst Tony Sycamore said that encouraging domestic copper production was a challenging objective given the complexities of relocating a copper mine.
At midday, seven of the ASX's 11 sectors were lower, with financials flat and energy, consumer discretionary and utility shares collectively higher.
The materials sector was down 0.6 per cent, with the iron ore giants higher and goldminers down as the price of the yellow metal dropped to a one-week low of $US3,310 an ounce.
BHP was up 0.4 per cent, Fortescue had added 0.7 per cent and Rio Tinto had advanced 0.6 per cent, while Northern Star was down 4.1 per cent, Evolution had retreated 8.8 per cent and West African Resources dropping 4.6 per cent.
Sandfire Resources, the largest copper-focused miner on the ASX, was down 3.8 per cent, while Capstone Copper Corp had retreated 2.9 per cent.
In the energy sector, uranium explorers and producers were under pressure, with Bannerman Energy falling 7.9 per cent and Deep Yellow retreating 7.1 per cent.
In the financial sector, the big four banks were mostly higher. Westpac had added 0.8 per cent, ANZ was up 0.2 per cent and NAB had advanced 0.4 per cent. CBA was the outlier, dropping 0.2 per cent.
In real estate, Lifestyle Communities had plunged 36.2 per cent to an eight-year low of $4.495 after a Victorian tribunal found the land lease operator breached the state's tenancy laws by charging residents significant exit fees without properly disclosing them.
Lifestyle Communities said it relied on legal advice when drafting the contracts, was disappointed with the outcome and intended to appeal.
In health care, Telix Pharmaceuticals was up 6.6 per cent after its prostate cancer imaging agent was granted a permanent insurance code by the US Medicare and Medicaid system.
The Australian dollar was buying 65.20 US cents, from 65.43 US cents at close of business on Tuesday.
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Pursuit Minerals (ASX:PUR) managing director and CEO Aaron Revelle: "We're seeing a definitive shift in sentiment on the ground. The rebound in lithium carbonate pricing has re-ignited some soft investor interest, particularly in high-quality brine assets following on from the Rio Tinto acquisition of Arcadium and many watching how the new CEO of Rio will advance those assets. "There's more inbound interest, especially those looking to secure supply outside of China. Juniors with pilot scale production, strong grades, and a clear pathway to development are getting a second look. It's cautious optimism, but the tone has improved from earlier this year." Delta Lithium (ASX:DLI) managing director James Croser: "There's perhaps a glimmer of dawn on the horizon after a very long night. I want to believe that this uptick in sentiment is a collective realisation that the tide may be on the turn and the relentless adoption of new battery technologies and applications, and persistent double digit growth in most markets will in fact translate into improved market pricing in the long run. I mean, how can it not? But I've been wide awake since midnight waiting for that dawn, seen a couple of false ones and we need to be cautious that our optimism isn't clouding our vision." What potential catalysts are on the horizon that could create a boon in the lithium space? SP: "Interest rate cuts and more dovish monetary policy is what I'm looking at. I think Trump is bang on the money in that it needs to flow again. Easier access to money will mean households will have more money to spend on relative luxury items like EVs, although the price gap has diminished or reversed as of late with the advent of the Chinese EVs." AR: "Several key catalysts could trigger a strong re-rating across the lithium sector, such as a potential revival of EV subsidies in Europe or the US could direct significant capital toward EV supply chains in an effort to break China's dominance on processing. Rising investment in grid-scale battery storage, driven by the global rollout of renewable energy infrastructure and the ever growing rise of the AI sector is also emerging as another major demand driver. "In China, recent signs of supply-side discipline – including Zangge Mining's decision to halt lithium production – highlights efforts to stabilise prices, and any further pro-EV or economic support measures from Beijing would add upward pressure. "Finally, M&A activity remains a powerful catalyst; strategic acquisitions by automakers, battery manufacturers, or majors seeking to lock in supply are likely to drive a valuation reset across the developer end of the market." JC: "On top of consistent EV demand growth, I think renewables and the associated fixed battery storage requirements are the dark horse. Having batteries on your business/house with solar on the roof is akin to putting a water tank next to a windmill. It's obvious that one complements the other. People are just getting over the novelty of solar, wait until everyone works out that having battery storage is like keeping the solar on all night! "Politically, I think seeing serious downstream processing outside China by the Europeans/North Americans/Japanese will go a long way in breaking the pricing power that the Chinese now possess for lithium raw materials. That'll likely require government assistance at these prices, so I'll be looking for some firm government actions to back up the rhetoric and ultimately provide a broader customer base for the miners." How do you view the future of global lithium demand, and which countries will lead the charge as China dominates EV production? SP: "That will continue to be the trend. China is close to the great tipping point. One in two cars sold in China are EVs and they could move to close to 100% EV penetration soon. The USA EV sales will respond with more dovish monetary policy." AR: "China remains dominant in battery manufacturing and electric vehicle production, currently selling over 1 million EVs per month, a staggering pace that has helped push global EV adoption to a tipping point, with one in every four new vehicles sold now electric. "Whilst China leads today, we see a more diversified future emerging over the next 5–10 years. The US and Canada continue to invest heavily in scaling domestic EV and battery supply chains, with a growing focus on building out domestic critical mineral production and processing. Europe is similarly accelerating efforts to localise refining capacity and secure offtake agreements, aiming to reduce reliance on China amid tightening ESG and supply-chain transparency standards. "On the supply side, Argentina and Australia remain critical players with Argentina offering tier-1 brine resources, increased judicial and regulatory certainty, low-cost extraction potential, and faster development pathways. Demand for lithium isn't disappearing; it's shifting regionally. This transition is fuelling a new wave of investment, and competition across the global battery materials landscape." JC: "China doesn't look like it's giving up first place any time soon. They have really bet the farm on lithium and invested a huge amount of capital in the battery supply chain going back at least 10 years. "There's a long way to go before EVs inevitably overtake vehicles on the road, so I expect growth and innovation in the EV sector to continue apace. There's pretty strenuous competition going on between the new Chinese car manufacturers and the old car companies, with new models coming out all the time. Competition is good for consumers, so I expect the product offering to improve and strong competition to persist. Global EV penetration looks almost certain to continue to grow: the genie is well and truly out of the bottle, and it's a pretty cool genie with more torque and less moving parts." What are the key challenges and opportunities you foresee in the lithium market over the next 12 months? SP: "We could have a scramble for lithium supply if the Chinese market passes the tipping point. Car purchases are subject to the network effect where people tend to follow their neighbours. China is currently the only market that matters and they're at 50% EV penetration. "Chariot is well setup after this downturn. We have reacquired the Horizon property with a 10.2Mt LCE resource and taken a 66.667% stake in a magnificent portfolio of spodumene bearing projects in Nigeria in the most counter cyclical way possible." AR: "The lithium sector continues to face real challenges over the next 12 months with ongoing price volatility and a significantly tighter capital environment making it increasingly difficult for developers to raise the funds needed to progress projects compared to other commodities such as gold or copper. Negative sentiment around spodumene oversupply continues to cloud investor outlook, even though brine based projects remain comparatively low cost and economically robust even at current price levels of between US$8-10,000/t for lithium carbonate. "Despite these challenges, there are clear opportunities emerging. Juniors with pilot scale operations or near term development timelines, particularly in Argentina, are well positioned to attract offtake interest as buyers look to diversify. ESG aligned, low cost brine projects are gaining traction with Western partners, and any recovery in sentiment, or lithium demand could sharply re-rate quality assets that are development-ready. "Companies that come out with massive production targets above 20,000tpa of new material without the balance sheet to support it or are NPV chasing to try and look good in the market will struggle to gain investor interest. Investors can see the demand piece for lithium remaining intact with demand set to hit near 3 million tonnes by 2030, however it's capital discipline and realistic scalable projects that will win out long term." JC: "I feel a little relieved that Delta isn't trying to navigate this price trough as a producer. Our challenge at Delta is to position our business and manage capital effectively through the downturn, keep our projects ticking along and be ready to come out of the blocks when real improvement shows up."

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